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 * NEW! * Greenland’s Great Melt Is Pinned on Climate Change



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Global Warming Just Got Hotter

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Posted on Oct 24, 2011
Poster Boy (CC-BY)

By Eugene Robinson

For the clueless or cynical die-hards who deny global warming, it’s getting awfully cold out there.

The latest icy blast of reality comes from an eminent scientist whom the climate-change skeptics once lauded as one of their own. Richard Muller, a respected physicist at the University of California, Berkeley, used to dismiss alarmist climate research as being “polluted by political and activist frenzy.” Frustrated at what he considered shoddy science, Muller launched his own comprehensive study to set the record straight. Instead, the record set him straight.

“Global warming is real,” Muller wrote last week in The Wall Street Journal.

Rick Perry, Herman Cain, Michele Bachmann and the rest of the neo-Luddites who are turning the GOP into the anti-science party should pay attention. 

“When we began our study, we felt that skeptics had raised legitimate issues, and we didn’t know what we’d find,” Muller wrote. “Our results turned out to be close to those published by prior groups. We think that means that those groups had truly been careful in their work, despite their inability to convince some skeptics of that.”

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In other words, the deniers’ claims about the alleged sloppiness or fraudulence of climate science are wrong. Muller’s team, the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature project, rigorously explored the specific objections raised by skeptics—and found them groundless.

Muller and his fellow researchers examined an enormous data set of observed temperatures from monitoring stations around the world and concluded that the average land temperature has risen 1 degree Centigrade—or about 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit—since the mid-1950s.

This agrees with the increase estimated by the United Nations-sponsored Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Muller’s figures also conform with the estimates of those British and American researchers whose catty emails were the basis for the alleged “Climategate” scandal, which was never a scandal in the first place.

The Berkeley group’s research even confirms the infamous “hockey stick” graph—showing a sharp recent temperature rise—that Muller once snarkily called “the poster child of the global warming community.” Muller’s new graph isn’t just similar, it’s identical.

Muller found that skeptics are wrong when they claim that a “heat island” effect from urbanization is skewing average temperature readings; monitoring instruments in rural areas show rapid warming, too. He found that skeptics are wrong to base their arguments on the fact that records from some sites seem to indicate a cooling trend, since records from at least twice as many sites clearly indicate warming. And he found that skeptics are wrong to accuse climate scientists of cherry-picking the data, since the readings that are often omitted—because they are judged unreliable—show the same warming trend.

Muller and his colleagues examined five times as many temperature readings as did other researchers—a total of 1.6 billion records—and now have put that merged database online. The results have not yet been subjected to peer review, so technically they are still preliminary. But Muller’s plain-spoken admonition that “you should not be a skeptic, at least not any longer” has reduced many deniers to incoherent grumbling or stunned silence.

Not so, I predict, with the blowhards such as Perry, Cain and Bachmann, who, out of ignorance or perceived self-interest, are willing to play politics with the Earth’s future. They may concede that warming is taking place, but they call it a natural phenomenon and deny that human activity is the cause.

It is true that Muller made no attempt to ascertain “how much of the warming is due to humans.” Still, the Berkeley group’s work should help lead all but the dimmest policymakers to the overwhelmingly probable answer.

We know that the rise in temperatures over the past five decades is abrupt and very large. We know it is consistent with models developed by other climate researchers that posit greenhouse gas emissions—the burning of fossil fuels by humans—as the cause. And now we know, thanks to Muller, that those other scientists have been both careful and honorable in their work.

Nobody’s fudging the numbers. Nobody’s manipulating data to win research grants, as Perry claims, or making an undue fuss over a “naturally occurring” warm-up, as Bachmann alleges. Contrary to what Cain says, the science is real.

It is the know-nothing politicians—not scientists—who are committing an unforgivable fraud.


Eugene Robinson’s e-mail address is eugenerobinson(at)washpost.com.
   
© 2011, Washington Post Writers Group


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By Rapalyea301, January 1, 2012 at 6:55 pm Link to this comment

Goofy GW People

Life flourishes when the climate is warmer, and suffers when it cools. Accordingly, I am perplexed Goofy GW people go all psychotic about warming.

