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Liberating the Schoolhouse

By Wellford Wilms
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Tag: Nate Silver


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Catching Up With Big Data

This is a column about "Big Data" and a new way to predict the results of presidential elections for the next 20 years.

Posted on Jul 11, 2014 READ MORE



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The Noise Around Obamacare

The ace political and baseball prognosticator Nate Silver titled his book about prediction and statistical mastery “The Signal and the Noise.” Rarely has it been more important to distinguish between the two than in the uproar over the launch of the Affordable Care Act.

Posted on Nov 5, 2013 READ MORE



Controversial Abortion Law Blocked, ‘The View’ Skewers Ken Cuccinelli, and More

A look at the day’s political happenings, including Massachusetts Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Ed Markey speak up about “stand your ground” laws in the wake of George Zimmerman’s acquittal in the death of Trayvon Martin and an embattled aide to Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul resigns.

Posted on Jul 22, 2013 READ MORE



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Report: Nate Silver Leaving New York Times

Election forecaster extraordinaire Nate Silver is packing up his FiveThirtyEight blog and taking it elsewhere, according to the Times’ own media reporter Brian Stelter.

Posted on Jul 21, 2013 READ MORE



Obama Not Involved in DOJ Zimmerman Probe, U.S. Propaganda Ban Repealed, and More

A look at the day’s political happenings, including Harry Reid issues an ultimatum to Senate Republicans and Eliot Spitzer’s political comeback tour makes a stop on “The Tonight Show.”

Posted on Jul 15, 2013 READ MORE



Screenshot via YouTube

Nate Silver vs. Politico: It’s on Again

The war of words between the site and the statistician appears to be escalating yet again after Politico co-founder Jim VandeHei accused Silver of getting “up on his high horse quite a lot” in an interview in New Republic.

Posted on Jun 18, 2013 READ MORE



Elizabeth Warren Demands Answers, Republican Hypocrisy Called Out, and More

A look at the day’s political happenings, including Stephen Colbert celebrates the IRS scandal and a Florida mayoral candidate touts an endorsement from Jesus.

Posted on May 14, 2013 READ MORE



Supreme Court Hears Prop. 8, Coulter and Hannity Flip Out Over Jim Carrey, and More

A look at the day’s political happenings, including Nate Silver makes a prediction about gay marriage and North Dakota sticks it to women by enacting the nation’s strictest abortion law.

Posted on Mar 26, 2013 READ MORE


A State of the Union Preview, ‘SNL’ Mocks GOP on Israel, and More

A look at the day’s political happenings, including Nate Silver’s warning to Karl Rove and the latest Republican threat against defense secretary nominee Chuck Hagel.

Posted on Feb 11, 2013 READ MORE



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Fox News Drops Bad Election Predictor Dick Morris

The right-wing cable news channel, perhaps finally aware that Morris is no Nate Silver, has reportedly revoked the Republican cheerleader’s conservative pollster’s right to spew nonsense on its airwaves.

Posted on Feb 6, 2013 READ MORE



Screenshot via ESPN.com

Nate Silver’s Super Bowl Pick Falls Short

Silver, who writes The New York Times’ popular FiveThirtyEight blog, makes his living by predicting events. Oftentimes, he’s right, like he was during the 2012 presidential election when he correctly forecast how every state would vote. But even experts are wrong occasionally.

Posted on Jan 14, 2013 READ MORE


Nate Silver’s Super Bowl Prediction

The statistician extraordinaire has correctly predicted presidential elections, baseball games and football rankings, which is why his Super Bowl picks warrant a close look.

Posted on Jan 10, 2013 READ MORE



Everybody Hates John Boehner, Piers Morgan and Alex Jones Face Off, and More

A look at the day’s political happenings, including Gabrielle Giffords’ new PAC, Elizabeth Warren admonishing AIG and Nate Silver talking politics and data analysis on Reddit.

Posted on Jan 8, 2013 READ MORE



Ron Paul Denounces NRA Gun Plan, the Top 10 Media Stories of 2012, and More

A look at the day’s political happenings, including the late Sen. Daniel Inouye’s last political wish and the worst pundit predictions of this year.

Posted on Dec 24, 2012 READ MORE



nikolai36 (CC BY-SA 2.0)

A Word Against Nate Silver

Technically minded people have always been primed to become unwitting accessories to corruption, especially when speaking on subjects beyond their expertise.

