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Beyond DisasterPosted on Aug 6, 2007
By Chris Hedges The war in Iraq is about to get worse—much worse. The Democrats’ decision to let the war run its course, while they frantically wash their hands of responsibility, means that it will sputter and stagger forward until the mission collapses. This will be sudden. The security of the Green Zone, our imperial city, will be increasingly breached. Command and control will disintegrate. And we will back out of Iraq humiliated and defeated. But this will not be the end of the conflict. It will, in fact, signal a phase of the war far deadlier and more dangerous to American interests. Iraq no longer exists as a unified country. The experiment that was Iraq, the cobbling together of disparate and antagonistic patches of the Ottoman Empire by the victorious powers in the wake of World War I, belongs to the history books. It will never come back. The Kurds have set up a de facto state in the north, the Shiites control most of the south and the center of the country is a battleground. There are 2 million Iraqis who have fled their homes and are internally displaced. Another 2 million have left the country, most to Syria and Jordan, which now has the largest number of refugees per capita of any country on Earth. An Oxfam report estimates that one in three Iraqis are in need of emergency aid, but the chaos and violence is so widespread that assistance is impossible. Iraq is in a state of anarchy. The American occupation forces are one more source of terror tossed into the caldron of suicide bombings, mercenary armies, militias, massive explosions, ambushes, kidnappings and mass executions. But wait until we leave. It was not supposed to turn out like this. Remember all those visions of a democratic Iraq, visions peddled by the White House and fatuous pundits like Thomas Friedman and the gravel-voiced morons who pollute our airwaves on CNN and Fox News? They assured us that the war would be a cakewalk. We would be greeted as liberators. Democracy would seep out over the borders of Iraq to usher in a new Middle East. Now, struggling to salvage their own credibility, they blame the debacle on poor planning and mismanagement. There are probably about 10,000 Arabists in the United States—people who have lived for prolonged periods in the Middle East and speak Arabic. At the inception of the war you could not have rounded up more than about a dozen who thought this was a good idea. And I include all the Arabists in the State Department, the Pentagon and the intelligence community. Anyone who had spent significant time in Iraq knew this would not work. The war was not doomed because Donald Rumsfeld and Paul Wolfowitz did not do sufficient planning for the occupation. The war was doomed, period. It never had a chance. And even a cursory knowledge of Iraqi history and politics made this apparent. This is not to deny the stupidity of the occupation. The disbanding of the Iraqi army; the ham-fisted attempt to install the crook and, it now turns out, Iranian spy Ahmed Chalabi in power; the firing of all Baathist public officials, including university professors, primary school teachers, nurses and doctors; the failure to secure Baghdad and the vast weapons depots from looters; allowing heavily armed American units to blast their way through densely populated neighborhoods, giving the insurgency its most potent recruiting tool—all ensured a swift descent into chaos. But Iraq would not have held together even if we had been spared the gross incompetence of the Bush administration. Saddam Hussein, like the more benign dictator Josip Broz Tito in the former Yugoslavia, understood that the glue that held the country together was the secret police. Iraq, however, is different from Yugoslavia. Iraq has oil—lots of it. It also has water in a part of the world that is running out of water. And the dismemberment of Iraq will unleash a mad scramble for dwindling resources that will include the involvement of neighboring states. The Kurds, like the Shiites and the Sunnis, know that if they do not get their hands on water resources and oil they cannot survive. But Turkey, Syria and Iran have no intention of allowing the Kurds to create a viable enclave. A functioning Kurdistan in northern Iraq means rebellion by the repressed Kurdish minorities in these countries. The Kurds, orphans of the 20th century who have been repeatedly sold out by every ally they ever had, including the United States, will be crushed. The possibility that Iraq will become a Shiite state, run by clerics allied with Iran, terrifies the Arab world. Turkey, as well as Saudi Arabia, the United States and Israel, would most likely keep the conflict going by arming Sunni militias. This anarchy could end with foreign forces, including Iran and Turkey, carving up the battered carcass of Iraq. No matter what happens, many, many Iraqis are going to die. And it is our fault.
