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Ear to the Ground

Georgia Conflict Primer

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Posted on Aug 11, 2008
Russian tanks
AP photo / Musa Sadulayev

A column of Russian tanks rolls through the separatist Georgian province of South Ossetia.

For those who never heard of South Ossetia before fighting between Russians and Georgians erupted there, the BBC’s Paul Reynolds provides some needed background and analysis, including this pearl of wisdom: “Do not punch a bear on the nose unless it is tied down.”


BBC:

Although the fighting over South Ossetia is not over, and fighting for another Georgian enclave, Abkhazia, looks like [it is] developing, it is perhaps not too early to learn some tentative lessons from the crisis.

1. Do not punch a bear on the nose unless it is tied down.

Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili must have thought that Russia would not react strongly when he sent his forces in on the eve of the Olympic games to regain control of a territory he had insisted must remain part of Georgia, albeit with some form of autonomy.

Yet Russia was always likely to respond. It already had forces there, leading the peacekeeping force agreed back in the easier days of 1992 between President Boris Yeltsin of Russia and President Edward Shevardnadze of Georgia, himself the former Soviet foreign minister who helped bring the Cold War to an end.

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By amunaor, August 12, 2008 at 2:31 am #

Ed Harges,

Yes there appears to be a major geopolitical realignment afoot; centered on the Caspian oil pools. Afghanistan wasn’t invaded to fight terrorism; it was all about building the UNOCAL pipeline. There are indications that Enron and the White House were working closely with the Taliban—including Osama bin Laden—up to weeks before the Sept. 11 attack. Why was the bin Laden family, swiftly whisked out of the country, immediately following the events of 9/11?

UNOCAL:  http://www.counterpunch.org/tomenron.html

The events taking shape are right out of the Brzezinski neocon playbook, who, by the way, stated in one of his publications that the world population herd needed to be culled by a magnitude of several billion. No doubt, these individuals did not include their own numbers within those they seek to cull.

It also demonstrates how impotent US majority voices really are in preventing the lunatic neocons from forging ahead; who are dazed by the delusional notion that democratic elections will rule the day, while their democratic majority representatives have consistently, lain themselves prostrate before criminal demands of a bloody tyrant regime…impeachment is off the table.

I hope some sanity of wisdom emerges from some corner, which is capable of throwing a monkey wrench into this usurped power and properly exposing it for what it is, before it’s too late. In the meantime, the criminal malfeasance of mainstream media is evident in their insistence on keeping the public asleep in Disney Land.

BTW…I’ve changed my handle because too many a wayward-wind has latched onto the same motif I had been using, which has currently grown so many legs that it does not know where it comes from or where it goes.

Peace, Best Wishes and Hope

Report this

By TRUE AMERICAN PRE-1775 PATRIOT, August 11, 2008 at 9:44 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)

Simple Math Gorbechev is resurrected by new his buddy President places him back into power..
Classic Communistic Socialistic 13th Century “ZARS in Action” Yes Russian attack is aimed at destroying the pro-eastern and pro-US regime in Georgia, to prevent the US from using bases Georgia = and for Oil.  Yes Energy race is on, A Major oil pipeline to help feed Russia is their… Lion and the Bear are tearing at it..This would of not happened if General Patton had been allowed to take Georgia back in 1943!
By the way most of you were not born yet so were not taught Real history.  Cold war? Who cares!
Since Gulf War we are experiencing wars for (ENERGY) soon that movie will be coming to your community. In America one day unfortunately its called “Martal Law” Then one world order underThe UE constitution. All Ancient Nations did this, expansion for more supplies and energy and power… Man has not changed
by lessons from past thus Sin is cast to net gereration thus.. History is repeating itself!

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By Ed Harges, August 11, 2008 at 7:24 pm #

re: By zeitgeist, August 11 at 12:58 pm:

Well, zeitgeist, I don’t know exactly what’s going on here, but it’s very clear that the same people (primarily Israel and its devotees in the US government and media) who want a war against Iran - which Russia strenuously opposes - are pushing this propaganda blaming Russia and urging the US to enter the war.

So it’s clear that this is all connected. Are the neocons/Israelis just trying to make sure that Russia is too busy to interfere with the US/Israeli project to destroy Iran? Several scenarios are possible, but they all amount to the same thing: more wars of aggression for Israel’s infinite “security” needs.

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By skmacksk, August 11, 2008 at 7:03 pm #

In this moment of “crisis” and in one sense it is a crisis,and in another it is a perfect opportunity for Bush and Cheney to make a precipitate move: while our attention is diverted. Where might they take this action,Iran might be a good guess.This reeks of neo-con manipulation and political nihilism.Creating this situation and letting it run its destructive, murderous course,and then pointing the finger at Putin or Shakashvili which ever is the most “culpable” as this nears its bloody conclusion.
They have a fidelity to their narrative and a lust for power: Don’t get in their way!

