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The Future of Liberalism

The Future of Liberalism

By Alan Wolfe
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Tag: Poll

McKinney and Nader
runcynthiarun.org/votenader.org

A Conscientious Objection

Those of us who oppose the war, who believe that all U.S. troops should be withdrawn and the network of permanent bases in Iraq dismantled, have only two options in the coming presidential elections—Ralph Nader and Cynthia McKinney.

Posted on Mar 23, 2008 READ MORE


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Obama in Seattle
flickr.com

Looking Beyond the ‘Racial Divide’

Sen. Barack Obama’s latest, and possibly greatest, challenge is to overcome a simplistic view that the United States is hopelessly split by a racial divide that could badly damage his candidacy.

Posted on Mar 17, 2008 READ MORE


McCain
AP photo / Gerald Herbert

McCain Leads and Nader Surprises in Poll

A new Zogby poll suggests that John McCain has capitalized on his rivals’ ongoing combat, beating both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in a hypothetical matchup. But Ralph Nader also did better than expected, with 5 to 6 percent of the vote, mostly from progressives and independents. Updated

Posted on Mar 16, 2008 READ MORE


McCain
AP photo / Stephan Savoia

Americans Want a Democrat ... or McCain

According to a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, Americans want the next president to be a Democrat, by a whopping 13-point margin. But when asked about the candidates by name, John McCain pulls into a statistical tie with Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama.

Posted on Mar 12, 2008 READ MORE


Obama and Clinton
about.com

Clinton Holds the Line

Hillary Clinton scored major victories Tuesday with three projected wins, including Ohio and Texas, which had been described by her campaign as must-win states. Barack Obama won the Vermont primary and kept it close in Texas.

Posted on Mar 4, 2008 READ MORE


Putin and Medvedev
AP photo / RIA Novosti, Dmitry Astakhov, pool

Medvedev Wins Amid Murmurs of Election Flaws

It wasn’t a surprise victory by any stretch when Vladimir Putin’s political heir apparent, Dmitry Medvedev, soundly trounced the competition Sunday to become Russia’s next president. However, at least one election-vetting organization, as well as dozens of activists arrested by police as they gathered in Moscow to protest, questioned whether democracy truly won the day.

Posted on Mar 3, 2008 READ MORE


Obama’s Demographic Breakthrough

Exit polls, those surveys of voters as they leave their polling places, should be taken with a grain of salt. Having said that, CNN’s exit poll data from the so-called Potomac Primary shows Barack Obama crossing the demographic divide that has hampered him throughout the race. Seniors, white people, working-class voters and women—all traditional supporters of the Clinton campaign—came out for Obama in big numbers.

Posted on Feb 13, 2008 READ MORE


rove and clinton
dudehisattva.com

‘Push Polling’ Taints Campaign in California

New polls show Barack Obama closing in on Hillary Clinton’s lead, nationally, in California and among women voters, which may be why either the Clinton campaign or some ally is engaging in that unsavory campaign tactic, the push poll.

Posted on Feb 3, 2008 READ MORE


Message From Third Place

Ralph Stanley and the Clinch Mountain Boys took the stage at a rally for John Edwards in South Carolina on Wednesday, and out of a clear sky it started raining metaphors.

Posted on Jan 24, 2008 READ MORE


Running Away From Bush

The turmoil in the Republican presidential contest, which seems to produce a new front-runner every month, owes to President Bush’s unpopularity and the fact that even members of his own party want to turn the page on the last seven years.

Posted on Jan 15, 2008 READ MORE


McCain
nytimes.com

Polls Put McCain on Top

Two new polls, one from The New York Times and CBS News and the other by The Washington Post and ABC News, show John McCain at the head of the Republican race nationally. The same polls also show Barack Obama closing the gap with rival Hillary Clinton, who still maintains a lead, though by a much smaller margin than previously.

Posted on Jan 13, 2008 READ MORE


Back to the Drawing Board

Maybe the signs pointing to Hillary Clinton’s victory in the New Hampshire primary were there all along, hidden in plain sight by the blur of Obamamania and a stack of flawed polls.

