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Reports

A Phony Social Security Debate

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Posted on Nov 8, 2007

By Joe Conason

As Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton spar over Social Security, their argument has shed little light on America’s most successful domestic program but has instead revealed unattractive aspects of both candidates. Clinton has proved herself again to be excessively elusive in explaining exactly what she believes and why—while Obama has exhibited once more his own strange combination of naivete and opportunism.

This peculiar debate between the leading Democrats—with John Edwards adding his two cents as well—began when Obama glimpsed a chance to not only portray himself as the brave and forthright challenger, but to question the candor and courage of the front-runner as well. Seizing upon her reticence when the issue of Social Security’s future funding arose at a candidate forum in Iowa, he and his advisers fashioned a strategy of hitting Clinton from both the left and the right simultaneously.

Soon a commercial aired showing the Illinois senator talking to senior citizens with his sleeves rolled up. “If we have failed to have a real, honest conversation about Social Security, it will not get fixed,” he warns them, while the caption scrolls below with promises to oppose privatization, defend current benefits and tax the rich to replenish the program. By suggesting that Social Security faces a problem that must be fixed, he nods to the program’s conservative and centrist critics, especially certain figures in the mainstream media; by offering liberal promises, he appeals to the program’s defenders in the Democratic base.

In that same ad, he returns to his usual themes of bipartisan cooperation and refreshing honesty. “I don’t want to just put my finger out to the wind to see what the polls say,” he says sternly. “I want to bring the country together to solve a problem.”

At this point, someone might reasonably ask what problem Obama is proposing to solve—and why he believes that the Republican Party’s ideologues, who still want to abolish Social Security as we know it, would ever join with a new Democratic president for that purpose. His assumption that the Social Security program poses a problem that he will have to solve if elected president is incorrect. His assumption that he will be able to bring the country together is almost laughably naive, especially after the Bush administration’s humiliating defeat on this issue two years ago. Taken together, both assumptions could be dangerous to the program he is proposing to “save.”

But Obama cannot resist the role of the last honest man. According to him, Clinton is “not alone in ducking the issue. Because conventional thinking in Washington says that Social Security is the third rail of American politics. It says you should hedge, and dodge, and spin, but at all costs, don’t answer.”

Merely by demanding an “honest conversation” on the subject, however, Obama plays into the old tactics used by President Bush and other conservative leaders, who hoped to convince voters that Social Security was on the brink of bankruptcy. In truth, the program will be solvent for decades to come, despite White House propaganda to the contrary.

How solvent will depend on future rates of economic growth, immigration, life spans and a host of other factors, but unless historic trends suddenly turn sharply downward, there is no need to rush into any “solutions” that involve raising taxes or cutting benefits. The president’s alarming assertions about the program’s future insolvency always contradicted his sunny predictions of burgeoning economic growth, let alone the promises of big returns on privatized retirement accounts. It was simply a case of what the president used to call fuzzy math.

But if Obama is mistaken in his opportunism, at least part of the blame lies with Clinton, whose reluctance to speak forthrightly about Social Security dates back to the Bush privatization campaign. As the most celebrated Democrat in the Senate and a likely presidential candidate, she ought to have taken a leading role in the fight to preserve her party’s keystone legislation. She should have said then what she can still say now. And she should tell both Obama and Edwards to stop playing primary politics with Social Security when there are real fiscal issues that require our attention.

Someday in the distant future, Social Security may need adjustments. What we must confront much sooner are the exploding costs of Medicare and Medicaid—and that will mean a new health care system that combines cost controls with quality care and universal coverage. That is what the Democrats should be debating.

Joe Conason writes for the New York Observer.

© 2007 Creators Syndicate Inc.

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By P. T., November 11, 2007 at 12:17 pm #

“However, he overlooks one possibility: before Bush leaves, the neo-libs may well achieve their Holy Grail—an economy that provides an excuse to privatize social security. To wit, a massive stagflation may well occur in 2008, with wages (and therefore contributions) falling, and inflation (and therefore payments) rising. Ergo, projected numbers for social security viability will look dismal.”

Were there economic collapse, the stock market wouldn’t bail retirees out.  The stock market itself would tank.  Hence privatization isn’t the answer to anything.

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By Jonas South, November 11, 2007 at 8:24 am #

Joe Conason is right to question whether ‘rescue of social security’ is a smart campaign topic for the Dems, or is even a real problem for the country in the next fifty years or so.

However, he overlooks one possibility: before Bush leaves, the neo-libs may well achieve their Holy Grail—an economy that provides an excuse to privatize social security. To wit, a massive stagflation may well occur in 2008, with wages (and therefore contributions) falling, and inflation (and therefore payments) rising. Ergo, projected numbers for social security viability will look dismal.

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By Dennis Moss, November 9, 2007 at 5:30 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)

Did you ever experience one of those third world nations monitary exchange equvalent values vs the U S’s? You know the kind where you get 500 peso’s to 1 dollar, well I would suggest that is whats going to happen to our currency,only in reverse. It wll take 3,000.00 dollars U S to buy a grapefruit.

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By thomas billis, November 9, 2007 at 8:48 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

We have devastated our manufacturing base and have become financiers.We make less and less.Japan makes things.Germany makes things.We shuffle money around.We have not taken care of this country for our kids the way our parents did.We are the worlds largest debtor nation.We have lived way above our means and have told our kids here is the bill.Obama and Hillary are arguing about peanuts and not seeing the 700 lb gorilla in the room.The national debt has hit 9 trillion dollars.Who is going to pay that?Not us we are old.Look at your kids and with a straight face tell them to be responsible.

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By DennisD, November 8, 2007 at 6:09 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)

“A Phony Social Security Debate”

Joe, we’re damn lucky to be living in a country that has the phoniest politicians in the world to deal with a non-problem.