In fact, the climate right now is cooler then during the Roman era. http://oasc12.247realmedia.com/RealMedia/ads/click_lx.ads/martinimediainc.com/passback/L28/1007594317/Middle/Martini/H_HouseCampaign_Martini/300x250_v12.jpg/726f4e6c556b38412f39304142666c65?x

The climate warms and cools, but mostly it cools. Civilization as we know it is largely the result of post Ice Age Warming about 8,000 years ago that lasted until Old Kingdom Egypt and the pyramids 5,000 years ago.

The climate then began a cooling trend interrupted by slight warming during the Roman Era, followed by slight cooling that coincided with the Roman decline, followed by The Midieval Warming that coincided with Viking colonization of Greenland and the great Gothic Cathedrals, followed by cooling and plague that left about 1/2 of Europe dead, and finally warming since 1850 or so.

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/c/ca/Holocene_Temperature_Variations.png

The climate has quite a ways to go to reach the climate optimum of 8,000 years ago. But Sunspot cycle 24 has the lowest numbers since the 1920’s, and then will decline after 2013.

http://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/predict.shtml

Periods of low sunspots in the past have been associated with cooling. [The Maunder Minimum during the Little Ice Age in the late 1,600s]. 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maunder_Minimum

So we must hope the Goofy GW People are correct, and we do not slip into a sudden cooling. After all, the world relies on Canadian Wheat.

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By jerrymat, November 26, 2011 at 6:30 pm Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

This article continues the alarmist lies.  Take a look at
http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5jUP3GJriAWio1v
rR5pNnRsRCxedg?
docId=CNG.aa7c247e63265d1dd5470037b7118e67.351

Anytime anyone says look at the last century or so, they are ignoring that
the earth has had a climate for 4.5 billion years.  To see trends we need
to look longer than the turn of the 20th century.  When the long term
trends are examined, the contribution of human CO2 is so low as to be
of negligible.  Now don’t start the attempt to discredit by name calling.  I
am a Democrat and not a Republican.  I am a trained biologist who only
recently gave up on the Green Movement.  Stop the politics and look at
the science!
And do notice that a few warn threats by the IPCC are not science but
politics!

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By theRightRadical, October 30, 2011 at 8:10 pm Link to this comment

Yes, yes lets pass more laws, build more prisons, and employ more skull crackers, in our quest for Global Thermometer Management.
And while we are at it. Lets not be around the Bush.  Just ban all of modern society, along with electricity, and it’s greatest achievement Heating and Air Conditioning. 
Ah the conundrum the LEFT wants to live in the gilded age!

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By Project Mayhem, October 26, 2011 at 8:10 am Link to this comment

@lulu

I’d like to assume that’s some kind of weak-assed effort at a troll.

Unfortunately, it probably isn’t, and is another in the myriad of reasons why, should humanity survive another couple of hundred years, the United States will be remembered as one of the worst social and economic experiments ever undertaken by Man.

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By rend it, October 25, 2011 at 5:44 pm Link to this comment

And you know what Eugene,

It you people in the main stream media that give the right wing crack pots legitimacy and a megaphone to amplify their absurdities.

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By Oceanna, October 25, 2011 at 9:38 am Link to this comment

Why all the concern about the “existential threats” that Cain, Perry, et al. pose
while the State Department’s environmental assessment on the Tar Sands
pipeline is based on an employer of one of its subsidiaries?  The pipeline is an
imminent threat to the country’s water supplies and environment, the
processing and transport has the potential to dramatically increase and
accelerate carbon dioxide on the global level in the atmosphere.

Yes, why all the personalized or personality-oriented concern over Republican
candidates while the Gulf remains severely damaged according to locals and
scientists and BP has had the accountability of a wet noodle slap?  It’s hard to
detect from this article any genuine concern over our future and the succeeding
generations in the unfolding debacle of environmental damage that’s being
released . .and yes, just within the last three years.

