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Reports

Leaking to Avert Disaster

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Posted on Jul 28, 2010

By Joe Conason

The outpouring of tens of thousands of classified military documents by WikiLeaks is not precisely comparable to the publication of the Pentagon Papers—but in at least one crucial respect, it may be more valuable. While the Pentagon Papers revealed the duplicity of American policymakers in the senseless Vietnam War, their release came too late to save many lives or change the course of that conflict. The WikiLeaks disclosures may have arrived in time to influence policy and prevent disaster.

It is true that the lightly classified memoranda and cables in the WikiLeaks trove contain very few facts unknown to anybody who has followed the course of the war. We know that the Afghan conflict is complex and difficult, with a corrupt government in Kabul, a war-fighting policy that seems to alienate civilians while endangering our troops, and a Pakistani ally whose behavior and motives often seem questionable. And we should know that the Barack Obama administration inherited this troubled and perhaps impossible situation from President George W. Bush, whose decision to invade Iraq within a year after striking back at the Taliban may have been catastrophic.

But however responsible Bush is for the creation of this quandary, it is now Obama’s problem to solve. The usefulness of the WikiLeaks papers will lie in the debate they should inspire among political leaders and a public that neither supports the war nor demands withdrawal—with essential facts that ought to be understood by everyone.

First, the documents display the inglorious chaos of counterinsurgency warfare, especially the assassination program targeting militant Taliban and al-Qaida leaders. While that program has achieved some valuable “kills,” the specific accounts of civilian deaths, including small children, are deeply disturbing.

Although military leaders candidly remind us that civilian casualties are inevitable, the question raised here is whether the entire program is counterproductive. Or is it true, as advocates would claim, that using drones and rockets actually reduces the collateral damage caused by more traditional methods of making war?

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Second, it is critical to understand the price of this war in spent resources as well as lost lives. While the Bush administration squandered trillions of dollars in Iraq, without any perceptible benefit to American security, the price of our involvement in Afghanistan was slowly accruing as well. Neglect of the war effort there over the past nine years has undoubtedly raised that price. How will the Obama administration—and the war’s supporters in the Republican Party—define the war’s objectives so that its enormous human and fiscal cost will be justified?

Finally, the most important diplomatic aspect of the WikiLeaks documents is their confirmation of a story that has been published many times—namely, the American suspicion that Pakistani military intelligence is connected with central elements of the Taliban. The Pakistanis routinely deny this accusation, as they have long done, and the White House says this is old news that has been superseded by improved relations.

But nobody believes that Pakistan’s secret services have cut off the relationships with Afghan Islamist leaders that began during the war with the Soviet Union. Nor does anyone expect that they will, given the geopolitical realities of Pakistan’s ongoing conflict with India.

The ultimate issue raised by the relationship between Islamabad and the insurgency, as well as the parallel relationship between the insurgency and the Kabul government, is a simple question. If the Pakistanis can advance their interests by maintaining communications with the Taliban, and if the Afghans believe that they can do likewise, then why is the United States alone unable to open such talks?

A central principle of counterinsurgency warfare is that most conflicts are settled by negotiation and reconciliation rather than victory—and the WikiLeaks papers suggest that this complex and vexing war must be ended that way too.

Joe Conason writes for the New York Observer.

© 2010 Creators.com


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By Joshua Yen, March 5, 2011 at 12:21 am Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

Hammond Eggs:

Are you insane? Do you really think that President Obama likes these wars? He’s trying his best to solve these problems along with the recession and the Republicans who are interfering with the solving of our countries problems. Maybe YOU should try resolving the USA’s problems and see how YOU do.

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By Blueboy1938, August 3, 2010 at 12:55 pm Link to this comment

You are correct, JDmysticDJ, that I don’t regard those who may simply have an
opinion that differs from mine disparagingly.  They didn’t create the problems I
catalogued.

