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October 13, 2015
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Tag: Polls

A Pollster With Integrity: Remembering Andy Kohut

The founder of Pew Research Center and one of the nation’s leading pollsters died Tuesday. He turned the phrase “Just the facts, ma’am” into a deeply humane commitment. In a time of passion, his passion was simply to get it right.

Posted on Sep 9, 2015 READ MORE

Hillary Trump

Posted on Jul 29, 2015 READ MORE

a katz /

White Views on Ferguson Are Complicated By Age, Region and Politics

The events in Ferguson, Mo., have actually led to that national conversation on race we regularly recommend to ourselves.

Posted on Dec 5, 2014 READ MORE

yakub88 /

Netanyahu Has Staying Power Despite a Dip in the Polls

The number crunchers at the somewhat conservative Jerusalem Post have taken a look at Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s polling and determined that he was at his most popular (82 percent approval) when he sent ground troops into Gaza. Israeli casualties appear to have kneecapped his popularity.

Posted on Aug 26, 2014 READ MORE


It’s Going to Be Close, but Republicans Have a Good Shot at Taking the Senate

Running the same simulation 250,000 times, the New York Times’ Upshot blog gives Republicans a 53 percent chance of taking back the Senate.

Posted on Apr 30, 2014 READ MORE


Three Reasons Obama Had a Terrible Year

President Obama’s job approval rating began dropping almost from the beginning of 2013, and it never really recovered.

Posted on Jan 3, 2014 READ MORE

Band Aided

Posted on Dec 13, 2013 READ MORE

White House/Pete Souza

Obama Needs His Friends Back

President Obama is furiously fending off those “winter of discontent” stories, and it’s not even winter yet.

Posted on Nov 13, 2013 READ MORE

White House/Pete Souza

Back in Business: Shutdown Ends After Congress Overwhelmingly Caves

With the stroke of his pen, just after midnight Wednesday, President Obama ended the government shutdown.

Posted on Oct 16, 2013 READ MORE

White House/Pete Souza

Polls Show Obama Is Winning the Shutdown Argument

Although as arguments go, this one was pretty much a lob to the president.

Posted on Oct 7, 2013 READ MORE

White House/Pete Souza

Obama Job Approval Keeps Sinking

Maybe it’s the NSA spying, the fact that the economic recovery has mostly benefited the richest Americans or the threat to bomb Syria. Regardless, a growing majority of the country disapproves of the president’s job performance.

Posted on Sep 18, 2013 READ MORE

White House/Pete Souza

Polls Show Americans Are Dead Set Against Syrian Airstrikes, Aid to Rebels

If Obama sounds like a salesman, it’s because the public strongly opposes getting involved in Syria.

Posted on Sep 3, 2013 READ MORE

Shutterstock photo of poll people.

Gallup Rethinks Methodology After 2012 Humiliation

One of the most trusted names in polling has conducted a thorough examination of its formula and methodology to try to figure out why it was so sure Mitt Romney would win the 2012 presidential election.

Posted on Jun 4, 2013 READ MORE

Public Opinion Shifts on Pot, Colbert Declares War on Scarborough, and More

A look at the day’s political happenings, including Connecticut’s tough new gun laws and a recently created PAC looks to support candidates based on one nonpolitical trait.

Posted on Apr 4, 2013 READ MORE

Williams Takes on Limbaugh, Biden Goes on Letterman, and More

A look at the day’s political happenings, including Nate Silver’s case for why President Obama is the favorite in next week’s election, Richard Mourdock’s drop in the latest Indiana Senate poll and Dick Morris’ election prediction backtrack.

Posted on Nov 2, 2012 READ MORE


The War on Nate Silver

Nate Silver is seen by conservatives as a threat to Republicans this election. It’s not simply because Silver, the statistician behind the New York Times-hosted FiveThirtyEight blog, predicts that President Obama will win the election. Rather, it’s also because Silver is one of the most accurate forecasters out there.

Posted on Nov 1, 2012 READ MORE

Todd Benson (CC BY-ND 2.0)

Americans Think Obama Will Win, Polls Be Damned

It’s going down to the wire as an extremely close election, but a majority of Americans (54 percent) believes Barack Obama will beat Mitt Romney, according to Gallup, even though the same polling outfit shows Romney in the lead.

