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Ear to the Ground

Greenspan Talks Recession as Oil Prices Soar

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Posted on Jun 24, 2008
Greenspan
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Forecast: Trouble likely, says Greenspan.

Seems like everything is a crisis these days, what with the subprime mortgage crisis, the oil crisis and, perhaps most troubling of all, the climate change crisis. Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan acknowledged the complexity and interconnectedness of these unsettling trends Tuesday, stopping short of declaring that a major recession is on the way but without ruling out a recession of lesser magnitude.


Bloomberg.com:

The actions in March have reduced the threat of a “severe recession,’’ he said. Yet an economic rebound in the U.S. “isn’t in the immediate outlook,’’ he said.

The Fed this year has cut the benchmark interest rate at the fastest pace in two decades to sustain economic growth and avert a financial-market meltdown following the collapse of the subprime mortgage market.

The U.S. is dealing with “the most complex’’ financial crisis in more than five decades, Greenspan said.

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By absolutesynec3, June 26, 2008 at 4:44 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)

To Inheritthewind, Arabianthoroughbred, Conservativeyankee:

Please do not waste your time and energy with Rus7355.
It is futile trying to reason with unreasonable people, that is, if he is for real.
I do not think he really believe that nonsense he is
spewing. But I think he really enjoy the attention
and being and irritant.

Report this

By Conservative Yankee, June 26, 2008 at 8:04 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

By Rus7355, June 25 at 2:59 pm

“Long live the most humane nation on earth, the United States of America.”

You must have gone to public school.

Chilians, East-Timorese, Iraqis, Salvadorians,  Guadamalans, and scores of other foreign nationals including the native people here might dispute your definition of “humane”

What about our cut-throat capitalism which demands a permenant underclass? Our treatment of the poor and disenfranchised, our racist use of the death penalty, our propensity to be constantly at war, our majority/minority prison system, our legal system under which it is assumed one is innocent until proven guilty IF they are wealthy enough to hire a good attorney. Lets not blame only the government what about corporations who care only for the bottom line, who leave communities where they once did business to move to China or some other off-shore “workers paradise” abandoning their responsibility, their workers, and the flag which formerly flew over their factory.

Sorry, I guess I’ve seen too much “humane” US behavior.

Report this

By Inherit The Wind, June 26, 2008 at 7:15 am #

Rus7355, June 25 at 2:59 pm #

Mr. Greenspan is a good and dedicated man. His policies have kept the economy strong and going longer than many thought possible. Low inflation, many quarters of growth and almost full employment. He is in no way a criminal.

Why must so many here demonize those you know so little about? It’s not helpful nor is it constructive.

Long live Capitalism. Long live freedom. Long live the most humane nation on earth, the United States of America.

I, too, thought that way about Greenspan for many, many years.  But try as I could I could NOT get my head around his crushing the Dot Com bubble in the late 90’s. 

We were prosperous and he deliberately created a recession.  DELIBERATELY. That’s not a guess, that’s not wishful thinking. It is simply the logical inference from his actions to “cool” the economy and market down—and give a little knife in Democratic Bill Clinton’s back.

Then, when President Tammany proposed his insane, absurd, irresponsible tax cut to destroy the surplus, I couldn’t f***ing BELIEVE that Greenspan endorsed it.  I still don’t, and Greenspan himself has said “Um, er, maybe the tax cuts weren’t so wise…”  Had AG said “This is unwise. The budget is sound, why mess it up?”  the series of events that led us to this mess today never would have happened, at least not until the Iraq black-hole of money wasting.

I fully understand what Greenspan was doing all those years he brilliantly led the Fed, so I understood when he started messing up, too.  Hubris easily can take over any man or woman with power.

Accusations of ignorance simply because you don’t like a POV tells me YOU don’t understand the underlying econonomics of his actions.

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By Arabian Thoroughbred, June 25, 2008 at 11:11 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)

By Rus7355, June 25 at 2:59 pm #

“Long live Capitalism. Long live freedom. Long live the most humane nation on earth, the United States of America.”
============================
You’re the prototype of those described by George Washington as “impostures of pretended patriotism.”

Report this

By moineau, June 25, 2008 at 7:48 pm #

are we still waiting for greenspan to speak??? i would have thought we had had enough of those years…

Report this

By absolutesynec3, June 25, 2008 at 5:58 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)

That Greenspan is still has the audacity to opine
and pontificate. His policies and actions from
loose money to de-regulating Wall St. and the banks
to bailing out his buddies in Wall St. when they stumble is the main reason for the current economic
mess we are in. The best thing he can do for the country is to shut up and vanish into oblivion.

