|
|
June 19, 2013
|
|
What Obama’s Nuclear Weapons Conference MissedPosted on Apr 13, 2010The meeting on nuclear security convoked by Barack Obama this week was meant to prevent nuclear proliferation. This is a worthy cause, but—while I am writing before the meeting closes—I would assume that it will at best produce empty promises, as the meeting itself is fatally flawed. Its conceptual basis is that the United States is a disinterested world leader, calling on others to do what is self-evidently in the general interest. This is not true. The underlying incitement to nuclear proliferation is the permanent veto exercised over Security Council decisions by the five nuclear-armed permanent members, a result of the Second World War and now widely considered unfair or outdated. It nonetheless is unlikely to change. The specific inspiration for weapons proliferation (or for countries to achieve “last-stage” status, which is to say a complete technological capacity to produce nuclear weapons, able to be activated if needed) is deterrence. Japan is thought to possess last-stage status, and many think that this is the status Iran seeks. Israel is an (undeclared) major nuclear power and is determined to remain one. North Korea presents itself as a nuclear weapons power, and may be one. The most important force at work among vulnerable Third World states is the desire to have a nuclear deterrent against invasion or attack by the United States (or in the Iran case, Israel), or by some other nation in the future. Iran seeks to protect itself while re-establishing its regional influence. The claim that if it possessed nuclear weapons it would aggressively attack Israel (or the U.S. or Europe) is mendacious propaganda, since nations, intelligent ones, such as Iran, are not given to committing suicide. Advertisement At the very least, candidates for proliferation wish to create uncertainty about possession of a nuclear deterrent, even if it consists of a single weapon. (This is one interpretation of the situation of North Korea. Combined with the demonstrated recklessness of the North Korean leadership, it has placed North Korea in a strong enough position vis-à-vis its enemies that it has been able to blackmail them on certain issues.) As for the threat that President Obama described in calling this meeting, that terrorists would obtain nuclear weapons, this seems to me extremely unlikely, if only because no government possessing these weapons would imagine giving such power to terrorists, or allowing weapons to be stolen. The world would hold that government, not the terrorists, responsible for what followed, and surely would retaliate against the responsible nation. A different problem, complicated by the U.S. itself, might have found a solution at this meeting. Obama met separately with the leaders of Pakistan and India on Sunday, a day earlier than the plenary meeting. This was because the United States, during the George W. Bush administration, seemed to reward India’s secret introduction of nuclear weapons into South Asia. Pakistan had already followed India’s example, to have a deterrent ready to set against India’s new weapons. There was then, and remains, a Cold War-style balance of terror between the two countries. Washington, under George W. Bush, granted a special nuclear relationship to India, promising to supply it with technology and fuel to build power plants. This represented a vast change from during the Cold War when India—which had a “neutralist” policy—was viewed with hostility by the United States. During this same period, Pakistan was a Cold War ally of the United States, as it today remains an ally in the Afghanistan war, though influential members of the Pakistani elite had provided other countries with the means for nuclear proliferation. Now American ally Pakistan is adding to its nuclear facilities so as to be in a position to construct second-generation weapons. When challenged, it replies that since the United States is giving civilian nuclear help to India, it is allowing India to use its existing facilities to build new weapons, which Pakistan must counter. Bush seems not to have thought about this when making India a new American ally. It is not only dangerous but grotesque that India and Pakistan should be wasting their resources to enlarge the nuclear dimension in their lethal rivalry of more than 60 years, going back to partition. It is not only an unreasonable and quite unnecessary conflict, which steadily has generated wars and hatred, focusing upon the status of Kashmir (whose Hindu prince adhered to India at the time of partition despite the fact that Kashmir’s population is Muslim). India sent troops to reinstall the prince and suppress the revolt of the Muslim population, subsequently refusing plebiscite and negotiation initiatives. Solving the Kashmir problem could be more of a benefit to peace than anything else that comes out of Obama’s conference. Visit William Pfaff’s website at www.williampfaff.com. © 2010 Tribune Media Services Inc. New and Improved CommentsIf you have trouble leaving a comment, review this help page. Still having problems? Let us know. If you find yourself moderated, take a moment to review our comment policy. |
By Arabian Sinbad, April 18, 2010 at 8:18 am Link to this comment
America, my sad misguided country, through its latest so-called international summit on nuclear proliferation, continues to display the ultimate forms of arrogance and hypocrisy that make me feel like throwing up! By failing to apologize to the world for its past crimes and its continued development and usage of weapons of mass destruction, America fails the test of basic decency, honesty and good intentions.
