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Chris Hedges: Bush’s Nuclear ApocalypsePosted on Oct 9, 2006
By Chris Hedges Editor’s Note: The former Middle East bureau chief for The New York Times and author of the bestseller “War Is a Force That Gives Us Meaning” reports on Bush’s plan for Iran, and how a callous war, conceived by zealots, will lead to a disaster of biblical proportions. The aircraft carrier Eisenhower, accompanied by the guided-missile cruiser USS Anzio, guided-missile destroyer USS Ramage, guided-missile destroyer USS Mason and the fast-attack submarine USS Newport News, is, as I write, making its way to the Straits of Hormuz off Iran. The ships will be in place to strike Iran by the end of the month. It may be a bluff. It may be a feint. It may be a simple show of American power. But I doubt it. War with Iran—a war that would unleash an apocalyptic scenario in the Middle East—is probable by the end of the Bush administration. It could begin in as little as three weeks. This administration, claiming to be anointed by a Christian God to reshape the world, and especially the Middle East, defined three states at the start of its reign as “the Axis of Evil.” They were Iraq, now occupied; North Korea, which, because it has nuclear weapons, is untouchable; and Iran. Those who do not take this apocalyptic rhetoric seriously have ignored the twisted pathology of men like Elliott Abrams, who helped orchestrate the disastrous and illegal contra war in Nicaragua, and who now handles the Middle East for the National Security Council. He knew nothing about Central America. He knows nothing about the Middle East. He sees the world through the childish, binary lens of good and evil, us and them, the forces of darkness and the forces of light. And it is this strange, twilight mentality that now grips most of the civilian planners who are barreling us towards a crisis of epic proportions.
These men advocate a doctrine of permanent war, a doctrine which, as William R. Polk points out, is a slight corruption of Leon Trotsky’s doctrine of permanent revolution. These two revolutionary doctrines serve the same function, to intimidate and destroy all those classified as foreign opponents, to create permanent instability and fear and to silence domestic critics who challenge leaders in a time of national crisis. It works. The citizens of the United States, slowly being stripped of their civil liberties, are being herded sheep-like, once again, over a cliff.
The hypocrisy of this vaunted moral crusade is not lost on those in the Middle East. Iran actually signed the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. It has violated a codicil of that treaty written by European foreign ministers, but this codicil was never ratified by the Iranian parliament. I do not dispute Iran’s intentions to acquire nuclear weapons nor do I minimize the danger should it acquire them in the estimated five to 10 years. But contrast Iran with Pakistan, India and Israel. These three countries refused to sign the treaty and developed nuclear weapons programs in secret. Israel now has an estimated 400 to 600 nuclear weapons. The word “Dimona,” the name of the city where the nuclear facilities are located in Israel, is shorthand in the Muslim world for the deadly Israeli threat to Muslims’ existence. What lessons did the Iranians learn from our Israeli, Pakistani and Indian allies? Given that we are actively engaged in an effort to destabilize the Iranian regime by recruiting tribal groups and ethnic minorities inside Iran to rebel, given that we use apocalyptic rhetoric to describe what must be done to the Iranian regime, given that other countries in the Middle East such as Egypt and Saudi Arabia are making noises about developing a nuclear capacity, and given that, with the touch of a button Israel could obliterate Iran, what do we expect from the Iranians? On top of this, the Iranian regime grasps that the doctrine of permanent war entails making “preemptive” and unprovoked strikes. Those in Washington who advocate this war, knowing as little about the limitations and chaos of war as they do about the Middle East, believe they can hit about 1,000 sites inside Iran to wipe out nuclear production and cripple the 850,000-man Iranian army. The disaster in southern Lebanon, where the Israeli air campaign not only failed to break Hezbollah but united most Lebanese behind the militant group, is dismissed. These ideologues, after all, do not live in a reality-based universe. The massive Israeli bombing of Lebanon failed to pacify 4 million Lebanese. What will happen when we begin to pound a country of 70 million people? As retired General Wesley K. Clark and others have pointed out, once you begin an air campaign it is only a matter of time before you have to put troops on the ground or accept defeat, as the Israelis had to do in Lebanon. And if we begin dropping bunker busters, cruise missiles and iron fragmentation bombs on