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Reports

A Fair Fight

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Posted on May 6, 2008

By E.J. Dionne

Editor’s note: This column has been updated to reflect the results of Tuesday’s elections.

    ROCKY MOUNT, N.C.—The primaries in North Carolina and Indiana, which gave Barack Obama a decisive push toward the Democratic nomination, were wrapped in two ironies.

    The first: Hillary Clinton found a compelling voice and a plausible strategy only after she had squandered her chances of winning the nomination without a divisive struggle over superdelegates and convention rules. It took a series of defeats to galvanize her campaign and help her put forward a better self.

    The second: Clinton’s embrace of a gas tax holiday endowed Barack Obama with a sense of purpose and a burst of energy at precisely the moment when his battered campaign seemed lethargic and reactive. Standing up to a proposal that even many Clinton supporters saw as pandering allowed Obama to revisit his most successful days as a fresh voice uninhibited by Washington’s habits.

    It is the second of these ironies that turned out to be decisive. The gas tax debate allowed Obama to push aside the stories about Jeremiah Wright and to demonstrate his ability to stand up to Clinton, and by extension, to John McCain. 

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    Obama’s victory speech was another step in this process. It was a forceful condemnation of “efforts to distract us from the issues that affect our lives by pouncing on every gaffe and association and fake controversy.” It sounded like his first address of the general election campaign.

    Yet even though she fell short, the new Clinton has been a wonder to behold. In the 1990s, Hillary and Bill Clinton were trashed by their enemies as elitist, Ivy League, McGovernite liberals—i.e., exactly the way Clinton’s people are eviscerating Obama.

    Over the last month, Clinton pushed aside that past and emerged as a working-class hero who gets knocked down, always gets up, and thus won a favorable comparison with Rocky Balboa from her leading supporter here, North Carolina Gov. Mike Easley.

    The new Hillary would not have been possible if her original front-runner strategy had worked. She could only become the underdog if the voters made her one and could only cast herself as a fighter if she had to fight. Nothing became her so much as hardship.

    Geoffrey Garin, Clinton’s pollster, argued that as a fighting underdog, she became “a far more appealing candidate to a far broader range of voters.” A well-connected supporter saw Clinton becoming a better orator offering a stronger case. “She used to offer this annoying list of issues,” this supporter said. “Now, she offers a message and an argument—that you need a fighter like her to undo all the damage the Republicans have done.”

    Bill Clinton learned lessons, too, campaigning as a happy warrior in appreciative country towns. Barbara Allen, the former North Carolina Democratic chair and a Clinton supporter, said the former president’s emphasis on “the small places, places people don’t normally get to at election time” squared with Hillary’s emphasis on the forgotten voter. Although his efforts failed to stop the Obama tide in North Carolina, he helped her eke out her narrow victory in Indiana.

    And then there was the hangover from Clinton’s overconfident front-runner strategy: Her failure to organize effectively in caucus states and in the primaries after Super Tuesday more than explains Obama’s lead going into Tuesday’s contests of somewhere between 135 and 140 delegates. Obama earned a 132-pledged-delegate lead over Clinton in the caucus states alone, and 73 more in the primaries held two weeks after Feb. 5th. She found herself in a hole her campaign dug for itself. This meant she had no room for poor showings.

    Things had been looking grim for Obama until Clinton joined McCain, the presumptive Republican nominee, in endorsing the gas tax holiday. Sure, voters usually back Santa Claus, even if he’s offering only 30 cents a day. But by running hard against the temporary tax break and calling it a typical Washington gimmick, Obama put substance behind his claim that he’ll tell voters what they need to hear.  For the first time in weeks, the old Obama was back, talking about something other than his former pastor and bitter voters. And it worked.

    Obama has suffered real damage and Republicans are less fearful of running against him than they were earlier this year. But Obama has also shown an ability to withstand a severe battering. He was tougher than Clinton thought he was, and he may prove just as tough against McCain.

    E.J. Dionne’s e-mail address is postchat(at)aol.com.
   
    © 2008, Washington Post Writers Group


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By cyrena, May 6, 2008 at 9:44 pm #

Jackpine,

I don’t believe that anyone has ever attempted to suggest that Obama is a saint, including him. But, he’s a WHOLE LOT BETTER than Clinton! That’s where your cynicism could be getting the best of you.