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By Dr. Knowitall, PhD, PhD, August 11, 2008 at 5:32 pm #

The TV is on CNN and I just heard W say as an admonition (5:20 p.m. Mon.), “Russia’s actions have seriously damaged its standing in the world.”

WTF, has the White House run out of duct tape?

Did he say this on his own or did a neocon in his administration put those words in his mouth?

(Things seem to be getting considerably worse for the US)

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By jackpine savage, August 11, 2008 at 5:20 pm #

My best guess is that Saakashvili knew pretty well how Russia would react in the worst case scenario, but assumed that a Russian reaction would bring the US/Israeli cavalry rushing in to save his hide.

Looks like we’ve hung another one of our “allies” out to dry, because i don’t see a commitment of troops from NATO, the US, Israel or Britain.  Perhaps if Russia moves on Georgia proper.

But you never know…this has been coming for a long time, and it often surprises me that Russia has never reacted.

Any escalation, however, will almost certainly see Russia cutting off oil and gas exports to Europe which complicates matters.  Russia will still export to Asia, and she has a large bundle of cash to tide herself over.

If this were a game of chess, i’d say that the US is about to lose its queen from being a little too aggressive with her.

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By amunaor, August 11, 2008 at 4:58 pm #

Ed Harges,

What worries me is the alleged, dead Americans (mercenaries) that have shown up amongst the Georgian’s, according to RT (Russia Today); Blackwater? I’m highly suspicious of NATO/CIA involvement as having provoked this:

False-Flags’ Deep Dark History—

http://my.barackobama.com/page/community/post/zeitgeist/gG5kvr
It precisely the scenario the crusading neocons hope to crank up the heat on in order to boost and exploit McCain as the grand master of security. But if the heat becomes intense enough, they wont need to worry…they will only need to implement the vast number of security measures that have already been handed them on a silver platter…FISA and Patriot Act.
((Machiavelli, in his ‘Art of War’, issued the following warning: ‘I say…that…governments should fear those persons who make war their only business…And if a prince has not enough power over his occupations when a war is over, he is on the road to being ruined. For no infantry can be so dangerous as that which is composed of men who make war their only calling, because a prince either must keep them continually engaged in war, or must constantly keep them paid in peacetime, or must run the risk of their stripping him of his kingdom. But it is impossible to keep them forever engaged in war, or forever paid when war is over; therefore, a prince must run no small risk of losing his kingdom.

When the Cold War ended, many of officers became unemployed or in fear of becoming so. Defeated or unemployed military officers represent a dangerous phenomenon in any society, and today this problem is compounded by the issue of a mercenary (or all-volunteer) force. Machiavelli wrote about precisely this in 1521, warning that unemployed mercenaries and professional soldiers would inevitably stir up coups and conflicts in order to procure jobs and glory for themselves.))

Such is the result when the only industry a nation has to offer, is that of war.

Peace, Best Wishes and Hope

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By lastdaywatchers, August 11, 2008 at 4:45 pm #

This “Georgia Conflict Primer” in which Putin Ignores World Leaders show how 100% accurate the MAY 15th PROPHECY about how the pawn of Satan President Bush has crippled the USA abilities around the world diplomatically and militarily.

Putin has look President Bush in the Eye and now is running circle around him by deploying the very same strategy of unlawful regime change daring the world to do anything about it but get mad.

Did not the MAY 15th PROPHECY tell you the U.S. Israel and Britain would lose at everything they do on a “superpower” level?

The curse of the Bush Administration will continue to manifest itself from here on out to the detriment
of the country until the Lord shall come

Which you can see with 100% accuracy by doing a Google search of the MAY 15th PROPHECY and you will see for yourself

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By Ed Harges, August 11, 2008 at 4:12 pm #

One thing I will say for this article: at least it makes it clear that GEORGIA, not Russia, initiated this military confrontation:

“Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili must have thought that Russia would not react strongly when he sent his forces in ....

“Yet Russia was always likely to respond.”

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By Reubenesque, August 11, 2008 at 3:46 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)

The U.S. war machine, yet at work, alas…

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By dihey, August 11, 2008 at 3:11 pm #

This conflict demonstrates what I have argued so often in the past namely that Senator Obama has always been a closet-neocon on foreign policy. His pronouncements on the Russia/Georgia conflict are mostly false or self-serving and display a frightening amount of disinformation and naivety. Abkhazia and South Ossetia are not under Georgian sovereignty since 1991.The President of Georgia is not a democratic ruler but a despot who has jailed and tortured political opponents hence should be locked up in a cell in The Hague next to that of Mr. Karadzic.

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By Ed Harges, August 11, 2008 at 2:39 pm #

Predictably, Truthdig’s supposed summary of the facts on this war leaves out any mention of Israel, even though Israel’s fingerprints, and those of our own “American” Israel-first neocons, are all over it.

