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Reports

Obama Can’t Celebrate Yet

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Posted on Jul 13, 2011

By E.J. Dionne, Jr.

The wounded are especially dangerous fighters. President Barack Obama now occupies the high ground in the debt ceiling debate, having called the Republicans’ bluff on the debt. He showed that deficit reduction is not now, and never has been, the GOP’s priority. He dare not get overconfident.

After thwarting the deal that House Speaker John Boehner was cooking up with Obama, Rep. Eric Cantor, the majority leader and Boehner’s rival, needs to show he knew what he was doing and recoup political ground. Cantor is likely to present Obama with spending cuts that the president once seemed to endorse as part of a large deal but will have to reject now that the big agreement is dead. There is still a lot of danger out there.

But it’s already clear that history will show that Boehner, the old war horse, was a better political calculator than Cantor, the self-styled “young gun.” Boehner saw an opportunity to make huge cuts in entitlement programs, shake off the severe damage done his party by Rep. Paul Ryan’s budget, and ignite a war between Obama and the Democratic base.

Boehner made what, in the larger scheme of things, were modest concessions on tax increases, getting three times as much in spending cuts. Only House Republicans can think that three steps forward and one step back constitutes retreat. Boehner lives in the real world. Most members of his caucus live in Foxland or Rushville, where talk shows define the truth.

Obama thought solving a big problem would outweigh any political difficulties his deal with Boehner might cause him. But Cantor saved Obama a lot of trouble. He protected him from a bitter intraparty fight and made crystal clear that preserving low taxes for the wealthy and for corporations is the GOP’s driving objective. Even the most resolutely centrist and cautious have been forced to concede this essential truth of American politics.

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Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell—he’s astute like Boehner, but less interested in policy—signaled Tuesday that this whole adventure of tying a debt limit increase to the quest for big spending cuts has become a losing strategy. His convoluted but clever proposal would make Democrats take all responsibility for increasing the debt cap. This gets the GOP out of its current box and forces Democrats to cast a lot of unpleasant votes. That would help Republicans take over the Senate in 2012, which is what McConnell cares about most.

Thus has the GOP forced its way into a sentence on which Democrats once held a monopoly: Yes, Republicans are in disarray. They’re divided among those who know Boehner was right, those like McConnell who want to get out of the debt limit mess altogether, and the troika now running Republican House strategy (Cantor, Ryan and Rep. Kevin McCarthy) who need something to show for having brought the country to the brink.

The best way out of this impasse is, unfortunately, a political nonstarter: to work with the budget crafted by Sen. Kent Conrad, D-N.D., which shows you can get a lot of deficit reduction by mixing some spending cuts with higher taxes on the very wealthy. It’s a road Obama might usefully have considered earlier.

The rational alternative is a deal with enough cuts to satisfy a majority of Republicans and enough revenue to win over a sufficient number of House Democrats to make up for tea partyers who’ll never support a debt limit increase. If Boehner reasserts himself, that’s probably where things will go.

Here’s the worrisome scenario: Cantor takes every domestic spending cut that was discussed as part of the negotiations with Vice President Joe Biden, declares that the administration has blessed them, and packages them together for a vote.

Never mind that Cantor walked out of the talks before there was serious negotiation about defense cuts and revenues, and thus no real agreement. Cantor, who needs to embarrass the Democrats and pull Obama down from the commanding heights, was shrewd to get the administration talking early about cuts in domestic spending and to put a lot of its cards on the table. He can now play those cards against Obama by forcing the president to reject reductions he had once considered when a larger agreement looked possible.

This might look like a political game. But at this stage, House Republicans can’t afford to end this whole sorry episode with a whimper. The bang they are looking for could yet cause a lot of collateral damage.

E.J. Dionne’s e-mail address is ejdionne(at)washpost.com.
   