Report this

By Inherit The Wind, June 25, 2008 at 5:51 pm #

Well, it looks almost surreal that I find myself agreeing on economics with an old opponent, Inherit The Wind. I concur with your comment ITW and I exactly feel what you feel about Greenspan and criminal Bush. Hard times seem to work magic in bringing people together!

Stranger things have happened!

I’m simple.  I keep hearing how the oil prices were bid up by speculators, how this part of the problem was caused by so and so, that the downturn is caused by this and that.  It’s all BS.

The collapse of our economy is solely due to George W. Bush going into the credit markets like a plague of locusts into a cornfield.  He turned the surplus into a deficit “Reagan proved deficits don’t matter” said Dick Cheney.  Oh, yeah? Wrong again Dick Vader!

Then with the insane Iraq invasion and no cushion (because the surplus was now a deficit) the borrowing became a 500 year plague of locusts.  The results were totally predictable.

And all the people they are blaming are nothing more than aggravating factors, not the cause.  The cause is creating 3 TRILLION dollars of debt in 7 years, mostly in the last 5. Any individual or business, even GM would have declared bankruptcy long ago.

Report this

By mrmb, June 25, 2008 at 4:02 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)

Lets see, DEMOCRATIC CAPITALISM at its best. Good things are right around the corner if you are not a millionare or a billionare.

When a system is based on greeeeeed, riping each other off, lie, deception and other non humane characteristics guess whats in store for everyone.

While we were kept busy denouncing communism for not undertanding humans and human psyche our glorious corporations were busy ripping off the world and setting the stage for total domination here at home.

Well, the chickens have come home to roost my friends. The shock and awe that awaited all other countries and people who opposed us is now being implemented here at home.

Things will get a lot worst. Thats the promise land of capitalism and zionism for all of us. The gift of plunder and repression is being packaged for us as we speak.

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By David, June 25, 2008 at 11:11 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

Arresting Greenspan for fraud and racketeering under the RICO Act would be a good start. The only organization actually doing something is the FBI (I admit this with a very large grain of salt). The other two immediate solutions that will have a huge impact are re-instating the Glass-Steagall Act (which was repealed by Bill Clinton, thus allowing this mess to balloon out of control),and ending the war.

Since McCain continues to live in a fantasy land, Barrack Obama is the only hope we have of getting these two things done. And even that is a big question mark considering the absolute complicity the democratic wing of congress has shown in virtually every aspect of this situation.

Speculation in the commodities markets is the reason gas and oil are so high. They account for 45% of the total increase in the market, and banks are using the loopholes in trading laws to try and compensate for the tens of billions of write-offs that are coming this year.

Make no mistake about it folks, we have only seen the beginning of what’s coming our way. The two links below will give you the best and most honest assessment of what’s happening. Even Truthdig and Alternet are ignoring and/or downplaying these obvious facts. Sad, but true.

http://www.counterpunch.org/whitney06242008.html
http://www.counterpunch.org/whitney06212008.html

Report this

By Conservative Yankee, June 25, 2008 at 8:01 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

It’s all happened before… If you want to see your future, drive through the old mill-towns of Massachusetts, up state New York, or Western Pennsylvania.

In 1971 Lawrence was a pleasant livable city, by 1974 the line to the unemployment office on Canal Street was three miles long. While my house lost value, the City kept raising property taxes to cover the short-fall left when the textile industry abandoned their 100-year-old factories, their union workers, and the high heating costs to move South to warmer, and less union affiliated climes. Angry people burned huge parts of the city in frustration, people who could, moved to the country, and Lawrence (Larry to his friends) was left with a poor mostly immigrant population… I understand it is now the major illegal drug distribution point for New England, and the Car-theft, Chop-shop capital of the esat coast.

Report this

By jackpine savage, June 25, 2008 at 6:35 am #

Are we still expected to listen to Greenspan?  His fingerprints are all over our economic mess, a mess that is not predicated on events beyond our control…many of them were under his direct control.

And if he was using the real numbers, the ones that don’t get published anymore like the M3, he wouldn’t be able to hedge on whether it was a big or little recession.

Agreed, purplewolf and cyrena.  I warned people on other sites a long time ago that Michigan’s “one state recession” was no such thing, but rather that we were - once again - the canary in the coal mine.  And for those of us who live in the state’s extremities, many of the economic issues have been here for even longer.  (Gas prices in the UP have been closer to California than other parts of the state for a long time.)