Iran this is the choice that must be faced—either sending American forces into Iran to fight a protracted and futile guerrilla war or walking away in humiliation. “As a people we are enormously forgetful,” Dr. Polk, one of the country’s leading scholars on the Middle East, told an Oct. 13 gathering of the Foreign Policy Association in New York. “We should have learned from history that foreign powers can’t win guerrilla wars. The British learned this from our ancestors in the American Revolution and re-learned it in Ireland. Napoleon learned it in Spain. The Germans learned it in Yugoslavia. We should have learned it in Vietnam and the Russians learned it in Afghanistan and are learning it all over again in Chechnya and we are learning it, of course, in Iraq. Guerrilla wars are almost unwinnable. As a people we are also very vain. Our way of life is the only way. We should have learned that the rich and powerful can’t always succeed against the poor and less powerful.” An attack on Iran will ignite the Middle East. The loss of Iranian oil, coupled with Silkworm missile attacks by Iran on oil tankers in the Persian Gulf, could send oil soaring to well over $110 a barrel. The effect on the domestic and world economy will be devastating, very possibly triggering a huge, global depression. The 2 million Shiites in Saudi Arabia, the Shiite majority in Iraq and the Shiite communities in Bahrain, Pakistan and Turkey will turn in rage on us and our dwindling allies. We will see a combination of increased terrorist attacks, including on American soil, and the widespread sabotage of oil production in the Gulf. Iraq, as bad as it looks now, will become a death pit for American troops as Shiites and Sunnis, for the first time, unite against their foreign occupiers. The country, however, that will pay the biggest price will be Israel. And the sad irony is that those planning this war think of themselves as allies of the Jewish state. A conflagration of this magnitude could see Israel drawn back in Lebanon and sucked into a regional war, one that would over time spell the final chapter in the Zionist experiment in the Middle East. The Israelis aptly call their nuclear program “the Samson option.” The Biblical Samson ripped down the pillars of the temple and killed everyone around him, along with himself.
If you are sure you will be raptured into heaven, your clothes left behind with the nonbelievers, then this news should cheer you up. If you are rational, however, these may be some of the last few weeks or months in which to enjoy what is left of our beleaguered, dying republic and way of life.
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By Tony Loman, October 9, 2006 at 2:05 pm # I have read essentially the same warning at least two other times during the past couple of months (one by Ray McGovern--Veteran Intelligence Officers for Sanity and another by Scott Ritter--former UN Weapons Inspector in Iraq). And now Chris Hedges, whose books I have found so insightful is saying the same thing. Each time it comes up I feel a little sick to my stomach. I agree with Concerned: It is a little too apocalyptic to be believed. But when people whom I respect and who have turned out to be correct in their assessments of so many of the crazy things this administration has done, I set up and listen.
By John Earl, October 9, 2006 at 1:09 pm # I just hope the Decider is indecisive!
By Jon B, October 9, 2006 at 12:42 pm # There is no provocation from Iran as this writing. If Iran has a bomb or two, is it a real threat to the US? After all, we have hundred times more nukes than Iran and we have the delivery system, Iran does not. What’s the urgency to launch war? I really would like to know.
By BDW, October 9, 2006 at 12:38 pm # Look at a map of the region. Look at the borders of Iran. Assume the ultimate military target is Iran. Which countries border Iran? Which were friendly to the US prior to the war? If you wanted to cut off Iran from Syria, which country do you need control? My opinion is that Bush regime’s target has always been Iran and the Caspian Sea region. Therefore, it was necessary to establish a US military presence in both Iraq and Afghanistan. Now that the frist stages of the mission are accomplished, for the first time in history, the US has a shot at controlling the Caspian Sea resources, and Iran is the key to this strategy. Of course, the assumption that Iraq would be a cake-walk was incorrect. The only way, at this point, to defeat the Iranian army and avoid a draft in the US is to use tactical nukes against Iranian forces. I think we truly are standing at the gates of Hell. When you realize that “influencing, knowing, dissenting, participating—all are important to a democratic life, but not one of them carries with it the authority to decide, the power to be in charge” it is hard not to abandon all hope. The grim, horrible reality is that the People of the United States are not longer in charge. God help us.