© 2011, Washington Post Writers Group


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By ardee, July 18, 2011 at 2:46 pm Link to this comment

God has nothing to do with the naiveness(?) in which Americans first voted enthusiastically for BO and then, in a fit of pique because he was no miracle-worker and could not end the Great Recession of 2009, stayed away from the polls to let the “crazies” take the HofR. (The Right had already won the one seat necessary in the Senate to protect their right to filibuster any legislation to death.) So, what have we?

What we have,Lafayette since you did ask, sort of… is an example of an electorate disgusted with the refusal of Barack Obama to follow through with most of his campaign promises. The issues on the minds of most is not so much the “great recession” which most understand to be squarely on the shoulders of Georgie and Dickie.

It is the threats of cuts to entitlements to the working and middle classes and his heaping of great rewards upon the top 1% and his corporate campaign donor buddies. It is his seeming powerlessness in the face of outrageous and never ending demands and continual moving the line from the increasingly rabidly right wing GOP.

For some it is his refusal to restore basic human rights to all of us and especially to the prisoners in Guantanamo and secret prisons elsewhere, and it is his escalation of the useless, endless and pointless war , one that has been proven to strengthen the ranks of terrorist groups while installing puppet governments that will fall the instant we leave.

Yes, some of this list antedates the election of which you speak, and some does not. You blame the “fickleness ( or worse) of the voter who stayed away that time. I blame a President proven to be not up to the job he gained and not truthful enough to attempt to keep his promises..

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By the worm, July 16, 2011 at 7:05 pm Link to this comment

EJ and Eugene are surely the newest KoolAide liberals, drinking the sugar water
and coming up to tell us Barak is ‘winning’!

My Lord, how foolish do you two think your readership is?

Tell you what, why dont you go work for the Wall Street Journal.
Bet they’d give you both columns and you could just stop pretending.

Please, spare us the drivel, the spin, the mis-information….

We can read it any where and every where . We dont need it here.

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By the worm, July 16, 2011 at 2:52 pm Link to this comment

“OBAMA CANT CELEBRATE YET” screams the headline.

Let’s see, Obama has pledge four times the cuts to middle class programs.

And, we’re supposed to believe Obama ‘won’ and can celebrate.

Okay, Im having a little trouble with this - it seems to me sort of like saying to
the firing squad “Ha! You cant shot straight” and deliberately walking into the
hail of bullets. I guess, in a way, you sort of won the argument. I guess.

But it’s the voters who lost and who will replace Obama in 2012, either with a
new Democratic candidate or a Republican.

Obama cannot sell to the American voters what he is peddling - warmed over
Republican solutions. Obama could have won only by being a Democrat. Long
ago, he set that aside. What a waste of a Presidency.

For ways Obama has turned his back on what the American people wanted,
please, review the following:

1. Debt & Taxes: 72% of us support raising taxes on the rich including 68% of
Independen­ts and 54% of Republican­s -Washingto­n Post-ABC poll Washington
Post-ABC poll, Spring 2011. Obama first with McConnell, then with Boehner
‘bargained­’ to extend the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy.

2. Financial Bailout: Over 70% of us opposed the bailout. Obama accelerate­d it
with two Bush carryovers - Geithner & Bernanke.

3. Health Care: 72% of us supported “a government administer­ed insurance
plan - something like Medicare for those under 65—that would compete for
customers with private insurers.” Obama supported a private-se­ctor, for-profit
health insurance ‘reform’, guaranteei­ng profits with ‘mandated customers’ &
20% more for ‘overhead’­.

4. “Wars on Terror”: 64% of us opposed expanding war in Afghanista­n and
wanted to disentangl­e from Bush’s ‘preventiv­e war’ policies. When Obama
leaves office more troops will be involved than when he began.

It did not have to be as it is: Obama had the American peoples’ support for
success, instead, he chose capitulation and failure.

