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Reports

McCain Capitalizes on Obama Fatigue

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Posted on Aug 10, 2008

By E.J. Dionne

    The core strategy of John McCain’s campaign is to turn Barack Obama into the incumbent, the man who is too familiar yet still mysterious.

    The McCain effort reflects one of the most remarkable aspects of the 2008 campaign: Obama has turned himself into the central figure in American politics. That is an extraordinary achievement, but it comes at a cost.

    One cost was measured by a fascinating Pew Research Center study released last week finding that 48 percent of those surveyed—and 51 percent of political independents—said they had heard “too much” about Obama. Only 26 percent (and 28 percent of independents) said that about McCain.

    There was good reason for this: From mid- to late February until only the last week or so, Obama had received far more media attention than McCain, according to Pew’s Project for Excellence in Journalism’s Campaign Coverage Index.

    Obama’s centrality has created an odd dynamic. The most important influences on the campaign are President Bush’s unpopularity and the collapse of public sympathy for the Republican Party, meaning that a majority is inclined to vote for the Democratic nominee unless he is rendered unacceptable.

    But with Bush fading into the background, McCain has been running a campaign that is more about Obama than about himself. In recent weeks, McCain’s advertising tossed one charge after another at the man painted serially as “the biggest celebrity in the world,” “Dr. No” and “The One.” The McCain attacks clearly helped build Obama fatigue. 

    Yet Obama absorbed McCain’s assaults and headed to his holiday in Hawaii holding an advantage of four to six points—roughly the same margin he has enjoyed all summer—leading political strategists in both parties I spoke with in recent days to challenge the conventional wisdom of an Obama campaign “underperforming.”

    Several suggested that McCain would pay a price for his anti-Obama campaign. Obama was criticized for not responding quickly enough to the McCain offensive. But the last two weeks have solidified voters’ perceptions, measured in recent polls, that the Republican campaign is far more negative than Obama’s. This opens space between now and Election Day for Obama to respond forcefully to McCain without being accused of having initiated the attacks.

    Moreover, a candidate who spends all his time defining his opponent has not spent much time defining himself. McCain is living off the old capital created by his maverick image. This has fed voter perceptions that he is moderate and independent, which in turn has allowed him to run more competitively with Obama than any of McCain’s primary opponents could have.

    But this image could be challenged. Despite McCain’s longevity in the public eye, a CBS News poll last week found a third of voters still undecided in their opinion of McCain or saying they didn’t know enough to form one. (Roughly the same proportion said this about Obama.)

    This leaves room for Democrats to define McCain as a conventional conservative and a Bush supporter. And with McCain absorbing so many Bush operatives into his campaign, some Republicans wonder if the Arizona senator may have limited his maneuvering room to declare his independence from an unpopular president.

    In the last two weeks, McCain has succeeded in narrowing the economic discussion to energy and oil drilling, forcing Obama to respond defensively. However, it’s unlikely that “drill, drill, drill” is a slogan that can carry McCain through November. Obama needs to broaden the debate on the economy to health care, unemployment, falling incomes and the mortgage crisis. 

    There is a certain shrewdness in the McCain campaign’s effort to turn Obama’s strengths—the energy he excites in crowds, the historic nature of his candidacy and the interest he has created overseas—into weaknesses.

    “They’re trying to make lemonade out of a lemon,” said one Democratic strategist who is not working for the Obama campaign. “It’s not a bad thing to do, but it’s a sign of weakness.”

    Thus the effort to turn Obama into the incumbent. McCain loses if the election becomes a referendum on Bush. He is running behind on most issues. And he has yet to generate the commitment among his own supporters that Obama has inspired in his camp.

    The one contest McCain can win is an election about Obama. Paradoxically, Obama’s imperative at his convention later this month is to reassure voters about who he is, while also moving the spotlight off himself.
   
    E.J. Dionne’s e-mail address is postchat(at)aol.com.
   
    © 2008, Washington Post Writers Group

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By cyrena, August 13, 2008 at 4:53 pm #

By rowman, August 13 at 7:19 am

Now, alas, it has been disclosed that a large part of those millions actually came from big donors - the very same huge corporations, their CEOs and lobbyists, who have corrupted the democratic process in previous contests. They spread their largesse generously and simultaneously among all the candidates from left to right, so as to be on the winning side whatever happens.

