Foreign Policy magazine has identified the 10 worst predictions of the year. William Kristol, who seems to get it wrong more often than right, tops the list with this doozy: “If [Hillary Clinton] gets a race against John Edwards and Barack Obama, she’s going to be the nominee. ... Barack Obama is not going to beat Hillary Clinton in a single Democratic primary. I’ll predict that right now.”
Other names on the list include CNBC’s Jim Cramer, who said “Don’t be silly!” to a viewer who wanted to know whether he should pull out of Bear Stearns, and Charles Krauthammer, who predicted that Russia would invade and occupy Georgia and Ukraine in a matter of weeks.
“If [Hillary Clinton] gets a race against John Edwards and Barack Obama, she’s going to be the nominee. Gore is the only threat to her, then. … Barack Obama is not going to beat Hillary Clinton in a single Democratic primary. I’ll predict that right now.” —William Kristol, Fox News Sunday, Dec. 17, 2006
Weekly Standard editor and New York Times columnist William Kristol was hardly alone in thinking that the Democratic primary was Clinton’s to lose, but it takes a special kind of self-confidence to make a declaration this sweeping more than a year before the first Iowa caucus was held. After Iowa, Kristol lurched to the other extreme, declaring that Clinton would lose New Hampshire and that “There will be no Clinton Restoration.” It’s also worth pointing out that this second wildly premature prediction was made in a Times column titled, “President Mike Huckabee?” The Times is currently rumored to be looking for his replacement.