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June 19, 2013
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How the U.S. Should Respond to the New Arab WorldPosted on Feb 15, 2011Revolutions are known for devouring their children, but the people making the current revolution in the Middle East may prove indigestible. In greater danger are the Israelis. As for the United States, it faces a choice between jettisoning its traditional policy of supporting Arab dictators, or repositioning itself—which is a paralyzing situation to be in. Most American commentators and advisers will probably favor the latter: support for the anti-dictators, with the misconceived expectation of eventually controlling them. That choice is likely to put the Israeli-American relationship in jeopardy, with heavy domestic consequences. Finally, but scarcely conceivable, the U.S. could choose radical change: cease its Middle East political interventions; buy its energy on the open market, where it is readily available; and encourage Israel to adopt an equally radical new security policy of making peace with the Arabs. After the 1948 war, Israel had no choice but to consider itself permanently surrounded by enemies. Its security response was predictable. With an eventual alliance with the U.S., its security seemed assured. It then chose not to make peace with the Palestinian Arabs but to expand Israel territorially through the settlements, with the intention—articulated by few, but implicitly endorsed by many—to reconstitute the biblical land of Israel, in which there would be no room for free Palestinians. This is no longer a feasible policy. The democratic Middle East to which those who have been responsible for the successful uprisings in Tunisia and Egypt aspire, and which is the goal of the as yet unachieved revolts elsewhere, is not likely to emerge fully for a very long time, and will first undergo many obstacles and trials. Advertisement The long-sought “Arab Nation” to replace the reign of the Ottomans has yet to come, and may even no longer be wanted. But the Egyptians and the Arabs have shown that they no longer will be an abject and abused people. It is crucial above all to Israel to understand this. For six decades Israel has felt compelled to survive by military intimidation and American patronage. Now it has a chance to live peacefully. Israel needs, but does not have, a Charles DeGaulle who will unilaterally end the settlements, withdraw to Israel’s legal frontiers, offer justice to the Palestinians dispossessed in 1948 and propose peace settlements to its neighbors. Benjamin Netanyahu bears no resemblance to DeGaulle, but neither did F.W. De Klerk in South Africa, nor Anwar Sadat when he flew to Jerusalem in 1977. But there are other leaders, or potential leaders, in Israel. Finally there is the U.S., arrogantly astride the region until now, but proven incapable in the Egyptian crisis to decide whether it wanted to go forward or backward. The administration actually wanted to be in between: simultaneous champion of democracy and defender of things-as-they-are (or as they were), an absurd position in which Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and the ambiguous Mr. Wisner said “Whoa,” so as to appease old friends, such as Hosni Mubarak and the Saudi monarchy, and older interests, such as oil access, while President Obama shouted “Hi-Yo, Silver! Away!”—in order to catch up with the revolutionaries. American policy is now inevitably trying to back each side, so far as is possible, so as not to be thought to be doing the opposite. Emissaries and ambassadors and agents will be trying to befriend the newly powerful, or potentially powerful, in the revolutionary states, so as to win influence with them, while other American representatives try to assure the monarchies of Arabia and the Gulf that they will be safe. It is too late for ex-President Mubarak. Others, including in Israel, should read the lucid Machiavelli: “A prudent ruler ought not to keep faith when by so doing it would be against his interest, and when the reasons that made him bind himself no longer exist. If men were all good, this precept would not be a good one; but as men are bad, and would not observe their faith with you, so you are not bound to keep faith with them.” There is, in my opinion, only one prudent American policy: not to interfere, or attempt to control, what now is happening in the Arab states. Inconspicuously withdraw American military forces to the maximum extent possible, and order those remaining to abstain from any political action. Put the Hamas, Hezbollah, terrorism and Iranian nuclear issues in cold storage; allow no government official, other than the White House spokesman, to comment on any of the four. Avoid engagement. Let the people in the region do what they want. The U.S. cannot then be blamed for what happens. Deal courteously and, if possible, helpfully, with whatever new governments emerge, but allow them to determine what relationship they want with the U.S. Remember that oil and gas are commodities sold on a free market. Make only one exception to the rule of nonintervention: Urgently advise Israel to follow the advice given above to exploit this—probably fleeting—opportunity to make peace with the Palestinians, and with Israel’s Arab neighbors. Visit William Pfaff’s website for more on his latest book, “The Irony of Manifest Destiny: The Tragedy of America’s Foreign Policy” (Walker & Co., $25), at www.williampfaff.com. © 2011 Tribune Media Services, Inc. New and Improved CommentsIf you have trouble leaving a comment, review this help page. Still having problems? Let us know. If you find yourself moderated, take a moment to review our comment policy. |
By copernicist, February 17, 2011 at 8:47 am Link to this comment
Inherit the Wind has well-lanced the previous pustules posing as Comments from Mr “call me Roy”.. Sadly, a rational response will not affect the poison that fuels his emotive factoids overflowing with prejudice and horror-looming fear; but worry not: one knows what to call him.
