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Reports

The Quickest Way to End the War

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Posted on Oct 5, 2007

By E.J. Dionne

WASHINGTON—Would conservatives and Republicans support the war in Iraq if they had to pay for it?

This is the immensely useful question that Rep. David Obey, the chairman of the House Appropriations Committee, put on the table this week by calling for a temporary war tax to cover President Bush’s request for $145 billion in supplemental spending for Iraq.

The proposal is a magnificent way to test the seriousness of those who claim that the Iraq war is an essential part of the “global war on terror.” If the war’s backers believe in it so much, it should be easy for them to ask taxpayers to put up the money for such an important endeavor.

Obey makes the case pointedly. “Some people are being asked to pay with their lives or their faces or their hands or their arms or their legs,” he said in an interview this week. “If you’re going to ask for that, it doesn’t seem too much to ask an average taxpayer to pay thirty bucks for the cost of the war so we don’t have to shove it off on our kids.”

Or as Obey said in a statement, “I’m tired of seeing that only military families are asked to sacrifice in this war.”

Unfortunately, the Democratic leadership ran away from this idea as fast as you could say the words “Republican majority.” That, of course, is what Democrats are afraid of. “Just as I have opposed the war from the outset,” said House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, “I am opposed to a war surtax.”

Obey doesn’t hold this against his leadership. “They don’t want to be demagogued by the White House when they have other fish to fry,” he said.

But it’s a shame that Democrats remain so defensive on the tax issue that they aren’t willing to bring this proposal to the floor. What if the price for passing President Bush’s supplemental appropriation were a tax to cover its costs? What if opponents of the war voted no because they are against Bush’s policy, and Republicans voted no because they think low taxes are more important than national security, as they define it?

That’s an aggressive way to frame anti-tax “no” votes, but it’s also accurate. If a war appropriations bill with a tax included went down to overwhelming defeat, wouldn’t that tell us something about the depth of commitment to this war? 

The Obey surtax, co-sponsored by Reps. Jim McGovern, D-Mass., and John Murtha, D-Pa., envisions a sliding scale of roughly 2 percent on the taxes paid by lower-income Americans and up to 15 percent on upper-income Americans. Since wars are waged, in principle, on behalf of the entire country, this is the rare Democratic proposal that does not put the entire burden of taxation on the rich.

The plan does not ask for a tax to cover the $45 billion in Bush’s supplemental request to pay for the war in Afghanistan. “There are legitimate expenditures on which we don’t mind sharing the costs with future generations,” Obey says, noting that there is a broad consensus that the fight in Afghanistan is in the long-term interest of the country. It might be less gimmicky to pay for both wars now, but some revenue is better than nothing.

Ah, you say, but this is just symbolic politics. I don’t think so, but let’s assume it is. This idea is far more serious than the utterly empty fight Bush is about to pick with Congress over a $21 billion to $23 billion difference in spending in a federal budget that totals $2.7 trillion.

Here is a president who signed one bloated spending bill after another—as long as they were passed by a Republican Congress—posing as a fiscal conservative now that Democrats hold the majority. He’s so tough and determined that he’s also drawn the line on ... children’s health care.

Bush has often let it be known that he hates “small ball” politics. But there is nothing smaller or more trivial than a budget fight over a difference that any responsible president could easily resolve in negotiations with Congress. War spending aside, Obey says it would take no more than a week to reach a reasonable compromise on the overall budget if the White House would just engage.

And if the president believes in this war so much and doesn’t want to raise taxes, let him propose the deep spending cuts it would take to cover the costs. Then Bush would show how much of a priority he believes this war is—and he wouldn’t be playing small ball.

E.J. Dionne’s e-mail address is postchat(at)aol.com.

© 2007, Washington Post Writers Group

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Comment Pages: 1 2 »

By cyrena, October 13, 2007 at 4:37 am #
(4165 comments total)

#106475 by Conservative Yankee

..."Just two things that might change your mind…
I’m keeping my guns!
and
I don’t like government sponsored cash give-a-ways....TO ANYONE, including Lockheed/Martin!”

Well CY, we’re still OK, even with this. I admit I’m not fond of guns, but I don’t have a problem with the Constitution that allows for the “bearing of arms”. My problem with guns is only that they wind up in the hands of every thug, hoodlum with a few bucks, and that they also wind up in the hands of those who would take their own lives, or shoot up schools, and that sort of thing.

I’m trusting (by now) that this is not your intention, and so that’s fine. You can keep your guns.

As for government bailouts of Lockheed Martin, I’m DEFINITELY with you on that. So...we’re fine there. I don’t believe in Corporate Welfare for ANY of them!!

I didn’t believe they should bail-out the airline industry when they did either. And, I’m sure I could think of others.

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By Conservative Yankee, October 12, 2007 at 5:14 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

106384 by cyrena on 10/11 at 6:20 pm

“So now, you’re not even a wing-nut. We might even be able to hang our flags out again.”

Just two things that might change your mind…
I’m keeping my guns!
and
I don’t like government sponsored cash give-a-ways....TO ANYONE, including Lockheed/Martin!

