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Too Hot Not to Notice?

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Posted on May 3, 2012
AP/Jim Cole

What remained of the Bartonsville covered bridge in Vermont after the Williams River flooded in August 2011.

By Bill McKibben, TomDispatch

This piece originally appeared at TomDispatch. Read Tom Engelhardt’s introduction here.

The Williams River was so languid and lovely last Saturday morning that it was almost impossible to imagine the violence with which it must have been running on August 28, 2011. And yet the evidence was all around: sand piled high on its banks, trees still scattered as if by a giant’s fist, and most obvious of all, a utilitarian temporary bridge where for 140 years a graceful covered bridge had spanned the water.

The YouTube video of that bridge crashing into the raging river was Vermont’s iconic image from its worst disaster in memory, the record flooding that followed Hurricane Irene’s rampage through the state in August 2011.  It claimed dozens of lives, as it cut more than a billion-dollar swath of destruction across the eastern United States.

I watched it on TV in Washington just after emerging from jail, having been arrested at the White House during mass protests of the Keystone XL pipeline.  Since Vermont’s my home, it took the theoretical—the ever more turbulent, erratic, and dangerous weather that the tar sands pipeline from Canada would help ensure—and made it all too concrete. It shook me bad.

And I’m not the only one.

Advertisement

New data released last month by researchers at Yale and George Mason universities show that a lot of Americans are growing far more concerned about climate change, precisely because they’re drawing the links between freaky weather, a climate kicked off-kilter by a fossil-fuel guzzling civilization, and their own lives. After a year with a record number of multi-billion dollar weather disasters, seven in ten Americans now believe that “global warming is affecting the weather.” No less striking, 35% of the respondents reported that extreme weather had affected them personally in 2011.  As Yale’s Anthony Laiserowitz told the New York Times, “People are starting to connect the dots.”

Which is what we must do. As long as this remains one abstract problem in the long list of problems, we’ll never get to it.  There will always be something going on each day that’s more important, including, if you’re facing flood or drought, the immediate danger.

But in reality, climate change is actually the biggest thing that’s going on every single day.  If we could only see that pattern we’d have a fighting chance. It’s like one of those trompe l’oeil puzzles where you can only catch sight of the real picture by holding it a certain way. So this weekend we’ll be doing our best to hold our planet a certain way so that the most essential pattern is evident. At 350.org, we’re organizing a global day of action that’s all about dot-connecting; in fact, you can follow the action at climatedots.org.

The day will begin in the Marshall Islands of the far Pacific, where the sun first rises on our planet, and where locals will hold a daybreak underwater demonstration on their coral reef already threatened by rising seas. They’ll hold, in essence, a giant dot—and so will our friends in Bujumbura, Burundi, where March flooding destroyed 500 homes. In Dakar, Senegal, they’ll mark the tidal margins of recent storm surges.  In Adelaide, Australia, activists will host a “dry creek regatta” to highlight the spreading drought down under.

Pakistani farmers—some of the millions driven from their homes by unprecedented flooding over the last two years—will mark the day on the banks of the Indus; in Ayuthaya, Thailand, Buddhist monks will protest next to a temple destroyed by December’s epic deluges that also left the capital, Bangkok, awash.

Activists in Ulanbataar will focus on the ongoing effects of drought in Mongolia.  In Daegu, South Korea, students will gather with bags of rice and umbrellas to connect the dots between climate change, heavy rains, and the damage caused to South Korea’s rice crop in recent years. In Amman, Jordan, Friends of the Earth Middle East will be forming a climate dot on the shores of the Dead Sea to draw attention to how climate-change-induced drought has been shrinking that sea.

In Herzliya, Israel, people will form a dot on the beach to stand in solidarity with island nations and coastal communities around the world that are feeling the impact of climate change. In newly freed Libya, students will hold a teach-in.  In Oman, elders will explain how the weather along the Persian Gulf has shifted in their lifetimes. There will be actions in the cloud forests of Costa Rica, and in the highlands of Peru where drought has wrecked the lives of local farmers.  In Monterrey, Mexico, they’ll recall last year’s floods that did nearly $2 billion in damage. In Chamonix, France, climbers will put a giant red dot on the melting glaciers of the Alps.

