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Slowed? Maybe … Stopped? No Way.

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Posted on Dec 19, 2007

By Joe Conason

Not so long ago, the conventional wisdom of Washington proclaimed that Hillary Rodham Clinton could not be stopped from winning the Democratic presidential nomination. Today, the same wise men and women hint that she has forfeited the prize.

What must always be remembered is that the mainstream media amplify her campaign’s errors and diminishes her strengths in ways that can be misleading. Foaming expressions of hostility to Sen. Clinton are considered normal among the Beltway pundits, especially on cable television and talk radio. Such constant emotional outbursts tend to distort political news and analysis.

In that environment, her opponents are not held accountable by the same standard that is applied to Clinton. For many months, both Sen. Barack Obama and former Sen. John Edwards have been tossing out attack lines that they hoped would bring down her formidable numbers. Obama has not hesitated to use harsh language to question her character, her sincerity, her fitness to serve and her capacity to govern if elected. He has reserved his toughest rhetoric for the Democratic front-runner, while suggesting that he will find common ground with the Republicans. That may explain why Obama has won endorsements from a panoply of Republican operatives and spokespersons, including former White House political boss Karl Rove and David Brooks, the neoconservative voice on the New York Times Op-Ed page.

Yet it is also true that the events of recent days have exposed weaknesses in the Clinton campaign. There may be no sense of panic in her headquarters—and there is almost certainly no nefarious strategy of demonizing Obama, her leading rival—but the clumsiness of her surrogates and staffers has made her campaign look panicky and scheming at once. At the very least, their blunders have provided ample ammunition for cheap shots.

It is hard to imagine that the Clinton campaign conspired with Bill Shaheen to introduce the subject of Obama’s youthful drug use, or urged Bob Kerrey to blather on about the Illinois senator’s middle name and Muslim heritage. It is much more likely that both men were simply opening their mouths without thinking too hard about the consequences, which is to say, simply being themselves. Expecting Clinton to control every blurted stupidity of her supporters is unfair.

But digging up an Obama kindergarten essay about his presidential aspirations was plain dumb, even if he started the silly exchange over who is more ambitious. That may have been the work of an overzealous junior researcher. Sending senior strategist Mark Penn to defend her on MSNBC’s “Hardball,” however, was a bad decision made at the highest level. A controversial figure because of his unsavory public relations clientele, Penn proved to be neither prepossessing nor nimble. He only worsened the damage done by Shaheen’s remarks when he uttered the word cocaine and then allowed himself to be drawn into a shrill debate over what he had just said.

The tin-eared Penn may not fully understand the potential consequences of that exchange—which has been televised again and again—but the Clintons surely should. To the black Americans who have long been their most loyal supporters, that cocaine reference carries an unmistakable tinge of racial politics, which must be avoided in this contest for both moral and strategic reasons.

All these ugly, petty controversies have distracted Clinton from pointing up her differences with Obama in approaching Social Security and national health insurance, which offered a clean, clear way to deter his challenge. Instead, she is apologizing and explaining.

Surprisingly, the disputes that have lately monopolized so much news coverage and commentary have not dented her national appeal significantly. Although Clinton faces difficulties in Iowa and New Hampshire, the latest USA Today/Gallup poll shows that she has started to recover the commanding lead that began to diminish in late November, after her poor debate performance.

Conducted over the weekend of Dec. 14-16, the Gallup survey shows Clinton gaining six points and moving up from 39 percent two weeks earlier to 45 percent among registered Democratic voters. Obama moved up as well in that poll, by three points, from 24 percent to 27 percent, leaving him still 18 points behind the front-runner. Support for Edwards and the rest of the Democratic field remained essentially the same.

Consistent with those numbers are other polls indicating that Clinton’s troubles in Iowa and New Hampshire have not surfaced so far in the big states, whose primaries will determine the ultimate winner.

She has been slowed, but not stopped—and she should not be underestimated.

Joe Conason writes for The New York Observer (www.observer.com).

© 2007 Creators Syndicate Inc.