Report thisBy Inherit The Wind, February 17, 2011 at 7:50 am Link to this comment
The Die-Hard wannabe’s back, telling us that the founder of Muslim Brotherhood founded it as he admired Hitler…in 1928.
Oops.
In 1928, Hitler was in the process of rebuilding the NSDAP from obscurity. With his jailing in 1924, by 1925, Hitler was nothing more than a footnote (that’s not alliterative—it’s how he was described in political analyses of the day). His meteoric rise to power didn’t take off until 1930-32.
It is doubtful that an Egyptian religious leader would have heard of a minor racist fringe politician in Northern Europe in 1928. No Internet. Radio was limited. No TV. Just newspapers.
Report thisBy call me roy, February 16, 2011 at 11:44 pm Link to this comment
What does it mean when a mob of men, numbering anywhere from 50 to 200, stone a female child to death — as happened in October of 2008 in Somalia? That poor soul was not only a 13-year-old child, she had also just been raped. Indeed, that was her sole “ crime ” and the reason for her torture-execution. She was forced into a hole and buried nearly up to her neck. She took a long time to die and kept crying out for her life. In addition to the 50 active stoners, 1000 more men cheered them on.
Report thisWhat does this tell us?
First, that barbarians are mainly cowards who do not view themselves as responsible for their actions. Everyone is the murderer and therefore, no one is the murderer. The group both absorbs and atones for any possible guilt or hesitation that even one individual might have felt. However, as we shall see, there is also another way of looking at this.
For a culture presumably so concerned with “honor,” so consumed with concepts of responsibility towards the family, clan, or “ummah” (Muslim people), those who stone a living being to death utterly shrink from any individual responsibility for carrying out their bloody deeds. Entire families become conspirators in an honor killing; village and religious councils collaborate to issue a death sentence; Muslim men sexually harass women in the streets (of Egypt) — and in large mosque-inflamed mobs (in Algeria).
This tells us something else that is important. The need for a mob is, in a sense, proof that the individuals who compose it are all being held hostage to the will of the psychopathic criminals who rule them. Oppose them, and you yourself might be stoned to death. Hostage-mobs also share the “guilt,” or rather, their leaders’ point of view. The leaders cannot be held accountable for their actions either — everyone did it.
Stoning is practiced in contemporary Afghanistan, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Somalia, Sudan, and Nigeria. In 2006, a poll conducted in “moderate” Indonesia found that 50% of Muslims there supported stoning in cases of adultery, however it is defined. Adultery might include: a married woman who is raped by a stranger, or a woman promised in marriage to one man but who chooses another. This is precisely what happened in the recent case in Afghanistan.
The Grand Torturer Khomeini brought stoning back to Iran. Uneducated mullahs in the provinces rather liked it. They also liked drugs, drug trafficking, forcing girls into prostitution and then jailing or hanging them for it; temporary “marriages”; forced veiling, etc. Although stoning is now under legal review in Iran, to date, eight men and three women await stoning execution.
