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What Obama Could Learn From ClintonPosted on Aug 21, 2008By E.J. Dionne Don’t worry, Democrats, the worst of August is over. Like baseball players, political people are superstitious. In the Democratic imagination, August is the month when Republican presidential candidates destroy their opponents with clever, underhanded attacks that meet with ineffectual responses. Democrats are now petrified that if John Kerry was Swift-boated in August 2004, Barack Obama was Paris-Hiltoned this summer, and there will be no coming back. Never mind that this analysis is based on the experience of exactly one election. Superstitions are not necessarily rational. This time, Democrats decided that as a political matter, they would end August early by holding their convention and unveiling a running mate during the month of the jinx. But you don’t have to be superstitious to notice that the polls have edged in John McCain’s direction since June, or that Obama seemed to lose the initiative from the moment he returned from his foreign journey last month—a trip whose triumphs were quickly undermined by McCain’s cheap but apparently effective attacks. The next week will test whether an Obama campaign that has earned respect for its discipline and steadiness is also capable of adjusting quickly, responding and listening to advice. The Obama folks will hate hearing this, but in planning for the next 10 weeks, their campaign would do well to learn from what Bill Clinton achieved in 1992. Advertisement Rep. Mike Doyle, who represents Pittsburgh and some of its suburbs, argued that many of his constituents, particularly working-class voters and union loyalists, want to vote for Obama, but don’t feel they know him yet. Their discomfort, he insists, is not about Obama’s race—“These are good people,” Doyle said of voters who keep sending him to Congress—but a more general sense that Obama represents something very new. Obama’s task, says Doyle, is to raise his constituents’ comfort level. He won’t do this, he adds, with big rallies (yes, McCain’s ads have had some success in discrediting the rally as a political art form) but with relentless smaller-scale campaigning in the neighborhoods and the union halls. Over in the Philadelphia suburbs, Rep. Joe Sestak agrees that Obama needs to engage in more down-to-earth campaigning—“a diner in the morning, a hoagie in the afternoon, a bar at night.” But Sestak’s advice is directed toward a slightly different end. “It’s not so much about whether they know him,” he says of his constituents and Obama. “They want to know that he knows them.” In other words, empathy, the gift that Bill Clinton kept on giving, is now an Obama imperative. And some of the Democrats’ policy mavens see a link between empathy as a personal attribute and the way a candidate discusses policy—again, something Clinton understood. What Obama still lacks, they say, is a compelling narrative about how Americans who now feel economically insecure will be find their way toward greater confidence. And he needs a few signature policies to drive home so voters can remember them, as Clinton did with health care and job training. McCain not knowing how many houses he owns should help Obama in the empathy battle. McCain has enjoyed one other success in recent months, seizing control of the Iraq debate. Voter frustration with a war that most Americans believe should not have been waged helped Obama in his early primary victories. McCain has moved the discussion away from the war itself toward a narrow focus on the troop surge and whether it has been successful. Thus another Obama priority is to move the Iraq debate back to whether he or McCain was right about the war in the first place. And given the priority of the economy to voter choices, it’s surprising that Obama has not done more to link the hundreds of billions spent in Iraq to the nation’s current economic difficulties. Around this time last summer, the Obama campaign was being written off as a desultory failure and the candidate was forced to reassure his donors that he knew what he was doing. There are signs—notably during his trip through rural Virginia this week—that Obama has been listening to his critics on the centrality of economics and the empathy imperative. At next week’s convention, understanding both will be essential if Obama is to consign the August jinx to the dustbin of Democratic fears. Elsewhere: . CommentsAre you a Truthdig member yet? Login now, or register with Truthdig. Add Your Comment
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By RightWing, August 26, 2008 at 7:56 pm #
Blue Sun, everything you said in your last post can be changed to be this site and the kos and the Huff.no difference except the party….all these strange names too, purple girl orange butterfly, sounds like a sounds like an American Indian convention. your probably a bunch of rich white pissed off hippys, that fell into the establishment mold, now living vicariously through your radical TD persona…......