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By Thomas Billis, December 24, 2007 at 10:47 pm #

Joe I am sure that the press secretary’s job in a Clinton administration is yours for the asking.I am still a little dizzy from the spin in your piece.Everybody who says anything negative about someone else from her campaign is acting on their own.Really important people who know how the game is played made unbelievable inflamatory statements on their own.Only Mark Penn in this sequence of statements is impossible to spin as a rogue.I am embarasses for you.As a reporter were you chuckiling to yourself as you were writing this bullshit that the morons out there will believe anything.Hillary is declining in the polls just as Howard Dean did people are now starting to look and make real voting decisions and what they are seeing they do not like.Remember this Joe if Hillary does not get elected what are you going to do to get your credibility back.

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By DennisD, December 22, 2007 at 1:03 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)

Porky Pig said it best at the end of the cartoon. “Thats all folks”.

No more “Clintoons”, we’ve exceeded our limit as a country and we can’t afford to pay the fine.

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By Marjorie L. Swanson, December 22, 2007 at 4:54 am #

Dear #121441 by i,Q,

Like most Hillary Haters you try and smear anyone that says anything that is not a rabid attack on her or her campaign. Even a pinhead should be able to see that a stupid suggestion that Joe Conason is Chelsea Clinton, even as a dumb joke, is beyond silliness and heading for idiocy. Perhaps the name should be No i,Q? Joe Conason is a man of integrity, wit, and intellect. Expecting someone with no I.Q. to recognize that is foolish of me. Sorry I mentioned it.

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By katie, December 21, 2007 at 10:19 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)

I can not even begin to describe how truly awful it will be for us if she is the nominee. It will be a daily drama of one sort or another and of her obsfucating the issues,never answering a question directly,her directing the media, her catering to all the interests she is beholden to.Not to mention that there is no change available to us as a nation with another Clinton and all the baggage that comes with the two of them.I for one think that we can do much better,and am really uncomfortable with their close ties to the Bushes and the Murdocks and all of the military interests, insurance etc.
The other thing is the company she keeps and who is on her staff and her advisers.A shadier and more sleazy crew can not be found unless you look at Bush.
I could go on but the fact is we deserve what we get if she is the best we can do.

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By ocjim, December 21, 2007 at 10:06 am #

Cyrena,
I have gone from deriding Hillary because of her equivocating stand on Iraq to softening my stance against her after most electable Democrats have wimped on Iraq (putting your candidancy ahead of wasting human life and money that could be spent to better humankind tends to set me off).

I realize her attempts to appear rightest on many issues, especially the war, being a woman and believing that moderates will support a woman who’s aggressive on war.

I am very troubled about her electability when she doesn’t poll well even against the fraud, Rudy.

Add to that electability problem, the additional disadvantage of getting old—with our double standards, it matters for a woman more than a man. The gelatinous gasbag, blob Limbaugh pointed that out with his “crow-feet” reference.

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By Conservative Yankee, December 21, 2007 at 6:13 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

“Personally, I never had anything much against her as first lady, (she did a few sort of less than honorable things, as well as some good work)”

Reading and researching seem (from other posts) to be your thing, however in the case of Hill-the-business-shill the research seems to be (what professors called at UNH) “light”

As a board member for Walmart, the business shill never mentioned “her concern for workers” which as a presidential candidate she now has found.

As a shill for Tyson Chicken she took their campaign contributions for certain favors (on one instance lobbying her hubby to change Arkansas law to allow the chicken processor to dump their (15 tons annually) of waste into the Whitewater River.

While there is no suggestion that the business shill did anything across the “illegal” line, the corruption in Arkansas (that touches Huckabee also) is so wide spread that Republicans can not openly criticize Democrats for fear of the “scandal” coming back to bite them. 

Then there is the human service lie, Hill-the-business shill spoke about her concern for Arkansas children in state foster care, and what “the Clintons” (her words) accomplished in this area. In fact Arkansas sends more ex foster children to jail as adults than any state in the union. Foster care payments went from 46th most generous to 43rd most generous under the Clinton reign, partially because, under the Clinton governorship, foster homes were not inspected, monitored or licensed, as Federal law requires in return for Federal reimbursement.