But i’m not expecting politicians of either stripe to do anything proactive about it.  They’ll wait until the shit really hits the fan and then figure out who to blame.

And it looks as though it’s time for America to put on that golden strait-jacket of its own design.

Report this

By Vegas Quixote, June 25, 2008 at 1:16 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

What happens to the economy if we provoke a war with Iran? HR 362 proposes that we impose a unilateral blockade of Iran, which is an act of war.

Report this

By G.Anderson, June 25, 2008 at 12:28 am #

I’ve never seen it this bad, this is no recession Mr. Greenspan.

The mood when you go out, the way people look at you. The empty shelves and shortages.  People are getting scared

Yet the leaders who got us into this mess seem to stand around with their hands in their pockets, like they don’t have a clue as to what to do.

Congress should immediately freeze the price of Gas, and exempt truckers from paying any tax, either at the pump or for road fees.

Congress should seriously consider nationalizing the oil industry. That’s excactly what they deserve.

Somethings got to give, and it won’t take much at this point.

Report this

By Arabian Thoroughbred, June 24, 2008 at 11:47 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)

Well, it looks almost surreal that I find myself agreeing on economics with an old opponent, Inherit The Wind. I concur with your comment ITW and I exactly feel what you feel about Greenspan and criminal Bush. Hard times seem to work magic in bringing people together!

Having said this, I would like to add that one does need to officially be a designated economist to see that the economy is not only in a “recession” but actually in a “depression.” At least, this is what my checkbook and my bills for basics is telling me. I have been living in the States for thirty years now, and I remember days when, on average income of 25-30 thousand dollars, I was living very comfortably and I could afford several luxuries.

Now, I have more than double that income, but can hardly keep up with my basic expenses. And by the way, I don’t smoke; I don’t drink, I don’t go to movies or buy musical records and I don’t have kids in college. The only luxury I still keep, but with increasing difficulty, is my love for books and buying them, in addition to cappuccino. I started cutting on these two luxuries, so Starbucks and Barnes & Noble and similar establishments will consequently suffer more of my spending cuts.

So Mr. Greenspan, people are either in a deep recession or depression, all your economic language spinning notwithstanding!

Report this

By Inherit The Wind, June 24, 2008 at 10:15 pm #

Alan Greenspan is the man who should have known better.  In the late 90’s he decided to show Wall Street who REALLY controlled the economy. “New Economy”? “Dot Coms”? He’d bring THEM under control!  And gave the US a technical recession just to discredit Clinton on the eve of the election.

Then, when President SwiperFox wanted to give that BIG bolus of money that was the Budget Surplus to his buddies, Greenspan used his own “bully pulpit” to ringingly endorse it.

That sonuvabaitch! Greenspan is a BANKER! He KNEW what it meant to have the 900 lb gorilla go back in the financial markets, borrowing.  He knew what it meant to spend your “rainy day” emergency money for no reason.  Yet Greenspan endorsed Bush’s foolish criminal grab for the FOGs (Friends of George).  Then, when the whole thing backfired, Alan said “Maybe it (the tax cuts) was a bad idea.”  Yuh think so, Alan??????

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By cyrena, June 24, 2008 at 6:56 pm #

I know what you mean Purplewolf, but it’s not only Michigan. It’s been the same way in other spots for a long time as well, though I understand you all have really been hit hard.

And, it only seems like the rest of the country is just starting to feel it, because so many places were sitting on a house of cards.

What has really wiped us out in California has been of course the high price of gas, (and it’s always been much higher here than other places). That hasn’t affected me personally, since I gave up having a car long ago, and really on walking/biking/busing. But most recently the wipe out has become food. Food was generally reasonably priced here, because we grow, breed or fish for most of what we eat. (or..we used to at least.)

But now, the prices are unreal, and I know that even as bad as they are here, things are far worse in other places, where the supplies are even more limited, even if one has the money.

But for you all in Michigan, there’s one good way to look at it..by now, you’re ‘adjusted’ to getting by on less, and making the most of limited resources. I got ‘adjusted’ as well, about 8 years ago. As our friend Tao Walker would say, it’s gonna be much, much more difficult for some of the ‘domesticated’ peoples of the USA. smile

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By purplewolf, June 24, 2008 at 6:25 pm #

This is no surprise for those of us living in Michigan. It’s been in a recession for far to long. The rest of the country is just starting to catch up with what we have lived with for decades.

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