Report thisBy cyrena, August 25, 2008 at 1:59 pm #
Blue Sun,
Thanks so much for your very informative posts. I appreciate them. Much of this I was already aware of, (specifically with the Kurds…our so-called ‘allies’) but you’ve provided an extensive breakdown/update.
Thanks again…
Report thisBy Blue Sun, August 25, 2008 at 12:01 pm #
The funny thing about the wingnut wackaloon trolls who are now trying to infest all of the most influential progressive blogsites is that they are taking advantage of the freedom to differ from the “official ideology” that they themselves deny on their own sites. Just try to be critical too often of any of the more lunatic posts (which is pretty much all of them) on the reactionary right-wing freerepublic.com (what an ironic name), and you will find yourself purged (as were all Guiliani supporters when the Freepers turned against him).
Report thisBy Blue Sun, August 25, 2008 at 11:36 am #
Lastly, our only “friends” in Iraq, the Kurds are supporting and sheltering Kurdish terrorists from the PKK who are sneaking across the borders into Turkey and Iran to commit terrorist murders and running back to their sanctuaries in Kurdish Iraq. Our Kurds are doing for the PKK what the Taliban did for al-Qaeda. Turkey is already involved in a low-intensity war with the Kurdish provinces of northern Iraq and Iran may well join in.
Now, the Kurds are in the process (some say the process is already a fait accompli) of illegally annexing the oil-rich province and city of Kirkuk, threatening all-out war between the Kurds of the area and the other ethnicities they are trying to ethnically cleanse - the Turkmen, Sunni Arabs, and Assyrians.
The autonomous region of Kurdistan consists of the governates (provinces) of As Sulaymaniyah, Erbil, and Dahuk. However the Kurds are attempting to lay claim to Kirkuk, the Khanaqin and Kifri districts of Diyala, the Akra and al-Shekkan districts of Ninawa (with an eye on Mosul as well), the Touz district of Salah ad Din, and all of Wasit, despite the fact that Sunni Arabs are the majority in these governates, and Kurds are a small minority (often in the 20% range).
Meanwhile, Muqtada al-Sadr, who tried to avoid direct military conflict with the government and the U.S. and his militia, the Mehdi Army, are losing patience as the U.S. and Maliki take advantage of al-Sadr’s truce to attack and either kill or arrest his followers. It is only a matter of time before al-Sadr gives up on the political process again and, along with several million poor Shi’ite followers, returns to violence.
Is the “Surge” working? Only in the fevered ideological fantasies of the wingnuts who have been declaring “Mission Accomplished” every few months since the fall of 2003 and are now desperate to turn the Iraq debacle into a “victory” for the sake of McCain’s campaign before the November election.
Report thisBy Blue Sun, August 25, 2008 at 11:33 am #
The propaganda that the “Surge” is the latest incarnation of “Mission Accomplished” is patently nonsense.
Aside from the fact that most of the lessening of American combat deaths had little or nothing to do with the Surge, the Surge has completely failed to accomplish its sole stated objective, providing a six-month respite in violence so that the Iraqi factions could work together to form a “unity government.”
Right now, these factions are divided further than at any time since the war began. The Iraqi government is dominated by the pro-Iranian al-Da’wa party of pro-Iranian Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki and the even more pro-Iranian party of SIIC (also known as ISCI, nee SCIRI) of Abd’el Aziz al-Hakim. The Iranians, who have been training, financing, supporting and protecting Da’wa and SCIRI for decades must be ROTFL seeing Bush being duped into supporting and helping to arm their own pro-Iranian puppets.
Meanwhile, as the U.S. accuses Iran of arming and training militias, the only Iraqi militia receiving significant training and support from Iran is Maliki’s and Hakim’s Badr Brigade, whose soldiers return from their Iranian training to be immediately inducted into the Iraqi Army, Security Forces, and Police, where they receive additional arms and training from the naive Americans.
As for the Sunni Awakening and the Sons of Iraq, who have been accepting bribes and arms from the Americans since six months BEFORE the Surge. They have been merely using us as the pro-Iranian Shi’ites in the government have been using us. They used our arms and money to remove a pesky rival for overall Sunni power, the primarily native-born al-Qaeda in Iraq, while arming their own militias for their expected upcoming war with the Iraqi government - the Shi’ites whom the Awakening tribes refer to as the “Persians,” another acknowledgement that Maliki and Hakim are more the puppets of Iran than of Washington.