Instead of focusing on its criminal past and present and taking unilateral steps to prove its good intentions to make amends, its misguided politicians, from the president down, continue to pick up on the relatively peaceful nation of Iran, who, even for the sake of argument, is many years away from developing their first midget nuclear weapon, assuming they have a secret plan to do so, while covering for its partner in crimes, Israel, with its known arsenal of some 200 to 300 nuclear bombs.
I was again put to shame of being an American tax-payer when our highly rhetorical, yet not-so-good-intentioned president, brushed away a pointed question from a journalist about Israel’s nuclear arsenal.
And worst of all, there will be always those who are in denial that, at worst, Israel controls America, or, at best, America uses Israel to do its most dirty work in the region!
Report thisBy tedmurphy41, April 18, 2010 at 5:53 am Link to this comment
The UN has five PERMANENT members of the Security Council!
Report thisThese are made up of the UK?, France?, USA?, Russia and China.
Where is the representation for Europe, North and South America, Africa and all the Islands which include Australia/New Zealand.
The veto, used within the Security Council, should be removed from these Countries and replaced by majority voting.
If this Council cannot be expanded to include these Continents,(with a rotation method used within these continents, including North America and Europe) then the UN should be split into two, one to represent the Southern Hemisphere; we are all in favour of democratic representation, are we not??
With a short comment about this nuclear weapons conference: the United States appear to have a serious problem with the possibility of Iran obtaining a nuclear capability.
I would suggest that it contacts its favoured nation, namely Israel, with orders to attend the next meeting or else, with a view to dismantling their undeclared stockpile of nuclear weapons; then, and only then, can the US confront Iran on its nuclear intentions.
By NOWARS, April 15, 2010 at 12:11 pm Link to this comment
ISRAEL Needs to STOP MAKING THREATS and They Need to GET RID OF THEIR NUKES too…....ANd Live The WAY of GOD not SATAN…....................PERIOD
Report thisBy Maxim, April 15, 2010 at 9:33 am Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)
By Maxim
Report this“Somebody has to openly say that the king is naked”
Should the United States have the clout to overcome its internal contradictions and pressures exerted by its powerful Jewish lobby, it could easily oblige Israel to find a just solution with Palestinian Arabs: it should be a giant step toward general appeasement of the region (for instance: Turkey and Egypt which are turning bitter). Most unfortunately the former presidency deemed it (foolishly) necessary to overturn Mullah Omar’s regime in Afghanistan and quasi simultaneously attack Iraq under false and quasi idiotic excuses, being now embroiled (after nine years) in two difficult “asymetric” wars which they lost before starting. We heard y’day on the French TV24 broadcasting station an interview with Ahmadinedjad who said: “If the Americans want to leave Afghanistan with honour, they should do well not to attack Iran”.
Conclusion: “a word to the wise is enough” .?
Maxim
By ofersince72, April 14, 2010 at 9:54 pm Link to this comment
“what Obama’s nuclear weapons conference missed”
there is not enough space on this thread !!!!!
Report thisBy gerard, April 14, 2010 at 6:06 pm Link to this comment
Such “summits” are doomed to remain pretty much of a political charade unless the world can form a commonly accepted definition og “terrorism.”
The nuclear pall that has been hanging over the world ever since the development of The Bomb has been nothing but terrorism, called “deterence” or “mutually assured destruction” for reasons of confusion and disinformation..
The danger of accident, if not of intention, is terrifying. Therefore, it must be removed by destoying nuclear weapons and outlawing their use.
Russia and the U.S. are both responsible for this fifty years of terrorizing, and therefore have the responsibility to admit it, and to bring it to an end by taking the initiative. Setting the meeting in the context of “terrorists” is misleading and not helpful in the long term.
Another overlooked aspect of the problem is the status factor. So long as any country gains “status” from holding nuclear weapons, all countries will insist upon the same avenue to “status.”