Obama had promised to put an end to the old, dirty corporate funding-for-influence system. Now it appears that he participates in this corrupt system himself…”
~~~~
“Disclosed”? “dirty” corporate funding? “large” part of the millions? How large and how dirty rowman?

More IED’s here rowman…Insinuation(Innuendo), Exaggeration, Distortion.

The FACTS, which you failed to break down here, are that 47% of Obama’s funds HAVE come from small donors, and even SMALLER than $100.00 or $200.00 dollar, and they are hardly ‘anonymous’. How the hell does one send an ‘anonymous’ $20.00check or credit card transaction?

As for CEO’s and LOBBYISTS providing the “Wall Steet Funding”, that too is an insinuation. Some Wall Street funding of election campaigns simply isn’t a ‘new thing’ and since there is ACCOUNTABILITY for where and how much of Obama’s funding came from ‘Goldman Sachs, or anywhere else, it hardly speaks to ‘corruption’ at all. It speaks to transparency. My own former ‘corporation’ has ALWAYS provided funding to political campaigns, but we didn’t have LOBBYISTS involved, and neither does Obama. That the books are available is a testament to that.

So, in case you missed it:

Is Big Oil Funneling Donations to McCain?

  Washington - Alice Rocchio is an office manager at the New York headquarters of the Hess Corp., drives a 1993 Chevy Cavalier and lives in an apartment in Queens, N.Y., with her husband, Pasquale, an Amtrak foreman.

Despite what appears to be a middle-class lifestyle, the couple has written $61,600 in checks to John McCain’s presidential campaign and the Republican National Committee, most of it within days of McCain’s decision to endorse offshore oil drilling.

http://www.truthout.org/article/is-big-oil-funnelin g-donations-mccain

Now let’s look at what this is REALLY all about, which is the swiftboating of Barack Obama, no different than was the swiftboating of John Kerry.

“A new book by Jerome Corsi - co-author of the Swift Boat Veterans book that plagued John Kerry’s 2004 campaign - is now targeting Obama with a variety of accusations that many claim are misleading or untrue.”

http://www.truthout.org/article/obama-swift-boat-sets-sail

Here’s more:

Editor’s Note: Despite his earlier promise to run a respectful campaign based on issues, John McCain has made it clear that he sees his path to victory as taking the low road against Barack Obama.

Having already accused Obama of wanting to lose the Iraq War and blaming him for $4 a gallon gasoline, McCain and his campaign now are lying about Obama’s canceled visit to see wounded U.S. troops in Germany, as Brent Budowsky notes in this guest essay:

McCain Lies About Obama on Troops
http://www.consortiumnews.com/2008/073008a.html

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By cyrena, August 13, 2008 at 4:46 pm #

Felicity, I think you hit something here…

•  “…movie star has mastered the art of being a reserved presence.  He offers himself to the people and yet keeps private the hidden, unguessable sources of that self.”

At least the part about offering himself to the people, and yet keeping private the hidden, unguessable SOURCES of that self. Excellent way to put that. However, that nearly ALWAYS comes with a problem. A certain element will always become jealous/resentful of that quality, and make determined efforts to destroy it. OR, since folks *cannot* ‘guess’ the source, they just MAKE SHIT UP! And usually, the person isn’t interested in being a movie star, but just offering up whatever they have of value to offer up.

But, I don’t think his vacationing in Hawaii has anything to do with it, other than that he and the family deserve a vacation, and Hawaii is home. It’s where he was born and mostly raised, and it’s where his siblings are, or what remains of his family. I sure wish my hometown was so ‘exotic’. I rarely feel like I’m ‘vacationing’ when I go down to LA. (where a handful of nosey people are still trying to ‘guess’ the sources of my ‘self’ and still getting it wrong) smile

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By dihey, August 13, 2008 at 12:17 pm #

Once again Mr. Dionne does not get it. If there is an Obama fatigue (which I doubt) it could be because he talks too often, too brainy, and frequently much too loud. I do think, however, that there is a general election fatigue which always hits the front runner harder than the underdog. Remember Clinton vs. Obama?

Report this

By rowman, August 13, 2008 at 7:19 am #

In case you missed it….

From http://counterpunch.org/

——————-
Oh dear, what has happened to the knight on the white horse?

This week, many of Barack Obama’s admirers were shocked. Up to now, it had been believed that the huge sums of money flowing into the coffers of his campaign came from anonymous citizens, each sending a check for 100 or 200 dollars.

Now, alas, it has been disclosed that a large part of those millions actually came from big donors - the very same huge corporations, their CEOs and lobbyists, who have corrupted the democratic process in previous contests. They spread their largesse generously and simultaneously among all the candidates from left to right, so as to be on the winning side whatever happens.

Obama had promised to put an end to the old, dirty corporate funding-for-influence system. Now it appears that he participates in this corrupt system himself.

What a disappointment.
—-end——

Anyone care to provide the list of “what” he exactly plans to change? Looking like the same ol stuff to me

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By howard, August 13, 2008 at 4:10 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

