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Oil ManiaPosted on Jun 23, 2008By Marie Cocco Two cheers for the Saudis. Not so much for agreeing to boost oil production a bit—a move that in the short term seems unlikely to ease summer gas prices. But because there’s nothing like the Saudi version of straight talk to put in perspective the tongue-twisting of American politicians. At the global confab of energy-producing and -consuming countries held in Jiddah over the weekend, Saudi Arabia—the sole oil-producing nation capable of quick production increases—said it would boost output in an effort to ease a global oil-price crisis. The sheiks gave a lesson in economics, insisting they will try to meet demand in their usual self-interested way: by boosting output just enough to quell a crisis, but not by so much that Saudi Arabia’s own profits from high demand and correspondingly high prices are diminished. This placing of Saudi cards face up on the table tends to infuriate American politicians and consumers. And that’s a good thing. For whenever spikes in energy prices lead to the inevitable upsurge in public demands that somebody do something, American politicians resort to nothing so much as self-defeating silliness. That is behind the call, embraced by Republican John McCain and, before her bid for the Democratic nomination ended, Hillary Clinton, for a summer gas-tax “holiday.” Implementing this would cause people to drive more at the very time when high prices are prompting them to drive somewhat less—that is, it would have precisely the opposite effect from what is really needed. Democrat Barack Obama correctly opposes the gas-tax holiday as a blatant political pander. But what of his newest energy proposal? He seeks a crackdown on oil-market speculation, which might or might not be one of the causes of the current price surge. Advertisement At bottom, high energy prices are driven by high demand, and currently that demand is being driven by the rapidly developing economies in China, India and elsewhere. Politicians in the U.S. have historically feared telling Americans—still the world’s biggest consumers of oil—that they need to use less of it. This is why McCain has now promoted offshore drilling, a proposal that would probably take a decade or more, give or take a few lawsuits and state political upheavals, to produce a drop of oil. It’s one reason why Obama is so devoted to ethanol subsidies, a supposedly virtuous way to replace oil with a biofuel—even though the diversion of corn crops to fuel production already is contributing to rising food prices. As usual when it comes to energy politics, we have failed to meet the enemy and conclude that it is us. Remember how Jimmy Carter was ridiculed and reviled for putting on a sweater and telling us to lower our thermostats? Well, what if we had done so three decades ago rather than a few months ago? And what if we’d never had a love affair with SUVs? What are now symbols of energy profligacy were, only a couple of years ago, the ultimate suburban status symbols. All manner of rationalizations were cooked up to justify their purchase: The need to drive kids to soccer practice—a trip that requires extra room for little but a ball and a water bottle—was one of my personal favorites. In truth, you can’t pass a suburban office park without noticing that their lots are packed from end to end with these behemoths, which are driven far more often for commuting trips than for camping excursions. Those looking forward to a change of presidents to usher in a serious change in energy policy should consider this: It took Congress more than three decades to increase vehicle fuel-efficiency standards and eliminate a loophole through which SUVs had boldly driven. The inertia prevailed regardless of whether Democrats or Republicans were in charge of Capitol Hill and the White House. Alternative fuels are indeed needed and so is government policy to promote them. But there is no miracle cure that can cut energy prices in the short or long term other than that rarest of commodities, a political and personal commitment to sacrifice. Elsewhere: . CommentsAre you a Truthdig member yet? Login now, or register with Truthdig. Add Your Comment
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By Conservative Yankee, June 26, 2008 at 7:40 am #
(Unregistered commenter)
By The Shepherd, June 25 at 2:12 pm #
“Price of oil before the Dems took control of congress 2:10 a gallon, sine the Nancy boys have been in charge, 4:25 a gallon here. and OCarter has no plan at all”
I suppose I could respond with a quip about “Mc Ford” but instead will mention only that NO party or candidate has outlined any energy plan which is more than another pander since 1973.
Our gas is cheap when compared to Europe, Israel, Canada, Australia, Japan, and a host of other countries.
Since the value of the dollar is the chief factor in the record high price of gas, the congress has little to do with the current situation, BUT they are not off the hook as they have done nothing in the way of a realistic energy proposal either.
