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Reports

Fearful GOP May Hope for a Brokered Convention

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Posted on Feb 20, 2012
Gage Skidmore (CC-BY-SA)

By Eugene Robinson

Republicans haven’t quite thrown away what they see as a winnable presidential election, at least not yet. But they’re trying their best.

In GOP circles, there is more than a whiff of panic in the air. Unemployment is still painfully high, Americans remain dissatisfied with the country’s direction, even the most favorable polls show President Obama’s approval at barely 50 percent—and yet there is a sense that the Republicans’ odds of winning back the White House grow longer day by day.

Mitt Romney, whose main selling point is his supposed ability to beat Obama in November, has shown himself incapable of putting away a couple of—let’s face it—political has-beens whose glory days were in the previous century.

Romney was crushed by Newt Gingrich in South Carolina, which has a history of picking the Republican nominee—perhaps because the party’s most loyal voters, as well as its heart and soul, reside in the South. Romney was beaten by Rick Santorum, of all people, in the heartland states of Iowa, Minnesota and Missouri, as well as in Colorado, a key swing state.

And, according to the polls, Romney is in grave danger of losing to Santorum next week in Michigan, the state where Romney was born and raised. If this were to occur, Santorum’s tentative status as the new front-runner for the nomination would be confirmed. Hence the wave of fear that is washing over the GOP establishment.

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The prospect of a Romney flame-out has given rise to crazy talk about a brokered convention at which an attempt is made to dragoon somebody else into accepting the nomination—Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, just about anybody.

This remote scenario would probably lead to a debacle. The last contested GOP convention was in 1976, when incumbent Gerald Ford narrowly defeated insurgent Ronald Reagan—and then lost to Jimmy Carter in the fall. Back then, the establishment still had the clout to impose its will on the party. Today, restive constituencies such as the tea party refuse to get pushed around by—to use a Gingrich term—political “elites.” The convention hall in Tampa would be a battle zone.

But what’s the alternative? At the moment, Gingrich seems to be fading. This could change in March if he does well on Super Tuesday, but for now it looks like a race between Romney, who has trouble communicating with voters, and Santorum, whose message is alarmingly clear.

At times, it seems as if Santorum is running to become Theologian in Chief. He made the bizarre allegation Saturday that Obama’s actions are motivated by “some phony theology, not a theology based on the Bible.” On Sunday, he said by way of clarification that he understands Obama is a Christian, but that the president was somehow misinterpreting God’s truth—as revealed to Rick Santorum—about our duty to be stewards of the Earth.

This is not customary fodder for a presidential campaign. Nor is Santorum’s obvious obsession with women’s reproductive issues—not just his absolute opposition to abortion, but his criticism of contraception and prenatal testing as well.

Santorum’s social conservatism is a huge iceberg, and his views on women and childbearing are just the tip. He not only opposes gay marriage, but has criticized the Supreme Court decision that struck down anti-sodomy laws and declared that “I have no problem with homosexuality. I have a problem with homosexual acts.” That alone would be enough to put him well outside the mainstream. But his Ozzie-and-Harriet ideas about family life place him in a different solar system.

In a 2005 book, he lectured women who choose to work outside the home, writing that “the purported need to provide things for their children simply provides a convenient rationalization for pursuing a gratifying career outside the home.”

Convenient rationalization? Given all the money Santorum has made as a Washington insider since leaving office, perhaps he forgets that most American families need two incomes just to put food on the table.

The issue, for Republicans, is not just that Santorum would lose in November. It’s that he could be a drag on House and Senate candidates as well. Imagine, say, Sen. Scott Brown, R-Mass., trying to explain to his constituents why someone who doesn’t fully understand women’s participation in the workforce should be president.

Listen closely and you can hear the anguished cries: “Mitch! Chris! Jeb! Help!”

Eugene Robinson’s e-mail address is eugenerobinson(at)washpost.com.
   
© 2012, Washington Post Writers Group


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By ardee, February 28, 2012 at 3:08 pm Link to this comment

“I hold that a little rebellion now and then is a good thing, and as necessary in the political world as storms in the physical.”

Thomas Jefferson

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By RecoveringCatholic, February 27, 2012 at 10:41 pm Link to this comment

That we actually have this Taliban-mentality nut job seriously running for president with any support at all says more about the decline of American civilization than it does about the nut job himself.  Today we are a nation where torturers run free and even gloat they’d do it again, where laws and the values behind them no longer apply.  Obama has already shown his hope and change to have been counterfeit, just overcoming this lame Bible-thumper isn’t going to be enough to effect real change.  We are lost in national denial, and need a do-over, at least a Constitutional Convention.  OWS is my best hope, my only hope really.