In Iran, one woman, accused of adultery, was sentenced to be lashed 99 times — and then sentenced to be stoned to death. Due to an international campaign and due to the hard work of Iranian dissidents, Sakineh Mohammadi Ashtiani’s sentence was delayed. But she was lashed 99 times and her teenage son was forced to witness her helplessness, humiliation, and torture — and, in a sense, forced to both share these emotions, second-hand with his mother. Her son’s presence before her nakedness was meant to shame them both and challenged him to become a very hard man as a way of avoiding an eventual nervous breakdown.
I am not sure whether there is any connection, but think about this. When Muslims go on pilgrimage to Mecca, part of their three day ritual includes stoning “The Devil.” Large groups literally throw stones at giant concrete pillars. This suggests that stoning is a Muslim religious ritual, not a tribal custom. Therefore, stoning a living human being is not only an act of human sacrifice — it is a classic religious ritual meant to glorify the stoners’ God.
A little like jihad if you ask me.
By call me roy, February 16, 2011 at 11:35 pm Link to this comment
Historically, the Muslim Brotherhood was, “founded in 1928 by the Egyptian schoolteacher/activist Hasan al-Banna (a devout admirer of Adolf Hitler and the Nazis), the Muslim Brotherhood (MB)—a Sunni entity—is one of the oldest, largest and most influential Islamist organizations in the world.”
Report thisThroughout its history, the Muslim Brotherhood has been involved in various acts of violent jihad. For example, in December 1948, a Brotherhood member assassinated Egyptian Prime Minister Mahmud Fahmi Nuqrashi. In 1954, Muslim Brotherhood member Abdul Munim Abdul Rauf tried to assassinate President Nasser. The Brotherhood’s mission statement, which is permanently posted on its official Arabic-language website, defines the Brotherhood as a Muslim community (jama’ah) that preaches for and demands the rule of Allah’s law (tahkim shar’ allah).
Many others have noted this as well. The Muslim Brotherhood appears to be co-opting the non-violent protest of demonstrators in Cairo. Though originally not highly involved, the Muslim Brotherhood now seems to see an opportunity to emerge as a major player as Egypt’s national leadership changes. As Rosenberg notes, the current American presidential administration will be put to the test to decide how to negotiate with the new potential leaders of Egypt’s government with the Muslim Brotherhood in the mix.
Simply put, if the Muslim Brotherhood is now claiming to be a non-violent participant in the reform government of Egypt, it will be a major break from its past tradition of jihadic acts of violence. Of significance to Western supporters of the Egyptian protest, it is important to note that democratic, free elections and religious freedom would not necessarily both follow from a change in Egyptian national leadership.
As many have learned from the War in Iraq, democratic elections in prominently Muslim nations can even lead to increased religious persecution among Christians or other non-Muslim religious groups. While we as Christians may support democracy in Egypt, we must be careful not to equate democracy with Christian liberty. In fact, if the Muslim Brotherhood takes a leadership role, some form of sharia law (law based on the teachings of the Qur’an) will be expected. Unfortunately, sharia law is the standard in eight of the top ten nations where Christians are most persecuted.
By frecklefever, February 16, 2011 at 9:02 pm Link to this comment
WILLIAM GIVES LOGICAL SUGGESTIONS THAT WOULD WORK..BUT SMALL MINDS NEED A GROUP
Report thisTHINK TO FEEL SECURE..AND ARE NOT GOING TO STEP OUT OF THEIR LEMMING
PATH…CONFORMITY RUNS WASHINGTON ON BOTH SIDES OF THE AISLE..THAT’S HOW THEY GET
ELECTED..ITS CALLED RULING BY THE BUNCH..
By gerard, February 16, 2011 at 8:08 pm Link to this comment
Regarding Ortiz’s comment that “nations around Israel are constantly trying to destroy it”—Jews as a minority have been persecuted in many countries for centuries, for various “reasons.”
Report thisCenturies of persecution have caused people to have a “persecution complex” more kindly called
“hypersensitivity.” It is probably going to take centuries of non-persecution to reduce and eliminate that fear of being persecuted.
