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Speaking Truth to NonsensePosted on Oct 23, 2007By Marie Cocco WASHINGTON—Here is a headline not seen: “Cautious Clinton abandons reserve and reveals a stunning truth.” This isn’t a story about how Hillary Rodham Clinton gave birth to an alien baby, a tabloid headline she once told me she had glimpsed as she raced through the Albany, N.Y., airport. This is the sort of excitement that might have greeted Clinton’s conclusion that Social Security is not in crisis. But it didn’t. The media reaction to this remarkable pronouncement consisted mostly of hand-wringing about how the leading Democratic presidential contender has no plan to fix a system that she says does not need immediate repair. That, combined with right-wing furor over the fact that candidate Hillary Clinton’s position is different in the 2008 presidential campaign from what her husband’s was in 1998 is about all that’s been said concerning Sen. Clinton’s gambit that turns conventional Washington wisdom upside down. “Don’t you believe all these people running around crying wolf about Social Security,” Clinton said in a speech on retirement security in Iowa. “That is exactly what they’re doing. They’re trying to get people confused and upset and agree to a bad deal.” Then, in a Washington Post interview, Clinton said of the giant retirement and disability-insurance system: “I do not believe it is in a crisis.” Plain language can be incendiary because often it’s true. For about two decades, political conservatives, Wall Street-backed think tanks and a harping chorus of supposedly expert panels—many stacked with members from those very same think tanks, whose work is bankrolled by the financial industry—have pounded out a steady rhythm of disinformation about Social Security. Variations on the theme are that Social Security is “going bankrupt,” or can’t survive the baby boomers’ retirement, or is a Ponzi scheme built upon a foundation of “worthless IOUs”—that is, U.S. government bonds. In keeping up this particular part of the drumbeat, it is never mentioned that there’s never been a default on such bonds. The miasma was thick during the 1990s, when stock values were soaring and it seemed for a while that even a clerk might do better with a mutual fund than a supposedly meager Social Security check. Then President Bush sought in 2005 to capitalize on the myths—and told a few whoppers of his own—with his politically disastrous proposal to change Social Security from a system of government-guaranteed payments to one in which individuals finance their retirements mostly through private investments. Through it all, too many Democrats quaked with worry over being politically outfoxed by conservatives. They feared Republicans somehow would find a way to rob them of FDR’s mantle. As they sought to stop Bush’s plan, House Democrats privately pressed Nancy Pelosi, then the Democratic minority leader, to come up with a “plan” to “save” Social Security as a way of countering the president. She refused. That’s partly why Clinton can now speak truth to nonsense. Social Security can pay full benefits until 2041, according to the latest report by the plan’s trustees. By then, the baby boomers will be dying off. The oldest among them would be 96; the youngest, 77. Even after that, the system would be able to pay benefits which, in real terms, are larger than they are today, according to economist Mark Weisbrot, who co-authored the 1999 book “Social Security: The Phony Crisis.” With the system sufficiently financed to fund more than three decades of benefits, there’s no near-term “crisis” to address. And even if Congress were to come up with legislation that would close Social Security’s long-range deficit, “the changes needed are less than what we did in the ’50s, ’60s, the ’70s and the ’80s,” Weisbrot says. “That’s the end of the story, as far as I’m concerned.” But this has been the story that won’t die. That it’s a tall tale has never mattered to a chattering class that needs crisis to sustain the chatter. Clinton’s stature as the Democrats’ leading candidate could change the presumptions. “The fact is, everyone thinks it’s a crisis,’’ says Dean Baker, Weisbrot’s co-author. Baker says Clinton’s position is “encouraging, because it’s true. Also, because of where it indicates she will go in policy.” Still, she’ll be chastised for being evasive or downright cowardly, and undoubtedly be accused of failing to articulate the “tough choices” to be made on Social Security. But the easy way out is for a candidate to buy into conventional wisdom, even when there’s nothing wise about it. The tougher choice is standing up for the truth. Marie Cocco’s e-mail address is mariecocco(at)washpost.com. © 2007, Washington Post Writers Group Previous item: The Mormon Issue Next item: War Costs Spiral Out of Control Elsewhere: . CommentsAre you a Truthdig member yet? Login now, or register with Truthdig.