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By cyrena, October 11, 2007 at 6:43 pm #
(4165 comments total)

#106275 by driving bear on 10/11 at 10:19 am

• A Question to ALL who will give an answer.
Driving bear, maybe the question should be slightly re-worded to ALL who CAN give an answer. So, that would be the first step to your ultimate question, and I don’t think there are many who can, for the reasons you’ve mentioned.

• The true problem is not the media or corporate campaign money.

Here’s where you trip up though….just in comparing things that are not mutually exclusive, (at least not to the problem of the concentration of Paris Hilton and whomever else you mentioned). You’re comparing media and corporate campaign money. What does corporate campaign money have to do with the shallow focus of American attention on whether or not J Lo has on underwear?

So, in order to offer a ‘method’ for your goal, and to answer your question:
• So my question is HOW DO WE CONVENCE MUSHROOMS TO COME INTO THE LIGHT?

We first have to acknowledge that you’re wrong on your premise that the “media” is NOT the problem. Because…it IS!! How else do you imagine that the mushrooms became mushrooms to begin with? They like to stay in the dark, and be fed a lot of crap. Where is the best place to thrive as a mushroom? Humm, how about anywhere the mainstream media is? (That is, the MSM of the 21st Century).

MY own “guess” is that you might want to try your persuasion (convincing them to come into the ‘light’ – which I call the “TRUTH”) by convincing them to turn off the TV, avoid the tabloids, avoid the religious rhetoric, and before you know it, they’ll be coming into the light. (Truth) because they won’t have that same crap to thrive on, in the dark.

The OTHER alternative, is to try to put some of that truth, (rather than the crap) IN the media, which will work far better (at least for some) than just trying to cut them off entirely. I mean, how are you gonna get a TV junkie to give up the TV? How do you ‘convince’ anyone who has already been ‘programmed’ by the media, other than to re-program ‘the media’?

In other words, we are what we eat. If the media stops serving the crap, the mushrooms will have to start eating something else.
That’s my contribution.

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By Ernest Canning, October 11, 2007 at 6:30 pm #
(1624 comments total)

CY & Cyrena.  Kudos to both of you.  Now if only we could reach out to a few million more people--well, at least every one we know.

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By cyrena, October 11, 2007 at 6:20 pm #
(4165 comments total)

#106195 by Conservative Yankee

...."Done Yesterday, now I’m a Democrat for the first time since they shot Robert Kennedy."…

Hot Damn CY!!

You have just made my day (10-11-07)! smile

I am so proud of you/us. We’re in the same box now!!

I’m sending you a hug. (you can always change your mind later) even when you’re skruff. (I liked you then too, and I just don’t picture you as a knuckle-dragging neanderthal). So now, you’re not even a wing-nut. We might even be able to hang our flags out again.

You GO! - CY - YEY!!

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By driving bear, October 11, 2007 at 10:19 am #
(234 comments total)

A Question to ALL who will give an answer.

In looking back on politics over my lifetime ( I’m 36 )I have come to one conclusion. The true problem is not the media or corporate campaign money but instead that a large percentage of the American population want to be mushrooms. Let me explain a mushroom is a plant (well technically a fungi) that wants to “ be in the dark and fead lots of crap”
To American mushrooms the important issues of the day are is Paris Hilton wearing underwear today, is J Lo pregnant etc..

I for one do not think any progress will be made until mushrooms want to come into the light.
So my question is HOW DO WE CONVENCE MUSHROOMS TO COME INTO THE LIGHT?

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By Conservative Yankee, October 11, 2007 at 4:34 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

106125 by Ernest Canning on 10/10 at 5:21 pm

“CY, better hurry up and change party registration to Dem if you want to vote for Dennis.”

Done Yesterday, now I’m a Democrat for the first time since they shot Robert Kennedy. 

BUT In Maine, you can re’reg on primary day, so I had PLENTY of time.

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By cyrena, October 10, 2007 at 10:38 pm #
(4165 comments total)

#106143 by Ernest Canning on 10/10

Leefeller, the beauty of American Democracy is that you can ignore what the polls and the pundits tell you.  Turn off CNN and Fox, march into the voting booth and vote for what’s real--Kucinich--as opposed to plastique--Clinton, Obama, Edwards, Giuliani (pick none).

=================
Well Ernest,

This is exactly what I’M gonna do. (and feel real good about it too!) You’ve been very helpful in directing my attention this way, but in the end, the other 3 disqualified themselves. (at least for me). (and I wouldn’t have even considered any of the repugs, so it was only a matter of me waiting to see, hear, and figure out where the dems were at). I’d be OK with Gravel as well, though he’s made it clear that he would ONLY do one term. So, maybe he can do a VP slot to help Kucinich out of this huge mess.

It’s gonna take some time to fix this shit.

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By Leefeller, October 10, 2007 at 6:51 pm #
(1233 comments total)

Earnest I was getting ready to post another rant, but I will make this short, my vote will be for Kucinich or Gravel when the time comes, sorry for the snow ball analogy, equipment break downs and such had me in a negative mode. 