Posted on Jan 9, 2008 READ MORE


polling booth
AP photo / Alex Brandon

Closing the Polling Gap

How to explain the discrepancy—which was, in the case of New Hampshire this week, essentially on the Democratic side of the ballot—between polling numbers and election results?  In a column, ABC News’ polling poobah, Gary Langer, makes some suggestions and calls for a “serious, critical look at the final pre-election polls in the Democratic presidential primary in New Hampshire.”

Posted on Jan 9, 2008 READ MORE


Clinton and Obama
nytimes.com

Obama Surges, Clinton Gets Hands On

Two new polls show Barack Obama building on his Iowa win with a double digit lead in New Hampshire. Hillary Clinton, meanwhile, has personally seized the reins of her campaign, determined to push the talking point she debuted at Saturday’s debate—that she can deliver on Obama’s promise of change.

Posted on Jan 6, 2008 READ MORE


Edwards’ Closing Argument

If you had seen the candidate perform Saturday at the public library in Washington, Iowa, you’d understand how he made all that money as a trial lawyer.

Posted on Jan 1, 2008 READ MORE


The Fight of Her Life

The Democratic contest in Iowa—and possibly the battle for the party’s presidential nomination—hangs on whether Hillary Clinton can use the next two weeks to encourage second thoughts about Barack Obama, and get voters to take a second look at her.

Posted on Dec 18, 2007 READ MORE


Disappointment Doesn’t Have to Be Normal

Is it foolish to think that a nation stained by centuries of slavery and racism is prepared to elect a black president? Rarely phrased so bluntly, that’s the central question posed by Barack Obama’s candidacy—especially for many African-American voters, whose doubts are informed by having seen many an oasis turn out to be a mirage.

Posted on Dec 11, 2007 READ MORE


Clinton’s Obama Blunder

One assumes that the front-runner and her inner circle are rethinking their new strategy of singling out the Illinois senator and attacking him on issues of experience, ambition and character.  And if they are not, they should be.

Posted on Dec 6, 2007 READ MORE


Warplane
news.google.com

Israeli Public Opposes Attacking Iran

The Israeli government has been decidedly hawkish about Iran’s alleged nuclear weapons program, even after the NIE report suggested there isn’t one. The Israeli people, on the other hand, have taken a more enlightened view: According to a new poll, roughly two-thirds oppose a unilateral attack on Iran.

Posted on Dec 6, 2007 READ MORE


Poll: Clinton and Giuliani Are Slipping

A new USA Today/Gallup poll fits a trend other surveys have been pointing toward, namely that the front-runners in both parties are slowly losing their headlock on the election. Hillary Clinton, though still in the lead nationally, has lost 11 points in a month while Barack Obama and John Edwards have both picked up a few. Meanwhile, Mike Huckabee, once firmly stuck in statistically insignificant territory, continues his climb, like that other famous Arkansan who surprised his way to his party’s nomination.

Posted on Dec 4, 2007 READ MORE


Iowa Will Make or Break Edwards

The former senator knows his fate hinges on a strong showing in the coming caucuses and that he will be out of the race if he runs third.

Posted on Dec 4, 2007 READ MORE


Zogby Defends Poll Against Clinton

Zogby International has issued a statement in defense of its poll showing Hillary Clinton, unlike Barack Obama and John Edwards, losing to any of the top five Republican candidates. Clinton’s chief political strategist dismissed the survey as “meaningless,” and Zogby shot back, noting that “no other campaign has made as many requests for Zogby polling data over the years than [Mark] Penn has made on behalf of Clinton.”

Posted on Nov 27, 2007 READ MORE


Having It Both Ways With Hillary

Now that Hillary Clinton has hushed, for the moment, the chatter about how she can be both a woman and a presidential front-runner whose opponents pile on, can we pay attention to the way the most powerful “gender card” is really going to be played in the 2008 campaign?

Posted on Nov 20, 2007 READ MORE


obama
trb.com

Obama Pulls Ahead in Iowa Poll

Barack Obama has taken the lead in Iowa, according to a new ABC News/Washington Post poll.  However, his lead is within the poll’s margin of error, so he remains in a statistical tie with Hillary Clinton and John Edwards. Much of Obama’s strength may come from “new direction” voters, and the sense that voters have, according to the survey, that he is “the most honest and trustworthy.”