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By Conservative Yankee, October 27, 2007 at 5:20 am # 109798 by Nomascerdo on 10/26 at 2:40 pm “Conservative Yankee - fair enough, the 70’s were a disaster but what you call an ‘oil shortage’ was really an oil embargo” I refrain from ever using the term “embargo” which moves the debate to “a higher plain” where corporate executives live. Companies are designed to make money. I respect that. Every pleasure, necessity, and want I have ever filled in my life is due to Standard of New York making a good profit! I always use “shortage” because that is exactly what the man (and woman) on the street felt. $3 worth of gas on odd days, with a cut-off point at 1PM looks like a SHORTAGE when you are sitting in line.
By Conservative Yankee, October 26, 2007 at 1:46 pm # 109753 by Nomascerdo on 10/26 at 10:42 am “I will also point out that just because the US Government has never defaulted on its debts outstanding doesn’t mean that it can’t or won’t. We haven’t had a real financial crisis in this country since the 1930’s and as a result we have become complacent and lulled into thinking that ‘it can’t happen here’. In fact it can happen here. In fact, the risk of it happening here has never been greater than today.” Half agree, and half disagree. You are right, Just because in hasn’t. doesn’t mean it won’t. Remember the muni failures of the 1970’s? That could, wouldn’t hadn’t happened either… but it did, and widows and orphans who thought their funds were seriously disappointed. The “disagree” is with your statement “We haven’t had a real financial crisis in this country since the 1930’s” Yes, we have and again it was in the seventies when twin crisis hit. First the Vietnam war ended SUDDENLY, and not only did we get our soldiers back into the jobs market. we imported a bunch of “friendlies” AND just at the worng time cause the “Oil shortage” hit. I remember 3 mile long lines on Canal Street in Lawrence ...folks waiting to get into the unemployment office. The big textile mills, already tottering shut their gates for the first time since the city was constructed. The auto companies (didn’t have a clue this was coming) laid off fully half their work force, The talk was that the Saudi Sheiks were going to buy America, disassemble it, and sell the pieces. For the first time in my memory, they shut off the Citgo sign in Kenmore Square. Massachusetts lowered the speed limit from 65 to 50 overnight. Gas stations sold gas $3 a car only, and they were usually out of gas by lunchtime. The big highways that circled the city were empty after 6PM Cities shut off their streetlights, and any entity selling alcohol was forbidden from using lights in their advertising. I never saw the night in the old town as dark! Tehy thought that was the end too! BUT it wasn’t.
By Jim Shaw, October 25, 2007 at 5:21 am # Ernest Canning, my understanding is that removing the cap won’t completely cover the gap between promised S.S. benefits and expected revenues, but it will cover most of it. I agree with you that we should remove the cap. However, my central point stands, that the S.S. system has been used to shift the tax burden from the wealthy to the working class.
By Conservative Yankee, October 24, 2007 at 1:40 pm # 109314 by RdV on 10/24 at 11:21 am “Sorry to burst your bubble...” Don’t worry you didn’t… and for heaven’s sake don’t be “sorry” there are far too many “sorry” people in this thread!
By Jim Shaw, October 24, 2007 at 1:31 pm # A few facts: In my view, this is a sad state of affairs. The wealthy always “get theirs” up front, while the rest of us wait for an illusory payback down the road, whether it’s “trickle down” economics or the tax code. So, in my view, the S.S. system is not fiscally sound (although Medicare is in WAY worse shape and much more deserving of the term “crisis"), but that’s a secondary issue to the fact that it’s been used as a stealth tax-shifting vehicle.
By rodney, October 24, 2007 at 11:33 am # Social Security is the biggest chain letter scam ever put upon the American people. Some people get payed now who didn’t pay, so the ones who will get payed later by the next generation. A lot of people went to jail for running that same scam, But it’s okay for the government to scam us. The bottom will fall out eventually, especially with all of the money that we waste fighting wars. Anyone who depends on Social Security to take care of them in their old age is living in a dream world. In about 30 years our financial system will begin to fall like a deck of cards. Many politicans and economists know it, but refuse to let us know or acknowledge it. We will have a society of the have nots and have mores. Oil will not be affordable to most people as the holes in the sand will dry up. That’s why our selfish society we live in today are living for today. Our children and grandchildren will pay the piper for all of the war debt that we are occurring today.Our future generstion won’t know the same prosperous America we know today. So we need to remind them of the generation our parents and grandparents live in and let them know what their America will be like.