Must vote for Integrity. What is so sad the media has Hillary in the bag, which is where she should be.

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By Ernest Canning, October 10, 2007 at 6:28 pm #
(1624 comments total)

Leefeller, the beauty of American Democracy is that you can ignore what the polls and the pundits tell you.  Turn off CNN and Fox, march into the voting booth and vote for what’s real--Kucinich--as opposed to plastique--Clinton, Obama, Edwards, Giuliani (pick none).

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By Ernest Canning, October 10, 2007 at 5:21 pm #
(1624 comments total)

CY, better hurry up and change party registration to Dem if you want to vote for Dennis.

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By Conservative Yankee, October 10, 2007 at 10:17 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

“...snow balls melting into the sunset.  Money talks for money’s sake.”

It doesn’t speak for me…

Kucinich 08

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By Leefeller, October 10, 2007 at 9:59 am #
(1233 comments total)

Look even though I do not like Hillary, I will be forced to vote for the best of the worst again. So the poll may not be correct.  To bad we do not have a choice of anyone with even a little integrity.

Kucinich, Gravel and Ron Paul are the only ones who have spoken out against the war, snow balls melting into the sunset.  Money talks for money’s sake.

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By driving bear, October 10, 2007 at 9:47 am #
(234 comments total)

Reply to #105962 by Myronh on 10/10 at 6:07 am
I think H. Clinton will be the candidate for the democrats. On the GOP side I think the candidate will be either Rudi or Mike Huckabee. If I had to give odds on the General election I think the GOP will keep the White house because to many people hate H. Clinton , A poll mentioned on this site put the number at 52 % . I don’t see her turning this around, because she has been in the public eye since 92 and for good or bad people have formed their opinion of her

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By NYT 9237723, October 10, 2007 at 7:55 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

The reason to vote for Kucinich in the primaries is to demonstrate, once again, to the Democratic Party the need to formulate an exit plan from Iraq and impliment it before 2013.

I doubt that Kucinich will win any primaries, but a strong showing would give him more clout in crafting planks in the Democratic platform.

In the amazing event that he might win the Democratic nomination, he could win the election, not because he’s well known, but because his nomination would saddle the Republicans with this war. The American people want out, and he’s been against it all along.

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By Leefeller, October 10, 2007 at 7:27 am #
(1233 comments total)

Politics in the United States, control of the mass media keeping the public blind, for politicians are expert pullers of the strings and ropes like the wizard in” The Wizard of Oz”, experienced snake charmers, evangelical opportunists, using manipulation as means to an end. 

Intended as a service to the county like jury duty, instead when politics becomes a mindset goal and career it becomes the bane of society, personal agendas, to accumulate wealth and power is a powerful drive.

Hillary, is a perfect example, stomps not steps of opportunism are so obvious.  Stench of money much more apparent then most other politicians, success of course in her case, so now Hillary supports the war.

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By Myronh, October 10, 2007 at 6:07 am #
(23 comments total)

All Commentors: Start our own Poll. Who do you think will be the next President?

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By Conservative Yankee, October 10, 2007 at 5:12 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

105911 by Ernest Canning on 10/09 at 8:48 pm

CY, an especially good, scientific approach to the issue is provided by Steven F. Freeman, PhD & Joel Bleifuss in “Was the 2004 presidential election stolen? exit polls, election fraud and the official count.”

In the meantime, heed the words of the infamous dictator, Joseph Stalin:  “Those who cast the votes decide nothing.  Those who count the votes decide everything.”

It is HArd to “steal” a New Hampshire election, away from the larger Urban areas. 

The votes are counted (paper ballots) as follows.

There are two representatives from both major political Parties. Parties (such as the Greens) may also provide representatives if they wish. The locked ballot box is filled by voters while these representatives stand or sit next to it. There are two locks, and each major party has a key to only one. the ballot counting is done in a public arena, and anyone can challenge the way the votes are counted. a challenge results in a “contested” ballot which is still counted. The contested ballots only become an issue IF there are enough of them to “swing” the election. The ballots passed through the official counters (Republican rep, Democratic Rep, Green rep, etc. they are each tallies the ballot as they read it. If the tallies are different at the finish, the votes are recounted. in the tallies are different, there is NO official count until the tallies are synchronized.

I have counted Ballots in Franconia, and I can tell you it’s a long tedious process.  Much easier to “fix” an election in Manchester, Nashua, or Rockingham County, where the voting is done by machine.

As I said once before, the process is as good as the people. Stalin was only one. the Russians were 175 Million… Someone must have supported him?

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By driving bear, October 9, 2007 at 11:53 pm #
(234 comments total)

question for #105771 by Conservative Yankee on 10/09 at 7:44 am

I have a question about NH. you said NH is a conservative state but went democratic. When you say democratic do you mean the state went more liberal or is a NH democrat like southern democrats who tend to be more conservative aka “Dixiecrat’s”

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By cyrena, October 9, 2007 at 9:57 pm #
(4165 comments total)

#105780 by RJ Crane

...."I doubt even the hawkish Repubs would want to vote for any bill sponsored by him. Everyone of these war bills should have to fist pass the Larry Craig smell test”.....