Posted on Nov 19, 2007 READ MORE


Dodging the ‘B’ Word

“That’s an excellent question” normally doesn’t make the list of utterances that can get a candidate in trouble on the campaign trail. But this presidential campaign isn’t what anyone would call normal.

Posted on Nov 15, 2007 READ MORE


dems
cbsnews.com

Dead Heat in Iowa

Hillary Clinton’s lead in Iowa is statistically nonexistent, leaving in a virtual tie the top three Democrats running in the nation’s first electoral test, according to a new CBS News/New York Times poll. On the Republican side, Mike Huckabee has sprinted past Rudy Giuliani to be within striking distance of Mitt Romney.

Posted on Nov 13, 2007 READ MORE


Who Said Politics Was Fair?

Democrats in Congress are discovering what it’s like to live in the worst of all possible worlds. They are condemned for selling out to President Bush, and for failing to make compromises aimed at getting things done.

Posted on Nov 13, 2007 READ MORE


It’s Still the Economy, Stupid

Sometime before the average price of gas topped the $3-a-gallon mark,  an inevitable moment arrived. The economy beat Iraq as the issue of most concern to Americans.

Posted on Nov 13, 2007 READ MORE


Driving the Masses Mad

Bush Derangement Syndrome is now a full-blown epidemic. George W. apparently has reduced more of his fellow citizens to sputtering rage than any other president since opinion polling began, with the possible exception of Nixon.

Posted on Nov 8, 2007 READ MORE


Bush poll

Watergate-Era Nixon Beats Bush in Poll

According the esteemed Gallup Poll, it’s not just that Americans largely disapprove of George W. Bush, but that half strongly disapprove. In fact, Bush has more intense disapproval than Nixon had during Watergate.

Posted on Nov 7, 2007 WATCH & LISTEN


McCain Capitalizes on Conservative Anxiety

The strangest thing about John McCain’s campaign for president is that it’s supposed to be dead, but it isn’t. This is a real nuisance for his competitors.

Posted on Nov 6, 2007 READ MORE


Dems Tread Lightly on Immigration

More significant than Clinton’s supposed gaffe in the Philadelphia debate is the subject around which she tiptoed so delicately: Immigration is the issue Democrats fear because it could leave them with a set of no-win political choices.

Posted on Nov 1, 2007 READ MORE


Clinton and Obama
journalism.wlu.edu

Clinton, Obama Neck and Neck in Iowa Poll

Granted, every time a candidate sneezes it seems to occasion a change in the polls these days, but it’s of potential interest that, after recent weeks’ reports seemed to suggest that Hillary Clinton on a national basis was far ahead of her nearest presidential competitor, Barack Obama, he trails her by just two points in a new University of Iowa Hawkeye Poll surveying Iowa caucus-goers.

Posted on Oct 29, 2007 READ MORE


Jimmy Carter: Bush Will Make a Good Ex-President

Jimmy Carter told the new Web site Guardian America that, compared to the Bush presidency at least, George W. Bush will make a “very good” ex-president. Carter also said of Hillary Clinton’s seemingly insurmountable lead in the polls: “One thing I know is that, this far ahead of time in the past, it’s been impossible to predict the outcome of the election.”

Posted on Oct 25, 2007 READ MORE


Stephen Colbert
indecision2008.com

Colbert Ahead of 3 Democrats in Presidential Poll

Stephen Colbert’s presidential campaign—a compellingly postmodern play on identity and politics (or something like that)—is apparently being taken seriously enough by the polling firm Public Opinion Strategies to merit Colbert’s inclusion in the lineup of candidates the firm is currently tracking.  Here’s how the TV comedian—who says he’s running as both a Democrat and a Republican—is doing in the race for White House glory.

Posted on Oct 23, 2007 READ MORE


The Mormon Issue

Let’s say it unequivocally: Mitt Romney’s Mormon faith should not be an issue in this presidential campaign. Period. And then let us explore why the Mormon “issue” may be unavoidable—and what Romney and the rest of us should do about it.

Posted on Oct 23, 2007 READ MORE


Thompson Needs More Rehearsal

In his first presidential campaign debate, the former senator didn’t fall on his face but his performance was of less than Emmy caliber.