By Terry Telfer, October 9, 2006 at 11:57 am # Mr. Hedges, before you compare Bush’s policy of permanent war and Trotsky’s concept of permanent revolution, please read Trotsky. I can see why the war criminal Kissinger would praise your article.
By Eyeball Kid, October 9, 2006 at 11:55 am # The crazy neo-cons’ power is awesome beyond belief, and that’s the problem with being a super-power. Any crazy bunch of suicidal maniacs can take over the executive branch, promote a “unitary executive”, bully and threaten the legislative branch into compliance, and use war making as an investment opportunity. Religious implications don’t matter to the Carlyle Group. Nuclear bomb-making and mine manufacturing DOES matter, no matter the consequence. It’s crazy. All of it. It’s crazy because it’s suicidal. Unchecked capitalism only has one endgame: destruction of the Earth as a place to live. Barry Commoner wrote this in the late 1970s: Capitalism and Environmentalism do not and can not co-exist. Capitalism has to be regulated by factors that reflect the overall welfare of the nation, and of the planet. Without regulating capitalism, it simply overtakes everything. It has no compassion, no “public interest.” Massive deaths, genocide, and war are governed by the profit motive, by the “cost-benefit analysis”, not by loftier notions of “human rights” or of “Constitutional guarantees”, or of “Environmental Protections.” What we’re beginning to witness, people, is the ultimate expression of unbridled capitalism: War for Profit, managed by the War Profiteers themselves.
By Rick, October 9, 2006 at 11:48 am # While this may be a bit apocolyptic for some (re: 27781’s post), we must acknowledge that we live in a dark and grave time in American history. Our right to speak freely is being removed, Habeus Corpus is dying, and torture is legal. What has our nation become? We are sliding into a dictatorship, with this dictator being accountable to no one. I do fear that, if we begin this war with Iran, that we will suffer greatly. It will begin with our troops in the Middle East. The troops in Iraq will be slaughtered, both by missiles from Iran and from the massive uprising that will take place in Iraq. Our ships at sea are nearly defenseless and two fleets (the Enterprise is still there) may well be decimated. That won’t be the end. American credibility, what is left of it, will be destroyed. North Korea will know that there is no one to militarily oppose them. Nations will be emboldened to attack Israel, despite the nuclear deterrent. At home, this nation will be thrown into a revolt. We are already as polarized as a nation can be, and throwing in another war and a military debacle in the Middle East, and we will have fighting in our own streets. Sound like science fiction? I don’t think so. Dubya and his inner circle are convinced that they are the saviors of all that is good and free, which means white, Anglo-Saxon Protestants. Worse, our Congress is in league with this man, voting to give away our liberties. Another poster mentioned that this would destroy the current pattern of civilization as we know it. I agree. Our only hope for the short-term is to impeach Mr. Bush. As it is, assuming he does no more harm, we will already need two decades to recover from this Administration. I fear things may grow much worse in the coming months.
By Rod Holt, October 9, 2006 at 11:29 am # Dear Sirs:
By abdifatah Suleiman Musse, October 9, 2006 at 11:27 am # The last messenger has asked the lord to not destroy his people like he did to other people, but He said you will destroy yourselvs, I believe a change over will happen in 18 years where we will see law and order, and everthing is possible before 2024, people will fight very hard til the evil force completlly disapears, more lucky things will happen as has been Prophiesed, when the evil force trys to use all that bombs availbale to them, the Good forces will say *allahu akbar* and then it will go back to them and kill them, because the lord never wrongs his pious people, so I warn all the pious people to leave Nuclear owning nation because it will only destroy them and God is able to do all things that is easy for him he only says “be” and it comes to reality, I advise all the Nuclear owning nations to not kill their own people instead of trying to kill pious humans, they builded the Nuclears to destroy themselves, and God plas swifftly, All I can say is many things will happen before 2024 and after that will we will see law and order and which will be just like paradise, things are getting better,
By Martin, October 9, 2006 at 9:36 am # I just read the phrase “Dunkirk in the Desert”. Retired General Barry McCaffrey coined it. What will happen when we attack Iran? We might kiss our 180,000 troops in the Middle East good bye. We could never maintain those forces at the end of a 1000 mile shipping lane next to Iran followed by 600 miles of overland transport through Iraqi shiite territory. Stalingrad comes to mind. A whole army lost at the end of an impossibly long supply line through the idiocy of a sick leader.