RJ CRANE

Seems like I just read a headline that Larry Craig was to be ‘voted’ into the Iowa Hall of Fame. (no, I didn’t read it...)

So, I don’t think that’s gonna work. They aren’t gonna stop this long planned OIL HEIST, and as long as we keep paying for it, that’s that much longer they can hold onto their own money.

Still, when the bottom completely drops out, and there’s no more of our own money left to use, Halliburton is already poised right there in Dubai, to continue the eternal project.

He’s not leaving without that OIL.

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By Ernest Canning, October 9, 2007 at 8:48 pm #
(1624 comments total)

CY, an especially good, scientific approach to the issue is provided by Steven F. Freeman, PhD & Joel Bleifuss in “Was the 2004 presidential election stolen? exit polls, election fraud and the official count.”

In the meantime, heed the words of the infamous dictator, Joseph Stalin:  “Those who cast the votes decide nothing.  Those who count the votes decide everything.”

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By RJ Crane, October 9, 2007 at 8:27 am #
(1 comments total)

If you really want to see the war end it’s actually simpler that making the GOP pay for it. All you need to do is insist that any spending bills or other bills that keep this war going in the Senate be sponsored by Larry Craig.  I doubt even the hawkish Repubs would want to vote for any bill sponsored by him. Everyone of these war bills should have to fist pass the Larry Craig smell test.

RJ Crane, editor
topplebush.com

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By Conservative Yankee, October 9, 2007 at 7:44 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

105757 by Ernest Canning on 10/09 at 7:12 am

“CY, the question is whether voters “lied” to pollsters in the 2002 NH election or whether there was vote tampering.”

...or maybe a little of both. BUT the Manchester ballots (most easily tampered) came in about as expected, it was the outlander ballots from scores of small (under 1200 population) towns that reflected greatest disparity. AND although there is a well documented list of GOP dirty tricks, and even one prosecution resulting in a jail sentence. the New Hampshire voters have a long history of turning elections on their ear. Also while Sununu was elected State wide, the Democrats made inroads into the rock-solid Republican base in the State House.  Then (as you probably know) the State Legislature went Democratic in both houses for the first time in 100 years. We’re talking about a very traditionally conservative State here… BUT Conservative or not, New Hampshireites do not like people playing with the vote....and although the National Media missed it, Bill Loeb’s newspaper caught the story (I believe) correctly.  The swing to Democrats in 2006 was more about cheating and dishonesty IN NEW HAMPSHIRE, than about “outside influences.”

Now we’ll wait for the Democrats to make the same mistake.

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By Ernest Canning, October 9, 2007 at 7:12 am #
(1624 comments total)

CY, the question is whether voters “lied” to pollsters in the 2002 NH election or whether there was vote tampering.

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By cyrena, October 9, 2007 at 6:25 am #
(4165 comments total)

#105708 by Conservative Yankee

This time it’s the cell-phone crowd which is being under counted. Polling organizations are blithly running along counting land-line voters, but demographics come into play here too. The Cell population is generally younger, informed by the web, rather than radio or TV, or if TV, outside “traditional” news sources.

We could have a serious upset here folks.... IF the US citizens exhibit unsheparded behavior.
.............................

Thanks CY, for this historical reminder, and the things that we need to keep in perspective. I couldn’t have said it nearly as well.

We’re in the same box on this one. wink

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By Conservative Yankee, October 9, 2007 at 4:41 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

Back in ‘48, when Dewey beat Truman (for the presidency) the Roper polling organization made a huge mistake in counting numbers.

They did their “polling” by phone.  Now probably most don’t remember that long-gone era, but the phone was new “cutting edge” for most people outside urban areas.  Where Uncle Bill lived in Goffstown NH. he had to walk a mile to the general store which had a phone.

The break down was along Urban/rural voters, and Roper under counted the rural (non-phoned) population, who were overwhelmingly for Truman.

This time it’s the cell-phone crowd which is being under counted. Polling organizations are blithly running along counting land-line voters, but demographics come into play here too. The Cell population is generally younger, informed by the web, rather than radio or TV, or if TV, outside “traditional” news sources.

We could have a serious upset here folks.... IF the US citizens exhibit unsheparded behavior.

From New Hampshire: The folks up there traditionally lie to pollsters. witness the 2002 election which exit polls had Jean Shaheen beating John Sununu 47% 46% (Concord Monitor)and 46% 42% (Univ of NH) Sununu actually won 51% over Shaheen 42%

There is only one poll that matters....and it is a ways away!

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By Calm, October 9, 2007 at 2:15 am #
(4 comments total)

If the politicians refuse to cut the Iraq War funding, then why don’t the anti-war folks just walk down to their local bank and ask for their money in Canadian dollars?

Nobody would lose any money because the more people who demanded Canadian dollars, the higher the value of the Canadian dollar would become.

It sure beats depending on street protests and having to schedule time to attend protests.