Then there was her friendship with Fahmay Malak the Arkansas State Coroner who saved Bill Clinton’s mother (a practicing nurse at the time) from the devastation of a malpractice suit, and in return was granted to make some incredibally large errors on cases where the Governor, Hillary, and other royal family members were more involved than they should have been.

Hillary has claimed a vast right-wing conspiricy from day one in public life. This woman (who began adult life as a Republican may indeed be the victim of “haters” and political enemies… Then again, she may have deported herself in such a way that the “distrust and dislike” are well deserved, and the “vast right wing” thing is a dodge.

people will have to decide for themselves… BUT what I have learned is that the more FACTS (not innuendo)people have on Hill the business-shill, the less they like or trust her.

As they used to ask about Nixon; “Would you buy a used car from this woman?”

(See Case> # 52800># Angela R. v. Clinton)

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By cyrena, December 21, 2007 at 12:50 am #

#121523 by ocjim

Ocjim,

A thanks for your excellent observations, if I can just add a comment here and there.

• In the final analysis, I really can’t determine if Hillary is more ethically challenged than the other Democrats in the presidential race.
On this, if we really did have time or space for a thorough consideration of ethics in respect to them all, I’d have to say that she pretty much IS more ethically challenged than nearly all of the other dems running. I don’t know a lot about Richards, so I’d leave him out. From what I do know, he’s not. So yeah, I think she is, but we also have to consider what is ethical here. I’m going by what I think are the basic standards, but admittedly, it’s gets tricky.

• Unfortunately, running for high office carries the same corrupting influence for all candidates. As Conason points out, Clinton has had detractors dating back before the Clinton White House days, who piled money and effort to the task of destroying Bill.

On this, I agree 100%. I had the ‘concern’ for Obama as a new-comer to the inherent nastiness of US politics, that he would come under the same corrupting influence, because I don’t believe he had it to begin with. And, I still don’t believe him to be ‘ethically challenged’ in the least. But, still, the impact of the ruthlessness of it all, can clearly have it’s affects on any winners. This is why I believe that those who fail to succumb to it, are generally left on the sidelines, (ie, Dennis Kucinich). It’s also why we’ve not had a really decent president since..well, that becomes debatable, and I didn’t plan to go there.
Still, my point is that those best suited for the job rarely apply. On the rare occasions that they do, they’re generally run out of dodge by the traditional pack of hounds.

And, that points to the other main point that you make here. There is an entire brigade that has hated Hillary from day one, LONG BEFORE she ever even really stepped into the ring so to speak. At least IMHO, because I’ve listened to enough of them over the past 15 or so years. They hated her when her husband was first campaigning, which makes little sense to me. At that point, she’d done nothing to deserve the wrath, (at least not anything known to the general public) and so it was just the mindlessness of those who follow the ideology of those they hang out with. They haven’t a clue to why they ‘hate’ her, and those types never cease to piss me off, just for being stupid.

Personally, I never had anything much against her as first lady, (she did a few sort of less than honorable things, as well as some good work) and since I’m not a New Yorker, there’s been no reason for me to pay a whole lot of attention since she left the WH, until of course her tenure in the Senate materialized.

NOW, her record of the past 4 or so years, is increasingly dismal, and there are some things from the past that sort of haunt her as well. (like her association with the law firm that bailed GW out of his failed Harken business..one of his many failures) Still, your point is that there are enough that have always hated her, regardless of sound reasoning.

Most importantly now of course, is that she’s proven to be nothing more than a replacement war monger for what we’ve got now. Same basic plans for war and special interest control. Cheney thinks, if it has to be ANY of them, let it be her.

• Still many of her enemies want her to run, thinking she can be more readily beaten than others like Edwards.

Ah, this is true, but there’s the even more cynical side of it. Of all the Dems running, Hillary is far more acceptable to them then any of the others, in maintaining their current agenda. If Hillary makes it, it WILL BE with Rethug support. I’m sure of it. That’s the reality of just how corrupt they are. Any other dem candidate is not going to be NEARLY as closely aligned with rethug policy as she.

Maybe she’s not quite as ethically challenged as he, but close enough.