Posted on Oct 31, 2012 READ MORE


Posted on Oct 22, 2012 READ MORE


Posted on Oct 21, 2012 READ MORE

‘SNL’ Spoofs VP Debate, Fox News Questions Biden, and More

A look at the day’s political happenings, including the Koch brothers’ attempt to get their employees to vote for Mitt Romney and a Republican Senate candidate’s son going birther at a fundraiser.

Posted on Oct 15, 2012 READ MORE

Flickr/ DonkeyHotey

The Politics of Fear and the Party of Non-Voters

The latest Pew Research Center poll shows Mitt Romney ahead of President Barack Obama among likely voters, 49% to 45%. But the latest Gallup poll shows President Obama leading Romney among likely voters, 50% to 45%.

Posted on Oct 10, 2012 READ MORE

Romney Debates Himself, Jack Welch Defends Jobs ‘Truthers,’ and More

A look at the day’s political happenings, including details about a pro-life conservative who reportedly pressured his mistress to get an abortion, and a major case makes its way to the Supreme Court. 

Posted on Oct 10, 2012 READ MORE

Billionaire CEO’s Election Warning to Employees, Big Bird Scores a Political Ad, and More

A look at the day’s political happenings, including Bain Capital and Mitt Romney’s connection to Big Tobacoo and why a Republican lawmaker thinks the death penalty is appropriate for kids who don’t respect their parents.

Posted on Oct 9, 2012 READ MORE

Romney’s Arrest Record, Akin’s Discrimination Endorsement, and More

A look at the day’s political happenings, including Paul Ryan offers a reason why he would not give details of Mitt Romney’s tax plan in a TV interview over the weekend, the GOP tries to explain why its presidential candidate is probably winning and the 2012 election gets the video game treatment.

Posted on Oct 1, 2012 READ MORE

Deluded by ‘Skewed’ Polls

Conservative activist circles are abuzz with a new conspiracy theory: Polls showing President Obama with a growing lead over Mitt Romney are deliberately being skewed by the Liberal Mainstream Media so that Republicans will be disheartened and stay home on Election Day.

Posted on Sep 27, 2012 READ MORE

Paul Ryan on ‘The Stench,’ a ‘Dumber’ Romney, and More

A look at the day’s political happenings, including why Mitt Romney says his heart aches, the GOP is back to supporting Todd Akin and his ridiculous “legitimate rape” comments, and the latest Fox News failure.

Posted on Sep 26, 2012 READ MORE

Romney Voter Drive Dust-Up, GOP Lawmaker’s Possible Prostitution Link, and More

A look at the day’s political happenings, including the real percentage of Americans who receive financial help from the federal government and the Massachusetts Senate race between Republican Scott Brown and Democrat Elizabeth Warren gets nasty.

Posted on Sep 25, 2012 READ MORE

White House / Pete Souza

Obama’s Tenuous Lead

If the election were held right now, President Obama would likely win by about the same margin that propelled him into office in 2008. But how fragile are his current advantages?

Posted on Feb 26, 2012 READ MORE

Gage Skidmore (CC-BY-SA)

The Republican Closet That Won’t Stay Closed

If these are the last weeks of Rick Perry’s ridiculous presidential campaign, his desperation is turning him into a nasty clown indeed.

Posted on Dec 16, 2011 READ MORE

Republicans Repeal Health Care at Their Peril

Election Day exit polls showed that the health care bill is not nearly so widely despised as right-wing propaganda suggests—and that its demise is certainly not the highest priority of voters.

Posted on Nov 11, 2010 READ MORE

Burmese Polls Close

The polls may have closed in Burma after the military junta-ruled country hosted its first elections in 20 years, but those waiting for significant change may have to wait a bit longer: The country’s main opposition party has boycotted the “democratic” contest.

Posted on Nov 7, 2010 READ MORE

Flickr / Mr. T in DC (CC-BY-ND)

Make Sure You Know Where to Vote

Whether you drink tea, coffee or Kool-Aid, it’s your civic duty to vote. It’s also surprisingly easy to end up in the wrong rec center casting a provisional ballot. Make sure you’re registered and know where to vote by searching the election gadget after the jump. You’ll find the latest poll info there as well.

Posted on Oct 31, 2010 READ MORE


Posted on Sep 2, 2010 READ MORE

Most Americans Support Arizona Immigration Law

Give us your tired and your poor, your huddled masses yearning to breathe free, because we already have an abundance of selfish, mean xenophobes. Polls show that most Americans support Arizona’s new immigration law, which makes it criminal to accept the Statue of Liberty’s invitation. (continued)

Posted on May 3, 2010 READ MORE

Sweat Time for Hill Democrats

It’s not time for presidential panic, but lawmakers up for re-election could be in a different boat if Obama’s ratings stay in this slump.

