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South Africa’s HIV Future Looks Dire

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Posted on Nov 20, 2010
AP / Jerome Delay

An HIV-positive boy waits in a hallway at the Sparrow Rainbow Village medical clinic in Johannesburg, South Africa, in 2005.

South Africa is already home to more HIV-positive people than any other country, 5.7 million at last count. But there’s more to come: A new report says that despite rapidly expanding efforts to deal with the problem, 5 million more people will be infected over the next 20 years. —JCL

The New York Times:

South Africa, already home to 5.7 million H.I.V.-positive people, more than any other nation, can expect an additional five million to become infected during the next two decades even if the nation more than doubles its already considerable financing for treatment and prevention and gives prevention a higher priority, according to a report presented here Friday to the country’s leading advisory body on AIDS policy.

South Africa has far and away the continent’s leading economy, but the study concludes that it nevertheless faces a “major and mounting financial challenge” to confront its AIDS problem, explaining that about $102 billion will need to be spent over the next 20 years merely to keep the number of new infections at the projected five million mark.

“The government doesn’t seem to have their heads around the numbers yet, and they are going to have to do some thinking out of the box,” Teresa Guthrie, an economist and one of the report’s authors, said in an interview. “It’s not an encouraging picture.”

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By chloe1023, November 23, 2010 at 4:56 am Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

We need HIV/AIDS education. It’s very important!! CDC has granted CSU $1.9M for HIV/AIDS education.
The number of members on the largest HIV dating&support; site == pozspaces.c o m (if I spell the site correctly) has reached 500,000 members

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By chloe1023, November 23, 2010 at 4:54 am Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

We need HIV/AIDS education. It’s very important!! CDC has granted CSU $1.9M for HIV/AIDS education.
The number of members on the largest HIV dating&support; site == (if I spell the site correctly) has reached 500,000 members

Report this

By Inherit The Wind, November 22, 2010 at 10:37 pm Link to this comment

omg, you seem to have South Africa confused with Zimbabwe.  One is led by a fairly incompetent clown who was elected and, will, in a few years be replaced by, hopefully, someone better.  Elections happen

The other is led by a paranoid psychopath who pretends to be a Marxist and has turned a garden into a carrion heap.  HE has seized land from Whites and given it to…............................................................CRONIES, not Blacks (even tho the cronies happen to be Black).

South Africa is a beautiful nation capable of solving its problems without a revolution.  Zimbabwe is beautiful that won’t have a chance to prosper until Robert Mugabe and his buddies are hanging from lamposts.

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rico, suave's avatar

By rico, suave, November 20, 2010 at 10:41 pm Link to this comment


Brave comments. Thanks.

I’ve always believed that it’s all about culture, not race. That the two terms are conflated or confused or used interchangeably is the cause of most of our problems.

And, as you correctly warn, we can expect to be called rabid racists for even breathing about the subject.

Hang on. It’s going to be a tough ride.

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By omygodnotagain, November 20, 2010 at 9:37 pm Link to this comment

South Africa has an endemic rape problem, a leadership that for years did not believe HIV was the cause of AIDS. In addition it has suspended its program of giving whites land to blacks because it is now a net importer of food for the first time in its history.
It is an indictment of South African Culture that needs to be addressed and not run away from lest people be called names. Cultural relativism, blaming colonialism etc no longer hold water, countries like Malaysia experience colonialism and discrimination but do not have the same problems, and other countries in Africa like Ghana have faired much better

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