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By Tom Degan, February 23, 2012 at 6:39 am Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

This might turn out to be the first convention in a century where the winner of the primary has the nomination denied to him. In 1912 the mantle of standard-bearer was seized from Theodore Roosevelt after he won the primaries and handed over to William Howard Taft. Roosevelt ran as a third-party candidate leaving the GOP hopelessly split and leading to an easy victory for Democrat Woodrow Wilson. Might history repeat itself? I don’t think that this scenario is as far fetched as you might imagine - or is this merely wishful thinking on my part? We shall see.

http://www.tomdegan.blogspot.com

Tom Degan

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blogdog's avatar

By blogdog, February 22, 2012 at 10:06 am Link to this comment

white knight (?)  ...  Generalissimo Betrayus - “...the thinking man’s war
monger…” - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zuqVOQduWCc

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By Inherit The Wind, February 22, 2012 at 6:40 am Link to this comment

Sure the GOP is scared.  Romney cannot close the deal, and Santorum is a sure loser.

Think about it:
If you were sick would you prefer a mediocre or even a lousy doctor…...or a faith-healer?
That’s Obama vs. Santorum.
As dumb as the American people can be, they are not THAT dumb!

A white knight? Which Republican with a good shot is 2016 is going to throw that away for, at best, a long shot in 2012?  Not Jeb Bush. He’s the SMART brother, remember? He knows he’s dealing with a high-risk losing cause, plus negativity due to his brother, plus a far better shot in 2016.  I figure Mitch Daniels and Chris Christie are making the same calculation.

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LostHills's avatar

By LostHills, February 21, 2012 at 8:21 pm Link to this comment

Hey Boobs: to win an election you need a winning candidate. now go back to
mindlessly raising money…...

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PatrickHenry's avatar

By PatrickHenry, February 21, 2012 at 7:04 pm Link to this comment

More like a broken convention.

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Samson's avatar

By Samson, February 21, 2012 at 2:31 pm Link to this comment

Check out the Vegas handicappers.  Romney is still a
run-away favorite for the Repub nomination.  Also,
Wall Street is pumping millions into the Romney
campaign, and they are both a powerful force and
unlikely to waste their money on a loser.  Its Romney
unless a popular revolt goes for Paul instead. 
That’s the one thing the Vegas handicappers and Wall
Street money won’t see coming.

Don’t pay attention to political writers. Watch where
Wall Street money goes if you want to predict a
winner.  And the Vegas handicappers are a lot more
likely to be right than this Democratic Party
propaganda writer at the WaPo.

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Samson's avatar

By Samson, February 21, 2012 at 2:24 pm Link to this comment

RBShea has one problem.  If Obama gets re-elected, we
will also see a war with Iran, the destruction of
social security and medicare, defunding of public
agencies in the name of deficit reduction and
increase military spending, and stacking them with
incompetents like Big Slick Salazar, stacking SCOTUS
with pro-corporate judges, fueling more money upwards
by extending the Bush tax cuts and still more tax
cuts for the rich, non-compete war contracts, and tax
loopholes.

Those are all things Obama has either already done or
public positions he’s taken saying he wants to do. 
Its just that the campaign to elect this agenda takes
the cover story of saying we need to vote for this to
keep the Big Bad Republicans from doing the same
thing.

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By ardee, February 21, 2012 at 2:00 pm Link to this comment

By John M, February 21 at 12:35 pm

Surely you jest? Do you not read the many criticisms of Barack Obama on this forum? Or do you simply seek to extoll Santorum and castigate progressives at the expense of sanity and truth?

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By John M, February 21, 2012 at 1:35 pm Link to this comment

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204909104577235471075318762.html

When Barack Obama was campaigning for president in 2008, he declared that marriage is between a man and a woman. For the most part, his position was treated as a nonissue.

Now Rick Santorum is campaigning for president. He too says that marriage is between a man and a woman. What a different reaction he gets.

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By RBShea, February 21, 2012 at 1:35 pm Link to this comment

I disagree with Eugene. The Repubs are actually following Grover Norquist’s
direction: focus on the House and Senate races. Take Congress and you can render
a Democratic Administration helpless or essentially make them Republican Light/
DINOs. Under Obama,  Ii’s happened with control of the House for only two years.

However, if they manage to win the Presidency, they’ll replay Bush II but on
steroids: war in Iran, destroy what’s left of SS and Medicare, defund key agencies
such as SEC,EPA, FDA, FCC, etc., plus stock them full of incompetents (Brownie
Redux). They’ll further stack the SCOTUS with rightwing puppets, while fueling
more money upward through crony capitalist tax breaks, non-compete war
contracts and tax loopholes. All frosting on the cake. Then, when the Second
Depression hits and at least a nominal Democrat wins election, they’ll use the
corporate media synchophants such as David Gregory, Diane Sawyer, Brian
Williams and their cable dopplegangers on CNN to successfull blame the results of
their actions on the Democrats. And that’s without even counting in Fox News and
the Murdoch propaganda minions.

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By David J. Cyr, February 21, 2012 at 11:38 am Link to this comment

QUOTE, Eugene Robinson:

“The prospect of a Romney flame-out has given rise to crazy talk about a brokered convention at which an attempt is made to dragoon somebody else into accepting the nomination—Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, just about anybody.”
_____________________

No need for the corporate party’s retrograde Republicans to settle for “just about anybody” when they’ve got a deeply depraved corporate party Democrat POTUS who’d get far more done for the corporate persons in his 2nd term than any Republican could… Obama.

