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Edited by Joshua Rubenstein and Ilya Altman
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shiaonline.wordpress.com
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This’ll no doubt create some semantic confusion among religious leaders and congregations alike, but the U.K.-based Movement for Reform Judaism is issuing a new prayer book that eschews gender-specific references to the Supreme Being. It might be a hard sell, considering the results of a survey that the Jewish group conducted in anticipation of the unconventional release.
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White House / Eric Draper
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According to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll, 82 percent of Americans think the country is on the wrong track. The same survey recorded a record-low approval rating for President Bush. Sixty-two percent of Republicans, a group that still favors the president, take a negative view of the country’s direction.
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nettavison.no
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The election for Zimbabwe’s presidency made one reluctant step forward Friday as poll results were finally announced after over a month of intimidation, violence and other acts of political thuggery. Opposition candidate Morgan Tsangirai managed to beat out incumbent-for-life Robert Mugabe but failed to receive more than 50 percent of the ballots, forcing a second round of voting.
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A new poll shows Hillary Clinton closing the gap in North Carolina, a state that has been firmly in Barack Obama’s corner for weeks. According to the survey, Clinton has made gains among white voters, which many will doubtlessly attribute to the re-emergence of the Rev. Jeremiah Wright. The race remains tight in Indiana.
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We all know pollsters get it wrong from time to time, but you have to hand it to Public Policy Polling for refreshing candor. After the results were in, the only major polling group to predict an Obama victory in Pennsylvania posted on its blog: ” ... please do not call us or e-mail us and tell us we suck! We are well aware, and it does not feel good.”
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Here’s the conventional wisdom as of the morning of the Pennsylvania primary: Hillary Clinton is leading in nearly every recent poll and has gained ground in the last few days. The good weather will probably benefit her more than Barack Obama. Unprecedented voter registration is a good sign for Obama, but it probably won’t be enough. Of course, this campaign has been anything but conventional.
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A poll by The Washington Post-ABC News reports that nine in 10 Americans rate the economy negatively, with a majority of those polled believing it to be in “poor” shape. Support of the U.S. war in Iraq is also down, with six in 10 Americans rejecting the administration’s argument that the conflict is an effective defense against terrorism.
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With just five days left before Democratic primary voters go to polls to decide whom they want to be their presidential nominee, Hillary Clinton of New York and Barack Obama of Illinois are locked in a battle that is too close to call, the latest Newsmax/Zogby telephone poll shows.
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Flickr / caswell_tom
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According to a new L.A. Times/Bloomberg poll, the vast majority of Democratic voters in the next three primary battlegrounds want the government to bail out struggling homeowners. Most don’t seem to care that the Fed rescued Bear Stearns; they just want the same treatment.
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msnbc.com
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As the race for the Democratic nomination slogs ahead, a new Washington Post-ABC News poll shows Barack Obama with a 10-point national lead over Hillary Clinton, with the added insult of six in 10 voters seeing Clinton as neither honest nor trustworthy.
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Flickr / Steve Rhodes
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A new poll shows Hillary Clinton way out ahead in Pennsylvania, thanks in part to the 23 percent of respondents who said Barack Obama’s saturation advertising is turning them off. The Obama campaign is currently spending more per week on ads in Pennsylvania than any other candidate ever has spent.
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White House photo / Paul Morse
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George W. Bush has said that history will determine the greatness of his presidency. According to an informal poll by George Mason University’s History News Network, 98 percent of historians polled rated Bush’s presidency a failure. Sixty-one percent ranked him last among presidents, while only 4 percent placed him among the top two-thirds.
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Flickr / lieberman_2006
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While he continues to get tremendous support from Republicans (go figure), Joe Lieberman is on the outs with Democrats and independents in his home district, according to a new poll. Were an election held today, 74 percent of Democrats would vote for Ned Lamont, while the same percentage of Republicans would vote for Lieberman over their own candidate.
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Flickr / Llima
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A new poll shows Barack Obama taking a lead over Hillary Clinton in Pennsylvania for the first time. His two-point advantage marks a shift of 28 points from the last Public Policy Polling survey, which was conducted just before Obama’s race speech. Other polls show Clinton holding a lead, though by diminishing margins.
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By Eugene Robinson — Talk about not being able to catch a break. To pummel a boxing metaphor, it was Barack Obama who got tagged with a roundhouse right, flush on the chin—but it was Hillary Clinton, from early indications, who ended up nursing a sore jaw and wondering what it was that hit her.
