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Reports

A Loss of Transatlantic Harmony

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Posted on Jul 6, 2008

By William Pfaff

The relationship among the three principal centers of world power of the past half-century is now at the edge of fundamental change. A great deal has been said about the rise of China and India as Asian power centers rival to, or added to, Japan, but this still is more ambition than reality.

China and India are certainly newly important trading and manufacturing nations, but global great powers do not make their living as subcontractors to foreign industry, or as makers and vendors of goods designed or invented elsewhere. For China and India, this remains the case.

The three existing power centers are still the United States, Europe and Russia. “Europe” means Western Europe, not the 27-member European Union. The new, enlarged EU is actually less important than the pre-enlargement EU. The states included in the most recent enlargements have so far contributed more weakness than strength to the union.

Russia still has a place in the trio because of its very considerable residual nuclear strategic power, and its ambition. Its economic and industrial strength remains more potentiality than reality. But under Dimitri Medvedev and Vladimir Putin, Russia is determined to hold its place in the front rank of international politics and diplomacy, and should not be underestimated. (I cite the two in order of protocol; we’ll see about real power when Medvedev’s first term is up.)

President Medvedev made Russia’s ambition plain in the interview he gave to eight leading newspapers last week in anticipation of the G8 summit that opens Monday in Japan. He suggested that the time has passed when the United States is in a position to dominate management of the international economy.

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The United States, he said, is today “essentially in a depression.” He might have added that the whole world is in an economic crisis because of the deeply irresponsible decisions, if not criminal manipulations, of the American real estate investment market, themselves patent betrayals of leadership. However, nobody in Europe or Asia seems willing to comment on that, apparently assuming this behavior normal.

The emphasis of Medvedev—as someone trained as a lawyer—on the importance of law and an independent judiciary was an interesting novelty, given events in Russia under Putin. The call for equilibrium in relations with the United States will not get much of a response in today’s Washington, but may in Europe.

The European Union is now in a deeply problematical position, having once again been shocked by the democratic Irish public’s rejection of the inherently contradictory program of ever-enlarging expansion and ever-deepening integration laid out by the European Commission and endorsed by the European Council.

One of the most distinguished American professional observers of the European scene, David P. Calleo of the Johns Hopkins Paul Nitze School in Washington, asks in the current issue of the Brussels journal Europe’s World if anything can restore the transatlantic harmony that existed before the fall of the Berlin Wall. He answers in the negative, assuming that no drama with Russia or comparable crisis will arrive that might make Europe again need U.S. military protection.

Otherwise, Europe “may be careful not to alienate America, but it will struggle to build a collaborative relationship with its regional neighbors. Insofar as America’s hegemonic world view seems to stand in the way of such collaboration, the Atlantic seems more likely to count as a barrier than as a bond.”

The big question concerning the United States is whether a new president might alter the national course. So far as one can assess the developing foreign policy views of Barack Obama, the question can’t yet be given a firm answer. Obama is surrounded by advisers who are mostly former officials in past Democratic governments, of the most orthodox cast of thought, so real change seems unlikely.

The more John McCain says about foreign policy, the more this otherwise admirable man reveals ignorance of the subject and, it would seem, his lack of intellectual depth.

This is cause for European and Russian discouragement, not to speak of the discouragement of those Americans for whom Obama’s visible intelligence seemed validation of his promise of change. Calleo writes that one might think the Washington foreign policy community by now would understand that “America’s unipolar policies of the past decade” have weakened rather than strengthened the nation. “But following the demise of the Soviets, America seems to have lost its way.”

Too much power has been captured in Washington for the national system of checks and balances to contain it within a purely national constitutional structure. A correlative balancing power abroad is required. “Constructing such a balanced state system for Europe itself” has been the great postwar European achievement, Calleo says.

But he reaches his own discouraged—and discouraging—conclusion when he writes that it is unlikely that Europe will “find the will, the means and the confidence to rise to the occasion.” “A Europe that wants to be cohesive and strong, and on good terms with its neighbors,” will not fit easily into alliance “with an America actively pursuing global hegemony.”