By Henry Kissinger, October 9, 2006 at 9:07 am # Chris has it exactly right. For very good coverage of Iran, war, and the truth check out Iran Information Agency
By George A. Hoffman, October 9, 2006 at 8:38 am # As a Vietnam veteran I never thought an American president in the future would commit a foreign policy debacle that rivaled LBJ’s quagmire in Vietnam. Of course, I was wrong. The intellectually shallow neocons within the Bush administration whose cups runneth over with hubris, such as Eliott Abrams, are chillingly reminiscient of the New Frontiersmen in the LBJ administration, who stayed on after JFK’s assassination to prosecute the Vietnam War. So I find Chris Hedges’ column on the coming war with Iran to be within the realm of reality rather than a feverish jeremiad of apolycaptic prophecy.
By JAY MAY, October 9, 2006 at 8:31 am # A carrier force in the Persian Gulf is a sitting duck. Silkworm missiles are very diffacult to defeat.
By Denis S, October 9, 2006 at 8:09 am # What in the world are people thinking ...?
By Pierre Grimes, October 9, 2006 at 7:13 am # We have only one chance of showing our horror at the possible war with Iran. Pass the word, sound the alarm, the day we bomb Iran close down the country with a total general strike.
By david, October 9, 2006 at 6:50 am # 27781 is correct. The fact of war for profit seems to be escaping the American people. Capitalism has a very large ‘create a market’ sector that has been honed to a fine edge. If you make soap, you encourage people to believe they are dirty. If you make missles, you encourage people to believe they are in jeapordy and need those missles. If you need to sell more missles, you need to convince someone to use those missles so that they will buy more from you. Who makes nukes? GE? GD? Northrup Gruman? How much money do those 3 corps have to ‘market their wares’? More than enough to sway the Federal Govt into using them. I really have to say that America is a barbarous nation. Being the only one in history to use nukes, perhaps the most barbarous in history. The truly terrifying thing is, though, that the barbarism can get worse.
By Bukko in Australia, October 9, 2006 at 6:43 am # I believe President Cheney and his sock puppet George Bush intend to launch a pre-emptive nuclear attack on Iran. That’s one of the main reasons I moved out of the United States. I don’t want it on my conscience that I stayed in a nation that would annihilate millions of people, just like I would have moved out of Germany in 1936 if I had been alive then and suspected what the regime was going to do. I have no love for the Iranian regime. They are as mad with their vision of the return of the missing Mahdi as Rapture Right Christians are with their belief that they can make Jesus come back to Earth if they just start a big enough war in the Middle East. What’s scary is when two sets of religious delusions dovetail so perfectly with each other. Nut cases on either side want a lot of killing in God’s name, which will destroy the current pattern of civilisation. If you’re curious about the ramifications of an American attack on Iran, paste this address into a browser: http://www.engdahl.oilgeopolitics.net (I’m too farkin’ stoopid to know how to set it up as a hyperlink.) Read the article about “Pricing the Risk of War in Iran.” The guy who wrote it, William Engdahl, is a professor in Germany who specialises in oil and geopolitics, as you might guess from the name of his site. As good as Hedges’ article is, Engdahl comes up with angles that go far beyond it. We’re in for some scary times, people. I’d say God help us, but I don’t believe that any god would let things go like I fear they’re gonna.