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By David, October 25, 2011 at 9:28 am Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

An International web of corporate Lobiest/ Bankers/ Lawers/ Law maker’s in Government/ Police Officials/ called “Atlantic Bridge” with connections to ALEC (American Legislative Exchange Council) has been uncovered by a group called FACK (Families Against Corporate Killers)in Manchester England. Atlantic Bridge-ALEC-CATO Institute and a web of International corporate intrests have a global footprint and set policy for the Troy’s and Republican’s in Governments on both sides of the pond.  http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2011/oct/19/corporate-influence-westminsterhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2011/oct/15/liam-fox-atlantic-bridge

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By Lulu, October 25, 2011 at 9:24 am Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

1 degree LOL and that despite the fact that most weather stations were moved near airports. and still only 1-1.8 degrees…LOL
Thanks Truthdig for a great laugh but then again. This is serious because to deal with 1 degree you want to tax my azzzz off and that’s a bigger con than global warming

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By SarcastiCanuck, October 25, 2011 at 6:58 am Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

Anyone who denies global warming these days should be thrown in ‘The Jail for Idiots,Liars and Those in Extreme Denial’.I have had a cottage in Northern Ontario for the last 30 years.In the last 5 years,never before seen Northern Cardinals have been showing up in my trees.What the fucks up with that???Beautiful,with a glorious song,I love to watch them.The trouble is,I know why thier there and know they don’t belong….Perry,Cain and Bachman are obvious morons as is anyone out there who votes for them.

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By balkas, October 25, 2011 at 5:56 am Link to this comment

sybarites fear losing their wealth; accrued by stealing ‘legally’. no one can
get 2,3,4,5,20 times richer than s’mone else unless such people rob others
of their rightful inheritance. [that’s why they have army, fbi, cia, police,
banks]

of course, they also fear losing the power [empowerment of america, huh?],
superiority over the undesirable rabble, right to kill ‘aliens’, etcetc.

but even if the earth is not warming, the sybarites have no legal-moral
right to use more of the resources which also belong not only to others
living now, but also to those that wld be here for possibly another million
yrs.
goddevil bless us all [no, dear benedict, moshe, abdullah, hagee, hussein,
u cannot separate god from the devil and vice-versa] tnx

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By PeopleOVERgreed, October 25, 2011 at 12:04 am Link to this comment

Climate change denial goes hand in hand with the greed of the 1%. The Occupy Wall Street protests is about such greed and many more things wrong in society today. Poisoning people for profit is coming to an end one day soon.

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By cpb, October 24, 2011 at 10:55 pm Link to this comment

“There are better solutions than simply waiting for the consequences of ACC to overwhelm the deniers fears of what must be done.”

- examinator

Bring it!  What are those solutions of which you speak?

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By cpb, October 24, 2011 at 10:52 pm Link to this comment

“The question is are we the the ‘liberals’ prepared to do what is necessary….answer I doubt it because we are human too and pride will get in the way.  Humans always have the means of their salvation at hand but do we have the wisdom…”

- examinator

Well to start, this is a global problem and let’s hope that N.American ‘liberals’ aren’t going to be the only ones to determine action to address the situation.

I don’t know what pride has to do with it.  Proud of our self destructive tendencies?  Too proud of what we thought we were really doing all along (furthering Progress?) to admit that we may have missed an important turn a few exits back?

The means but not the wisdom?  Overlooking the extent of control mechanisms within society and the economy as a whole, the reality of empire vs. the myth of democracy etc.. I suppose it is possible to make a case for fundamental flaws of humanity, but I’m not buying it.  The lack of wisdom of a few perhaps, or simply the greed and evil of the same few, but to suggest a ‘natural outcome’ is to carry a bucket of sand upon one’s head (to spare the back pain of bending over all day) and avoid having to take a more demanding and active stance.