By exchanging funds at the bank, you could do it on your own time and quietly without much scheduling problems.

Calm

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By cyrena, October 9, 2007 at 12:55 am #
(4165 comments total)

#105644 by driving bear

...I don’t mean to be a killjoy, but I don’t think Kucinish can overtake H. Clinton in so short a time."…

I understand and agree with the “politics” of what you’re suggesting here db. IOW, the REALITY of the set-up. The “TIME” element. And, based on conventional analysis, (like the math) I have to agree with you. So, you’re not really being a ‘killjoy”, but simply stating the reality, which many others have already come to, even right here on this thread.

The prediction is that the next president has already been determined. Guiliani (am I spelling his name correctly?) That’s what the real grapevine has to say/think. A reward for his cooperation in the 9-11 operation.

Now that reality of course, would make all of this other posturing, and all of the campainging, and all of the whole thing, pretty much a wasted effort. (not to mention the billions of dollars involved).

Now, THAT’S the ‘grapevine’ from those who think that we will actually HAVE an election. Others (on both sides of the partisan aisle) have considered the high probability that elections will be cancelled between now and a year from now, as we will no longer be a democracy with an executive branch, even in “name” or on paper.

For so many of us, we are simply at the coup d’etat stage of the Coup that began with the December 2000 judical appointment of the Cheney Regime. Others will argue that it didn’t occur until 9-11, and still others will argue that it began even earlier. All have various supporting elements.

But, I guess I said all of that to say that just as you don’t believe that anyone can overtake Hillary on the dem side, nobody can overtake Guiliani on the Repug side, and that’s only if we actually do go through the motions of pretending to have a democratic election.

So, I’m admitting to playing into the same fantasy of anyone else, when even discussing the ‘odds’ or chances of any specific candidate, based on conventional wisdom of the past.

Our system is no longer what we thought we had, (even with all of it’s flaws) prior to the turn of the New Century. We can entertain ourselves with political predictions, (as we always have) but that’s really all that it is. Like working a cross-word or something similar. All in all, it’s a facade.  The results are already determined.

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By Douglas Chalmers, October 8, 2007 at 10:47 pm #
(2932 comments total)

#105416 by Ernest Canning on 10/07 at 5:19 pm: “...Your right, Doug, voting for Bush’s buddies is not a way forward.  That is precisely why I wouldn’t vote for Hillary....”

I think we can agree that neither Ron Paul nor Hillary Clinton are Bush’s buddies, actually, Ernest.

That leaves the issue of how democracy splits people into two camps (instead of a ‘unity government’) and thus the careers of half of the “most experienced and most qualified” people are effectively wasted and their talents and abilities are forever lost to their country.

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By driving bear, October 8, 2007 at 8:46 pm #
(234 comments total)

Reply to #105523 by cyrena on 10/08 at 9:58 am

Cyrena I think you are overlooking one big problem you will have in building grass roots support for Dennis Kucinish.  TIME With so many of the primaries being early this election cycle a candidate can have enough delegates to win the either parties nomination by Feb 5 08 , super Tuesday . that’s only 119 days away ( I did the math )

I don’t mean to be a killjoy, but I don’t think Kucinish can overtake H. Clinton in so short a time.

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By cyrena, October 8, 2007 at 9:58 am #
(4165 comments total)

#105441 by driving bear

OK, I understand better now, where you’re at DB. I’m not that far. I’m only at the primaries now, so that’s what I had in mind in the last post. There is no way that I personally could endorse any of the republican candidates that are currently in the race. So, I had already narrowed down my own pool of choices from the dems, and the 3 forerunners are out.

And, as a general rule I do find some legitimacy in poll data. But, not this time around, and not this far out. For now, Clinton is holding the dem lead, and we know that she is not anti-war. None of the repugs (besides Ron Paul I guess) claim to be anti-war. Ron Paul is not acceptable to me or even most dems, because of the religious thing. I would suggest that the Christian right has wrecked as much havoc on our society in the past decade than even GW alone. (or GW couldn’t have wrecked the havoc without them).

As the time draws closer, and after the primaries, maybe I’ll actually pay closer attention to the poll numbers. For now, it’s probably a waste of time. I would like to believe that we might just come up with a “silent majority” showing for Kucinich, but I don’t know that.

In the times that we live in now, this polling info is simply not as useful as it may have been in the past. Just think, the Cheney Thugs have been able to live in the WH for the last 7 years, and we never elected them, either time. They stole the DC property in the Judicial Coup of 2000, (we elected Al Gore, and the Cheney team took over). Then in 2004, John Kerry won, and they still wouldn’t move out.

What can I say?

That

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By Paul_GA, October 8, 2007 at 2:37 am #
(59 comments total)

Ron Paul’s the “good candidate”, drivingbear. All the rest are war-mongering scoundrels for whom patriotism is the last refuge---and that goes for the Demos as well as the rest of the Repubs (with a very few glowing exceptions in the opposite camp).

People who won’t vote for Ron Paul because they think he “hasn’t got a chance” are still thinking inside the box, with all due respect. And thinking inside the box is how this country got into its present predicament.