The Awakening and Sons of Iraq have already turned much of their violence against their own government and are ethnically cleansing the few Shi’ite communities left in the Sunni Triangle. At least one of the factions has announced that it has left the coalition and is returning to war against the United States.
Meanwhile, instead of integrating the Awakening militias into the national Army and Security service, Prime Minister al-Maliki has been rounding up and arresting Awakening leaders by the hundreds. At least 600 have been imprisoned recently in an attempt to destroy the Awakening and Sons of Iraq militias.
Maliki is also demanding a U.S. troop withdrawal (coincidentally on Obama’s proposed timetable), which the Bush administration is trying to spin as their own idea. At the same time, representatives of Maliki’s government are going back and forth to Tehran making mutual assistance and protection deals with the Iranians to take our place when we are gone.
Violence in Baghdad has lowered during the Surge (though it is rising again) primarily because the Shi’ite ethnic cleansing of 2006/2007 has driven the great majority of Sunnis out of their homes and neighborhoods and sent them fleeing into the countryside as well as into Syria and Jordan. Now, Baghdad’s few ethnic conclaves have been walled in by the Americans with high concrete walls, and access is achieved only through heavily fortified gates maintained by the American military. If the military subjugation of Baghdad is considered a “success” of the Surge, then the German subjugations of Czechloslovakia, the Sudetenland, Poland, France, etc. must be redefined as a success by the same standards.
continued with the Kurds…
Report thisBy dihey, August 24, 2008 at 11:25 am #
Truthdig!!!! It is alarming that the word Iraq does not appear on your front page!
Report thisIt is my opinion that Obamas speech in the Tiergarten of Berlin was one of the greatest blunders of his campaign for the presidency. Why? Because the surge in Iraq has been a kind of success for President Bush as I will explain below. Ergo, Senator Obama should have returned directly from Iraq and should have given a major speech on Iraq. Regrettably he decided to impersonate JFK/Reagan in Berlin.
Now to the success or perhaps I should say relief for Bush. It is not the success that Senator McCain touts because it has nothing to do with victory in Iraq whatever that means. The surge has changed what was a shooting war essentially into an occupation without an end in sight. The terrible fact that our soldiers are still killed and wounded does not change that. Soldiers have always been killed and wounded in occupied countries whose people hated the occupier. Obama counters that the Iraqi government has not produced its promised benchmarks hence that the surge is therefore not a success. That is irrelevant because our presence in Iraq is now that of an occupying force which is for Bush a substantial, albeit still fragile success by the admission of his commanders on the ground. To solidify this success he badly needs a pact with Iraq which allows him and may bind his successor to continue the open-ended occupation under so-called international law but in violation of our Constitution if this agreement is not sent for debate and a vote to the Senate. The fundamental question is therefore no longer is it worth the life or limbs of a single American soldier to continue the war in Iraq? but is it worth the life or limbs of a single American soldier to continue the occupation of Iraq? By continuing to use the word war Obama is mired in the shopworn cliché that this is a war against terrorism. The occupation of Iraq must not disappear from the Obama-campaign because it is the economy stupid. The occupation of Iraq costs billions of dollars monthly and that has a direct bearing on the economy, stupid. By remaining silent on Iraq he admits a weakness. It is time for him to come out and say I was wrong on the surge but we must now speedily end the occupation of that country and tell us why.
The second Iraq-issue on which Obama must be grilled is his distinction between combat units and non-combat units. To him that may be obvious because it is a U.S. army-generated classification. To me it is far from clear-cut because both types of soldiers are armed and trained to fight and kill. To an Iraqi the distinction must be completely insane. Both are armed and can kill him, his wife, and children if not in combat then at a checkpoint anywhere in his country. It is no secret why the Bush administration does not use the term enemy combatant for Iraqis that attack American soldiers because if they did, Iraqis would be justified to call every armed foreign soldier in Iraq an enemy combatant and lock him/her up indefinitely in Abu Ghraib if they could. In fact, as long as there is no U.S. Senate ratified peace treaty with Iraq the Geneva Convention on warfare states that every Iraqi is justified to kill as many foreign soldiers as he/she can without committing a war crime. If an Iraqi asked Obama what is the difference between a combat unit and a non-combat unit? is Obama going to answer: the latter is a sort of armed Peace Corps?