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By examinator, October 24, 2011 at 10:14 pm Link to this comment

cpb,
There are better solutions than simply waiting for the consequences of ACC to overwhelm the deniers fears of what must be done.
The question is are we the the ‘liberals’ prepared to do what is necessary….answer I doubt it because we are human too and pride will get in the way.
Humans always have the means of their salvation at hand but do we have the wisdom…

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By examinator, October 24, 2011 at 10:07 pm Link to this comment

ITW
You are correct that it won’t do anything to change their minds (read *emotions*).
What the so called “liberals” miss is that this is a proxy argument. Their real concern is their feeling of helplessness, lack of surety in life.
The same way some people *are contented* jumping out of a perfectly functioning aircraft depending on the (statistical assurances)parachute to prevent the eye watering sudden stop(splat) and others don’t.
No amount of stats and fact are going to change the acrophobic person’s fears to take the plunge (mmmmme tttto). Neither will they always be able to admit or even aware that it’s the fear of the uncontrollable and/or unknown that is the root cause of the emotional response ” I don’t want to go splat” “look at all the statistic”, I’ve read the news
Even though the last two excuses are simply irrational….
given the number of jump attempted as a ratio of those that er don’t go to plan is extremely small…One is far more likely to be hit by a vehicle.Yet most people aren’t frightened in using a vehicle or the roads.

My point is that the argument became an emotional one once the media got hold of it and dumbed down the facts to chicken little’s refrain “the sky is falling”. Then came the vested interest’s with the emotional hand holding i.e. “No it’s not bunkum unprovable” and or “only if they stop our industries (profits) you’ll crash life as we know it.” (emotional blackmail/ fear-mongering . But with a twist, emotional reassurance…thing will go along as normal.

And there is the Problem science is complex, opaque dispassionate and thoroughly unconvincing if you’re frightened/threatened by what their limited understanding is hearing.

This then is added to the ‘right’s’ fear of being irrelevant, spoken down to, insulted et al by the liberals.
What they need is comforting with a vision they can understand won’t threaten their need for things like the security in the belief of a god and the comfort that comes from the surety of reliable/unchanging dogma.

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By cpb, October 24, 2011 at 9:37 pm Link to this comment

“This won’t stop the deniers.”

- ITW

You are correct there.  Nothing will stop the ‘true believers’.  Let’s just hope we can knock their numbers down a few points.  I am not optimistic, but I remain hopefull.  What other choice is there?

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By Inherit The Wind, October 24, 2011 at 8:19 pm Link to this comment

This won’t stop the deniers. Their irrational argument has always been:
“There’s no global warming. It’s a liberal scientist plot.  And even if there is global warming, it’s not man-made but natural.”

Their fundamental argument contradicts itself.  Why don’t they be honest and cite the James Watts justification: We don’t need to worry about global warming because the Apocalypse is just around the corner.

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By cpb, October 24, 2011 at 6:37 pm Link to this comment

Well bloody hell.  However many years into the crisis, the fact of the crisis is still news.  Now next week let’s revisit the topic of “tipping point” and discuss the doctrines of ‘no action without absolute proof(according to who?)’, or ‘no action until the entire world agrees to the same’, or ‘no action cause it’s gonna wreck the economy’ vs. what is often called The Precautionary Principle.  Given the stakes involved, it’s not inappropriate to call it Common Sense.

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By rumblingspire, October 24, 2011 at 5:53 pm Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

I Can Take You To The Sun - The Misunderstood

I rise in the morning, with an open mind,
with guitar and song I drift, the Sun is what I find

Because love I am as you are love
and I never stop to doubt
As I seen the meaning of the word
that glows within not out

I rise in the morning, beneath an open sky,
with guitar and song I drift, and never stop to cry

Because love I am as you are love
and I never stop to doubt
As I seen the meaning of the word
which glows within not out

Well I speak of love but you do not see
cause words are words and they mean nothing more
with half a mind you laugh at me
cause I speak of colours you’ve never seen before
You’ve existed in a lie, that will some day show
I can take you to the Sun, to the Sun,
but you don’t want to go

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By Aaron Ortiz, October 24, 2011 at 5:34 pm Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

I think the official party-line among what are often
mislabeled as global warming “deniers” isn’t to deny
that the planet is warming. It’s to deny that humans
have anything to do with it. In other words, they claim
that natural processes are warming the planet, and we
can’t don anything to stop them.

I am not a proponent of either side. Science doesn’t
lie, but scientific studies must be paid for…which is
a terrible temptation to bias the interpretation of
facts.

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