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Reports

NATO: Dead Man Walking

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Posted on Jan 27, 2009

By William Pfaff

A NATO “summit” meeting is set for Strasbourg, France, at the start of April, preceded by a G-20 meeting on economic issues in London, the two expected to provide the official immersion of Barack Obama in the champagne-flavored waters of the international conference circle that takes up so much of the time of the chiefs of governments and nations.

The G-20 is real, the subject of its deliberations the present financial catastrophe drawing nations and individuals toward ruin.

NATO is not real; one might think it the more important organization, since it (or parts of it) makes war, but its independent existence is virtual; it is an adjunct of the United States, and serves no other purpose.

This is why it constantly is referred to as being in crisis, being remade, or being in need of remaking. Following the Soviet collapse, it first was told to go “out of area or out of business.” It went out of area, to Eastern Europe and Afghanistan, and is still largely out of business.

This has a simple explanation. NATO has no coherent overall purpose and has not had one since the end of the Cold War. The neoconservatives wanted it to replace the U.N., but no one else did. Any number of redefinitions and reorganizations have been proposed or tried and have proved unsatisfactory because no one can explain what it is that NATO really does or is for, other than to clean up behind the United States.

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It wanted to extend security to ex-Warsaw Pact Europe. It tried to do so, and characteristically overreached, turning itself into a suspected agency of subversion of post-Cold War Russia. Whereas its initial cooperative overtures to the new Russia were mutually stabilizing, those that followed—the senseless missile installations planned for Poland and the Czech Republic, and the “color revolutions” in Georgia and Ukraine—uselessly recreated Central European and Russian peripheral tensions.

The involvement of NATO in Afghanistan has seriously divided an alliance initially anxious to cooperate with the U.S. on terrorism issues. President Barack Obama, as candidate, asked for a big reinforcement of U.S. and NATO forces in Afghanistan, but in view of the gravely deteriorating situation there, he is likely to get a smaller one.

No one has explained why Europeans should be at war with the largest ethnic community in Afghanistan and northern Pakistan. What have the Taliban done to the Europeans? Try to get a coherent answer to that question from NATO commanders and all you get is confused explanations about Asian terrorist “nests” and “hotbeds” potentially threatening Toronto, Memphis, Berlin or Brussels. The New York Times published a recent editorial saying that Afghanistan is the “right” war to wage because the Taliban extremists oppress women. Is that why NATO is in Afghanistan?

NATO has survived until now because the Pentagon could tap its resources and manpower. To the East European members, it survives because, although a deflated relic of the Cold War, it might be re-inflated if Russia were sufficiently stirred up to threaten Europe. But threaten it how? The Red Army no longer exists. Moscow threatens to turn off the gas in Europe, but gas is a replaceable commercial commodity, on its way to being replaced.

Otherwise, for the Europeans, NATO is like Bear Stearns: too long around, and too big to be allowed to collapse. However, Washington let Bear Stearns collapse.

Nicolas Sarkozy, who thought that George W. Bush would give France a big NATO command if Paris rejoined the military wing of the alliance, is no fool. He was the man who quickly understood what was going on among Georgia, Russia and Ukraine last August and afterward, and he would have been on Time’s cover as “Man of the Year” for 2008 had Barack Obama not come along.

With Europe beginning a year of Czech and Swedish presidencies, Sarkozy knows that European leadership is a bigger game than NATO.

However, everything depends on Barack Obama. Is he really convinced that the war in Afghanistan is the key to enduring peace with the Muslim world? Surely not. But he’s acting as if he does believe it. And does he understand that now is the last chance for an Israel-Palestine settlement? By sending George Mitchell there, conceivably he does. These are the important things. Transatlantic alliance is yesterday’s illusion, and the Europeans will know it if Obama does not put the U.S. on a new course. Europe knows that the challenge is not who will become the next Tony Blair.

Visit William Pfaff’s Web site at www.williampfaff.com.

© 2009 Tribune Media Services Inc.


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By JayRoot22, February 4 at 10:17 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)

To respond to your latest, Mitchell P., in short order: Yes, I do believe that the vote of the Micronesian delegates to the UN should count the same as the votes of the US, Russia and China. Why not? They also live on this planet—-and if it takes 2/3 of the General Assembly to pass a use-of-force (or any other) resolution, I rather suspect that it represents a good deal more than 8% of the population, which you so disingenuously claim that it “could” represent.

Are you also forgetting that the UN is supposed to be a means of negotiating away from the use of force?