Obama is not a mystry to me ,I don’t see why any one thinks that he is ,I would not waste print on such B/S.

Report this

By felicity, August 12, 2008 at 9:51 am #

Could this apply to Obama?  Through the years of movie-making movie actors have come and gone but every once in a while, and relatively rarely, a movie star appears on the American horizon.

A movie star has mastered the art of being a reserved presence.  He offers himself to the people and yet keeps private the hidden, unguessable sources of that self.

Obama’s vacationing in Hawaii, not to mention his meteoric rise on the American political scene, would seem to indicate that he has a certain star-quality.  Anybody else see it?

Report this

By Sang Ze, August 12, 2008 at 7:23 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

McCain has showed why he will win in a landslide - as Karl Rove has made clear, he has no serious opposition.

Report this

By cyrena, August 11, 2008 at 7:17 pm #

Jobart,

We actually tried this here in my own community about a month ago, when McCain was in town. Admittedly, we’re just a ‘hamlet’ too, but still….

And of course we couldn’t REALLY ‘arrest’ him, so it was all definitely symbolic. Still, we were a presence, and it a ‘hamlet’ like Santa Barbara, that says a lot. (he was here to take money of course, from those who have it, and promises of more from the same people who acquire it at the expense of those of us who don’t have it.) Anyway, we make sure the red carpet was blocked. It was the best we could do.

Now of course if we could arrange similarly ruined red carpets in other larger places, that would be helpful. I mean, if nothing else, take note of the fact that Dick Bush has STAYED OUT of VT, even if the threat to arrest him is only symbolic.

Is that a form of ‘deterrence’ at work?

Report this

By jobart, August 11, 2008 at 3:19 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)

With little “hamlets” like those two in VT, looking to “arrest” the REPUGS, should they enter their towns, we have a “symbolic” cry for outrage and change. 
Can you jusy imagine if even larger towns/ large cities/endless amounts of American counties took the same iniative.  Anywhere in our country they traveled they would be, “potentially”, retained and arrested. And, at that point, tried for crimes against humanity and “illegally” entering into unjust and unsubstantiated military conflict. Just imagine that world !! Ooops!! Sorry for giving you all hope.  I “fell” into the disallusionment of ending the Vietnam atrocity, that I was a proud member of.  Memories, especially those that have left a good feeling, die hard folks.

Report this

By Allan Krueger, August 11, 2008 at 8:24 am #

McCain is a known quantity and at this stage a BUSH clone ought to be laughed at, instead of voted for. BUT, the population is more concerned with who fucked whom. If McWORSE is elected, we are all getting screwed!

Report this

By Thomas Billis, August 11, 2008 at 8:00 am #

If you think you can circumvent the negativity towards Obama with any other reason than he is black you are deluding yourself.First he is an unknown quantity and then they are hearing too much about him.It is too hot or too cold because he is black.People will not own up to their own racism so they are looking for anything to hang their hat on.Thank God their are liberal columnists who analyzew the situation and leave out the three hundred pound gorilla in the room.Obama will get elected if enough white people overcome their racism and vote on the issues if they cannot hello President John McCain.

Report this

By rage, August 11, 2008 at 7:18 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

“The core strategy of John McCain’s campaign is to turn Barack Obama into the incumbent…”

Are you on crack? Grampers has been in the Senate longer than water’s been in the oceans. McCainiac’s ugly liver spotted mug is in the first Webster’s Dictionary under incumbent. That old coot is grasping desperately at straws, an atrocity that is only going to play worse and worse for that old reprobate the closer we get to November.

Obama’s going to beat that old dimwit like a thieving mule in November.

Report this

By VietnamVet, August 11, 2008 at 5:50 am #

Rove is one of the worst persons this nation has ever had to contend with. Every sleazy action in the WH has his signature attached. Hopefully, one day justice will catch up with him and he will be in jail where he belongs!

Report this

By JimM, August 11, 2008 at 4:42 am #

McSame’s campaign has the hoof prints of Karl Rove all over it-using opponent’s stenghths against him. It was unbelievable that Face the Nation put this war criminal on the air yesterday, and I had no compunctions about telling them so. I hope you go to their website and tell them, too.

Report this

By George, August 11, 2008 at 1:00 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

With BS-lines such as >John McCain’s campaign is to turn Barack Obama….the man who is too familiar yet still mysterious..to reassure voters about who he is< one can only shake his head in disbelief,
wondering why people such as E.J.Dionne,keep still feeding this > very rotten BS-Nonsense < to the masses,all the while when “we do know better” !!!
Since everyone,if interested for bare facts,can easily look up/find out about Barack Obama`s real personality,etc.it becomes more and more evident >only stinken Boneheads want repeating,want to keep that BS-Nonsense alive<.Also,here is absolutely no need circulating words like “still mysterious” regarding Barack Obama`s background and character. Period.

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