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By driving bear, October 7, 2007 at 7:37 pm #
(234 comments total)

Reply to #105393 by cyrena on 10/07 at 2:36 pm

My logic may sound twisted but it’s the result of making peace between my heart and my brain. Dennis Kucinich has almost no chance of winning the democratic primary. As for Mike Gravel , Rush Limbaugh would stand a better chance in the dem’s primary. I don’t say this as an insult to Gravel or Kucinich and therefore by extension to you , but I took a honest look at the polling data and made my prediction accordingly.

As for Fred Thompson true he has a realistic chance of winning the GOP nomination, however when the dust settles I think the GOP candidate will be either Rudi or Mike Huckabee. The GOP grapevine is alive with talk that the christian right as settled on Huckabee as their guy and the Christian right is still a big player in the GOP. However if had to make a prediction on the GOP , I think Rudi will get it.

In your previous post you ruled out supporting H.Clinton, Edwards or Obama. Just before making this post I visited the RealClearPolitics.com site and the only other democratic candidate with enough support for them to track was Bill Richardson and their polling showed him at single digits in the national and most state polls and at 10.8% in Iowa

Also I don’t see a anti war candidate running as a 3rd party independent.

So I don’t see an Anti war candidate being on the ballet in 08, so again I ask who would be the “good “candidate in 08.

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By Ernest Canning, October 7, 2007 at 5:19 pm #
(1624 comments total)

Your right, Doug, voting for Bush’s buddies is not a way forward.  That is precisely why I wouldn’t vote for Hillary.

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By Douglas Chalmers, October 7, 2007 at 4:42 pm #
(2932 comments total)

#105398 by Ernest Canning on 10/07 at 3:17 pm: “...CY, if by some miracle Ron Paul received the nomination and ran against Hillary, I would probably vote Republican for the first time in my life....”

Voting for Bush’s buddies is a way forward???

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By Ernest Canning, October 7, 2007 at 3:17 pm #
(1624 comments total)

CY, if by some miracle Ron Paul received the nomination and ran against Hillary, I would probably vote Republican for the first time in my life.

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By Conservative Yankee, October 7, 2007 at 2:43 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)

DC

“we are already aware that you are plying the deceptive Republican ploy of advocating splitting the Democrats’ vote if you can’t succeed in shouting everyone down first, CY”

Splitting what vote?  The vote in the Democratic party primaries?

I wouldn’t waste my time.

I’ve outlined my opposition to Hill-the-business-shill many times for you. You have chosen to ignore my criticisms in favor of sliming me.  Wasted effort, I’m a Republican!

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By cyrena, October 7, 2007 at 2:36 pm #
(4165 comments total)

• So it looks like in 2008 the war will not be an issue because all the candidates will be “pro war “
So in 08 looks like Americans only choice is who they think is the lesser of two evils
I don’t see this logic either DB. There are 3 dems in the primaries at this point, who have indicated they will get out of Iraq. So, we aren’t stuck with any ‘lesser of two evils” (though that was pretty much the case last time around – John Kerry would have been far better of course, because ANY way to get Cheney out of the drivers seat would have been better). But, we’ve got choices here. They just don’t seem to be in your field of vision.

We have Kucinich, Gravel, and Thompson. I’m now a Kucinich supporter, since Hill/Edwards/Obama actually disqualified themselves (for me) at the New Hampshire debates. And, Biden disqualified himself with the partition plan, as well as his indication that he too, obviously plans to continue the (permanent) military occupation of Iraq.

I here the new plan is:


1. the USA helps the Sunni win the current civil war with Shia.

This is true. It’s been in the WH – Cabal discussion for probably close to two years. At least that’s when I first began hearing of it. (in the major media)

2. A strong Sunni central government will be established.

That’ what the cabal hopes – at this point, since the other deal with the Shia didn’t work out. The Cheney Cabal has been supplying the Sunni with arms and other logistical support for this, for quite some time. (even though they were the ones originally labeled as the “terrorists, insurgents, rebels, etc”

3. A strong Sunni Iraq will be used to put pressure on Iran in case bush does not get permission to attack Iran. ( this is the fallback position)

The attack on Iran has been planned for years, but hasn’t been able to go forward, in part because the Iraqis have thwarted the efforts of the original goal there…to sign over the oil. So, an attack on Iran is not a ‘fallback’ position. It’s a planned position, and it’s not dependent on cheney getting “permission”. Did he get “permission” to attack Iraq? No! Nope! Negative! They tried, (just to satisfy the legal issue of all of that) and when it didn’t come through, they attacked anyway, making up the variety of ‘excuses’ that they did. It’s a déjà vu with Iran, (same lead-up of deception – pretending that Iran is a “threat” when they are only a ‘threat’ if they are attacked first)

The other reason that cheney hasn’t been able to do the ‘full speed ahead’ on Iran, is simple enough…there’s already been a massive “awareness” this time, by the public at large, as well as the military commanders that have to actually carry it out. So…that’s got cheney slightly hamstrung, but I suspect not for long. There is a huge force hanging out in the Persian Gulf, ready to strike at the word. But here again, there is open resistance among those who actually have to do the deed. That’s why Cheney was going to have Israel hit them, (like over a year ago) but they got deterred after they decided to attack Lebanon –again- last summer.