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By craig, December 20, 2007 at 11:57 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

“It is hard to imagine that the Clinton campaign conspired with Bill Shaheen to introduce the subject of Obama’s youthful drug use, or urged Bob Kerrey to blather on about the Illinois senator’s middle name and Muslim heritage.”

Then, Joe, you simply lack imagination.

But, you’re absolutely right, we shouldn’t expect Democratic party voters to fail to nominate a thourghly un-electable candidate, for the same reason they have done so, now three election in a row… by chosing politics over pricipals, security over vision, and the same “lock step” blind obedience to the illusory greatness of the Clinton years that conned Republicans to pick George W. Bush. 

Molly Ivins said it best in one of her last articles, “Why Hillary Won’t Save Us.”

“If Democrats in Washington haven’t got enough sense to own the issue of political reform, I give up on them entirely.”

http://www.alternet.org/story/31109/

Ultimately, if Democrats nominate Hillary it will be because they lack courage, proving the accusation Republicans have made all along: that Democrats just don’t have what it takes to do what’s right for America.

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By Y, December 20, 2007 at 11:29 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

It’s dishonest for the Clinton campaign to dismiss her ongoing nosedive as the “ups and downs” of a typical campaign.  Voters are increasingly learning about her policy contradictions and sleazy fundraising.
http://unitedagainsthillary.wordpress.com

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By GB, December 20, 2007 at 10:27 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

We’ve had enough Bush and Clinton run government haven’t we?
Bush should be in prison for starting an unprovoked war that has killed 4,000 American troops, ruined the lives of 80,0000 plus military families, killed nearly 1,000,000 innocent Iraqis and Hillary wants your vote to continue it.
The only decent candidate is Kucinich. Obama and Edwards also don’t say they won’t let the pirates currently in the White House ride off into the sunset with our rights, our treasury, our future, and our reputation.

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By ocjim, December 20, 2007 at 10:10 am #

In the final analysis, I really can’t determine if Hillary is more ethically challenged than the other Democrats in the presidential race.

Unfortunately, running for high office carries the same corrupting influence for all candidates. As Conason points out, Clinton has had detractors dating back before the Clinton White House days, who piled money and effort to the task of destroying Bill.

Many would like to declare her dead politically.

Still many of her enemies want her to run, thinking she can be more readily beaten than others like Edwards.

My main concern is rebuffing the efforts of any of the sorry candidates under the Republican banner, all of which seem to be running for dictator rather than president.

Their rabid defense of the war, torture, and restricting rights scares me almost as much as the incompetent we have in the White House.

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By weather, December 20, 2007 at 8:20 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

All America needs to know about the comming attractions of The HillBilly Show is to pay attention to Al Gore - he’s taken the road less traveled where tv reception never mattered and neither do they.

We need Adults to populate the Potomac, not incumbents of Any ilk, for they’ve been bought, threatened and indulged at the expense of integrity and esteemable leadership.

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By Conservative Yankee, December 20, 2007 at 5:47 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

There’s only one “poll” which counts, and that one is 10 1/2 months away!

Hill-the unqualified-unpleasant business-shill has plenty of time to tank!

She should (if she wants to win) hide because the more folks see, the more they want someone else!

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By 13 Martyrs, December 20, 2007 at 5:25 am #

It’s a hell of a lot easier for journalists, and especially columnists, to write about horse races and speculate on the problems of a campaign than to get to the heart of the issues, which might take some complex thinking. The Clinton camp is far from being in trouble and is as well managed as it has been from day one. Sometimes I think conservative columnists for papers, say the Washington Times or some such, gets up in the morning, and already bored from beating his dog, cheating on his wife and digging through his teenage daughter’s diary for gossip, decides, “Hey, I’ll rip Hillary a new one today and then starting tomorrow I will include Obama’s middle name in every column I write.” At the end of the day the guy still gets paid and still goes home to beat his dog.

http://13martyrs.blogspot.com/

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By i,Q, December 20, 2007 at 1:19 am #

What is difficult to imagine is how Sheehan was not executing a strategy conceived of by a hemorrhaging and panic stricken Clinton camp. Especially in conjunction with Billy Boy’s tasteless and unflattering appearance on Charlie Rose, and Obama’s lead in Iowa, team HillaryoUS is looking desperate. Even if some of these gaffes are genuine faux pas, the campaign looks embarrassingly disorganized at best. i’ll give you Kerrey though. He was just jumping on the bandwagon and probably thought he would do his part to toss another one on the question-of-electability-bonfire.

