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Clinton Looks AheadPosted on Feb 11, 2008
Sen. Hillary Clinton is focusing on the high points of the last week—her Super Tuesday successes in weighty states like New York and California, for example—and looking to potential wins in Texas and other elections to hold her position in the race for the Democratic nomination in coming weeks.
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By Aegrus, February 12 at 5:22 am #
I have a feeling Texas is within grasp of the Obama campaign. Since you’ve lived in the state, you must also be aware of a fervent minority of progressives active in Texas. These people, rest in peace Molly Ivins, have done a lot for American progressive politics in recent time.
Also, it is important to note some specific aspects of Texas. One of these points of interest is how Texas could very possibly be a swing state this year. The only candidate with political experience there is Ron Paul, and he is not likely to take the Republican nomination. This is the first time in a long while when Texas won’t had someone in the presidential race.
A disillusioned Texas Republican party for a John McCain nomination may embolden the Democratic and Progressive circles to swing the state blue. It’s pretty much a given that Obama will be able to speak to the majority of the state with success, but we have to concentrate on getting the core Dems off of Hillary’s failed campaign.
This is why I haven’t given up on Texas yet.
Ohio, I’m sure, will have a large constituency for Barack Obama. There is the question about the tying up of Dennis Kucinich in a race for the congressional seat, and whether or not this occurrence points to establishment meddling. If the latter is true, it may spell misrepresentation for Barack’s campaign. Otherwise, I’ve nothing but confidence in Barack Obama’s performance in Ohio.
Tonight, Maryland, District of Columbia and Virginia are holding primaries. If Obama pulls commanding leads again tonight, the momentum will trump anything Clinton offers in the coming weeks. Reasons?
1)Americans like winners.
2)Collective Conscious dictates most people will interpret these wins as a strong candidacy.
3)People won’t ever look at Hillary Clinton as an Underdog candidate. She will always be remembered as a Queen dethroned in this primary season. Lots of Americans love that.
Do remember, though, the real race right now is not in these primaries tonight. The smart campaigner will concentrate on Ohio and Pennsylvania. These are the swing states, and a win in both (followed by a nomination) will conclude with a blue victory.
Report thisBy i,Q, February 12 at 4:33 am #
Clinton already tried to work the Negro Drug Dealer angle and all it has gotten her is a good chance at getting off the train early. Let the Republicans go negative. They won’t change the minds of the democrats who are coming out 2 to 1 in the primaries. They won’t achieve anything but reminding the voters just how sh!tty the last 8 years of nasty politics have been. You are still ruled by fear it seems, but those who know better can see the strength of positivism and optimism. This is why Hillary is hurting, because she is just like the rest of the whole petty mess.
Report thisBy B/LOisback, February 11 at 3:02 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)
Ahh the power of positive thinking. It might help you to be convinced, but such a closed mind shuts out the future. Obama will be crusified in the general election. Hillary is exactly right when she says he has never had a negative campaign ad run against him and has not been ‘vetted’. The right wing nuts will say ‘drug-dealing muslim negro’ a few hundred thousand times through their media outlets, will ridicule his lack of specifics, and the ones he has will be those of a liberal looking to shovel the white man’s hard-earned tax dollars to the inner city blacks. No matter how grotesque it all is the media idiots love a horse race because ‘conflict sells’. They’ll keep it close enough for the ridiculous John McCain to steal it. This won’t happen with Hillary as our candidate. Obama for VP. WE MUST WIN!!!!
Report thisBy cyrena, February 11 at 2:59 pm #
Great post on the realities and such.
Thing is, she may in fact win in Ohio and Texas, even though there could be the pulling of strings and breaking of rules there as well. (I still have serious doubts about her New Hampshire win...no proof, just suspicions).
Anyway, Texas is a likelihood for her, even though I don’t wanna “predict” that, because they could surprise us. The entire event has proved to be more than I expected, in a very positive way, so I don’t want to ‘curse’ anything with ‘bad vibes’
Historically speaking though, we know that Texas is a clearly red state, and the heart of neocon land. So, while there are a handful of democrats in that State, they are mostly of the conservative and neocon (or even neoliberal) persuasion. And, lets face it, Hillary Clinton is a neoconning repug in everything but official party affiliation. Her policies and positions have always been identical to the neocon agenda, and any perceived deviation from them has never been more than repug neocon personal infighting. She simply does not represent a traditional Democratic party platform, despite what she make take up in terms of rhetoric as a political campaign necessity. And, she SURE doesn’t represent a progressive democratic agenda.
So, since I just see her as another repuglican, she could in fact ‘take’ Texas. I’m not entirely sure about Ohio, which actually does have a more genuine democratic party mentality, at least among it’s Democrats.
That said though, I lived in Texas for a long time, and I’m noticing now, that those friends colleagues who may have supported Hillary in the past, (as center-situated democrats) have already become active supporters for Obama. I don’t find that at all surprising, based on what we’ve seen so far, across the nation.
In short, the atrocities of the past 7 years have created more political awareness within our citizenry. People who formerly took things pretty much for granted, (and it’s the ‘American way) are now finally recognizing the disaster that has befallen us, and even average people are more inclined now, to look below the surface, to try and understand how and why, and...who to blame. It’s just pretty much human behavior in times of desperation.
So, while Hillary supporters and the status quo repugs continue so scoff at the concept of ‘change’ embodied in Barack’s message, the average citizen KNOWS that we won’t survive otherwise. And, if nothing else, Hillary just represents the same old - same old, that has brought us to the brink, if not already over the cliff.
Such is the reality.
Report thisBy Aegrus, February 11 at 1:19 pm #
Hillary has my admiration for continuing to man a sinking ship. It is, however, fundamentally inaccurate to think she will win the nomination without pulling strings and breaking rules. This is, of course, perfectly plausible.
Moreover, Mrs. Clinton’s campaign has not changed. Her political momentum is non-existent. People are still concerned about her authenticity, political experience, husband’s role in office and those who believed she is good for the economy are starting to waver opinion. Hillary’s House of Cards is folding under.
When you take away her false perception of being good for the economy, Hillary’s campaign adds up to nothing but cheap and irrelevant experience and a political godhead for a husband.
Barack Obama has the better health care plan, the better economic policies, the plans for bringing Americans back into higher education, great foreign policy ideas, opposed the war, great environmental record and is a bold, charismatic leader.
There simply is no contest.
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