So, that’s what’s on the grapevine, but I definitely wouldn’t call it a “dem” grapevine. It’s just the facts. I’m quite sure repugs know this as well.

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By Frank, October 7, 2007 at 2:23 pm #
(195 comments total)

Mudwollow, if you don’t think Nancy Pelosi has been opposing Bush on any issues, you need to read the news more.

http://www.cnn.com/2007/POLITICS/10/03/bush.veto/index.html

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By cyrena, October 7, 2007 at 2:00 pm #
(4165 comments total)

#105321 by driving bear

Well, DB, you’ve got a case of ‘tortured’ logic on how/why the dems are worse than the repugs, but I’ll accept that as the standard thinking for your ideology. (I know others who will do these mental calisthenics and more, to get to whatever..and it’s ok)

On the impeachment thing, you’ve just confirmed your original statement, (that it’s all about Pelosi politics – we call it ‘real politick”). She knew she wasn’t going to get any support, so that’s why she didn’t do it. Thing is, it’s her JOB to have done it. Not ONLY her job, but the job of the entire Congress. Now, if she (because of her political goals) refused to take it on, that’s one thing. But she HAMMERED anybody else who suggested it, for the same reasons that you sighted she is willing to allow soldiers to continue to die. Politics.

Again, it was her JOB, as it is the job of every member of Congress, to uphold the Constitution. They take an oath to do it, and we pay them to do it. And, it’s something far too critical to put in a partisan light. It’s not dem/repug/other. It’s supposed to be about ‘we the people’.

I’ve attached a link here, so you can familiarize yourself with those dems who are actually not dems. It’s a problem.

The Democrats Who Enable Bush
By Helen Thomas
Hearst Newspaper

http://www.truthout.org/docs_2006/100607F.shtml

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By Douglas Chalmers, October 7, 2007 at 1:31 pm #
(2932 comments total)

#105362 by Conservative Yankee on 10/07 at 10:43 am:  - 105354 by driving bear on 10/07 at 10:11 am: “...I hate to break it to you but Madonna has a better chance of being elected the next pope than Dennis K. has of winning the democratic primary....”

Actually I’m considering registering Democrat, just so I can vote for Kucinich....”

While you’re checking out Madonna’s health care plan, we are already aware that you are plying the deceptive Republican ploy of advocating splitting the Democrats’ vote if you can’t succeed in shouting everyone down first, CY, uhh.

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By Conservative Yankee, October 7, 2007 at 10:43 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

105354 by driving bear on 10/07 at 10:11 am

“105335 by Ernest Canning on 10/07 at 7:58 am
I hate to break it to you but Madonna has a better chance of being elected the next pope than Dennis K. has of winning the democratic primary.”

Actually I’m considering registering Democrat, just so I can vote for Kucinich.

I like Ron Paul, but the loony-fringe right-wing-religious-fanatics who have hijacked my party can and will make Paul a non-issue.

What’s Madonna’s health care plan like?

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By driving bear, October 7, 2007 at 10:33 am #
(234 comments total)

To consular 1

I posted a comment in another thread concerning the plan for Iraq . I cut and pasted it here

#104510 by driving bear on 10/03 at 5:48 pm
(86 comments total)

I here rumors from the gop grapevine that the soft partition plan is off the table. I here the new plan is:
1. the USA helps the Sunni win the current civil war with Shia.
2. A strong Sunni central government will be established.
3. A strong Sunni Iraq will be used to put pressure on Iran in case bush does not get permission to attack Iran. ( this is the fallback position)

In essence bush is trying to reset the clock to so Iraq will be like it was in 1990 before the first gulf war

Has any one heard any rumors like this from the Democratic grapevine

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By driving bear, October 7, 2007 at 10:16 am #
(234 comments total)

To #105343 by Counselor1 on 10/07 at 9:02 am
FYI Israel’s PM Ariel S. told bush before the war that the US would end up in the mess it’s in if Bush invaded Iraq.

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By Ernest Canning, October 7, 2007 at 10:15 am #
(1624 comments total)

driving bear, the only thing preventing a Kucinich election is the mainstream media’s continuous effort to marginalize him and people like you who buy into that marginalization.

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By driving bear, October 7, 2007 at 10:11 am #
(234 comments total)

To #105335 by Ernest Canning on 10/07 at 7:58 am
I hate to break it to you but Madonna has a better chance of being elected the next pope than Dennis K. has of winning the democratic primary.

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By Ernest Canning, October 7, 2007 at 9:24 am #
(1624 comments total)

Counselor1, If I, and other Democratic progressives, were to “de-register” from the Democratic Party, it would mean that we could not vote in the primary for Dennis Kucinich.  That would concede the nomination to Hillary, who supports leaving our troops in past 2013 and who voted for Kyle-Lieberman which opens the door to an invasion of Iran. 