By cyrena, August 23, 2008 at 6:52 pm #
Brava MonteyMarket!!!
By montymarket, August 22 at 10:04 am #
“..The trolls seem to have dug deep into this site, notice that? But theyre slick. Dont come right out for McCain, but chip away after Obama. Try to make you think theres no difference between the two. So, be disappointed, you Dems, and stay home rather than vote for Obama.”..
~~~~~
This is EXACTLY what I’ve been trying to articulate, and you just did it so much better!!!
Indeed the trolls have dug very, very deep…so deep as to have done their best to chip away at the foundation.
And let me tell you, calling them out will bring on the wrath of the fire, brimstone, and everything else they can pitch. I’ve been called a bigot and a racist so many times I’ve lost track. It’s totally laughable to anyone who knows me, but that doesn’t stop ‘em.
And yep, they’re slick about it. Just not slick enough.
Thanks for explaining the mechanics of the techniques. Words had so far failed me.
Report thisBy b thomas, August 23, 2008 at 5:18 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)
The Congressman from Pittsburgh is saying exactly what Ive said for a long time about the people of North Central West Virginia. Its about trust not race. WV, typically a strong democratic state, bought Bushs rhetoric about family values and standing up to terrorists. Now they are apprehensive about trusting an unknown like Obama. They THINK they know John McCain: war hero and maverick.
Report thisBy NinoBaldino, August 23, 2008 at 3:53 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)
This columnist is the worst yet..to connect the word empathy with clinton is an insult to the english language..a man who molested and abused simple minded interns,made a fool of the marriage vow and his wife,caused disaster at Waco..remember those 80 plus children murdered by Reno and Clinton..oh come on,lets just smirk and talk in that cracked voice,,Democrates are always pictured as highly intellignent,swingers but deep down ,,caring…ah yes! McCain is of course a dirty ole man who somehow has spent his entire life on the public tax rolls,never worked in private industry,and is a millionaire..has a horrible attendance record at work..most of us would be fired for less…thus is a favorite of the ruling class..our masters..and this columnist makes silly wisecracks about the whole thing..we heard that the insiders.like obama,mccain,rush,sean,bill etc etc all get rebate checks after they pay at the pumps..no wonder they offer no solution..think about that my fellow lemmings
Report thisBy MThomasNC63, August 22, 2008 at 3:23 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)
G. Anderson, you are so correct. Our hopes and dreams, our appeal to our better selves, and the common good for all of us get treated like a disease no body wants. How dare Obama appeal to our hopes and dreams. How dare that he wants an efficent ran government that works for all its citizens. How dare he go abroad and folks love him. How dare he. How dare he that he wants to talk about good jobs, good education systen and not talk about abortion, guns. How dare he talk about a better education for my child. Who is this guy.
Report thisBy montymarket, August 22, 2008 at 2:04 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)
The trolls seem to have dug deep into this site, notice that? But they’re slick. Don’t come right out for McCain, but chip away after Obama. Try to make you think there’s no difference between the two. So, be disappointed, you Dems, and stay home rather than vote for Obama. Or, they’re both the same, so it’s okay to vote for bushco II Exxon John McSame. Are you kidding? McCain has sold his heart and soul to the dark side. There’s no coming back post-election, but only more hate, anger, selfishness, etc. Obama is our hope now, and we need to get out there and make it happen. Stop the torture, stop Wall Street rip-offs, stop eternal war. Obama tried taking the high road, now he must go after McCain hard: McCain doesn’t know how many houses he has, or what it is to ride in coach on a flight, or how much his social security check he collects each month is, or what it is to wear a pair of loafers less than $500, or to hold down a job, or how many siblings his wife has. Obama now!