Posted on Jan 14, 2010 READ MORE

AP / Sergei Chuzavkov

Obama’s Job Approval Slips Below 50 Percent

President Barack Obama’s on-the-job approval rating is slipping, with two polls in the past week showing that fewer than half of those surveyed are happy with the way he is conducting the business of the presidency.

Posted on Nov 21, 2009 READ MORE

Wish Upon a Star

Posted on Nov 1, 2009 READ MORE    

Flickr / Brent Morales

Attn. Senate: Most Americans Want a Public Option

There may not be enough support in the Senate for a public option, as Finance Committee chair and health industry plaything Max Baucus contends, but according to a new poll, a growing majority of Americans wants one. President Obama says ...

Posted on Oct 20, 2009 READ MORE

America’s Changing Moral Universe

Way back in 2004, pollsters and pundits just knew that cultural and moral issues were the wave of the future. But a funny thing happened on the road to the revival tent. Updated

Posted on May 31, 2009 READ MORE

Newspapers’ Self-Inflicted Wounds

Most newspaper postmortems insist that decreased ad revenues brought on by the Internet and the recession caused journalism’s problems, but a look at the vapid celebrity-obsessed pages of the nation’s ever-thinner rags tells a different story.

Posted on Mar 26, 2009 READ MORE

For Competition Before They Were Against It

Republicans insist that “competition solves health care,” and tell us that government programs are worse than private health insurance. So, don’t they welcome a private-versus-public competition, believing that the former will trump the latter? Well ... uh ... no.

Posted on Mar 12, 2009 READ MORE

The ‘Comfy Retirement’ Dream Has Exploded

No Wall Street rally can obscure the scary historical prospect that most Americans now working can expect to have less income security in retirement than their parents had.

Posted on Mar 11, 2009 READ MORE

The Point of Pointing Fingers

Obama speaks disdainfully of “ideology,” but there comes a time when first principles need to be articulated. Conservatives have entered this fight with guns blazing while progressives have hidden behind a Maginot Line armed only with the word pragmatism.

Posted on Mar 11, 2009 READ MORE

The Man Who Won’t Change

Rush Limbaugh asks why women don’t like him. Well, I think I know why. Pull up a chair, my dears, and I’ll tell you, and him, a sad, sad story.

Posted on Mar 5, 2009 READ MORE

Flickr / david55king

Israel Votes in a Bubble

With world opinion soured by the recent events in Gaza, Israelis are headed to the polls to elect a new government that is widely expected to move further to the right. Pre-election polls put the conservative Likud in the lead. Labor was a distant fourth, behind even the ultraconservative Yisrael Beitenu, despite taking a hawkish turn.

Posted on Feb 10, 2009 READ MORE

GOP Revs Up the Spin on Stimulus

Republicans have been winning the media wars over Obama’s central initiative. They have done so largely by defining the proposal by its least significant parts.

Posted on Feb 5, 2009 READ MORE

original image from Wikimedia Commons

Is Texas a Closeted Blue State?

Hold on to your 10-gallon: Gallup’s polling data from the last election show that more Texans identify as Democrats than Republicans. That hasn’t translated into a political earthquake just yet, but it may only be a matter of time. Changing demographics make the Lone Star State and its 34 electoral votes a tempting target for Democrats.

Posted on Feb 2, 2009 READ MORE

The Gulf Between Hope and Change

Though presidential festivities and media superlatives tried to numb any feeling other than happiness, it’s only natural to experience a twinge of anxiety while celebrating at the edge of an abyss.

Posted on Jan 23, 2009 READ MORE

Faith Amid the Ruins of Faith

After the collapse of trust in every sort of expert—after lenders financed houses for people who couldn’t afford them, bankers created systems they couldn’t even describe and, finally, we hear, Bernie Madoff ripped off even his high school friends—there is a residue of resilience.

Posted on Jan 22, 2009 READ MORE

Nothing to Fear but No Health Care

Fifty million Americans are without health insurance, and 25 million are “underinsured.” Millions being laid off will soon be added to those rolls. At this perilous moment, we need sweeping New Deal-caliber changes, not the impotent tinkering that has been proposed.

Posted on Jan 13, 2009 READ MORE

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