As I see by your latest, you appear to agree with me that what Wikileaks did had
perhaps unintended, potentially dire and counterproductive consequences. 
That’s part of the problem of unauthorized spewing of raw intelligence. 
Behaving irresponsibly, whether inadvertently or not, should have
consequences.  Documents are classified for a reason.  Whether one agrees with
the rationale or not, it is debacles like this that illustrate why they are so
classified and why there are criminal penalties for disclosure violations.

There are other ways to register opposition to continued involvement in these
conflicts.  Jeopardizing intelligence sources - and possibly our troops - is not
one of them.

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By JDmysticDJ, August 2, 2010 at 8:28 pm Link to this comment

Having seen Admiral Mullen Head of the Joint Chiefs of Staff give an interview yesterday, I’m not sure if it was actual names that needed to be redacted, or if it was information that would identify those who provided the coalition forces with information that needed to be redacted. It was a heinous error in any case.

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By JDmysticDJ, August 2, 2010 at 8:12 pm Link to this comment

Blueboy 38

Sorry about the arrogate, I see that you were referring to the leakers, and not to others who supported the leaks, right?

Evidence I’ve seen indicates that the documents do contain the names of Afghanis who gave information to coalition forces, and that some are in Taliban controlled areas, where coalition forces can not assist them. The leakers truly are “Dolts” for releasing the documents without redacting the names; a serious screw-up to say the least. Whether Assange is guilty of being grossly stupid, or criminally negligent is unclear to me.

I still maintain that we wouldn’t be having this problem if we weren’t occupiers. Assange says the documents contain evidence of war crimes. I’m curious as to how this will play out in the final analysis, but its clear that releasing the documents without the names redacted was a heinous error.

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By Blueboy1938, August 2, 2010 at 12:51 pm Link to this comment

Well, JDmysticDJ, i’ll state it again:  I was referring by the term “Dolts” specifically to the screw ups at Wikileak and their “Oops!” moment of including the names of intelligence sources - plus the criminal who gave them the classified information.  I never referred to anyone else by that term, and I don’t really appreciate your trying to imply, aver, state, arrogate the contrary;-)

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By ofersince72, August 2, 2010 at 10:21 am Link to this comment

No, sir,  the most important of any leaks is the
death of innocent human beings not the tangled web
betwenn Pakistan and our MIC.

  Gerard,, I have been naming ways for six months how
to traverse our economy from that of a military complex
to that of a manufacturing and agriculture economic
system…

and have been ridiculed by almost everyone on
TRUTH DIG,....including you !!!!!

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By JDmysticDJ, July 31, 2010 at 4:13 pm Link to this comment

Blueboy 1938

Promoted from “Dolts” to Folks,” thank you!

If the names of Afghani assets were included in the documents, then wikileaks is guilty of a grievous error, which could very well result in disastrous consequences for our Afghani allies.

Avoiding future potential atrocities of this sort, along with other atrocities associated with the U.S./Nato invasion could be avoided. All it would require is removing the U.S./Nato presence from that area of the world. Granted, removing the U.S./Nato presence from that area of the world, would not eliminate all future atrocities from that area of the world, but it would eliminate U.S./Nato from perpetrating atrocities, and aggravating the circumstances that instigate atrocities.

Unfortunately, atrocities have been occurring, on a regular basis, in Afghanistan, for over three decades now. I’ll argue that the responsibility for these long running atrocities is shared by many parties. My hope is that the U.S./Nato presence will be eliminated, thereby eliminating the U.S./Nato responsibility for future atrocities.

You state yourself that a prolonged presence is to be avoided, so why prolong the presence?

I’m guessing that we will have a difference of opinion on this issue. I’ll state my opinion that there won’t be a time in the future when the situation won’t be “dire,” as long as we have a presence in that area of the world, and that those who ascribe to U.S., (not so much Nato,) policy remind me of Richard Nixon’s policy of “Peace with Honor” during the Vietnam era. That policy failed to facilitate peace or honor.

It’s my reasoned belief that even if the U.S. were to achieve some semblance of a stability in Afghanistan, which I don’t believe is likely, the U.S. presence there would continue for “security” and other strategic geopolitical reasons (Read access to natural resources,) and that there would be no security or stability for that part of the world.