Report thisBy Carl Olson, June 25, 2008 at 2:32 pm #
The most important cause of the skyrocketing oil prices is the U. S. government being an active member of the cartel OPEC via the Iraq occupation.
Report thisWhen the U. S. government occupied Iraq in March 2003, it took over all the functions of the government, including the membership in OPEC. The US/Iraq delegate to OPEC has always voted for the price-raising oil production cutbacks.
The U. S. government in Iraq has contributed to these cutbacks by reducing the oil production from the pre-invasion level of 3 million barrels per day to the current level of less than 2 million.
The antitrust laws need to be amended to prevent the U.S. government from helping any cartel anywhere in the world, including OPEC and its allies. Without this cartel enforcement by the U. S. government, the price of oil will fall precipitously.
Congress needs to investigate. The antitrust laws need to be amended. Who in Congress will speak up? What Presidential candidate will speak up?
By Mike Austin, June 25, 2008 at 1:38 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)
The elephant in the room here is global climate change. Finding more oil will only exacerbate climate change and will not lead to substantially lower prices. We need to substantially ramp up use of alternative energy sources before these additional oil sources could be brought on line.
As an aside, the oil industry already has leases to millions(?) of acres of potential drilling sites that it is not making use of and there is a serious shortage of refinery capacity. Could this be part of the grand plot to keep prices high?
John McCain has promoted the building of 45 new nuclear power plants. At a projected cost of 10 billion each, that is an investment of 450 billion dollars. That money could be used to install $10,000 worth of energy “infrastructure” - insulation, weatherization, solar hot water, solar electricity, personal wind power - in 45 million residences (a substantial percentage of the US housing base). That would create tens of thousands of good-paying jobs, reduce the need for fossil fuels (helping to keep prices from increasing), permanently reduce the demand for energy, and reduce atmospheric carbon buildup.
Report thisBy Conservative Yankee, June 25, 2008 at 7:30 am #
(Unregistered commenter)
Gawd what a bunch of whiners The USA uses 1/3 of all the petroleum produced world wide. Folks here seem to believe they have a right to drive their SUV’s and Pick-ups through the suburbs for cheap while bullying the folks who have the oil resources.
Now at the end of cheap oil, our (oh-so-politically-correct) population, the majority, wants to build refineries (so long as they are not near them) drill off the coast (in someone else’s State) mine the Rocky mountains ruin the landscape, drill in ANWR leave no stone unturned to wring the last droplet of oil from the tortured earth.
This scenario reminds me of nothing, so much as an addict seeking his last fix before entering drug treatment… If you’ve ever witnessed this depravity, you know how disgusting, and embarrassing it is to those who know and love the addict.
In the Seventies we were warned. Any one who remembers the giant shift from 1971 to 1974 must ask themselves why we didn’t start moving then… Remember buying three dollars worth of gas on alternate days? Remember cities turning off their streetlights? remember gas stations closing at 1 PM?
At the time, I owned a Dodge Monaco with a 440cid engine, and two four barrel carburetors. it got about 10 to 12 MPG and used only hi-test gas. When I bought it it cost me a little over $7 to fill its 22 gallon tank. that doubled in a month… and while the double price looks cheap today, it was a real pain then (my salary at the time was $150 a week)
So history repeats… someday (probably sooner rather than later) we will wish the price of gas was only $4 a gallon. We’re insane, which Freud discribes as doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results.
I’m looking for a good deal on Solar panels, and am considering a windmill. I walk the dog to the post office (instead of driving) I’ve lost 10 pounds, and my outlook on life has improved…. This former addict is doing the steps!
Report thisBy Walldizo, June 25, 2008 at 6:34 am #
(Unregistered commenter)
It seems that the more concern we get with economic growth and matterial improvement, the more fusil energy we need to reach such goals.If one would go back to early Fifties of the 20th century, where world population was just about 2.5 bi and compare this figure with the current 7bi+ inhabitants,one would understand the true scope of the coming catasrophe.We have to make provision for those extra additions lest we be accused of violating capitalist principles.To traslate this into figures,it will take an increase of additional 25 million bbl pd to the existing 86+ mi.bbl.to satisfy the need of both China and Indian car demand for an increase of 20% to the current 60-40 cars per 1000 respectivly.So Lets face it,we are probably living the last few decades before we run out of this precious commodity.Governments should be more transparent in providing the necessary data and future feasible plans on how to counter/resolve these difficulties.