Posted on Oct 11, 2007 READ MORE


Coulter’s Insufferable Suffrage Tirade

Hillary Clinton must have the opposition running scared if the latest strategy to derail her campaign is to deny women the right to vote.

Posted on Oct 9, 2007 READ MORE


Hillary Clinton
AP Photo/Earl Gibson III

Clinton Leads Obama by 33 Points

Hillary Clinton’s campaign for the Democratic presidential nomination is picking up steam.  She has widened her lead over Barack Obama by an impressive 33 points, according to the latest Washington Post/ABC poll.

Posted on Oct 4, 2007 READ MORE


Just Ask the Iraqis

Gen. Petraeus and Ambassador Crocker, to no one’s surprise, think the “surge” is working. So what if a majority of Iraqis disagree with them?

Posted on Sep 13, 2007 READ MORE


The Iraqi View: ‘Surge’ Has Failed

The definition of “progress” in Iraq clearly depends upon whom you ask—while the Petraeuses and Crockers of the world are claiming that the U.S. troop “surge” is (slowly) showing signs of success, a BBC/ABC/NHK poll of 2,000 Iraqis suggests quite a different story.

Posted on Sep 11, 2007 READ MORE


Abbas and Olmert
cbc.ca

Israelis Want Peace, but Aren’t Holding Their Breath

A new poll shows that 70 percent of Israelis favor peace with the Palestinians along the lines of a two-state solution, but only 39 percent think peace will be achieved in the near future. Meanwhile, a majority of Israelis favor strengthening ties with Mahmoud Abbas’ (above left) Fatah regime in the West Bank.

Posted on Jul 3, 2007 READ MORE


America’s Approval Rating Takes a Hit

Much of the world still likes our movies, and what used to be called American ingenuity—the scientific and technological genius that cures disease and connected the world through the Internet. But there’s not much else to admire about the United States.

Posted on Jul 3, 2007 READ MORE


More Young Americans Lean Left

A new poll finds that more young Americans (ages 17 to 29) are favoring liberal politics and Democratic candidates than ever before. The percentage of young Americans who support issues such as abortion, the legalization of gay marriage, and universal healthcare is significantly higher than the figure for the general public, according to The New York Times.

Posted on Jun 27, 2007 READ MORE


A Tale of Two Parties

So when Democratic presidential candidates get together, they argue about who has the best healthcare plan. When Republicans have a big discussion, it’s about torture and who’ll use it when.

Posted on Jun 1, 2007 READ MORE


Americans Back Immigration Proposals

While opposition in Washington to the new immigration bill spans the political spectrum, the major proposals of the legislation find widespread support among the American people, according to a New York Times/CBS News poll. A majority of Republicans, Democrats and independents say they support reforms to the immigration system, including the eventual legalization of immigrants and a guest worker program.

Posted on May 25, 2007 READ MORE


Hillary Clinton

Hillary’s Downward Spiral

The folks at Gallup have noticed a unique trend in the race for the White House: Hillary Clinton’s numbers have been heading steadily down. In fact, no other candidate, whether Republican or Democrat, shows as clear and consistent a trajectory. Time for a May surprise?

Posted on Apr 20, 2007 WATCH & LISTEN


Pelosi and Bush
inthesetimes.com

Poll Finds Democrats Favored as Managers of War

According to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll, 58 percent of Americans trust congressional Democrats to do a better job of setting policy for the Iraq war than the president. An overwhelming majority, however, disapprove of the job both branches of government have done so far.

Posted on Apr 16, 2007 READ MORE


Congress Beats Bush in Approval Ratings

Forty percent of Americans approve of the job Congress is doing, according to the latest AP poll. That may not seem like much, but it’s up from 25 percent just before the last election and higher than Bush’s mid-30s. A word of warning to candidates who are still fleshing out their Iraq positions: The same poll suggests voters, especially those coveted independents, are really sick of this war.

Posted on Apr 10, 2007 READ MORE


Iraqi with hammer
AP Photo / Jerome Delay

Saddam Has the Last Laugh

The man who once famously took a sledgehammer to Saddam Hussein’s statue now says “the Americans are worse than the dictatorship.” That’s a growing sentiment in George W. Bush’s Iraq, where a majority of people view attacks on coalition forces as acceptable.

Posted on Mar 20, 2007 READ MORE


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