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Reports

A Medicare Moment for the GOP

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Posted on May 23, 2011

By Eugene Robinson

Rep. Paul Ryan, R-Wis., the architect of his party’s radical plan to turn Medicare into a voucher program, gave a lesson Sunday in stating the obvious: “I don’t consult polls to tell me what my principles are or what our policies should be.” I’d suggest that Republicans with less disdain for public opinion might want to check out the height of the cliff from which Ryan would have them leap.

What concentrates the minds of GOP strategists and candidates—or ought to—is the spectacle unfolding in New York’s 26th Congressional District near Buffalo. It’s a solid Republican constituency, one that Chris Lee won last year with 74 percent of the vote. Alas, Lee resigned after a website published a bare-chested beefcake photo he had sent to a woman he met through Craigslist.

This meant there had to be a special election, scheduled for Tuesday. The Republican candidate, state Assemblywoman Jane Corwin, who has all the right credentials, had been expected to win easily. But she is in a tough battle with a strong Democratic challenger, Erie County Clerk Kathy Hochul—and last week, a stunning Siena College poll showed that Hochul had actually pulled ahead, 42 percent to 38 percent.

What should worry Republicans is that the biggest issue in the campaign—practically the only issue—is Ryan’s Medicare plan. Corwin supports it, Hochul opposes it, and the GOP may well lose a race that shouldn’t even be close. 

Even if Corwin pulls out a victory—the national party has poured in buckets of money, allowing her to outspend Hochul by more than 2-to-1, and grandees such as House Speaker John Boehner have rushed in to campaign on her behalf—the fact that she is in such a tight battle is a dire omen for her party. Have I mentioned that all but four House Republicans have not just endorsed, but actually voted for, the Ryan plan?

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Anyone who enjoys whistling past graveyards is free to note that the Corwin-Hochul contest is complicated by a third candidate, Jack Davis, running on the tea party line. The Pollyanna-ish view is that there are effectively two Republicans in the race, splitting the GOP vote. This is mitigated, however, by the fact that Davis has run for the seat twice before, in 2004 and 2006, and come pretty close to winning—both times as the nominee of the Democratic Party. The perhaps more realistic view is that there are effectively two Democrats in the race, and that if Davis were not running, Hochul might be doing even better.

Is the Medicare issue really that toxic? Newt Gingrich clearly thought it was, or else he’d never have called it “right-wing social engineering” and gotten himself in such trouble with his fellow Republicans. Even now, after a week of rhetorical beat-downs from GOP opinion-makers and busy signals from big-time donors, he’s still trying to find a way to support the Ryan plan while leaving some sure-to-be-needed wiggle room.

Leading Democrats, such as Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, think the Ryan plan is toxic, too. Reid plans to hold a vote this week in which Republican senators will have to go on record as supporting, or opposing, the House-passed budget bill—which includes the Ryan plan to fundamentally transform Medicare as we know it. Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, seeing the trap that Reid has laid, says each GOP senator will be free to vote his or her conscience.

Many Republicans, sensibly, are eager to change the subject. This would be tough to do under any circumstances, given that the party has made the deficit its central issue. Moving along will be much harder with Democrats doing everything they can to keep the Ryan plan in the news—and with Ryan and other true believers still convinced that giving vouchers to senior citizens, putting them at the mercy of the private health insurance market, is a dandy idea that surely will catch on.

It won’t. Americans oppose Medicare cuts by overwhelming margins.

There are good reasons to believe the Ryan plan would have little, if any, real impact on the deficit. There are excellent reasons to believe it would do basically nothing to hold down soaring medical costs. And there is no reason to believe it is good politics—except for Democrats who explain to voters what Republicans prescribe for their golden years.

Eugene Robinson’s e-mail address is eugenerobinson(at)washpost.com.
   
© 2011, Washington Post Writers Group


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By Cliff Carson, May 27, 2011 at 6:36 pm Link to this comment

Not seen anywhere in this article:

Medicare pays its own way and always has since its inception.

The only reason there is an assault on Medicare is a nefarious plan to enrich the Insurance Companies.

There is no way in hell that the GOP plan is going to save Medicare, it is designed to destroy it.  The GOP plan will be much more costly than the Current Medicare program and if the Congress hadn’t stolen the excess for years there would be no need to predict that “in the future…” well you’ve hear it.

Also in the article there was a blurb that “people being forced into the pockets of the Republicans” just more horse droppings - no one is forced to be a Republican!  Why any common person who thinks clearly would choose to support a Party that is absolutely for the Rich and Powerful at the detriment of the common person, is beyond my understanding.

The best you can say about such people is that they are deceived.  Probably the truth is that they are proud of their stupidity.

I started a chant in 2004:  “I will never, ever, again vote for a candidate of the Republican party, ever.”

I have kept that promise and will do so for the rest of my life.  That Political Party is a sordid corrupt cesspool and is not worthy of our consideration. It needs to be allowed to die from it largess.

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By Inherit The Wind, May 24, 2011 at 7:35 pm Link to this comment

Well, the Teaparty is finally driving the Republicans, like lemmings, over a cliff.  They lost that hard-core GOP district on the back of Ryan’s cold-hearted dishonest plan to kill Medicare and bankrupt seniors to enrich the medical biz. 