Report thisBy SamSnedegar, June 25, 2008 at 5:45 am #
Sorry, my friends, but your oil marketplace is seriously flawed, and futures trading in oil ought to be prohibited or at least controlled to the point that futures traders do NOT establish the price of oil.
As I indicated below, there is no connection whatsoever between how much it costs to produce, ship, and sell oil and the price being charged for it. Yes, the demand COULD drive the price up if there was any possible way to produce enough barrels of oil to satisfy ALL customers, but the supposed “demand” by China and India presupposes that they have enough refinery capacity to handle an actual shipment of oil, and they do not. In fact, neither do we; our oil barons have made vast profits from keeping refinery capacity DOWN and selling their products for big prices, citing “supply and demand” as the excuse for their too-high gouge of the consumer.
I think that we have missed the point that oil is not actually “black gold,” because gold is an almost useless product which commands a high price because of scarcity rather than any real need for it by consumers, where oil is not only useful but has become a NECESSITY in our way of life.
I cannot imagine why we haven’t already built vast processing plants to extract the petroleum from our Colorado oil shale, which in fact might make us independent of foreign oil again. Perhaps it’s because the powers that be know full well that the price of a barrel of oil will soon come back to its real value, and the money spent on alternate sources will have been wasted and lost.
Report thisBy mrmb, June 25, 2008 at 12:12 am #
(Unregistered commenter)
Right on Nancy. With you all the way.
Those of you that are tired of the BS we are being fed, refer to testimony of:
Michael W. Masters, Managing Member / Portfolio Manager, Masters Capital Management, LLC before the Committe on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs, United States Senate, May 20, 2008.
In addition it should be common knowledge by now that we control Saudi Arabia and its oil fields. If the Saudis had any degree of independence and dignity and were free of imperial domination they could certainly bring us and the rest of the western world to our knees and resolve the Palestinian issue in their favor by simply boycotting any country that supports israel and directly participates in the humiliation, oppression, torture, and killing of the Palestinians, not to mention the rest of the arab / muslim world.
Haven’t you ever wondered why they (the saudis) dont use oil as a weapon? We certainly would have used it. For crying out loud we use food and medicine as weapon.
Just figure out the game.
Report thisBy dihey, June 24, 2008 at 11:08 pm #
Thank you JP for posting one of the very few sane comments on oil/gas. The overwhelming majority of commentators do not understand why Aramco may not be able to jack up its daily production by, say, 3 million barrels. The most likely reason is that Aramco’s “elephant-fields” Ghawar, Abqaiq, Safaniya, and Berri may already have huge gas-pressure and other problems such as water leaks. These fields may be at or past peak production and on the precipitous downslope to eventual “death” like the Brent and Prudhoe Bay “elephants”. The notion that the Earth is “awash” with oceans of extractable oil in the ground is laughable. I bet that nearly all of these “awashers” do not know the name of the youngest “super-field” and the year when it was discovered.
US politicians, especially Obama, have handed the King of Saudi Arabia a 1001-night silk-curtain behind which he is already hiding, namely “speculators”. You may have noticed that he has blamed “speculators” for the high crude prices, hence that Aramco does not feel obliged to produce much additional oil/gas. My hunch is that he is prevaricating but we have given him the ammunition.
“Oil/gas-independence” is dangerous nonsense. The world needs “oil/gas interdependence.” When producers do not pump buyers cannot buy. When buyers stop purchasing producers do not earn. On that basis a rational albeit imperfect interdependence can be forged.
Most commentators that blame “banks”, “owners of America”, etc. for the “oil/gas crisis” simply overlook the fact that much of oil futures are owned and are rarely traded by retirement funds and other investors whose intents are benign.