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By Michael Shaw, July 15, 2011 at 11:52 am Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

Can’t celebrate?? You must be joking! He is about to do what republicans wanted for 75 years, trash Social Security and Medicare for his big donor friends and allies on Wall Street. Apparently the president feels there are enough conservative independents to propel him into another term, after which I have no doubt, he plans to retire comfortably, do the talk circuit, write a few books and life happily ever after while millions of his fellow Americans end up homeless, without health care and without any of the hope that mealy mouthed sellout promised!

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Lafayette's avatar

By Lafayette, July 15, 2011 at 5:52 am Link to this comment

A NATION DIVIDED

MCRN: Dear God, the age of Obama apologists having ANY credibility has passed.

God has nothing to do with the naiveness in which Americans first voted enthusiastically for BO and then, in a fit of pique because he was no miracle-worker and could not end the Great Recession of 2009, stayed away from the polls to let the “crazies” take the HofR. (The Right had already won the one seat necessary in the Senate to protect their right to filibuster any legislation to death.) So, what have we?

Far from any apology, we have factual gridlock in LaLaLand on the Potomac because the Rabid Right has decided to go beyond what was called, once upon a time, “political moderation and decency”. That is, the duty of the opposition to negotiate with the party in office regarding legislation but not scupper systematically All Legislation in a bid to regain power. 

Power is not absolute in any democracy. And it is best to avoid absolutism in politics because it pushes to the extremes the patience and indulgence that is necessary to govern for the sake of all citizens.

The Replicants have already robbed the people of a Public Option Health Care and now they would now bestow upon America a Financial Default that will raise interest rates, thus worsening the condition of their fellow Americans? Which is why they are tagged “The Crazies”; their methods being beyond madness and their objectives false.

POWER ABSOLUTISM

The power of any elected official resides in the people. So, when an elected official will attempt to “game the system” by all means possible in order to maintain power per se (meaning not for the people, but for their own political tribe), then all semblance of Intelligent Democracy crumbles. Such people, of the Left or the Right, are no better than a Stalin or a Hitler.

Which is why all democracies must avoid absolutism of any kind, because its only means to its ends is the usurpation of power to the detriment of True Democracy.

The Republican Tribe of THE No,No,No’s is demonstrating the agonizing throes of its own demise from the cancer that ails it. The American people, finally after the Great Recession, see the failure of Reaganomics and its fallacy of Trickle-down Tax Cuts.

Particularly the manner in which it has widened inexcusably the yawning chasm between the haves and have-nots.

MY POINT

We can thank the Replicants for a Nation Divided, economically, socially and politically. Such national division cannot withstand the test of time.

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By EJS, July 14, 2011 at 6:46 pm Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

None of us is anywhere near being out of the woods. The radical, right-wing Tea Party wing of the Republican Party is unlikely to vote for any bill raising the debt limit. That means default. Even the Republican rich plutocrats may not be able to control these crazies.

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By Michael Cavlan RN, July 14, 2011 at 4:34 pm Link to this comment

Why does EJ Dionne Jr, who already gets lots of corporate media coverage, continue to get space here as well?

Dear God, the age of Obama apologists having ANY credibility has passed.

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By felicity, July 14, 2011 at 11:43 am Link to this comment

Cantor’s goal is the speakership of the House. 
Boehner’s goal is to hang on to it.  The Tea Party’s
goal is to supplant the Democratic Party with its
Party.  Obama’s goal is to get re-elected.

The great unwashed out here, the rest of us and most
economists, incorrectly believe that this childish,
puerile bantering back and forth is about to raise,
or not to raise, to cut or not to cut, to tax or not
to tax (which were not and have never been the
‘questions.’)

Government is supposed to be the people’s instrument
for expressing and enforcing the collective will of
the people.  As it stands today, the role of
government is to benefit the more influential and
affluent members of the private sector AND to serve
as a playground for politicians on which to play one
upmanship.

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Go Right Young Man's avatar

By Go Right Young Man, July 14, 2011 at 7:42 am Link to this comment

ardee, July 14 at 4:48 am

-

The most sensible writing I’ve ever witnessed from you.