Me thinks your suggestion is not a very good one.  But thanks for the thought.

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By Counselor1, October 7, 2007 at 9:02 am #
(19 comments total)

Here’s a couple ideas toward another way to hasten the war’s end.  Americans who recognize that time is running out before Bush or Israel get us into a wider, longer war with Iran need to act now. De-register from the Republican and Democratic parties to show your dissatisfaction with the war and vague, false promises of withdrawal by all the money-fueled major candidates. 
Satisficing is an economists word. It means finding a set of measures, regarded under uncertainty, but likely to maximize (or minimize) some quantity(ies). The quantities here will be casualties and expense in Iraq and in a much wider and longer Middle East War to come. No interest group is going to get everything it wants out of the Iraq disaster. A later than Lancet study of Iraq casualties puts the death toll now at about 1 million Iraqis killed in war by all parties (in addition to our own casualties.) So consider satisficing measures to limit further harm.
This wider, longer war is a worse alternative.  The longer Congress and presidential candidates take before advocating and legislating satisficing measures, the more likely Bush or Israel is to preemptively attack Iran. Countries like Iran and Pakistan don’t have full control over armed groups in them. Iranians would retaliate by infiltration into Iraq.  Worse: Bush could order an attack that would leave American hostages in Iran, trapping the next president in a hostage crisis.
Soft partition should mean that U.S. troops, while withdrawing from Iraq’s cities, would escort only willing Iraqis to resettle to zones of others of the same sect.  Under soft partition Iraqis unwilling to move would assume the risk of fighting or making peace. Assumption of risk is a principle of freedom. Door-kickin’-in forcible occupation is a principle of domination.  Baghdad can be partitioned along the Tigris. The Green Zone can be given to Sunni’s moving from east to west Baghdad. Make a gift of Bush’s embassy to the Iraqis. The Kurds have their own government. The Sunnis are out of Maliki’s government. So we should offer Maliki’s government the choice to stay in Baghdad alone or move to a self-defensible base in Shia territory. 
It’s fantasy to think the Military – Energy – Israel Lobby complex is going to let our troops out of Iraq. So U.S. troops should be redeployed to underpopulated areas to guard Iraq’s oil for a prolonged period. This is the only measure that will induce oil companies to invest the $billions necessary to increase Iraq’s oil production and fund real reconstruction. An enhanced SIGIR could distribute the unjustly low profits equitably to all Iraqis. A large U.N border force is the only thing that could keep Iraq one federated country, let unarmed refugees return and keep us and the Iranians apart. The U.N. performed poorly for Iraqis under sanctions, partly because the U.S. and U.K. blocked shipment of any dual use exports to Iraq and because Iraq’s oil was irresistible to corrupt oil dealers.  But it’s the only game in town where you can rent developing country soldiers, through peace keeping – peace enforcement programs for about $1,000 per month. That’s about what it costs for a U.S. soldier with combat support for one day! And of course, Blackwater mercenaries are paid 4 to 6 times what U.S. soldiers are paid. The U.S. should pay for this force to keep Iraq “one” country. In the long run it will be cheaper than combat support and paying mercenaries. The Israeli’s get out of this a long-term friendly force U.S. occupation in the Middle East area. The Iraqi’s get offers they can’t refuse: we stop killing so many of them, our support for keeping “one” regionalized country, and equitable, if insufficient distribution of profits from their oil.
When Napoleon and Hitler each invaded Russia, a vast, primitive country with difficult terrain and bad weather, their armies were destroyed. Likewise with the U.S.S.R. in Afghanistan.

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By Ernest Canning, October 7, 2007 at 7:58 am #
(1624 comments total)

driving bear.  There is a real simple means by which one can make the war an “issue” in 2008.  Vote for Dennis Kucinich in the primaries.  If the American electorate does not have the sense to reject someone like Hillary, who says we will still have combat troops in Iraq in 2013 and who recently provided a vote that can be used by the Bush regime as an excuse to invade Iran, then the blame for the continuation of the policy of imperial conquest will no longer reside either with Bush or the so-called “Democratic leadership.” It will have shifted to We the People.  Then shame on us all.

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By driving bear, October 7, 2007 at 6:34 am #
(234 comments total)

Reply to #105313 by cyrena on 10/07 at 4:53 am

I must respectfully disagree with you about who is worse Bush or Pelosi/Reid and democrats.
In the 2004 election Bush TOLD the American people that he would continue the war and he has. In the 2006 elections the democrats under Pelosi/Reid leadership told the American people they would end the war. They did not. This makes them worse that Bush.

Also I disagree with you on impeachment. Even if she had the will to do it the odds of it being successful would be less that 1% because impeachment requires 2/3 majority vote. She knew/knows she could not get enough republicans to defect to her side for it to possible. I don’t blame her for not starting something she knows has no chance of working.

So it looks like in 2008 the war will not be an issue because all the candidates will be “pro war “
So in 08 looks like Americans only choice is who they think is the lesser of two evils

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