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runcynthiarun.org/votenader.org
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By Chris Hedges — Those of us who oppose the war, who believe that all U.S. troops should be withdrawn and the network of permanent bases in Iraq dismantled, have only two options in the coming presidential elections—Ralph Nader and Cynthia McKinney.
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flickr.com
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By Bill Boyarsky — Sen. Barack Obama’s latest, and possibly greatest, challenge is to overcome a simplistic view that the United States is hopelessly split by a racial divide that could badly damage his candidacy.
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AP photo / Gerald Herbert
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A new Zogby poll suggests that John McCain has capitalized on his rivals’ ongoing combat, beating both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in a hypothetical matchup. But Ralph Nader also did better than expected, with 5 to 6 percent of the vote, mostly from progressives and independents. Updated
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AP photo / Stephan Savoia
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According to a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, Americans want the next president to be a Democrat, by a whopping 13-point margin. But when asked about the candidates by name, John McCain pulls into a statistical tie with Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama.
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about.com
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Hillary Clinton scored major victories Tuesday with three projected wins, including Ohio and Texas, which had been described by her campaign as must-win states. Barack Obama won the Vermont primary and kept it close in Texas.
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AP photo / RIA Novosti, Dmitry Astakhov, pool
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It wasn’t a surprise victory by any stretch when Vladimir Putin’s political heir apparent, Dmitry Medvedev, soundly trounced the competition Sunday to become Russia’s next president. However, at least one election-vetting organization, as well as dozens of activists arrested by police as they gathered in Moscow to protest, questioned whether democracy truly won the day.
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Exit polls, those surveys of voters as they leave their polling places, should be taken with a grain of salt. Having said that, CNN’s exit poll data from the so-called Potomac Primary shows Barack Obama crossing the demographic divide that has hampered him throughout the race. Seniors, white people, working-class voters and women—all traditional supporters of the Clinton campaign—came out for Obama in big numbers.
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dudehisattva.com
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New polls show Barack Obama closing in on Hillary Clinton’s lead, nationally, in California and among women voters, which may be why either the Clinton campaign or some ally is engaging in that unsavory campaign tactic, the push poll.
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By Eugene Robinson — Ralph Stanley and the Clinch Mountain Boys took the stage at a rally for John Edwards in South Carolina on Wednesday, and out of a clear sky it started raining metaphors.
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By E.J. Dionne, Jr. — The turmoil in the Republican presidential contest, which seems to produce a new front-runner every month, owes to President Bush’s unpopularity and the fact that even members of his own party want to turn the page on the last seven years.
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nytimes.com
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Two new polls, one from The New York Times and CBS News and the other by The Washington Post and ABC News, show John McCain at the head of the Republican race nationally. The same polls also show Barack Obama closing the gap with rival Hillary Clinton, who still maintains a lead, though by a much smaller margin than previously.
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By E.J. Dionne, Jr. — Maybe the signs pointing to Hillary Clinton’s victory in the New Hampshire primary were there all along, hidden in plain sight by the blur of Obamamania and a stack of flawed polls.
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AP photo / Alex Brandon
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How to explain the discrepancy—which was, in the case of New Hampshire this week, essentially on the Democratic side of the ballot—between polling numbers and election results? In a column, ABC News’ polling poobah, Gary Langer, makes some suggestions and calls for a “serious, critical look at the final pre-election polls in the Democratic presidential primary in New Hampshire.”
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nytimes.com
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Two new polls show Barack Obama building on his Iowa win with a double digit lead in New Hampshire. Hillary Clinton, meanwhile, has personally seized the reins of her campaign, determined to push the talking point she debuted at Saturday’s debate—that she can deliver on Obama’s promise of change.
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By Eugene Robinson — If you had seen the candidate perform Saturday at the public library in Washington, Iowa, you’d understand how he made all that money as a trial lawyer.
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By E.J. Dionne, Jr. — The Democratic contest in Iowa—and possibly the battle for the party’s presidential nomination—hangs on whether Hillary Clinton can use the next two weeks to encourage second thoughts about Barack Obama, and get voters to take a second look at her.
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By Eugene Robinson — Is it foolish to think that a nation stained by centuries of slavery and racism is prepared to elect a black president? Rarely phrased so bluntly, that’s the central question posed by Barack Obama’s candidacy—especially for many African-American voters, whose doubts are informed by having seen many an oasis turn out to be a mirage.