My own view is that for a union of 27 or more members, any attempt by the EU to offset U.S. power would be impossible. This means that the responsibility would fall upon what Donald Rumsfeld once named a coalition of the willing.

Visit William Pfaff’s Web site at www.williampfaff.com.


© 2008 Tribune Media Services, Inc.



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By Bboy57, July 10, 2008 at 9:01 am Link to this comment

To follow up:

* TOO MUCH POWER has been captured in Washington for the national system of checks and balances to contain it within a purely national constitutional structure. A CORRELATIVE BALANCING POWER ABROAD is required. “Constructing such a balanced state system for Europe itself” has been the great postwar European achievement, Calleo says.

This article is not about what a Barak Obama administration can or can’t do in foriegn policy. We’ve gone way beyond that on the world stage. If you not a “globalist and semi elitist”, your not going to get into the white house in the first place.

That is the crux of the class struggle that we have in our national politics. NO ONE here is in a position to do anything dramatic concerning US world hegemony except another political national or unified entity. Such as a resurgent Russia, China or vibrant EU.

Until then apparatus is in place, to continue regional destabilization in the name of international management if you are not located in an emerging market or the EU and G8.

* But he reaches his own discouraged—and discouraging—conclusion when he writes that it is unlikely that Europe will “find the will, the means and the confidence to rise to the occasion.” “A Europe that wants to be cohesive and strong, and on good terms with its neighbors,” will not fit easily into alliance “with an America actively pursuing global hegemony.”

IT’s interesting,whatglobal hegemony that the US is implementing in the name of “Terrorism Control”.  isn’it really in a sense “submission to” an elite mindset of ethnocentric worldview. Isn’t that whats meant by global hegemony and international management as the Russians put it. We except a worldview of white European Unionism but reject African or Middle Eastern Unionism even if the will exists in those regions to implement that in our day!
So the issue lies more in the power of elitism in our national politics and the impact that has on our country for the middle class and on the world stage, that the same middle class is helpless to change here on our shores. Thus the more wealthy our nation has become, the more disenfranchised electorate, especially to promote world fairness and peaceful co-existence for those nations and cultures of “difference”. A really ethnocentric and intollerable worldview. Led by the few.

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By Mike Varady, July 9, 2008 at 3:17 pm Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

The world-ending, gut-wrenching tragedies the globe’s leaders—governmental, industrial, religious—have involved us with (I was going to say “gotten us into,” but that tends to remove some of the responsibility we ordinary mortals have by allowing it to continue) will require greater insight than any of those leaders have.  Who among them will be willing to admit that it’s not necessary for any nation to be “first” in anything?  That the new slogan must be, “What’s good for the world is what’s good for America,” the exact reverse from that which has been followed for too long?  That one major problem with religion is that it cannot be wrong if it’s based on God’s words or dictates, since that creature cannot, by definition, be wrong, so the churhes cannot change? (And those lead to exclusionary actions). That the business of all of them should be the business of securing the lives of the disenfranchised and making them better—starting from the bottom and working upwards?

  John McCain will never do any of this; the theory of his politics is “The American people want . . .” meaning only those who belong to his elite upper class, who are his friends, and thus he means “SOME American people want . . .”; and Obama, of late, seems to be giving away his soul, after all.

  America is so far ahead of other countries materially, and so far behind in its understanding of soul-based ethics.

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By Navy Brat, July 9, 2008 at 8:21 am Link to this comment

Where is my country’s outrage at what has been perpetrated in our name? It seems to me there isn’t anything, any horror, any crime, committed by our fascist overlords in our name that my fellow countrymen cannot still shrug off.
I wonder if they will awaken when the freefall finally stops and we hit rock bottom.
Nah. Not as long as American Idol is still going strong.

