UK Confidential Memo: Civil War ‘Likely’ in Iraq
Posted on Aug 3, 2006
Britain’s outgoing ambassador to Baghdad warned in a leaked confidential memo, “The prospect of a low-intensity civil war and a de facto division of Iraq is probably more likely at this stage than a successful and substantial transition to a stable democracy.”
Civil war is the most likely outcome in Iraq, Britain’s outgoing ambassador in Baghdad has warned, in a confidential memo to ministers obtained by the BBC.
William Patey, who left the Iraqi capital last week, also predicted the break-up of Iraq along ethnic lines.
He did also say that “the position is not hopeless” - but said Iraq would remain “messy and difficult” for the next five to 10 years.
The Foreign Office said it did not comment on leaked documents.