The ‘fighter’ meme is a piece of very poor propaganda, since the last thing we need is for some other human person to ‘fight for us’. It disgusts me the same way it disgusts you.

That is where I see the huge difference. We are perfectly capable of fighting for ourselves, if the political space is made available. It is THERE where Obama can do the good.

Because we DO need to STAND UP FOR OURSELVES, and be heard and allowed to act. We ALL need a seat at the table, and that’s not going to happen with anyone other than Barack Obama.

But, that’s my point. He can make available a seat at the table, and he’s not going to bulldoze over the majority of us as we DO stand up for ourselves. What we do with the seats, or how we choose to act with the opportunity to be heard, and to actually STAND up, instead of being rolled over, remains to be seen.

“Fight for us”? Fight for us against WHOM?

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By pitleaper, May 6, 2008 at 8:42 pm #

Dionne says Hilary is and will be putting “forth a better self”.

He’s picking up the argument at the last branch of the tree of logical thinking.

So Hilary’s going to change her image; her self.  This begs the question: Where is the real Hilary? If her last self didn’t work, and she’s changing it to one that does work, is it just me, or isn’t there something patently dishonest about that?

I know…I know - old news and old argument to you veteran bloggers out there.  It did feel good to get that off my chest, though.

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By Purple Girl, May 6, 2008 at 8:22 pm #

Are You kidding US???
You fail to point out the most Serious indictment against her Candidacy- “Totally Obliterate Iran"With Nukes!!! To Defend Isreal (who ahs their own),teh Saudi’s and the UAE- who are crippling US again by hoarding their oil reserves and Using US for their M.E. land Grab?Those Oppressive, murderous cast system Criminals who have used US as their Scapegoats for unrest among their own impoverished people?Who rolled out the Red Carpet for the Profiteering Multinationals who also could care less about mankind? Those Middle eastern countries? we would risk humanity to defend? Big FYI- Iran doe not have Nuclear Weapons Either!!! It is a mute hypothetical! and only serves to provoke and invite further Attacks. She is a Sociopathic meglomaniac- just like Cheney - She is Dick in Drag!

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By jackpine savage, May 6, 2008 at 7:16 pm #

Could you explain this “fighter we need” meme, please?

What is she fighting/going to fight for?  For us?  And what would “fighting for us” entail?

My personal feeling is that our desire to have some fight for us is the fundamental problem that we face.  Are we incapable of standing up for ourselves?  Have any of these politicians ever really “fought” for us before?

It seems to me that a politician who was willing to fight for us would have been adamantly opposed to throwing a war on borrowed money.  A politician fighting for us would tell us how stupid it is to borrow $140M from foreign lenders and divy it up in hopes that we’ll all spend it on imported goods.  Such a politician would remind us that we’ll be paying interest on that money.  A politician who was fighting for us wouldn’t be talking about suspending the gas tax; he/she would be talking to us about driving less, carpooling, etc….and still fighting to tax the living hell out of the oil companies. 

And a politician worth over $100M, whose husband can make $250,000 for an hour of bullshitting, that wanted to fight for us wouldn’t be begging for donations.

None of this makes Obama a saint…or even any better than Clinton.  And maybe i have it all wrong, so again, would someone explain this “fighter” meme to me?  My head is thick and my cynicism is even thicker.

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By cyrena, May 6, 2008 at 6:21 pm #

Felicity,

I think YOU have the real point here. In short, Hillary is absolutely MORE OF THE SAME. I can see absolutely zero difference between Dick Bush, Hillary Rodham, and John McCain.

THEY ARE ALL THE SAME!! The differences are so superficial that it’s difficult to know if ANYTHING can be changed or otherwise gained by having either of them (McCain or Rodham) in the office. I shudder to think that all will have been for naught, if we don’t get a REAL democrat in the office.

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By KISS, May 6, 2008 at 3:59 pm #

Should have read Kravis, like in Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co, the fleecers of man-kind.

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By KISS, May 6, 2008 at 3:54 pm #

EJ is so desperate for a real human…but none are available. Who cares about Yada Yada yada yada? Both work [with McCain it’s three] for the same corporations and will idly sit by as the citizens get duped and swindled by the Kravits of our society. Want to feel better, cuz your vote is worthless, anyhow? Write in Kucinch for pres…at least you’ll feel good about yourself.