JP, please also write about the future needs for hydrocarbons by the chemical and pharmaceutical industries. Nobody talks about that issue, yet it is a crucial component of oil/gas/energy policies. I have nothing but contempt for people who have suggested to me that these hydrocarbons can come totally from “bio-oils.” It is easy to just throw that mantra around but they never do their homework and calculate what fraction of all agricultural acreage needs to be set aside for that source of hydrocarbons. I know roughly how alarmingly much that is but I am not going to tell them the numbers. They need to do their own estimates first and tell me.
I hold that capitalist/nationalized oil/gas production, distribution, and consumption is deeply flawed. However, if one believes that one can do better than the “seven sisters” one is obliged to take over and show that one is a better manager. Bitching on the sidelines is no more than bitching on the sidelines. That is what the Red Chinese once called “being a Paper Tiger.”
Report thisBy Nancy, June 24, 2008 at 3:15 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)
This article is the most blatant piece of propaganda that is either designed to insulate the hedge fund investment bankers from scrutiny, or Ms. Cocco is dillusional. Fact is the markets, both oil and food commodities, are being manipulated so that these same bankers can recoup their losses from the real estate market—a bubble they’re recreating right now in the Oil and commodities markets. And thanks to deregulation (as in repeal of the Glass-Steagall Act)there’s no one at the gate to stop them. Since the investment/hedge fund bankers normally are supposed to have 900 billion to cover losses, and they now only have 25 billion due to their devious and greedy practices, they’re looking for ways to recover quickly from those losses—and boy are they making a killing, at our expense!
Report thisBy Karen, June 24, 2008 at 3:07 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)
Financial experts testified before Congress yesterday, under oath, and said 30-50% of the current price of a barrel of oil was caused by speculators. Not supply and demand—speculators. Even the Saudis have said the price of oil should be around $60-70 a barrel.
Which brings me to the notion that the Saudis are going to increase pumping: What I heard the Saudis say didn’t sound like they absolutely were going to increase pumping—I believe they said they would pump more IF world demand required them to. It was that little word “IF” that stood out for me. Since they do not believe there is a problem with supply, why should they increase the supply?
Report thisBy SamSnedegar, June 24, 2008 at 9:39 am #
the present oil insanity is driven by the futures traders, just like the current real estate insanity was driven by the greedy real estate traders, and supply and demand, while there may well be some elements of that law still intact, the lion’s share of the mess has been made by allowing crooks to make illicit fortunes by “gaming” the market system.
here’s the formula you need to find:
oil: how much does it cost to get it out of the ground?
oil: how much does it cost to ship it to refiners?
oil: how much profit per barrel is ENOUGH?
Price of a bbl of oil = oil field cost + shipping cost + profit.
Please note that there is no place in there for add-ons to support futures traders.
Follow the money today and find out who is making fantastic profits from every bbl of oil, and you will know how to “solve” the mystery of how the price of oil went crazy.
Report thisBy JP, June 24, 2008 at 9:06 am #
(Unregistered commenter)
Hold your tongue before accusing others of ignorance and pandering. You have it wrong when you say that oil reserves are being depressed and kept in the ground for profit. I work in the oil/gas industry and I can tell you that companies are doing everything they can do produce oil. Believe me, at these prices they want to sell all they can; untold amounts of money are being spent in exploration. The fact is, easy oil is rapidly disappearing and the “elephant” reserves have been tapped.
I think you guys are missing the thrust of Marie Cocco’s article. She is correct on many things, and dead on when saying that there is no cure for our energy woes without the rare commodity of “political and personal sacrifice.” We can no longer afford our culture of gluttony and waste. Reducing consumption and increasing efficiency will be essential in our struggle out of the energy predicament.
Report thisBy Jim Yell, June 24, 2008 at 8:53 am #
(Unregistered commenter)
Using prosecution of Enron as example that doing this doesn’t help and didn’t help avoid the current disaster. Well it didn’t help because very little punishment was dealt out and none of it appropriated the property of the criminals who did the crime. They or their families are still outrageously rich with what they stole. Gray Davis is still not the governor and I really haven’t figured out how California is better off with Arnold?
George Bush and Dick Cheney have broken their oath of office, repeatedly lied and obstructed accountability. The Constitution has the power of impeachment and on conviction removal from office for this type of criminality, but we are told the country can’t deal with impeachment, although that was no problem when the Republicans were gunning for the Clintons.