Posted on Dec 20, 2012 READ MORE



The NRA Responds to Sandy Hook Shooting, Richard Engel Is Freed, and More

A look at the day’s political happenings, including a serious female contender to become the next defense secretary and Nate Silver’s analysis of gun ownership in America.

Posted on Dec 18, 2012 READ MORE



Scalia’s Anti-Gay Marriage Rant, Nate Silver on Hillary’s 2016 Prospects, and More

A look at the day’s political happenings, including Stephen Colbert’s response to a poll that shows South Carolina voters want him in the Senate and why the Koch brothers postponed a major meeting.

Posted on Dec 11, 2012 READ MORE



Geithner Says GOP Will Cave, Allen West Compares Himself to Lincoln, and More

A look at the day’s political happenings, including what a new analysis says about your tax rates today, the Kennedy Center Honors for 2012 will be awarded and Nate Silver responds to Politico’s criticism.

Posted on Dec 2, 2012 READ MORE



Warren’s Wall Street Fight, Obama’s Thanksgiving ‘Pardon,’ and More

A look at the day’s political happenings, including a Democratic congressman’s resignation and why Joe Scarborough is apologizing to Nate Silver.

Posted on Nov 21, 2012 READ MORE



Nancy Pelosi’s Outrage, Nate Silver’s Next Step, and More

A look at the day’s political happenings, including Barney Frank and Ron Paul’s request about new marijuana laws and a look at the most bizarre post-election freak outs of 2012. 

Posted on Nov 14, 2012 READ MORE


The Election—In a Word

Mike Allen, for those who don’t know, is Washington’s insiders’ insider.

Posted on Nov 9, 2012 READ MORE


Nate Silver Visits ‘The Daily Show’

Jon Stewart anoints everyone’s favorite election forecasting wizard as the “lord and god of the algorithm” on Wednesday night’s show.

Posted on Nov 8, 2012 READ MORE


Nate Silver the Real Winner of Election 2012

Silver correctly predicted the results of Tuesday night’s election, as opposed to Dick Morris who was utterly wrong in predicting Mitt Romney would win in a “landslide.”

Posted on Nov 7, 2012 READ MORE



Flickr/nikolai36

Nate Silver’s Final Prediction

The FiveThirtyEight blogger accurately predicted the results of 49 of the 50 states in the 2008 presidential election. Here is his last forecast for the 2012 presidential race.

Posted on Nov 6, 2012 READ MORE



Williams Takes on Limbaugh, Biden Goes on Letterman, and More

A look at the day’s political happenings, including Nate Silver’s case for why President Obama is the favorite in next week’s election, Richard Mourdock’s drop in the latest Indiana Senate poll and Dick Morris’ election prediction backtrack.

Posted on Nov 2, 2012 READ MORE



Flickr/nikolai36

The War on Nate Silver

Nate Silver is seen by conservatives as a threat to Republicans this election. It’s not simply because Silver, the statistician behind the New York Times-hosted FiveThirtyEight blog, predicts that President Obama will win the election. Rather, it’s also because Silver is one of the most accurate forecasters out there.

Posted on Nov 1, 2012 READ MORE



Todd Benson (CC BY-ND 2.0)

Americans Think Obama Will Win, Polls Be Damned

It’s going down to the wire as an extremely close election, but a majority of Americans (54 percent) believes Barack Obama will beat Mitt Romney, according to Gallup, even though the same polling outfit shows Romney in the lead.

Posted on Oct 31, 2012 READ MORE



Gage Skidmore (CC-BY-SA)

Ron Paul Projected to Win Iowa

Stat whiz Nate Silver is currently projecting Ron Paul to win the Iowa caucuses. Mitt Romney trails by 24 points in Silver’s projection as of this posting.

Posted on Dec 19, 2011 READ MORE



Reed Kennedy (CC-BY-SA)

Obama the Underdog

Stat geek Nate Silver examined approval ratings, economic indicators and the ideological zeal of the opposition and compared those factors to campaign history. His conclusion is that President Obama is “a slight underdog” to win re-election. (more)

Posted on Nov 7, 2011 READ MORE



Flickr / New England Secession

How Fox News Rigs Polls

Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight explains how the mad polling scientists at Fox News manage to produce results that look so bad for the Democrats. Before asking about health care reform, for example, Fox pollsters ask dozens of questions that “run the gamut [from] slightly leading to full-frontal Republican talking points.”

Posted on Oct 6, 2009 READ MORE


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