Report thisBy firefly, April 14, 2010 at 4:04 pm Link to this comment
I was listening to John Mueller and John Steinbach on DemocracyNow this morning. Mueller’s a professor of political science at Ohio State University. He is the author of Atomic Obsession: Nuclear Alarmism from Hiroshima to Al-Qaeda and Overblown: How Politicians and the Terrorism Industry Inflate National Security Threats, and Why We Believe Them.
Basically, terrorists are extraordinarily unlikely to be able to get a nuclear weapon because they are under lock and key, are extremely difficult to work, need extremely sophisticated delivery systems and are unbelievably expensive. Most terrorists aren’t that rich, and someone might notice if they started to spend a lot of money!!As John Mueller says, the chances of terrorists getting the bomb are “about the same likelihood as the United States being hit by an asteroid, something like one in three-and-a-half billion”.
The fact that Iran, North Korea and Syria weren’t invited is like a childish ploy not to invite someone to their party.
Steinbach pointed out that in the “early 1970s, it became obvious that Israel had a nuclear weapons program and, in fact, already had perhaps a dozen nuclear weapons. It became a difficult political situation, and Nixon met with Prime Minister Golda Meir, and they made a deal that the United States would stop pressing Israel about its nuclear weapons program, and in return, that Israel would never acknowledge publicly that it had nuclear weapons. This policy has continued to this very day. It’s not a secret. The world knows that Israel has nuclear weapons. Hans Blix last year said everybody knows Israel has about 200 nuclear weapons. Ehud Barak last year let loose that it has the nuclear weapons. Mordechai Vanunu, the Israeli nuclear technician, back in 1986 released several hundreds of photographs to the Sunday London Times. It was examined by Frank Barnaby and Ted Taylor, high-ranking Manhattan Project scientists. They concluded twenty-five years ago that Israel had a hundred sophisticated nuclear weapons and the hydrogen bomb.
I think we need to contrast this absurd situation. All the nations in the Middle East have signed the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. Iran, which is technically not part of the Middle East, has also signed it. Iran, over the last ten years, has undergone the most intensive scrutiny by the IAEA of any nation in the entire world. On the basis that it might be trying to acquire nuclear weapons, in the meantime, you have Israel that not only has hundreds of nuclear weapons, but it has a very powerful, very sophisticated delivery system that includes submarines, missiles and bombers.
Report thisBy opsudrania, April 14, 2010 at 1:37 pm Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)
William Pfaff,
Report thisI feel that so long as people like you will live on earth, there can never be peace, but pieces on this planet. Your last observations about Kashmir and India and its Hindu/Muslim saga is completely far away from the truth and you seem to be basking in the fancy lands far away from the historical truths. What Obama missed, does not need advice of people like you who are hell bent upon creating a nuissance for the peril of this planet. Let me tell u in no ambiguous terms, India does not depend upon mercy of rogues like u. U can not save the next world war, now due fairly soon and God bless your “Soul”, it will happen sooner than u think. U keep up ur job of hate, filling the minds of these religious fanatics and fundamentalists. The WW III will be fought on the coffins of “Religion”. God bless.
By balkas, April 14, 2010 at 8:42 am Link to this comment
Pairing off [tacitly, tho] nat’l behavior into reckless one and not reckless one with so much “recklessness” [double quotes means that i am using the word as pfaff is using it; and only gods know what that animal means] in the world appears eristic.
The facts clearly prove that nato lands, india, pakistan, afgh’n, are doing by far more oppression and killings than n.korea.
If pfaff means that Korea may use WMD after it gets attacked by US-s.korea, and that wld be “reckless” to him and ?all fascists, why not say it?
But, do i ever expect any intelligence-honesty from a privately-owned scribe? tnx
Report thisBy Rodney, April 13, 2010 at 10:13 pm Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)
If we ever have a nuclear war it probably be in the middle east and started by Isreal
Report thisBy Virginia from Virginia, April 13, 2010 at 9:34 pm Link to this comment
Israel will do as it pleases and the rest of the world, including the United States, be damned. Israel knows it can invade, murder, destroy and there will not be a single peep from any nation.
Report thisConsider that Iran is NO threat to the U.S. WE are constantly threatening Iran. If Iran is indeed attempting to build a nuclear weapon, can you blame it?