Supposedly, NATO claims this function, but this is highly suspect since it is primarily a military alliance bloc, which subordinates diplomacy to its military mission.

As to the US putting pressure on governments to maintain NATO and your claim that it’s “unsubstantiated,” that hardly comes as any surprise. Do you really think that the State Department (or their foreign equivalents based in London, Moscow, Beijing or Paris) routinely share the details of their negotiations, especially when it may involve threats and/or bribery, with the general public?

As for your final point, I do recognize that dealmaking is how diplomacy has always worked and I think such dealmaking includes not only inducements and straight-ahead tradeoffs, but also threats, blackmail and bribery, as I mentioned earlier. I also agree that officials from nearly every nation (not only the US) uses these “tools of the trade.”

I did not blame “everything on the US”—-that’s your construction of what I’ve written and I don’t appreciate you putting words in my mouth.

If you paid close attention to what I was saying, NATO exists primarily to keep the merchants of the arms trade (and I should have added, their allies in various governments) fat and happy. This includes arms merchants from the US, the UK, France, Germany and even Sweden, fer chrissakes—-to the detriment of the population of the world.

Far from being an anti-American screed, what I’ve written owes as much to the philosophies of George Washington, who advised his heirs in government to “avoid entangling alliances” and to Dwight D. Eisenhower, who, in the closing days of his administration, warned of the military-industrial complex and its growing threat to the welfare of the peoples of the world.

NATO, as a “permanent” alliance, exemplifies that threat and in terms of Cold War “necessity” has outlived its usefulness. In fact, as a bloc, it serves as a front for the purposes of Washington foreign policy “experts” practicing their notions of statecraft on the rest of the world——way beyond the NATO’s original geographic mandate. After all, since when is Afghanistan part of the “North Atlantic” region?

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By Mitchell P., February 4 at 2:10 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)

The UN General Assembly holds a one-state, one-vote power structure - in that case, a 2/3 vote on using international force could pass by countries’ comprising only 8% of the world’s population.  That is no more democratic than NATO. In addition, should Micronesia’s vote really hold the same weight as a country like the US?  In spite of our hope for a free and equal world, I think it’s something to consider.

Also, I did fail to respond to this notion of US putting pressure on countries’ to join NATO.  But, it’s pretty unsubstantiated.  To present past evidence, NATO countries were split in their support of Bush’s ill-conceived Iraq invasion.  France and most of Western Europe did not support this war; nor did Turkey, who refused to let US forces use their soil.  Thus Bush’s “coalition of the willing.” 

Another point to consider : the US does try to buy countries’ support.  It’s called dealmaking and it’s how diplomacy has always worked.  If you’re going to blame everything on the US, why not put similar responsibility on the countries’ who accept these deals?

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By JayRoot22, January 31 at 6:26 am #

To Mark Bowen:

Speaking of “brilliant idiocy,” you might need to take a class in remedial reading. Did you happen to notice that I closed the first paragraph of my last post by referring not only to the Security Council of the UN, but also to the General Assembly. My point was that issues relating to force and international intervention should be opened up to the membership of the UN-at-large and not restricted to the permanent members of the Security Council.

I am well aware that any one member of the Security Council can veto the proposal of other members of the Security Council and thus, Russia and/or China can hamstring proposals to deploy peacekeepers (or member military forces) from the US and UK—-and vice versa.

I never claimed that I could speak for citizens living in any EU nation, and NO, I have not lived in Europe—-but I feel reasonably certain that they do not feel threatened by the “Iron Curtain” of the Stalinist USSR, which was the ostensible reason for forming NATO in the first place. Why am I so certain of that? Because neither the USSR nor the Warsaw Pact exist anymore.

As for my not having a “strong grasp” on international relations, arms control, diplomatic politics, etc., all I can say about your comment is that it’s simply your opinion. The fact that I have studied and have a degree in International Studies with focuses on Asia and Latin America doesn’t necessarily make me any more qualified than any other average citizen and I am willing to concede that, but I fail to see anything in your post that successfully refutes what I’ve stated in my previous posts.

If the only words from my posts that stood out for you were “naive” and “obtuse,” and you fail to point out just how I am lacking in a grasp of foreign affairs, (as opposed to your own superior understanding, I take it?) other than to imply that I must live or have lived in a EU nation to understand just what is going on, my only response to that is to throw your own words back to you, because, buddy: that’s some brilliant idiocy, indeed.