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By Bboy57, July 8, 2008 at 9:12 am Link to this comment

This article should be required reading for an informed eclectorate (which the national ruling class does not apparently want).

The post cold war United States acting as a nation building hegemonious world dictator pretty much reeks of old Roman Empiricalism. Except that we pretty much took over for British world emprialism.

The comment that present day Washington is fairly null and void of checks and balances for this kind of foriegn policy dictates, is spot on.

Meanwhile we have two candidates that one is from and the other doesn’t want to make any kind of waves to the national ruling class.

What we are winessing is a class struggle in US national politics. And we allready know the outcome of that one! Sad.

Maybe the constitution should be revised to be more truthful. We the people of the Corporations of the United States of America, in order to form a more perfect union….

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By rage, July 7, 2008 at 2:34 pm Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

“The more John McCain says about foreign policy, the more this otherwise admirable man reveals ignorance of the subject and, it would seem, his lack of intellectual depth.”

I was first tipped off by his Naval Academy graduation standing. The dolt was a 3rd generation legacy of the Navy who graduated 5th from the bottom of class, and never reached the rank of Admiral, even though he was a combat pilot. Even Poppy Bush managed to wangle an ambassadorship in China out of his lackluster Naval aviation career. This contrary old knave came home and dumped his disfigured disabled wife while she was dying in the hospital, to whore it up with beer baroness Barbie and her powerful beer lobbyist pals so he could enjoy an all-expenses-paid trip to the Senate from Arizona.

After three decades in the Senate as a useless flip-flopping place holder, McCain’s still best known for three failed attempts at the Presidency and a hair-trigger temper. The only reason his reputation is no worse is because he held no truly significant posts on any powerful committees during his entire tenure. That, and aids did most of the hard work for him, because this old coot is about as intellectually deep as a stack of red bricks, though not as useful. The worst part of this is that McCain has no notable natural curiosity. This old oaf has never exhibited any real intellectual interests, milking that Nam hero schtick to the point of no return any time our sympathy is reuqired.

Face it. Placing fifth from the bottom of any academy class wherein there are more than six cadets is a demosntrative indication of intellectual depth, military depth, and one’s standing in pretty much every other area. It’s why the rest of the world is looking forward to an Obama Presidency. America might be inundated with a powerful steaming pile of Red-State advocates of Dumya’s cowboy diplomacy, where we shoot first and talk later, because our doodoo don’t stink. But, the rest of the Blue-State world is sick and tired of that lethally ridiculous crap. America has fostered all the Presidential mental incompetence the world is going to tolerate from nation of corporate-owned fascist bullies boasting a nuclear arsenal, thanks to our notoriety for electing Reagan and Bush, Jr to two terms each. If elect Grampy McCainiac, the world will converge on us the way it did Germany and Japan during WW2.

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By issywise, July 7, 2008 at 8:26 am Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

* “But global great powers do not make their living as subcontractors to foreign industry, or as makers and vendors of goods designed or invented elsewhere. For China and India, this remains the case.”

  I think this fellow would do well to read some ancient history: Greece was inventive but it was Rome that ruled.
 
  Trade is trade, wealth is wealth and both produce leverage, both economic and military.  This fellow’s world view is a few years behind the times.  The EU’s economy is 50% greater than the American. China IS the emerging third force in the world, both economically and militarily. Our rednecks buy their “fifths” of Jack Daniels in bottles measured in the metric system that the EU insists on.  China and Japan subsidize our national debt by having their national banks buy treasury bonds at below market rates in return for leverage in trade talks.

  The “big picture” is far more dynamic than this article suggests. Our next leader better be attuned to the world as it is now and not as it was ten or fifteen years ago.