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By Aegrus, May 6, 2008 at 3:06 pm #

I really hope today’s primary makes it clear who will be the Democratic nominee because I’m really tired of hearing people discuss the same points about campaign tactics, character assassination and just blatant propaganda.

Please, calm the hell down and don’t vote for John McCain. Otherwise, all this will have been for nothing.

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By Sue Cook, May 6, 2008 at 1:39 pm #

Here, here!, I couldn’t have said it better myself!

I understand he is begging people to vote for him to get this thing over with.

He has the nerve to accuse Hillary of “entitlement” belief.  I accuse him of the same thing!  Why does he think he deserves the job of potus with his slim political life?  This is just pure arrogance.

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By felicity, May 6, 2008 at 12:56 pm #

Rodham’s ‘fighter’ is another man’s bully, and there are miles between them.  Do Americans want a fighter in the WH or do they want a bully.  I think the latter given that they’ve twice voted for one.

Rodham consistently portrays herself as the Decider - should she be president. That self-portrayal is improving her numbers which again indicates that the American people like that quality in a president.  Not surprising since they’ve twice voted for one.

Consistent among the Framers of the Constitution was the belief that the guy on the street was incapable of casting an intelligent vote - which is why we have the electoral college and originally senators were not elected by the body politic, (and only men could vote?)  I’m beginning to think they might have had a point.

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By Tom Doff, May 6, 2008 at 11:11 am #

Once again, with all due respect, I must disagree with Ol’ E.J.

This campaign is an irony wrapped in two enigmas.

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By altara, May 6, 2008 at 11:06 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

Clinton’s push for a federal gas tax holiday is the ultimate in pandering, not only because it would be bad policy but also because Clinton knows that there is zero chance of implementation for this summer. She also mentions the needs of truckers and farmers; so why limit the tax holiday to the summer driving season?

If enough voters fail to fall for this gimmick, Obama should win North Carolina (despite the strong work of Bill Clinton) and Hillary will probably win Indiana. With the stalemate then continuing, let’s hope that the superdelegates disapprove of this last minute pander and give credit to Obama for opposing a politically appealing ploy.

homer   http://www.altara.blogspot.com

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By Joe Sixpack, May 6, 2008 at 9:11 am #

It makes me smile whenever pundits discuss the tactics of the democratic race. I smile because the talking heads could choose to see the same political manuevering in exactly the same way, but are so in love with the idea of a President Obama they invariably show a clear bias for him. Here’s another example. When Hillary fine-tunes her message and puts a focus on the swing voters in the race, the working class whites, she is ‘pandering’ by having a beer and a shot in a bar. Everything she does is a tactical move, (what is she up to now?) everything he does is a natural evolution. When Obama ditches his elite-looking uber-rallies in front of thousands in favor of glad-handing and drinking Buds in the bars like he’s “one of the fellas” then he simply getting back in touch with his roots.

Do you really think Obama drinks Budweiser beer? Yeah. About as often as Hillary tosses back a Crown Royal shooter.

Still she looks better these days than he does. One look at the Sunday talk shows and it’s clear as a bell. He looks tired and ready for this thing to end (smokers have less stamina according to my physician wife) and she looks like she’s having a blast on the trail. Pictures are worth, what? A thousand words, right? Well just one snapshot of this race shows me that she’s the fighter we need and he’s lost his stride.

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By jackpine savage, May 6, 2008 at 7:49 am #

She has effectively portrayed Obama as not much more than a politician, and it’s impossible to fault her for that.

On the other hand, the new “fighter” Clinton with a “found” voice is not doing anything more than pandering.  All of a sudden she’s “of the people”.  She’s a beer drinking, gun loving, blue collar type…yeah, whatever.  She’ll obliterate Iran.  Economists (like her buddy Krugman) are just elitists.  And now she’s telling everyone how she’ll break up OPEC.

I wish that she’d just come out and promise a chicken in every pot and a car in every garage (with gas payed for by the government).

She found her voice after squandering over $100M and the mantle of inevitability all right, she started lying and flinging shit like a monkey.  But she’s a fighter…

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