There are those radicals and absolute moralists that believe the U.S. presence in the Americas has no moral authority, the argument is easier made that the U.S. has no moral authority to have a military presence in that part of the world.  As I see it, the only morally acceptable presence for the U.S., in that part of the world would be diplomatic, and not one of military reinforced occupation.

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By Blueboy1938, July 31, 2010 at 11:36 am Link to this comment

OK, folks, let me try again:

Wikileaks and its source(s) committed apparently criminal acts that are likely to
have real consequences, namely the torture and/or death of intelligence
“assets” - who are, or were, living human beings who cooperated with NATO in
the conflict.

Loss of intelligence assets will set the war effort backward.

The Obama administration will not get US out of Afghanistan - or Iraq for that
matter - if the situation is dire.

So, even aside from the criminal acts committed, the results will be
counterproductive to the goal of ending US involvement.

Even Wikileaks admits that failing to redact the names of sources was
“unfortunate”.  Kind of their contribution to the tragic collateral damage count.

The loss of life, whether of those who are involved in the conflict on either side
or those who are not involved or who are there trying to cover the story or
rebuild the country, is disheartening.  It should be stopped as soon as it can be
and avoided to the extent possible under the present circumstances.  Exposing
our troops and our allies, as the named sources of intelligence in the published
reports have been called, is both criminal and foolishly counterproductive!

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By JDmysticDJ, July 30, 2010 at 7:10 pm Link to this comment

Blueboy 38

Are you concerned about Afghan allies? If you are; good for you, but I can’t help but wonder if your equally concerned about Afghan innocents. Let’s hope that we come to the aid of our Afghan allies, and help those in jeopardy avoid the dangers that may await them.

War is hell, if these wikileaks play a part in ending that hell, and saving lives, then they will have served a noble purpose.

I sincerely hope that the repercussions from releasing these documents will not be severe, and more similar to the repercussions of revealing Brewster Jennings, and not be the blood bath you believe will occur.

The circumstances are still unfolding; let’s hope the consequences of releasing these documents will be more positive than negative.

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By gerard, July 30, 2010 at 12:23 pm Link to this comment

Blueboy1938 and his “dolts”:  As it is quite widely assumed these days that both starting the war in Iraq, and following up with starting the war in Afghanistan has been both illegal and more counterproductive than helpful, it would appear that there is something rather “doltish” about American foreign policy, yes?

Many educated people (and some uneducated ones) are now becoming aware that war itself is the problem—that modern wars have reached a point where they are self-defeating. What we have to do is stop them, stop trying to use them as foreign “policy” and rethink (re-feel) the entire human situation worldwide.  Ancient ideas of “conquest”, “force” and “domination” are proving to be failures.

Rather than the “end of time”, we have a chance to make it the “end of warring” and “exploitation”—a major shift in the history of the human race. Once new goals are set, new ways of thinking and feeling can develop—ways more appropriate to taking care of each other and of the planet. It’ll be a tight squeeze, but there is hope—at least I feel so (in my spiritual boots, so to speak).
  We will need the help of the rest of the world. To say this should be unnecessary, but American egotism being what it is, I feel that point must be spelled out. And we Americans are going to have to learn to listen to other ways and views. (Actually, we are more than a little stupid, as I found out in numerous trips abroad for extended periods.)

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By clan1465, July 30, 2010 at 11:39 am Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

This is hilarious. To think that this leak will do anything other than help the idiots, (and their MSM), to target leaks and those that leak them as enemies of the state is sheer lunacy. Blueboy is the perfect example of the MAJORITY at most of the blogs that I have seen.
Folks putting their useless 2 cents in. He is SO fucking worried about our Afghan “helpers” over there but could pretty much give two squirts of piss about ALL of the innocents that we are murdering over there AND IN IRAQ in “wars” we are NEVER going to win. Much less important to these people is the ACTUAL safety our troops abroad. The fact that these guys and gals have been sent to places that have nothing to do with our safety or democracy for that matter. Winning is not and has never been the strategy. Perpetual war and war profiteering are the ONLY goals here. No exit strategy, no end. Welcome to the new world order. War and death and greed and intolerance rule here. Lets thow in renditions and “necessary” torture…LMFAO!!! I am truly no exception. I am no better. Otherwise, I would be doing something to help instead of bitching on this blog right? Unfortunately I TOO have a “piss on it” attitude until I lose my job. Then we will see what I will do with all that extra time on my hands…..hmmm.