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By Mark Bowen, January 30 at 6:05 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)

Jayroot, using works like “naive and obtuse” don’t really serve your own points well.  Any neutral observer can distinguish from your comments you really don’t have a strong grasp on international relations, arms control, diplomatic politics, EU politics and especially the UN and NATO.  Have you yourself ever lived in another NATO country?  Do you fell you can accurately state views of the people living in those countries, and their historical beliefs regarding NATO?
Basically what you’re saying in your defense of the security council is that in every security related issues in the world, the US and UK would have to garner the support of Russia and China to take any action.  That’s some brilliant idiocy

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By JayRoot22, January 30 at 3:15 am #

To respond to Mitchell P’s latest post, let me go point by point: No, I do not think that the UN Security Council is “perfect,” but YES, I do think that the Security Council is preferable, although I think that the international resort to force and intervention should be opened to vote by the General Assembly of the United Nations.

The use of NATO is for Washington and London’s purposes and as you may have noticed (or perhaps you hadn’t) during the Bush years, international law and international opinion didn’t matter. NATO is basically an excuse for the foreign policy mandarins in Washington to form a power bloc and throw their weight around, and also to keep the merchants of misery in the arms trade fat and happy.

As to NATO having a more rapid response time than UN peacekeepers——that’s debatable. Even if one were to accept the deployment of troops into Afghanistan after the Sept.11, 2001 attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentatgon as being totally legitimate (also debatable), it took approximately a month for those troops to invade. Of course, the air power component of that invasion was a good deal quicker, but it hardly bears comparison with UN peacekeeping units whose role does NOT include airstrikes.

You reiterate your claim that NATO is a “voluntary” organization (YES, among state officials, but not necessarily among the general populations of either the US or Europe who have NEVER been offered a vote in any kind of referendum or plebiscite on this matter) but completely ignore my remark that such a “voluntary” arrangement comes after diplomatic and/or economic pressure is brought to bear in some cases. Are you really that obtuse and naive as to believe that there are no strings attached?

As to your claim that NATO “keeps the peace,” that’s risible: or have you forgotten the conflicts in the region formerly known as Yugoslavia and Albania?

Moreover, as another poster has sardonically pointed out, he was astonished to learn that the North Atlantic (the region supposedly defended by NATO against the now-long defunct Warsaw Pact) has extended into Central and South Asia.

If you think that such imperialistic over-reaching is somehow “keeping the peace,” then you are seriously in need of a reality check.

Finally, I have no problem with the US and the European Union (and NON-EU states, for that matter) having good diplomatic and commercial relations, but the entanglements of formal military alliances are dangerous in the extreme.

If you doubt that, you need only examine the relationship between the US and Israeli governments and how the “alliance” between them has corrupted both. The US government, due to its compromised position owing to massive quantities of military and financial aid to Tel Aviv, can no longer be seriously viewed as an “honest broker” when it comes to mediating the Israeli-Palestinian conflicts.

Imperfect as it is, it is the UN that must broker peace between those two parties—-with or without the help of Washington.

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By Folktruther, January 29 at 11:23 pm #

To answer your question Mitchell-Would you prefer the US and EU-two the world’s freist regions not to be allied militarily?  the obvous answwer is: absolutely.  The US power system is so demented, incompetent, bellicose, and bloodthirsty that all other power systems should break all military ties and not form too close economic ties either.  the less military power the US has the better for the world and for the American people.

Reinhold Niebuhr suggested in a passage in 1937 that the greater the decline of a power, the more boastfully it tries to puff itself up.  It was only when the Bushites seized power and eviscerated US world power that the US becaome known as a Superpower.  It cannot even defeat countries with a tenth its population and a hundredth of its economic strength.

But the US can certainly kill a lot of people.  And a Nato alliance feeds its megalomania to kill a lot more. A decrease in its military power will decrrease the hatred and fear of the people of the world, and decrease the oppression of the US as a militarized police state.

Should Canada or Mexico invade, or Granada deprive us of its strategic nutmeg commidity, we will just have to defend ourselves without brandy Alexanders.

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By Mitchell P., January 29 at 4:25 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

Jayroot, I understand that NATO serves as a way for the US to go around the UN.  Do you think the Security Council is a perfect, or even preferable, organization?  Can the 2 not co-exist?

NATO can respond much faster than the UN to international crises.  Regardless of your opinions concerning the 1st Gulf War, NATO’s support for this effort made it possible. 

After 2 world wars, it is valuable for the US and EU countries to be strategically & militarily aligned in order to prevent another conflict.