It’s the real problems of today that they won’t touch for fear of upsetting the ruling corporate powers. We’re 9 trillion in debt and it’s growing every day. This debt was created by our “leadership” and they’ve continued to ignore it. They’ve been pulling money out of Social Security and other programs for decades and sticking in IOU’s. That same money went to their corporate benefactors in the form of corporate welfare. As usual they’ll tell you there’s not enough money in various programs but how they got that way.

The real question is will we still be a country 30 or 40 years from now or just sold off piecemeal by our “leadership” to cover the debt. 

Vote for Ron Paul - he’s one of the few candidates if any that actually asks where the hell the money will come from to fund the new programs his colleagues can’t wait to announce. Restore some sanity to this oligarchy before it’s too late.

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By P. T., November 8, 2007 at 2:15 pm #

“… solvent for decades to come” isn’t good enough when you won’t get anything until after that.

Retirees will always get something because workers will always be paying into Social Security.  In fact decades from now retirees will get more Social Security than people get now, due to economic growth.  Future workers will have more income with which to pay in and will still have more take-home pay than they have now.

Health care is a real crisis.  Social Security is a phony “crisis.”

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By NABNYC, November 8, 2007 at 1:19 pm #

You’re right.  Hillary has not been evasive about Social Security.  She has been clear that she plans to eliminate it.  You just need to listen to what she says.  Once again, she’s right with Bush on this one.

Of course the cap should be raised to accommodate future demands.  Simple enough.  But Hillary very evasively said she will not consider doing anything to fund Social Security until she has successfully established solvency in the entire government.  Or some words to that effect.  So what does that mean, exactly?

Well luckily she answered that question a few days after she gave her tangled response in a debate.  Because her proposal is to have individuals set up their own private 401k account (to be handled by those big donors to Hillary from Wall Street), and the government would “match” or “contribute” to the workers’ 401k accounts.  Uh-huh.  Let’s see.  401k private accounts handled by Wall Street with their absurd per-account fees and account churning.  Maybe the government would contribute.  Not the employers, which would make the business world very happy.  So they will give more money to Hillary.

Then she said, with a straight face:  but this is not privatization of Social Security.

Well, actually, yes it is.  That’s exactly what it is.  She just thinks the public is so stupid that if she says 401k, they’ll think oh boy, money for me.  But it’s really just more money for Hillary.  And that’s why Hillary doesn’t want to talk about Social Security. 

In fact, when you think about it, how dare she refuse to discuss any topic that legitimately is of interest to a voter?  She said she will not even discuss it. 

Gore had it right.  It’s just like letting the corporations “borrow” the money that’s supposed to be set aside for employee pension obligations.  Then when the money’s owed, the company announces it’s broke.  Social Security should be assessed on a higher cap, say $125,000 of income, and the money should be set aside and never used by the government for any other purpose.

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By SamSnedegar, November 8, 2007 at 12:39 pm #

Oh, there is a problem associated with SS that no one wants to talk about, including Joe Conason.

The problem is that soon enough, the government won’t be able to HONOR the checks it might issue to recipients and will have to stop issuing them because it has no money with which to pay any of its bills, of which SS benefits are one.

Why will we have to do without? Because we haven’t managed to steal enough oil to save our bacon, so to mix metaphors with foodstuffs and crankcases. Iraq is only a stopgap and partial solution. We have yet to invade and occupy the Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and perhaps Venezuela so as to prop up the dollar with our stolen oil that Conason won’t discuss lest his publishers “Scheerize” him.

We’re talking WEALTH here, not money, something that your friend Krugman won’t discuss either lest he give away the game and show the way to the Enronization of the USA . . . yes, a lot of countries want us propped up because they realize that a bankrupt USA will take them down with us in the vortex behind our fall, and I suspect most of them don’t mind our stealing arab oil to stay afloat and keep the global economy humming on borrowed Chinese money.

Social Security is the very LEAST of our worries right now. The old people (like I) can just die of one thing or another, and no one will care, because that is what old people do, so starvation or exposure can take its place with cancer and heart attacks and trying to drive automobiles like competent adults (instead of doddering old fools) as the cause of death---which cannot be escaped.

We only have one issue in this 21st century, and that issue is oil. When it runs out, we can take stock and see where we have to go from there, but until it does, there is NO OTHER ISSUE which should take up more time than our quest for economic security via oil theft.

Indeed, the death of Social Security checks will help the rest of you to survive because we old people will die and make room and food and shelter for the remaining ones. Sure, in the short term some will suffer, and some will not, but no one is worrying about the near trillion dollar trade deficit and no one is worrying about a nine trillion dollar debt; why worry about SS which is doing fine so long as we can steal enough oil to keep on paying our old people?

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By P. T., November 8, 2007 at 10:02 am #

It is disappointing to hear Obama demagogue the phony Social Security issue.  However, he knows the corporate media will back him on the matter.  Members of the high-income elite are trying to wiggle out of paying the taxes for the U.S. securities held by the Social Security trust fund.

For its part, the Bush administration is engaged in a con game wherein they assume slow growth when evaluating Social Security’s prospects, but robust growth when speculating about the supposed advantages of privatization.

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By anonymous, November 8, 2007 at 6:54 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

The problem Joe, is that kids starting out today are paying a big chunk of their income to soc sec right now & they need to be assured that the program will be sound in 40 years when the projections get dicey.

“… solvent for decades to come” isn’t good enough when you won’t get anything until after that.

If we’re truly projecting shorfalls later, why wait to make some adjustments?

It’s been done several times before and it ought to be done again.

And, as Obama made clear, without privatization! 

We can only hope a democrat is in office when the next changes are made--unless it’s Hillary, of course.

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