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Hulk2008's avatar

By Hulk2008, July 14, 2011 at 7:09 am Link to this comment

Anybody who thinks there is a “deal” in the works has not been paying attention.  When Cantor sprinted to the press to immediately lie about what happened in the meeting, and when Faux Snooze en masse continued and embellished the lies, it should be clear that this may just be “previews of features to come”. The media and the electorate are far too open to fibs.

When your sister kicks you in the kishkas and runs to tell Mom you hit her, there’s more than a 50-50 chance she will take Sis’ story over anything you have to say.

The Repugs count on inattention and lies and twisting EVERYthing to their advantage.  Otherwise the electorate would not have swept so many Tea Party types into office - they would have seen the Death Panel muck and Re-Education Camp crap for what it was, ignored it and voted based on the real issues.

So true:  A lie gets half way ‘round the earth before the truth even wakes up.

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By thecrow, July 14, 2011 at 5:03 am Link to this comment

“Socrates:

And if they were in the habit of conferring honors among themselves on those who were quickest to observe the passing shadows and to remark which of them went before, and which followed after, and which were together; and who were therefore best able to draw conclusions as to the future, do you think that he would care for such honors and glories, or envy the possessors of them? Would he not say with Homer, Better to be the poor servant of a poor master, and to endure anything, rather than think as they do and live after their manner?

Glaucon:

Yes, he said, I think that he would rather suffer anything than entertain these false notions and live in this miserable manner.”

- Allegory of the Cave (The Republic, Book VII)

http://michaelfury.wordpress.com/2008/11/11/turn-around/

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By madisolation, July 14, 2011 at 4:50 am Link to this comment

More from Glen Ford:

“In other words, this guy works for the other side because that’s where his soul is – if he has one. He advocates policies that serve corporate pigs because he’s one of them. He harms poor people because he is contemptuous of them, just like his Wall Street friends and patrons. His administration is negligent or hostile to Black aspirations for the same reasons as his white business buddies, with whom he shares a worldview. He is every bit as much a war criminal as Bush, and as morally debased.

‘The last thing we need is to allow this guy to conclude his long-sought Big Deal with the GOP under cover of a debt-limit crisis.”

http://blackagendareport.com/content/obama’s-“big-deal”-wallowing-pigs-search-grand-center-right-coalition

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By thecrow, July 14, 2011 at 4:48 am Link to this comment

Sure he can. Ce-le-brate good times:

http://michaelfury.wordpress.com/2010/05/06/killin/

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By ardee, July 14, 2011 at 4:48 am Link to this comment

So then, this “budget fight” is not about what is best for the nation but about what is best for either political party. Excuse me if I do not get overwhelingly behind the rhetoric of either partisan and close minded group.

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By madisolation, July 14, 2011 at 4:44 am Link to this comment

What a joke. All the people care about is: a.) the slimy politicians keep their slimy hands off Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid and leave much-needed social safety net programs in place, and b.) get us the f**k out of these money-draining, corporate wars.
E.J. writing that Obama occupies the high ground on anything concerning the budget is a slap in our faces. He tells us the Obama must not get overconfident, as if we all are on the same pro-Obama page. I couldn’t care less about what happens to that working class traitor. I wish someone would leak something about him and calls for impeachment would take fire.
Glen Ford, in his article entitled “Obama’s ‘Big Deal’: Wallowing with Pigs in Search of a Grand Center-Right Coalition,” writes:

“Barack Obama is salivating at the prospect of concluding his Big Deal with the Republicans, the one that will move the center robustly – even transformatively – to the Right, where this president really lives. The debt-limit deadline is Obama’s big chance to panic a significant part of the Democratic Party into joining in the rape of Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid. “When the debt-limit showdown arrives, pray for gridlock, which would at least mean there is still resistance to Republican extortion.”

http://blackagendareport.com/content/obama’s-“big-deal”-wallowing-pigs-search-grand-center-right-coalition

Start praying.

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