Another tell is the complete change of character in Hillary. She has forgotten all of the grooming she had been so carefully cultivating: the improved make-up to minimize the tired sagging eyelids, peeling off the permanent scowl in favor of a ubiquitous cheeky smile, the softening of the shrill tone of voice, learning how to laugh. Up until Obama and Edwards took off the gloves in October (and let’s not forget that she didn’t do herself any favors in the Couric interview with the whole issue of inevitability—no one likes an egotist), Hillary was the portrait of composure and pleasant graciousness. Since then, she has returned to looking frumpy-faced, tired, and in almost every interview she repeatedly unleashes her shrilly inflected ”I did thises” and ”My plan woulds” with all the grace of a snubbed homecoming also-ran losing to Ugly Betty—and she has grown down right argumentative with interviewers. The indignity is almost palpable.

The latest news cycle is dominated by “journalists” chastising other journalists claiming Hillary is scrutinized far more than the other candidates. In the case of this new wave of sympathy for the devil, i guess she gets what her media magnate supporters pay for, but it is her air of entitlement and unconventional long-distance power-couple marriage to the former president, and support for Bush’s sabre-rattling toward Iran, and associations with questionable campaign donors, and failure to change health care as first lady, and her stubborn secrecy relating to the white house documents which chronicle a good deal of the experience she claims as qualification to be President, not to mention having been largely vilified in the nineties by the Gingrich-Limbaugh set which may be contributing factors in her wide spread scrutiny by the press.

Team HillaryoUS knows that they’re in trouble if they can’t prevent Obama from taking Iowa, and they know they’re in trouble because the real damage of the October debate wasn’t simply a bad debate performance, but that Hillary exposed herself as a double-talking wants-her-cake-and-eat-it-too candidate who refuses to take a stand on hard issues. For the 70% of us who are tired of the status quo and want real change, that just doesn’t fly.

Does anyone else feel like fanboy Joe Conason might in fact be Chelsea writing under a pseudonym? Or maybe after taking one for the team, Sheehan’s found his new job description.

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By G.Anderson, December 19, 2007 at 11:11 pm #

Neither should she be over estimated. I noticed that you failed to mention, something that has largely been squashed by corporate media, namely that George Bush senior would become a messenger of hope, in any new Clinton adminstration, undoing all the wrongs of his son, travelling around the world as a special envoy, to spruce up America’s image around the world.

Just like the American auto industry, changing the design -the outside of cars, while the inside remains the same old sick out of date thing.

A truely Brilliant idea, except for one thing, they forget to mention it to Papa Bush.

Once again, rather than focus on the issues, the media would rather focus on the polls only. Because, the truth is too hot to handle right now.

One thing is true for certain, Hillary feels entitled to the Job, and I think her husband does too.

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By eh?, December 19, 2007 at 10:58 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)

I am dummer than a stovepipe so run that by me again. Ahead to November, Hillary has to attract a greater percentage of those who actually go to the polls than did John Kerry. She has to keep her male Democrats and, in marginal electoral-count States, increase the number of women and minorities who are motivated to go vote. In Florida, she’d beat the current Republican bunch, but where else? Forget the South and Southwest. Even the retirees in Arizona would be questionable. Young people, disgusted with old people’s warmongering, would just stay home. She’d take the small State of Vermont, unless she were facing Ron Paul. She’d take Mass, no doubt. But even progressive Connecticut, with its monstrous appetite for, say, Joe Lieberman, would split evenly with any decent Republican. If the numbers electorally are there for her, I’d like author Conason to clarify this. If she has little chance of winning, why waste another 8 years due to bad judgement? And there’s always a possibility of Mr. Bloomberg entering the race.

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