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By Alan, July 7, 2008 at 8:06 am Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

As an aside, I note the article
appearing in the July issue of
<<le Monde Diplomatique>>
regarding Sarko’s reorientation
of French foreign policy.
In contradistinction to the gaulliste
tradition of an independent French
stance vis a vis Nato and other
aspects of foreign policy, Sarko
is now adopting a sort of
Spengler-Bush policy of the
“Occident” (the “West”) against
the “barbarians” from the “East”.
(Sarko will re-integrate the French
military into the Nato command
structure etc. thus undoing one of the
major gaulliste distinctions)

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skulz fontaine's avatar

By skulz fontaine, July 7, 2008 at 7:38 am Link to this comment

What? After almost eight years of the Bush belligerence, there’s a “loss of transatlantic harmony?” Wow, go figure! Hmmm, maybe Europe hasn’t forgotten what Dr. Death Rummy had to say about the “old Europe.” The entire planet Earth will reap the whirlwind from Bush’s insane genocidal madness for a long time to come. Amerika’s treasonous spineless Congress sat silent in their capitulation to the Bush fascism. Republicans AND Democrats. That ‘air of arrogant superiority’ has worn out it’s futile welcome and now the piper must be paid.

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By Fadel Abdallah, July 7, 2008 at 3:44 am Link to this comment

For seven and half years, we had to depend on foreign media outlets and foreign personalities to tell us part of the truth about the sad realities in our so-called democracy and our so-called bastion of freedom of speech.

Just on a 4th of July event we needed the BBC to tell us that Bush was heckled by few protesters and called by his real name “fascist.”

Now we needed Medvedev, the Russian President, to call a spade spade and describe the real state of our economy as “essentially in a depression,” when just few days ago the spinners of political economy, like the ignorant Greenspan, was telling us his latest deceptive lie about not being in a serious recession yet despite all the clear signs.

My point is that the MSM is 100% in bed with the evil political-military establishment to continue taking all of us for a ride! If this is not time for a real revolution, there will never be one for this sad herd called the people of the United States of America!

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By cyrena, July 6, 2008 at 11:34 pm Link to this comment

•  “..Insofar as America’s hegemonic world view seems to stand in the way of such collaboration, the Atlantic seems more likely to count as a barrier than as a bond.”..

And this is the reality. So, depends on which side of the barrier one takes the risk of being on.

Because, this has been true for a while now…

•  “The United States, he said, is today “essentially in a depression.” He might have added that the whole world is in an economic crisis because of the deeply irresponsible decisions, if not criminal manipulations, of the American real estate investment market, themselves patent betrayals of leadership.

In other words, there is no ‘good place’ to be right now, or any time in the near future.

It remains to be seen what Obama will, or more reasonable CAN do, to make any positive changes. The reality of today makes it clear that the damage is not going to be repaired in one presidential term. The most we can expect is to first STOP the on-going damage. That would be a start. But that means rejecting (entirely) the long standing goal of enforcing US hegemony on the rest of the world, and using the time and resources to clean up our own house.

If Obama can sign on to that, (and I believe that he already has) then there might be a chance to re-balance the global scales.

•  “…So far as one can assess the developing foreign policy views of Barack Obama, the question can’t yet be given a firm answer. Obama is surrounded by advisers who are mostly former officials in past Democratic governments, of the most orthodox cast of thought, so real change seems unlikely…”

This much is true, and I for one, appreciate the reality of Mr. Pfaff’s prose. The foreign policy views of Barark Obama ARE still developing, as conditions change from day to day. And, he has so far kept his hand on that pretty close to his vest. I would argue though, that his advisors are from a larger collection than just former officials in Democratic governments, and that the ‘orthodoxy’ charge is relative to the individuals. Even the ‘orthodox’ cast of thought changes when the reality demands it.

So, we all better do some hard hoping that this team maintains some intellectual flexibility.

Meantime…

“…The more John McCain says about foreign policy, the more this otherwise admirable man reveals ignorance of the subject and, it would seem, his lack of intellectual depth…”

Pfaff is diplomatic here, since I don’t find John McCain to be particularly admirable these days. His decline, (even in just 4 short years) has been drastic. But is lack of intellectual depth isn’t new. Nothing has ever indicated that he had any to begin with.

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