Fair elections would require the corporate party’s Republicans and Democrats to have one candidate, rather than two.

Jill Stein for President:

http://www.jillstein.org

Voter Consent Wastes Dissent:

http://chenangogreens.org/home/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=498&Itemid=1

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By A. Benway, February 21, 2012 at 8:38 am Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

It’s obvious that Jeb is being set up as the man on a white horse.

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By thethirdman, February 21, 2012 at 8:05 am Link to this comment

“Santorum”  Google it.

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prisnersdilema's avatar

By prisnersdilema, February 21, 2012 at 6:49 am Link to this comment

A brokered convention, with Jeb Bush to the rescue? It’s a rumor going around on
the Web, that he’s waiting in the wings.

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By Big B, February 21, 2012 at 6:00 am Link to this comment

These repugs are funny. They will seemingly do anything, back any right wing religious wak a mole, just to avoid the Mormon. The repugs are just not ready for a non-christian candidate, and they prove it more everyday day. How else can you explain Rick? And yes, we should all be worried about the Rick, because despite his obvious charactor flaws, ALOT of money can be brought to bare by the top .01% in support of a pro business social conservative.

We all remember McCain don’t we? That sell out and his bubbleheaded running mate should not have garnered even 30% of the vote in a nation of reasonable people. But there they were at near 47%, all without the unblinking support of the religious right.

However, I tend to agree with the brokered convention idea. Imagine a Daniels-Petraus ticket? Lets face it, Ricky can make even a mush-mouthed moron like Mitch Daniels look like Copernicus.

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By ardee, February 21, 2012 at 4:13 am Link to this comment

The moderate and progressive voters of this nation have no real choice. While politics is cyclic, as history proves, this swing to the right grieves me and leaves us only one real responsible course of action, in my own opinion.

Certainly the GOP has ridden the tiger of far right wing support to an untenable position that seems to make the re-election of Barack Obama inevitable, barring , as the article intimates, a brokered convention nominating a candidate not a right wing nut job.

But the majority of young and progressive voters are very disillusioned with Obama, and for very good reason. I hope that, instead of remaining aloof from the process, as some suggest, all those who see no candidate that expresses their own views for the course of this nation will read the platform of the Green Party, understand that voting Green sends a clear message to Democrats and is a positive step towards bringing progressive ideas and ideals back to the fore.

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By Outraged, February 21, 2012 at 2:54 am Link to this comment

More from the nutters:

(Santorum)“There’s a “lack of real scientific evidence” about global warming, he declared. Phony studies” on the subject are not “not climate science but political science.”

Gingrich, meanwhile, told a Tulsa, Oklahoma, event that Obama was “incapable of defending the United States” and therefore defeating him in the November election was a “duty of national security.”

But this comment from Santorum sounds especially delusional, check it out:

“Santorum said then that the president was adhering to “some phony ideal, some phony theology,” which he described as “not a theology based on the Bible, a different theology. But no less a theology.”

So is it that he thinks it is a theology but phony or that its a phony ideal not based on the bible….or is it a phony ideal that’s a phony theology… or is it a different theology that’s no less a theology but it’s a phony ideal with a different….wait… I think it’s a ...... a… different phony based not theology ideal with a bible. Got it.

http://www.wisn.com/politics/30501237/detail.html#ixzz1n0WXs8r3

Santorum seems to be smitten with that word “phony” though…..WTF?

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By Outraged, February 21, 2012 at 1:08 am Link to this comment

Quote: “Santorum’s obvious obsession with women’s reproductive issues”

Ahem… is there any surprise here? I’ll go back to my assertion that Santorum is “gramma’s “good boy” with a stack of porn under his mattress”. Trust me, I’m familiar with these types, I’m serious.

I assert that Santorum is intoxicated (I’m fairly certain that that was the biblical phrase I was taught) by women’s reproductive organs.  And trust me again, it’s NOT his fault. It’s just those heathen, evil women who “whether they mean to or not” entice (yeah, again I’m fairly certain this is the “biblical” term I was taught) who’s fault it is that he engages in this preoccupation.

Lol, I can’t wait for the finale. A little investigation here, a little investigation there and suddenly (yes, I know you know how this goes) but wait for it…. wait for it…. I’m on the edge of my chair. Remember, he claimed birth control was ” “a license to do things in a sexual realm that is counter to how things are supposed to be”. One wonders, one wonders….

But that was not all, he also claimed, ” I believe and I think the right approach is to accept this horribly created — in the sense of rape — but nevertheless a gift in a very broken way, the gift of human life, and accept what God has given to you.”

Yep. That’s what he said.

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By blogdog, February 21, 2012 at 12:17 am Link to this comment

already in the works: BETRAYUS vs OBOMBER

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