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By Eugene Robinson — One assumes that the front-runner and her inner circle are rethinking their new strategy of singling out the Illinois senator and attacking him on issues of experience, ambition and character. And if they are not, they should be.
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news.google.com
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The Israeli government has been decidedly hawkish about Iran’s alleged nuclear weapons program, even after the NIE report suggested there isn’t one. The Israeli people, on the other hand, have taken a more enlightened view: According to a new poll, roughly two-thirds oppose a unilateral attack on Iran.
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A new USA Today/Gallup poll fits a trend other surveys have been pointing toward, namely that the front-runners in both parties are slowly losing their headlock on the election. Hillary Clinton, though still in the lead nationally, has lost 11 points in a month while Barack Obama and John Edwards have both picked up a few. Meanwhile, Mike Huckabee, once firmly stuck in statistically insignificant territory, continues his climb, like that other famous Arkansan who surprised his way to his party’s nomination.
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By E.J. Dionne, Jr. — The former senator knows his fate hinges on a strong showing in the coming caucuses and that he will be out of the race if he runs third.
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Zogby International has issued a statement in defense of its poll showing Hillary Clinton, unlike Barack Obama and John Edwards, losing to any of the top five Republican candidates. Clinton’s chief political strategist dismissed the survey as “meaningless,” and Zogby shot back, noting that “no other campaign has made as many requests for Zogby polling data over the years than [Mark] Penn has made on behalf of Clinton.”
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By Marie Cocco — Now that Hillary Clinton has hushed, for the moment, the chatter about how she can be both a woman and a presidential front-runner whose opponents pile on, can we pay attention to the way the most powerful “gender card” is really going to be played in the 2008 campaign?
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trb.com
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Barack Obama has taken the lead in Iowa, according to a new ABC News/Washington Post poll. However, his lead is within the poll’s margin of error, so he remains in a statistical tie with Hillary Clinton and John Edwards. Much of Obama’s strength may come from “new direction” voters, and the sense that voters have, according to the survey, that he is “the most honest and trustworthy.”
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By Eugene Robinson — “That’s an excellent question” normally doesn’t make the list of utterances that can get a candidate in trouble on the campaign trail. But this presidential campaign isn’t what anyone would call normal.
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cbsnews.com
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Hillary Clinton’s lead in Iowa is statistically nonexistent, leaving in a virtual tie the top three Democrats running in the nation’s first electoral test, according to a new CBS News/New York Times poll. On the Republican side, Mike Huckabee has sprinted past Rudy Giuliani to be within striking distance of Mitt Romney.
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By E.J. Dionne, Jr. — Democrats in Congress are discovering what it’s like to live in the worst of all possible worlds. They are condemned for selling out to President Bush, and for failing to make compromises aimed at getting things done.
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By Marie Cocco — Sometime before the average price of gas topped the $3-a-gallon mark, an inevitable moment arrived. The economy beat Iraq as the issue of most concern to Americans.
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By Eugene Robinson — Bush Derangement Syndrome is now a full-blown epidemic. George W. apparently has reduced more of his fellow citizens to sputtering rage than any other president since opinion polling began, with the possible exception of Nixon.
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According the esteemed Gallup Poll, it’s not just that Americans largely disapprove of George W. Bush, but that half strongly disapprove. In fact, Bush has more intense disapproval than Nixon had during Watergate.
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By E.J. Dionne, Jr. — The strangest thing about John McCain’s campaign for president is that it’s supposed to be dead, but it isn’t. This is a real nuisance for his competitors.
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By E.J. Dionne, Jr. — More significant than Clinton’s supposed gaffe in the Philadelphia debate is the subject around which she tiptoed so delicately: Immigration is the issue Democrats fear because it could leave them with a set of no-win political choices.
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journalism.wlu.edu
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Granted, every time a candidate sneezes it seems to occasion a change in the polls these days, but it’s of potential interest that, after recent weeks’ reports seemed to suggest that Hillary Clinton on a national basis was far ahead of her nearest presidential competitor, Barack Obama, he trails her by just two points in a new University of Iowa Hawkeye Poll surveying Iowa caucus-goers.
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Jimmy Carter told the new Web site Guardian America that, compared to the Bush presidency at least, George W. Bush will make a “very good” ex-president. Carter also said of Hillary Clinton’s seemingly insurmountable lead in the polls: “One thing I know is that, this far ahead of time in the past, it’s been impossible to predict the outcome of the election.”
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Too Soon to Tell: The Case for Hope, Continued
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