The neoconservatives—and the liberal interventionists, who still serve as the neocons’ useful idiots when it comes to Iran—have learned nothing. They talk about hitting Iran and maybe even Pakistan with airstrikes. Strikes on Iran would ensure a regional conflict. Such an action has the potential of drawing Israel into war—especially if Iran retaliates for any airstrikes by hitting Israel, as I would expect Tehran to do. There are still many in the U.S. who cling to the doctrine of pre-emptive war, a doctrine that the post-World War II Nuremberg laws define as a criminal “war of aggression.”
What is terrifying is not that the architects and numerous apologists of the Iraq war have learned nothing, but that they may not yet be finished.
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By sophrosyne, August 6, 2007 at 10:50 am # Bush is presiding over the radical and rapid decline of the USA. And what is with the fatuous Guiliani and the pygmies running for the Presidency? Why won’t interviewers challenge their simplistic understanding of strength? Have not they learned the radical limits on military power to end the stalemate that is undermining our country’s strength? The Sunday Republican debates were a sad joke.
By Eric L Prentis, August 6, 2007 at 10:15 am # The US preemptive war of aggression against Iraq is now in an unwinable quagmire which will lead to a full scale catastrophe for the middle east. The only hope for Americans is to get out now before it is too late!
By Erica, August 6, 2007 at 10:13 am # What have we done? Every 3.6 seconds, another person dies from starvation [Borgen Project]. Apparently the world was already screwed up before the United States involvement. It was a critical point that the fate of our country would land on and the government made the wrong decision. Now it is time to act on the issue of Global Poverty and the new administration must make the right choices for it.
By Lou, August 6, 2007 at 9:45 am # I have come to believe that all of the events in the Middle East Hedges describes and predicts in BEYOND DISASTER were planned by the Bushes, Cheney and the NeoCrooks. Most of what has happened is exactly what many people like myself who have studied events in the Middle East for the last forty years predicted - including the common knowledge that there were no WMD’s when the war started. And so I thought before and after that if I knew this without access to secret files, so does the CIA and other US intelligence agencies. So it must be a desired situation.
By David, August 6, 2007 at 9:41 am # Hey, Thanks
By 1drees, August 6, 2007 at 9:38 am # Well thanks to the americans Iraq will never be liveable again, among other things such as lack of power, water sewage, schools, security etc, one major problem is that the whole landscape is polluted with Depeletd Uranium munitons fired by the Americans everyday since 1991. Even if an Iraqi is not shot dead now BUT He might die of Radioactivity soon, & There are documented signs of mutations alredy but this is not something that concerns that press or the people. The American Govt knew all about the Radioactive poisonning of Iraq. GWB keeps mentionning AlQaeda “Dirty Bomb” attack but poor guy fails to remember the “dirty Bombs” Americans been firing evreyday and maybe considers them less radioactive or less lethal. seems white man killing nonwhites is an accepted practise, all evidence points to that. And Iraqi’s not being too uninformed sure will remmember the kind gestures of AmeroZionists.
By d.alon, August 6, 2007 at 9:33 am # I was looking on CNN today and two items caught my attention. 1) In an article about the French President yelling at some US AP photographers, it said towards the end that he was being gaurded by the US Secret Service (in France mind you). 2) The Defense Department lost billions of dollars in weaponry that had been provided for the “Iraqi Army”. The article said that it is believed by the DoD that these weapons were being passed from the Iraqi Army to insurgents and were being used against US troops. So let me get this straight - my tax dollars are being used to protect the French president on one hand, and to provide weaponry to insurgents to kill our own troops on the other?!? This is so outrageous its beyond comprehension!!!
By Outraged too, August 6, 2007 at 9:25 am # Very well said ‘Outraged’. Maybe we should require a new humane right in the world. It is fraud and worse and we will never make headway at solving our problems until that fact is recognized. Fair taxation policies would be a reasonable first step.
By Deborah, August 6, 2007 at 8:43 am # Reading this I feel naked...as if I was reading something I was not supposed to...something on Dick Cheney’s desk maybe. As I type this, the world in my small corner of Ohio goes on as usual...people are going to work, walking their dogs, getting ready for back to school sales And in another corner of the globe, wholesale murder and tyranny are being waged so that I can continue to be “free”. God I feel sick.