By Conservative Yankee, October 24, 2007 at 4:21 am # Social Security is one of those things in American life that has a duel edge. First, no one wants to see old folks starve. Social security was a program much needed, and was envisioned as “one leg of a three legged stool” The other two legs were employee retirement, and personal investment” It was also a RETIREMENT program. Folks here who say it was “the most successful government program ever” aren’t just whistling Dixie! BUT it has been a victim of it’s own success. Because of social security, businesses reduced the precentage they were willing to pay for retirement by the amount paid by social security. The program has also become a repository for other programs (Disability, survivors, etc) NOW I’m not saying here that these other programs should not be available (I might say that elsewhere, but my “view” is not part of this discussion) If the government wanted to add these programs they should have been allowed to stand on their own weight, easier to add them to a successful program, so that is what our overworked politicians did. Franklin Roosevelt was very concerned about other uses for the social Security Number. He promised that “The Social Security Number will never be used for other identification.” Indeed my social security card has the words “NOT FOR IDENTIFICATION” right under my signature. That was my “Contract” with the United States Government BUT they have (did someone mention ENRON here?) changed the contract unilaterally. I now must have a social security number to get a driver’s license, buy a gun, or even have a phone installed. The “conservatives” among us realize that the folks who run government will TAKE all the power and money available to them. The only way to stop this hog-slopping is to take nothing from them, and give them as little as possible. Reality has now dictated the need for another Huge government program...health care. It is necessary and inevitable (on some future plane, but to get it we lose our rights to medical privacy. we lose the right to say no to seat-belts, anti-smoking ordenances, and a host of other things yet to be determined. This is way too long for anyone to read through...I’ll attempt to make future posts shorter!
By Conservative Yankee, October 23, 2007 at 1:32 pm # From the right: http://www.heritage.org/Research/SocialSecurity/em940.cfm From the left:\ http://www.brookings.edu/opinions/1996/0721saving_aaro n.aspx Far from being a “right wing” issue, Danial Patrick Moynahan (D NY) William Proxmire (D Wis) and Everybody’s fat dog patch buddy Bill Clinton where concerned about the lack of real assets (other than the government’s word) to back the SS promise. The idea of a “social security lock box” was Ross Perot’s. remember him? He’s the one who DIDN’T become president!
By thomas billis, October 23, 2007 at 1:31 pm # What an amazing thing.Economist after economist, trustees of the system, independent auditors tell you one thing and if you read the commenters, economists all, the system is broken and cannot function.For conservatives to break up anything that is a legacy of FDR is a little piece of heavan.Republicans have learned you frighten first,screw with the figures and for sure the Americans will make a bad choice that will put money in their pockets.It is a game plan that worked perfectly to get us into war and almost worked for social security but enough people informed them of the real numbers where the plan did not work.Bottom line social security is as strong as the country is.
By CAGary, October 23, 2007 at 11:29 am # It’s a start. The “Social Security Crisis” has always been a fraud. Most of the “studies” that trumpet this nonsense assume a growth rate for the economy of about half the historical average since WWII. Want to have some fun? Next time you hear an Idiot-American spouting off about “managing my own retirement money”, ask him how the markets will be able to make up the difference if the economy is only going to grow half as fast as it has for 60 years. Watch out for exploding heads! Selah.
By Conservative Yankee, October 23, 2007 at 10:56 am # Truth is subjective. They say “these new clinton experts” that everything is fine. BUT the numbers don’t lie, and it is not about right-wing Republicans attempting to “scare” people into a bad deal. Bill Proxmire (Democrat) began telling people to do something about the social security mess in the 1970’s. He said that by 2020 there would be 1 worker for every two retirees. At the rate we are exporting good jobs and accepting poor-paying service jobs, it may be even earlier. Oh, Yeah Hill-the shill, one question; What about the far larger problem at Medicare/aid? You got a private insurer who wants that supertanker of red ink? Geesh! What a country, one side lies to us by saying “they’re gonna get you” and the other side lies saying “don’t worry, every thing’s just fine.” and the press tells us they are both telling us the truth.
By Conservative Yankee, October 23, 2007 at 10:44 am # “How could a system that’s been paid into by the huge number of baby boomer wage earners be in such dire straights.” A good question until one realizes there IS NO “Social Security Trust Fund” All this money paid in is like the money paid to US steel as |
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