Nancy Pelosi’s Outrage, Nate Silver’s Next Step, and More

Tracy Bloom / Truthdig Nov 15, 2012 A look at the day's political happenings, including Barney Frank and Ron Paul's request about new marijuana laws and a look at the most bizarre post-election freak outs of 2012. Dig deeper ( 3 Min. Read )

The Election — In a Word

Richard Reeves / Truthdig Nov 9, 2012 Mike Allen, for those who don't know, is Washington's insiders' insider. Dig deeper ( 3 Min. Read )

Nate Silver Visits ‘The Daily Show’

Tracy Bloom / Truthdig Nov 8, 2012 Jon Stewart anoints everyone's favorite election forecasting wizard as the "lord and god of the algorithm" on Wednesday night's show. Dig deeper ( 1 Min. Read )

Nate Silver the Real Winner of Election 2012

Tracy Bloom / Truthdig Nov 7, 2012 Silver correctly predicted the results of Tuesday night's election, as opposed to Dick Morris who was utterly wrong in predicting Mitt Romney would win in a "landslide." Dig deeper ( 2 Min. Read )

Nate Silver’s Final Prediction

Tracy Bloom / Truthdig Nov 7, 2012 The FiveThirtyEight blogger accurately predicted the results of 49 of the 50 states in the 2008 presidential election. Here is his last forecast for the 2012 presidential race. Dig deeper ( 1 Min. Read )

Williams Takes on Limbaugh, Biden Goes on Letterman, and More

Tracy Bloom / Truthdig Nov 3, 2012 A look at the day's political happenings, including Nate Silver's case for why President Obama is the favorite in next week's election, Richard Mourdock's drop in the latest Indiana Senate poll and Dick Morris' election prediction backtrack. Dig deeper ( 3 Min. Read )

The War on Nate Silver

Tracy Bloom / Truthdig Nov 2, 2012 Nate Silver is seen by conservatives as a threat to Republicans this election. It's not simply because Silver, the statistician behind the New York Times-hosted FiveThirtyEight blog, predicts that President Obama will win the election. Rather, it's also because Silver is one of the most accurate forecasters out there. Dig deeper ( 2 Min. Read )

Americans Think Obama Will Win, Polls Be Damned

Peter Z. Scheer / Truthdig Nov 1, 2012 It's going down to the wire as an extremely close election, but a majority of Americans (54 percent) believes Barack Obama will beat Mitt Romney, according to Gallup, even though the same polling outfit shows Romney in the lead. Dig deeper ( 1 Min. Read )

Ron Paul Projected to Win Iowa

Staff / Truthdig Dec 20, 2011 Stat whiz Nate Silver is currently projecting Ron Paul to win the Iowa caucuses. Mitt Romney trails by 24 points in Silver's projection as of this posting. Dig deeper ( 2 Min. Read )

Obama the Underdog

Staff / Truthdig Nov 7, 2011 Stat geek Nate Silver examined approval ratings, economic indicators and the ideological zeal of the opposition and compared those factors to campaign history. His conclusion is that President Obama is "a slight underdog" to win re-election. (more) Dig deeper ( 1 Min. Read )

How Fox News Rigs Polls

Staff / Truthdig Oct 7, 2009 Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight explains how the mad polling scientists at Fox News manage to produce results that look so bad for the Democrats. Before asking about health care reform, for example, Fox pollsters ask dozens of questions that "run the gamut [from] slightly leading to full-frontal Republican talking points." Dig deeper ( 2 Min. Read )