I also must re-iterate my position that NATO is a voluntary organization of democracies that benefits its members as much - or more so - than it benefits the US.  Membership ensures that in case you are attacked, NATO members will come to your defense.  And the US provides the lion’s share of funding.  As for “Washington’s dominance,”

NATO as it stands is not a perfect organization.  But I still believe it is a valuable one with a viable future.  It keeps the peace.  I would like to live in a world where military alliances need not exist, where all nations are friends, etc.  But that is not the reality.  Would you prefer that the US and the EU - two of the world’s freest regions - not be aligned militarily?

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By Folktruther, January 29 at 12:08 am #

Pfaff isn’t all bad.  Dibanding NATO is a great idea but most likely it will just die of intertia.

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By hippy pam, January 28 at 8:54 pm #

NATO= a bunch of rich people sending family members and friends to other countries on vacations under the guise of DOING ?SOMETHING?[nobody really knows what] REALLY IMPORTANT!!!!

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By Bilejones, January 28 at 7:23 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)

The recent vast expansion of NATO , as so much else does, had as it’s central purpose, the enriching of the death merchants. The new members were required to bring their military’s into compatibility with the existing forces of NATA, i.e. they had to be re-equipped with US made arms, paid for of course by the US taxpayer.

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By michael roloff, January 28 at 3:00 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)

oh, and there i had been thinking the north Atlantic had been spreading in land into the Caucasus and into central Rasia! idiot me to thin that the Astanis could now go fishing for herring!

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By photoshock, January 28 at 9:37 am #

We are now in an era when, the ideal of an organization like NATO is not a useful tool of foreign policy.
If anything it is now used for controlling the people in the constituent countries and for propaganda purposes only.
The disbanding of an anachronism like NATO is now an imperative in these times of “terroristic wars.”
Nation States, except in small regional conflicts almost never go to war anymore, for they have learned the lesson that national and international wars are extremely costly and harmful to the citizenry that an organization like NATO is supposed to protect. NATO is merely a political tool of an outdated and outmoded foreign policy that cannot change with the times. And as an added expense to countries already overburdened with the costs of maintaining a standing armed force, the constituent countries cannot afford to underwrite such an organization anymore.
Should the US with the largest and most expensive in the world armed forces, continue to underwrite all
of the expense of NATO?  I believe that it is high time that we give this organization the heave-ho and allow it to die. France and Germany no longer contribute to the foreign policy decisions of the US,
they are in most cases standing against the foreign policy of US hegemony in the world and will not fight
the battles that America chooses because of our flawed foreign policy that includes hegemony in the Middle East.
Surely we are now faced with the decision that only a
maverick country makes, to stand alone or ask for help with our troubles. We, the American government, cannot stand much more of the “cowboy” image of foreign policy and we should now stop our hegemonistic foreign policies.  And as sure as shooting this does not include an organization like NATO.

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By JayRoot22, January 28 at 9:24 am #

Thank you, Thank you, Thank you, William Pfaff!

I have waited a long time for someone to point out that NATO is “not real” and has no “coherent overall purpose” that would stand the daylight of close examination.

It seems to be that the main excuse for keeping this zombie organization intact is to keep the merchants of misery in the arms bazaar fat and happy.

Shift is also correct in stating that NATO has always been about “controlling it’s own people, particularly the left, as [much] as it has been about discouraging communist aggression.” Only, sometimes this Communist “aggression” has taken the form of people actually VOTING for Communists, as has been known to have happened in Italy, among other places.

Mitchell P. seems not to grasp the fact that (as Pfaff already mentioned), that NATO has served as an end run for D.C. policymakers to do an end run around the UN, even though the US and the UK are both permanent members of the Security Council. Mitchell P. may be unaware that the “voluntary” nature (and invitations) to NATO membership are likely accompanied by diplomatic and/or economic pressure exerted from Washington and are also likely to be conditional on Washington’s dominance and control of the alliance.

While he may be unsure whether Pfaff is calling for the abolition of NATO, I know where I stand: abolish NATO and democratize the UN!

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By Mitchell P., January 28 at 1:59 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

Thank you for the interesting article. 

I agree that NATO doesn’t serve a clear purpose anymore, but are you proposing that it should be disbanded? Even if NATO members “clean up behind the US” as you allege, it’s not like anyone is forcing them.  The US may be the driving force behind NATO.  But it’s a voluntary organization for those countries involved/invited, and they enjoy the security that the US offers them through membership.

I guess what I’m getting at is this: what, if anything, are you proposing?

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By Shift, January 27 at 10:39 pm #

NATO is and always has been as much about controlling it’s own people, particularly the left, as it has been about discouraging communist aggression.

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