Report thisBy yellowbird2525, August 22, 2008 at 11:35 am #
the tragedy is: both parties are 1; they are following a time table made long ago: Bush Sr tried to get NAU & NAFTA thru; couldn’t; (rep) Clinton (dem) DID so; Mexicans lost their land & water rights in Mexico; Civil war is what Newsmax calls it; drug war is what is presented to the people; THIS is the land they lost; NOT the “Absolut” map our politicians (both parties) are trying so hard to jam down our throats; Bush jr (rep) signed treaties to allow Canada’s & Mexico’s armies into our country in time of civil unrest; BOTH parties are “quiet” on topic of illegals; Geraldo Rivera on Jay Leno show promoting his book “hispanic” said “they” have not yet decided whether or not blacks or browns will have the roofing jobs; Leno also commented “you know they call Germany the Fatherland. BE ADVISED! THIS is the reason Clinton tried so desperately to get the Pres; the “change” Obama “promises” Congress snarls it will be up to US what changes are made; this goes to Gov’s folks: this is why they are trying so desperately to ban guns. STICK to yours: figurtively & literally. Become informed & knowledgeable, FAST! LEARN why other countries talk Hitler how it was done then & how it is being done in USA today; & why THEY are calling it genocide.
Report thisBy Jon, August 22, 2008 at 11:05 am #
(Unregistered commenter)
By the time election day rolls around the only difference between Obama and McCain will be their ages.
Report thisBy cyrena, August 22, 2008 at 10:58 am #
By G.Anderson, August 22 at 5:48 am
“.. Americans just may not be real enough to face the truth. Lies and Dreams are much more comforting, than the truth because they require no effort, no courage, just a closing of the mind…”
~~~~~~
You’ve said it all here G. Anderson. It’s a heartbreaking truth, since it means that even those of us who have exerted the courage to hold on to the reality, will perish with all of the others.
Doesn’t seem fair at all, does it?
Report thisBy G.Anderson, August 22, 2008 at 9:48 am #
It should be obvious to many of us that we have gotten to a point in this country where change may no longer be possible.
Where the competing political delusions, instead of political realities, make it next to impossible for our country, to solve the problems it faces.
American’s just may not be real enough to face the truth. Lies and Dreams are much more comforting, than the truth because they require no effort, no courage, just a closing of the mind.
Without real change this country will continue it’s slide into the abyss.
Who the Gods wish to destroy they first make insane.
Report thisBy Cran Berry, August 22, 2008 at 8:21 am #
Obama has already lost. Everyone knows it. And when he names his vice-president (Why this is such a big secret is beyond me), his campaign will go further downhill. He just doesn’t get it.
Report thisBy cyrena, August 22, 2008 at 4:06 am #
want to vote for Obama, but dont feel they know him yet. Their discomfort, he insists, is not about Obamas raceThese are good people, Doyle said of voters who keep sending him to Congressbut a more general sense that Obama represents something very new.
Oh the irony. I can hardly take it. If this is sincere, (and Im inclined to believe that it is) whats the excuse for the loud and frequent complaints of those who keep hollering that Obama ISNT new and NOT about change? I guess THOSE are the ones for whom it IS about Obamas race. (or at least resentment). And of course THATS what I suspected all along, at least from the posters who make those complaints here. The folks Doyle is talking about dont likely hang out on websites.
And given the priority of the economy to voter choices, its surprising that Obama has not done more to link the hundreds of billions spent in Iraq to the nations current economic difficulties.
Well, I certainly agree with this. I dont know why he hasnt mentioned this either. On the other hand, he hasnt been doing a whole lot of actual campaigning that Im aware of, since his return from the Middle East and Europe, although I did see him talking somewhere today, about his ONE house, versus the number of homes that McCain is unsure he has himself.
Meantime, while it might be a good idea to take a dissected sliver here and there from the old Willy model at winning hearts and minds, that can also be the same as handling dangerous chemicals without being suited up in bio-hazard gear.
As it is, the Clintons are far too close to his campaign, even if only by proxy. I think they and anybody ever connected to them need to be quarantined until after November.
Report this