Here are two reading assignments for those who would like to inform themselves beyond Truthdig’s blinkered confines:

(1) For a start, take a look at this article (in less than perfectly edited English, by the way) at the Israeli news site, YNET:

“War in Georgia: The Israeli connection”

“For past seven years, Israeli companies have been helping Gerogian army to preparer for war against Russia through arms deals, training of infantry units and security advice….

“...Israel began selling arms to Georgia about seven years ago following an initiative by Georgian citizens who immigrated to Israel and became businesspeople….”

http://www.ynetnews.com/Ext/Comp/ArticleLayout/CdaArticlePrintPreview/1,2506,L-3580136,00.html

(2) So it’s no wonder, as Justin Raimondo at antiwar.com points out, that the Israel-first neocons are all busy misrepresenting Georgia’s aggression as a Russian “invasion”, and screaming for the US to join on Georgia’s (and therefore Israel’s) side. The Israelis also, of course, hate Russia because the Russians have resisted the US/Israeli campaign to gin up a war against Iran. Raimondo writes:

“The anti-Russian bias of the Western media is really something to behold: “Russia Invades Georgia,” “Russia Attacks Georgia,” and variations thereof have been some of the choice headlines reporting events in the Caucasus, but the reality is not only quite different, but the exact opposite. Sometimes this comes out in the third or fourth paragraph of the reportage, in which it is admitted that the Georgians tried to “retake” the “breakaway province” of South Ossetia. The Georgian bombing campaign and the civilian casualties – if they are mentioned at all – are downplayed and presented as subject to dispute.’

http://www.antiwar.com/justin/?articleid=13285

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By sad old german, August 11, 2008 at 12:49 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)

Yawn.  Like our two little wars this has a lot to do with energy resources and pipelines, but not a word about that from our BBC analyst.

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By Blackspeare, August 11, 2008 at 12:47 pm #

It’s amazing that whenever there’s a conflict somewhere in the world there’s always an Israeli connection!  Well if war is war and business is business, then can it be that war is business and business is war??!!  For a small country like Israel they have developed quite a military-industrial complex which, in fact, is most of their GNP.  It is estimated that Israeli arms shipments and consulting services to the nation of Georgia are in the range of $500,000,000.  Not a bad day’s pay if you can get it.

Oh, one more thing.  Israel is always self-justifying its actions.  In the case of Georgia, the justification is the Russian arms sale to Iran and Syria.

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By skulz fontaine, August 11, 2008 at 11:46 am #

Actually, it was Georgia that started this little dust up. Probably at the behest of Israel. Gosh those Israelis are busy little beavers. Russia will eat Georgia alive. Literally. Mikhail Saakasvilli has doomed his little plantation and all’s well that ends. Well, maybe not for Georgians. The West and the U.S. mostly, has been poking at Russia and Vlad Putin for a while and the Vlad seems to have had about all he intends to put up with. Putin and Russia are for real. So punks like Bush/Çheney are now up against one serious player. Golly Amerika, are you ready for some serious war? Not that bullshit punk nonsense like Afghanistan/Iraq. War with Russia will be the real thing and Amerikans will die in vast numbers. This fiasco only proves the old adage, “one should let sleeping bears just lay there and sleep.”

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By Blackspeare, August 11, 2008 at 10:56 am #

The “Cold War” continues albeit a little warmer this time!  Russia and the US, since the end of WW II, have vied for spheres of influence resulting in some serious conflicts over the years.  Like the French say, “The more things change, the more they stay the same.”

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By G.Anderson, August 11, 2008 at 10:22 am #

Well you missed something here.

The Russian attack is most likely aimed at destroying the pro-western and pro-US regime in Georgia, to prevent the US from using bases in Georgia for an attack on Iran. Turkey most likely will not allow the use of bases by the Americans, as they did in the Early phase of Iraq.

Then there is also oil.

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By Leonor Wenger, August 11, 2008 at 10:05 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

When I heard the comments “disproportionate” and “violation of sovereignity” coming from the US I was reminded of another proverb:  the pot calling the kettle black.  That’s what it means to lose the moral highground.  Furthermore, calling for an immediate ceasefire reminds me of Israel pounding Lebanon….

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By Fahrenheit 451, August 11, 2008 at 8:32 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

Yawn, caught with our hand in the cookie jar yet again.  Amazing…NOT!  Even little Israel is involved (short guy complex?).  There will be oil/energy (blood) in this equation/disaster.  “Don’t punch a bear in the nose”, LOL!  Putin will rub our nose in it this time for sure…and he should.  He’s got us red handed!  The scope and breadth of the neo-con’s attempted hegemony of the world never fails to impress…sort of like viewing a slow motion train wreck!  What a sight!  No light at the end of this very long tunnel (including our stellar candidates).
It’s not a movie, is it?  Ugh!

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