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By Blueboy1938, July 30, 2010 at 10:25 am Link to this comment

I repeat:

Reported today on the Los Angeles Times website (
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/politics/wire/sns-ap-us-afghanistan-wikileaks,0,2437923.story ):

“Britain’s Channel 4 News reported that in a telephone interview, a Taliban
spokesman named Zabihullah Mujahid said the Afghans named in the leaked
documents were being scrutinized. ‘We will investigate through our own secret
service whether the people mentioned are really spies working for the U.S. If
they are U.S. spies, then we know how to punish them,’ he is quoted as saying.”

As I have said before, this is not a game.  The real world consequences include the jeopardizing of intelligence sources in country.  These people are very likely to be killed and/or tortured.  Thanks a lot, Wikileaks and your unnamed source!

So the result will be to set back the war effort in incalculable fashion, which will make it harder for the administration to justify withdrawal.  Nice job, dolts!

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By JDmysticDJ, July 30, 2010 at 8:51 am Link to this comment

gerard

“Necessity is the mother of invention” The necessity is that we end these immoral, stupid, and murderous wars now, before we waste additional billions, the invention can come later.

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By doublestandards/glasshouses, July 30, 2010 at 1:25 am Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

The French got their asses handed to them in Vietnam but we thought we could do what they couldn’t.  After they leave office everyone in the Obama administration can write his book about where they went wrong in Afghanistan.  As long as there’s money to be made on book deals, the war is not in vain.

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By diman, July 29, 2010 at 11:12 am Link to this comment

“We know that the Afghan conflict is complex and difficult, with a corrupt government in Kabul, a war-fighting policy that seems to alienate civilians while endangering our troops…”

Well isn’t it nice,it is now called “Afghan conflict”, why don’t you use the real word “Agression” which is more appropriate than sanitized “conflict”. And I’m sick and tired of hearing about “endangering our troops”, what is this a fucking summer camp in the woods, they are wearing uniforms and carrying weapons for fuck’s sake, they are in the army which happens to be engaged in a war.

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By Hammond Eggs, July 29, 2010 at 9:49 am Link to this comment

If you think that Obama is any more a decent human being than Robert Strange McNamara, you are entirely mistaken.  Obama is possessed of the same dry, brittle, conscienceless, purely calculating and cunning kind of intelligence as McNamara.  Beyond what it takes to become president of this nation and its totally and hopelessly corrupt political system, Obama is nothing more than a heavily tattooed gang banger with a truly impressive and frightening arsenal of deadly weapons.

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By gerard, July 29, 2010 at 9:38 am Link to this comment

“A central principle of counterinsurgency warfare is that most conflicts are settled by negotiation and reconciliation rather than victory.”

Repeat. Repeat. Repeat.  A central principle of peace, large or small, is that “most conflicts are settled by negotiation and reconciliation.”

But ... negotiation and reconciliation would put the military-industrial complex and the Pentagon out of business and millions of people would be out of a job, either as workers or as fighters.

Please, everybody who thinks and writes for and in these columns, think about this issue and make suggestions as to how to forge the link that will get us from here to there.  What could the MIC do instead to provide jobs and make (less but cleaner) profits?  What could the Pentagon do to keep all that brass happy?  How can Government get free from the control of MIC and Pentagon pressures?

Somebody (or some group) has to come up with some step-by-step, practical suggestions and somebody else has to push them into public awareness—preferably a.s.a.p. Is it lack of imagination or lack of will, or both?

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