Sometimes, all the rhetoric in the world can’t convince enough people to put a political gun to their heads and pull the trigger to make corporations richer.

And Ryan is such a mean-looking little slime,  like every SS officer….“Ve haff vays of making you talk!”

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By Jimnp72, May 24, 2011 at 6:09 pm Link to this comment

TDOFF:
too funny and too true!

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By TDoff, May 24, 2011 at 4:12 pm Link to this comment

Paul Ryan’s relationship to the GOP is similar to a Mahout who straps his Howdah on upside-down, on the belly of the beast, and then tries to ride it upside-down, strapped in with a seatbelt, with the elephant’s organ humping his backside.

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By Dale Headley, May 24, 2011 at 3:24 pm Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

Public opinions about Medicare are trumped by the millions that are shoved into
the pockets of Republicans to kill it.

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By Jimnp72, May 24, 2011 at 2:43 pm Link to this comment

And where are the jobs the repugs promised. all they did when the dems were in power was rage at their incompetence in creating jobs.
so where are they?? are their policies helping to create jobs?
are they noted for their fairness, compassion for the poor and deep thinking?

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By wordsonfire, May 24, 2011 at 12:53 pm Link to this comment

I’ve determined that conservatives don’t negotiate. They’ve wanted to break
government as long as I can remember. The first time I heard one verbalize it I
was 18 in 1980. He explained to me that the plan was to get rid of social
security, medicare and unions and it would be all be done by convincing the
people of America that the government was a thief who stole their money and
gave it to someone less deserving while the liberal media cheered it on.
Everything the said to me on that day so many years ago is coming true.
Everything we are experiencing now is a feature and not a bug of a conservative
vision for the country. Where the many have nothing and the few have a lot and
there are many who have nothing who think that’s great that there are this few
who have a lot.

They’ve been intentionally laying the ground work to defund medicare. Talking
about “those people taking your money.” Convincing Americans that living
wages and workers rights aren’t freedoms at all but heavy burdens on the
“productive job creators” who must not be asked to do too much for they are
delicate these product job creators and if asked to do anything but have lots of
capital . . . well they do so much for us already.

I’m 49. I try and explain to people . . .I’ve known it since I was 16 on my own as
a foster kid that the game was totally rigged.

Do you know that most whites in America now believe that there is a much
larger problem of anti-white bias than any other type of bias? Why would whites
believe this? They believe it because any attempt to remedy the full force and
effect of legal segregation in our country was met with conservative (not party,
but ideology) cries of unfair treatment to whites . . . that’s what Atwater and
Luntz both say about crafting the message against government, since you can’t
actually call black people the “n” word anymore there have to be proxies,
stand-ins. And it was through this door that conservatives have been laying
their trap to rid the world of effective government/governance.

Now is the time we should ask all those as we watch towns being leveled by
tornados and floods, what is our obligation as a community? Gee . . . if your
home is flattened what do you expect of your neighbor? What if there are no
banks or ATMS or you have no savings?

I believe the values of the conservatives will prove themselves to ever less
effective and more silly as community facts on the ground change.

I have a feeling before all is done we may get a lesson in what is truly valuable
and how little money mean when we are having more and more extreme
weather and more migrations of the community. Which the Pentagon and Army
War College both deemed the greatest threat to the US AFTER 9/11/01. So
we’ve been spending all this money on something that neither the pentagon
nor the army war college believe to be the gravest issue facing our country.

Yet we continue to have to live with the silly and selfish and ineffective public
policies of the conservatives.

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By jlt, May 24, 2011 at 11:38 am Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

Republican lemmings, all!  And thank the heavens!  That cliff is a wonderful thing!  I enjoy watching them jump daily!

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By ajintx, May 24, 2011 at 8:02 am Link to this comment

Neither the GOP or the Dems have offered a plan that addresses the deficit, but the Congressional Progressive Caucus has, and it does not cut any social insurance programs.  And for the record, speak up every time they call SS and Medicare ‘entitlement’ or ‘welfare’ programs.  They are insurance, bought and paid for; and nobody is letting them weasel out on these contracted benefits, so they can give further tax breaks to billionaires.
  They want to tinker with Medicare?  Let them address Bush’s prescription drug plan that allowed no negotiation on prices for the group.  In effect, our social insurance programs subsidize Big Pharma, and the low prescription rates enjoyed in other countries, including for their billionaires.

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By felicity, May 24, 2011 at 6:46 am Link to this comment

The Ryan plan is a negotiating technique - as old as
the hills and, unfortunately, very effective if the
‘other’ side isn’t careful.

Put an outrageous plan on the table and then negotiate
from it.  The result will be a softened version of the
original but, I’m afraid, equally pernicious.  (The
Republicans used the same technique when ‘negotiating’
the recent budget with Obama, who, unfortunately didn’t
seem to realize that he was being out-foxed.)

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By ardee, May 24, 2011 at 5:11 am Link to this comment

One can never overlook the fact that Mr. Robinson is an apologist for Obama in particular and the Democratic Party in general. This shines through in one particular paragraph I believe.

When the author notes that candidate Davis , now running on the Tea Party platform, is really a Democrat, was nominated twice by democrats in fact, almost gaining said office as a democrat, he hoists himself, his party and his notions on his own petard.

Yup, the Democratic Party certainly must still be the party of the big tent indeed.

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