U.S. Hegemony on the Outs
Posted on Nov 21, 2008
Maybe it was the past eight years, or maybe it was the past three months, but a new report by the U.S. intelligence community estimates that American global power is on the decline, and will be for the next two decades as upcoming powers like China and India gain greater international standing.
The L.A. Times:
A new assessment by U.S. intelligence agencies predicts that American influence in the world will decline over the next two decades as surging powers such as China and India, as well as independent entities including tribes and criminal networks, gain international clout.
The report, meant to serve as a guidepost for President-elect Barack Obama’s administration, offers a vision of a future in which the U.S., while the most powerful, is but “one of a number” of important players in the world.
Describing the findings, Tom Fingar, deputy director of National Intelligence for analysis, said there would be a “diminished gap between the United States and everybody else ... . The unipolar moment is over.”
The report, titled “Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World,” represents the U.S. intelligence community’s most comprehensive examination to date of long-term security issues. It sees a possible increase in terrorist violence even as support for extremism starts to wane.
The report argues that the U.S. will continue to be the world’s political and economic leader, but that its unrivaled position will be challenged as we move toward a more “global multipolar system.”