By Captain & Kellina, October 9, 2006 at 6:04 am # Iran has done nothing wrong: All accounts indicate that Iran is 5-10 years away from having a nuclear weapon. The war in Iran was planned months ago, in response to Iran setting up an oil exchange based on Euros instead of dollars. It’s a done deal: We have already been “prepared” by the Time magazine article. It’s not about nukes—it’s about another country having the audacity _not_ to trade in dollars. It’s about grabbing the oil while the US can. It’s about setting up permanent bases in the middle east in order to control the natural gas as well as oil. Now all that is left is a national draft, which we in the US, as sheep, should assent to after “Iran” commits a terrorist act on US soil, due sometime in the next two weeks, conveniently before the elections. Yet another false-flag operation (like 9/11), should be enough to jump-start WWIII. Given what the US gov’t appears to have done to Americans on 9/11, what do you suppose they’ll do to provoke the next war? Detonate a dirty bomb on an “expendable” US city, with wide-ranging fallout? Perhaps they’ll spare us on the mainland and merely blow up an ageing warship in the Persian Gulf? Not just Iran but Russia, China, and a few other states will align against the US. Oh the irony—China, perhaps using weapons made from recycled steel prematurely whisked away from the 9/11 crime scene at ground zero, will turn against us. One of the few jobs that hasn’t yet been outsourced to China is that of “soldier”...thanks to a coming economic collapse, people will sign up in droves with or without a draft. We’ll be plunged into a depression because the dollar will plummet. There is nothing but good will to back up the dollar. The dollar is printed by the Federal Reserve Bank, which is not Federal (it’s private), it has no reserve (and no gold to back the dollar), and it’s not a bank. Do you have a house and a retirement account? They will be worthless pretty soon. We have a giant trade deficit…we export nothing but dollars, and soon we won’t be able to import anything. How did we get to this state? We used pre-emptive strikes on Irag...and the rest of the world paid attention. We refused to talk to Iran’s leaders, just like we refused to talk to N. Korea. We threatened instead. (If N. Korea had oil, we’d already be over there engaged in step #2, quagmire.) To think that Clinton got impeached for consensual sex with a woman who worked in his office. This administration is already responsible for over a hundred thousand deaths (Iraqi & Afghanistani civilians, plus US military (in both wars), and US civilians (on 9/11). (Not convinced about US false-flag operations or that 9/11 required US gov’t cooperation? Go to this site: http://killtown.911review.org/.) Thanks to our cooperative congress, we now conveniently have no rights, no way to protest except on the internet (which will probably be outlawed soon with corporate cooperation). We now cannot even remove recalcitrant congress-people: Our votes won’t count due to electronic voting machines! Arrrrgggggh!!!
By Gijsbert Brandeveld, October 9, 2006 at 5:40 am # “The country, however, that will pay the biggest price will be Israel. And the sad irony is that those planning this war think of themselves as allies of the Jewish state.” There is no irony, there. In the Apocalyptic reasoning of Fundamentalist Christians the destruction of a majority of Jewry is a necessary part of Christ’s battle with the Satan. After which it will be Paradise on Earth for the believers. Halleluja!
By Rex Alcatraz, October 9, 2006 at 5:34 am # I don’t think this will happen. Although the administration is backed into a corner by scandal, an unpopular war, and incompetence, Daddy has come back into the picture to take control through his surrogate James Baker. Money will win out over theology and neo-conservatism. 43 will live out the rest of his presidency as a punching bag for the Democratic majority in the House.
By tdbach, October 9, 2006 at 5:15 am # Check out that sale at Macy’s! How ‘bout them Tigers! It’s so hard to remain optimistic these days, to nestle into the sweet banalities of our cushy American lives. New, living nightmares keep intruding. I hope this is article is pessimistic to the extreme. I really hope it is. But the fact that Chris’s thesis is credible - even if it isn’t likely to hold up, is disheartening enough. We have come so far from the positive, moral high ground we used to occupy, we may well be lost. I wish I had thought to drop bread crumbs along the way, so we could retrace our steps…
By elmcorners, October 9, 2006 at 4:57 am # They won’t be happy until they’ve killed us all, no matter who we are.
By concerned, October 9, 2006 at 4:52 am # This all seems a bit apocolyptic for my blood...though I suppose anything is possible...this photo, though, makes me wonder....when was the last time the US had a parade of arms like this...a parade of soldiers to be sure, but I don’t recall ever seeing a parade of missles and other weapons with the president looking on (maybe we have in the distant past I’m just not aware of them)....we have airshows which are certainly a parade of arms in some sense, but never of missiles...just the delivery vehicles....the US government, as much as it claims to dislike violence, seems to pursue its aggression behind closed doors...this tells me the American public isn’t as agreable as it appears..if we were that beligerant as a population, wouldn’t we see similar parades?...or maybe we all lead hypocrital lives...look at the top grossing hollywood movies...we appear to have a violent streak in us after all....maybe we should quit lieing to ourselves and embrace the violence that seems to be as American as apple pie....we are a Christian nation after all..... Add Your Comment |
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