The fact is this mess is directly traceable back to the Reagan presidency which started the process of moving away from mandated improvements in energy use and development and implimentation of new energy technology. The fact is we lost How Many Years of research and improvement? What did we get for the Republican Contract on America? Knee Jerk patriotism, Hypocritical religiousity, and the involvement of the military in a needless war that has broke our nation and involved us in murder and theft. Aren’t we proud to be Republican?
Report thisBy Conservative Yankee, June 24, 2008 at 8:45 am #
(Unregistered commenter)
Hummm no mention of the two greatest reasons for the recent price increases;
1; The devalued dollar the vehicle for pricing every barrel of oil in the world. If the Euro is at 1+1/2 dollars when it was at .99 U.S cents, the price of ALL foreign goods MUST rise by 33.3% or someone gets short=changed. Why should the Saudis take 33.3% less for their oil because we choose to let the dollar fall?
2; The “dangerous waters premium” WE, the United States has made sailing into the Persian Gulf far more dangerous. These risk factors play into the price of oil by increasing the premium tankers must pay to sail these waters far higher, currently each tanker must pay (on average) 2 million dollars MORE than the same tanker would have paid 0n September 10, 2001. this increases the cost per barrel by $1 for the largest supertankers, and as much as $2 for the smaller ships.
both of these costs are the direct result of government policies. As cost of fuel increases, a geometric landslide occurs. Supertankers run on oil. They cost more to run. The trucks and trains which take product to market run on oil, so they cost more. refinaries run on the oil they create, so they cost more… even the power to pump the gas into a vehicle is often relative to the price of crude.
All these prices are passed to the consummer…
Oh, BTW the United States is currently enjoying the cheapest oil and gas of any indrustrialized nation.. just across the border, in Canada, the average for self-serve unleded regular is $1.354 per litre. That is over $5 a Gallon.
Report thisBy jackpine savage, June 24, 2008 at 8:30 am #
Why is it wrong/bad for the Saudis to look out for their own interest? America’s economic woes aren’t exactly their problem, especially considering the fact that many more nations now want to purchase ever more oil. Moreover, it’s the Saudis who’ve come closest to saying that high oil prices are our own damn fault for letting the reserve currency of the world fall through the floor.
In America, the oil conversation always revolves around driving. But we’ve based our entire “civilization” around long hydrocarbon chains. Everything is oil. Driving is the least important of its uses. Every gallon that goes into a vehicle is a gallon that can’t be used to make fertilizer, plastic, etc. I know, like so much else, that’s a problem for the children to worry about, right?
It would be just like us humans/monkeys to blow our combined oil reserves on cruising around and then find out that we now have to change everything about our lifeway because we spent instead of saved.
In any case, it is kind of funny how quickly the sackcloth and ashes come out when the land of pleasant living hits a speedbump. Or maybe it’s just funny to me because i bike the 5 mile commute to work.
Report thisBy Dave in Big Pine, June 24, 2008 at 8:05 am #
once again the author is pandering to the propaganda of the owner class. supply and demand have little to do with this current squeeze. the so called economic development of china and india have little to do with the price gouging. this is all about greed, as usual. prices go up and down all the time (watch them go way down right before the election, then right back up afterward); how does that play into the risiong demands of foriegn economies? profits are obscene across the oil industry; how does that play into the rising cost of oil (shouldn’t their cost be rising as well, nullifying the profits?).
Report thisby all credible reports the world is awash in oil. both in quantity for sale, and reserves in the groung. the latter is being depressed and unexploited. the reason is simple, at these prices, it only makes sense to keep it in the ground, both for current and future profit. why release the oil you have and decrease your profit?
the falling dollar and speculation would by all accounts decrease gas prices in a flash if they were to be managed. why aren’t they? because once again it is all about greed.
it is tiring to read this discredited rant that oil prices have anything to do with supply and demand, and india and china. put the blame where it belongs: the owners of america and the world simply raping everyone to engorge their already bloated bank accounts.
stating any other rationale is simply pandering or ignorance. either way, that is unacceptable and the author should shroud herself in shame.