Persecution is evil and sows seeds of persistent evil. First, stop it. Eventually it will disppear if it is not fed on fears.
Footnote: Sadly, being persecuted causes persecuted people to justify the persecution of others. (Example: Israel’s ongoing persecution of the Palestinians, as well as on-going Arab-Christian problems particularly since the Crusades but not limited to the Crusades.)
Persecution is not limited to Christians, Muslims or Jews, (though they seem to exhibit more than their share of it.) It is a worldwide human problem involving fear of differences and desire to dominate. Women have been “persecuted” by men for centuries, and many still believe it’s “inevitable.”
Various “color lines” are used as groundless reasons for persecution. It’s all one huge human sickness, like war.
People are gradually healing each other. Do your part, beginning right in your own neighborhood—Orange County, Cairo, Timbuctoo—wherever.
By copernicist, February 16, 2011 at 12:35 pm Link to this comment
Seconding the sentiments of MeHere, gerard, and BigB’s grandmother, I’d add only that Mr Pfaff’s essay, and his writings in general, being informed by a knowledge of history and a perspective beyond the Potomac (or even the Seine), is a viewpoint utterly lacking in the self-admiring Beltway, that nest of pseudo-experts providing bad advice to order at the drop of a palm crossed by the usual fees. Anyone telling embunkered Administrations what they would rather not hear is snubbed and/or sidelined, pronto.
Report thisBy the way, Aaron Ortiz should not ascribe a non-existent naiveté to the advice he endorses, nor an imaginary effort by Israel’s neighbours “constantly to destroy it”. Come now,really, which constantly aggressive neighbours do you see in the mirror???
By HERVE, February 16, 2011 at 6:16 am Link to this comment
I recommend two books :
America’s Nazi Secret by John Loftus
A Mosque in Munich (...) by Ian Johnson
These authors have internet sites.
The first book gives lot of information about the OPC and Frank Wisner Sr (father of Frank Wisner Jr).
The following memo is very interesting :
http://www.scribd.com/doc/47963038/America-s-Nazi-Secret-Loftus-OPC-CIA
The second one mentions Frank Wisner Sr and describes the introduction of islamism in Occident.
Report thisBy gerard, February 16, 2011 at 12:49 am Link to this comment
And by the way, two words express my advice: Butt out! The U.S. “should” not interfere in the political, religious, moral, cultural affairs of any other nation—ever—except to JOIN WITH OTHERS for the sake of impartial intervention on the side of peace and mercy, and even then, refrain from dictating or trying to beg, buy or steal “special relationship” influence that amounts to unilateral domination.
Report thisIt’s called “non-interference”—not the same as isolationism, which implies not giving a damn.
By MeHere, February 15, 2011 at 11:55 pm Link to this comment
Superb article by William Pfaff!
It’s hard to add any other comment except to say that we must keep looking for
Report thissigns of intelligent life among our government and voting population.
By Big B, February 15, 2011 at 10:25 pm Link to this comment
We need to accept what ever governments the people in those nations decide to try, whether they are friendly to us, or not. If they want to have a fruitful relationship with us, so be it. If they choose to break ties with us and look backward instead of forward, then we should part without animosity (we already have enough conservative morons longing to return us to 1920)
Life is too short to have to deal with assholes. And that phrase goes both ways. I was told by my grandmother that, while it is not nesessarily fair, you are judged by the people you choose to covort with. (somoza, pinochet, duarte, amin, dyan, the shah, and yes Bin laden too)
Report thisBy Aaron Ortiz, February 15, 2011 at 9:56 pm Link to this comment
The author’s advice for Israel is good. Yet, it assumes that Israel is the only
Report thisagressor, and that the nations around it are not trying constantly to destroy it.
By gerard, February 15, 2011 at 9:46 pm Link to this comment
One thing you forgot—Stop selling high-powered weaponry to all and sundry. Declare for a “season of peace” and behave accordingly. Get our military out of the region and convert the Military/Industrial Coomplex into Environmental Industries, Inc.
Report this