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By jerrymat, May 5, 2012 at 11:45 am Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

Science operates by proposing hypotheses and then seeking data to
confirm or deny the accuracy of each hypothesis and each group of
related hypotheses.

The IPCC scientists have specialized in using computer models to
generate climate hypotheses.  For the last decade, the data fail to
confirm these hypotheses.  Therefore the hypothesis of human released
CO2 causing massive climate change is wrong; it is not supported by the
data. If a hypothesis fails for more than a decade in its predictions, we
need to start over in our work.  If they would be more open in their
publication of their research, others could offer help in redesigning the
computer models.  I, for one, feel that reducing a spherical rotating earth
into a flat pancake that does not rotate my have to do with the IPCC
failures.

The author makes too many wrong statements to list here, but his chief
one is confusing local weather events with world wide climate. The
author has said “This is a full-on fight between information and
disinformation…..” and he is giving the most disinformation.

I encourage anyone to do web searches for data gathered by geologists
and others.  It turns out the sea is not rising at any faster rate than it has
been since the last ice age.  Islands are not going to drown, nor will
coastlines be inundated by the ocean.  The polar ice caps are not melting
at any faster rate than they have done since the last ice age.  In fact
some geologists suggest that as long as the ice caps remain we are still
in the remainder of the last ice age.

If you would know about these things study science and ignore writers
such as this one.  I do suggest that you do a web search for the work of
Danish climate workers, their chief man, Svensmark, and the CLOUD
experiments at CERN.  That is real science.

Svensmark’s work seems to bring in positive results.  He has shown that
clouds and cloud formation are caused by the sun, the solar system’s
position in the Milky Way and the explosion of super novas and the
resulting cosmic rays and their interaction with the solar wind.  That is
real science.

I would like to finish by scolding truthdig for running such an article as
this one.  It is not informative but an attempt to coerce political thinking
with falsely reported science.

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By JohnT, May 5, 2012 at 10:38 am Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

I lived in central PA in the 70’s (73-79) and in the 90’s (90-01). Over both those decades I experienced variation in the severity of winter cold and storms, some mild, others severe. Never however, did I remember the early spring and mid-summer heat that my relatives suffered through over the past ten years since I left.

Rarely did the summer come until June and then air conditioning was generally not required except for an occasional heat wave that may have lasted two or three days.

This year in April a ten day stretch of gorgeous weather was unheard of and broke all existing records. Something is up for sure. Is it anthropogenic? You will never convince the Faux News crowd….

What did shrub say immediately after 9-11?

Go shopping.

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By Maani, May 3, 2012 at 6:59 pm Link to this comment

NYC has always had among the widest range of weather in the U.S.  We get everything from super-cold Winters with lots of snow to super-hot Summers with high THI’s, from gorgeous Spring days to brisk but beautiful Fall nights.

I have lived in NYC for over four decades, and I noticed things changing LONG before anyone was talking about climate change and global warming.  First, we started “losing” Spring and Fall, with extended winters and “Indian” summers.  Where seasons “should” be approximately three months each, we were getting MAYBE six weeks each of Spring and Fall.

Then things just continued to get more bizarre, and in this past decade we started getting more “freak” storms, and evehn our first Hurricane in quite some time.  This past winter was the warmest I can remember, with only a single minor snow flurry.  And we started getting “unseasonally warm” temperatures earlier than ever.  I am going to perdict that the next winter will barely be “winter” at all.

If NYC is a bellwether (pun intended), one needs to be living under a fairly sizable rock not to see and feel what has been occurring over the past decade ot more.

Peace.

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By Big B, May 3, 2012 at 9:33 am Link to this comment

My personal evidence is largely anecdotal, but it just feels different these days. Yes our summers in the upper Ohio valley have been hot for the last 20 years now, but the most telling difference is the length of the summers now. They seem to start in mid to late April and carry through to early october. Our springs and falls feel very short these days.

And there is still a half dead tree in my front yard that I could not pay double to get taken down last year because all the local tree trimmers went south in late march to make buckets of money cleaning up after the historic tornado outbreak.

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