By Skruff, August 6, 2007 at 8:10 am # 92485 by DaveF on 8/06 at 5:08 am “This once great country is a democracy;” Nope! With all due respect to opposing opinions, this country is not and never was a “democracy” it is a represenative republic (as per Ben Franklin’s pronouncement) democracies do not have electral colleges, apportioned votes, or or weighted representation. democracy = one citizen one equal vote. Our system gives a vote in Wyoming or Montana greater value than a vote in California or New York. For this reason it is possible to become president (legally) when someone else gets more votes. I am not even sure I agree with your “once great country” assessment, although I will not reject it without more thought.
By GW=MCHammered, August 6, 2007 at 7:31 am # From 1954 [replace ‘USSR/communism’ with ‘terrorists/terrorism’, ‘Europe’ with ‘Middle East/Iraq’] “We are again being told to be afraid. As it was before the two world wars so it is now: politicians talk in frightening terms, journalists invent scare lines, and even next-door neighbors are taking up the cry: the enemy is at the city gates; we must gird for battle. In case you don’t know, the enemy this time is the USSR. The conscriptwars were all fought on foreign soil. And each was preceded by a campaign of fear such as we are now experiencing. Too many Americans now realize that war adds power to the state, at the expense of liberty, and there is a strong suspicion that the next war will just about wipe out whatever liberty we have. That is, we will be infected by the same virus that we set out to exterminate. Now we are told that if we get out of Europe, the communists will overrun the Continent, get hold of its productive machinery, and prepare themselves for an invasion of America. My history books tell me that the weakness of a conqueror increases in proportion to the extent of his conquest. There is a more important reason for our getting out of Europe and abandoning our global military commitments. We would be strengthening ourselves, even as the Soviets were weakening themselves by extending their lines. The vast military equipment which we are sending abroad, and much of which might fall into the hands of the Russians, would be stockpiled here for the ultimate struggle. The manpower which is now going to waste in uniform could be put to the task of building up our war potential. Our economy would be strengthened for the expected shock. We would become a veritable military giant, and because of our strength we would attract real allies, not lukewarm ones. The important thing for America now is not to let the fearmongers (or the imperialists) frighten us into a war which, no matter what the military outcome, is certain to communize our country.” ~Frank Chodorov (1887–1966) http://www.lewrockwell.com/chodorov/chodorov4.html --------------------------------------------------- Limit the Elite’s Political Power ... De-Celebritize Government Condemning The Glorification of Political Power - Ron Paul Weekly Update OR ON GOOGLE
By Skruff, August 6, 2007 at 6:07 am # My father (who worked many years for Standard of New York Laughed at the idea of a “Democratic Unified Iraq” He said Yugoslavia, not the USA is a model for Iraq. Lee Raymond, former chairman of ExxonMobil warned against any destablization of the “delicate balance” in the middle east. Chris Hedges is correct it is hard to find anyone who ever walked on Iraqi soil to support this debicle.. Now it’s almost over. like an imploding star we may not be able to pull free from it before being consummed. Orderly withdrawal??? Hell no, hit the lifeboats, get to the roof of the worlds largest US embassy, and wait for the Hellicopters. Quick… before we lose another person… it’s over it’s Dunkerque get out!
By CARTERJ, August 6, 2007 at 5:02 am # Concisely put, beautifully written, and, I’m afraid, all too true. A century of diplomacy out the window. Everyone knew all along that the mid-east is a tinder box, and now we have ignited it. What a pity that Bush doesn’t have the intelligence to realize what he has done. After he leaves office, I hope he does his remedial reading on history, and eventually realizes the shame of his legacy. I watched in horror as my country launched a completely unnecessary invasion of a country. Saddam Hussein was a merciless despot, but he knew his people, and he held Iraq together. We had him contained. The weapons inspectors should still be there looking for non-existent WMD, and the neocons could still be complaining. Wouldn’t that be a luxury? It looks like September 11, 2001 was a mere calling card for what lies ahead. Add Your Comment |
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