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U.S. Report: Iran Halted Nuclear Weapons Program in ’03Posted on Dec 3, 2007
A new report released by American intelligence officials profoundly contradicts President Bush’s claims on the Iran nuclear threat and casts his “World War III” fear-mongering in a dubious light. The National Intelligence Estimate’s declassified assessment, compiled from 16 U.S. intelligence agencies, says Iran actually halted its nuclear weapons program in 2003 “in response to international pressure,” and that, although the country still hopes to have the capacity to produce a nuclear weapon, that potential development remains a long way off. Read the National Intelligence Estimate’s “Key Points” summary here.
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By Kevin James, December 5, 2007 at 11:24 am # Was Bush Behind the IranWas Bush Behind the Iran Report? Bombing Iran, it seems, is now off the table. There’s no other reasonable take on the latest National Intelligence Estimate that concludes Iran halted its nuclear weapons program in 2003. But there is also no doubt that the Bush White House was behind this NIE. While the 16 intelligence agencies that make up the “intelligence community” contribute to each National Intelligence Estimate, you can bet that an explosive, 180-degree turn on Iran like this one was greenlighted by the President. And explode is what the hawks in and outside the Administration are about to do. They were counting on Bush being the one President prepared to take on Iran. As recently as last month, Bush warned of World War III if Iran so much as thought about building a bomb. Bush’s betrayal is not going to go down well. The neocons, clinging to a sliver of hope, will accuse the intelligence community of incompetence, pointing out that as late as 2005 it estimated “with high confidence” that Iran was building a bomb. Bush’s National Security Adviser, Stephen Hadley, put the best face on the new report, claiming that it was our diplomacy and saber rattling that forced the Iranians to back down. As for the intelligence community, it explained its reversal by hinting that new intelligence had surfaced. Neither explanation is entirely accurate. The real story behind this NIE is that the Bush Administration has finally concluded Iran is a bridge too far. With Iranian-backed Shi’a groups behaving themselves, things are looking up in Iraq. In Lebanon, the anti-Syrian coalition and pro-Syrian coalition, which includes Iran’s surrogate Hizballah, reportedly have settled on a compromise candidate, the army commander General Michel Suleiman. Bombing Iran now would upset the fragile balance in these two countries. Not to mention that Hizballah has threatened to shell Israel if we as much as touch a hair on Iran’s head. Then there are the Gulf Arabs. For the last year and a half, ever since the Bush Administration started to hint that it might hit Iran, they have been sending emissaries to Tehran to assure the Iranians they’re not going to help the United States. But in private, the Gulf Arabs have been reminding Washington that Iran is a rabid dog: Don’t even think about kicking it, the Arabs tell us. If you have to do something, shoot it dead. Which is something the United States can’t do. So how far is Iran from a nuke? The new NIE says 10 to 15 years, maybe. But that’s a wild guess. The truth is that Iran is a black hole, and it’s entirely conceivable Iran could build a bomb and we wouldn’t know until they tested it. Yet for now we should at least be happy with the good news: Armageddon is postponed.
By Martin, December 4, 2007 at 2:38 pm # I remembered that this IranI remembered that this Iran NIE has been delayed for a year. I googled and found several articles saying that this NIE is one year overdue and that Cheney wanted it changed.
By David, December 4, 2007 at 1:46 pm # I was comfortable with the “nuclear weapon” lie. At least with this lie, we didn’t have to worry about “a-second-9/11-just-occured-so-we-must-bomb-Iran” lie. I think this is a sign of a revolt from the intelligence community who were smeared as incompetent fools by the Administration when they heaped all the blame on them for the Iraq invasion. You have to wonder in that now-infamous gaffe of Bush’s, when he said, “You can fool me once...Shame on...won’t get fooled again”, if he really just knew in the back of his mind that he ought not remind us that he has already fooled us (some folks, far more than once), he should be ashamed of himself (but he’s not), and has every intention of trying to fool us again.
By Anthony, December 4, 2007 at 1:04 pm # CIA, that’s short for “Keystone Cops” right?
By Karen, December 4, 2007 at 8:16 am # Does anyone know if Dubai is for or against the US bombing Iran? I ask because I was surprised that Dubai all of a sudden bailed out Citigroup to the tune of $7 billion. Having just read John Kenneth Galbraith’s book, The Great Crash, I can’t help but see quite a few similarities to the 1920’s. If we are headed for a depression, could it be that the Bush family, seeing the enormous debacle unfolding on their “watch,” asked their rich Arab friends for help? This would not be the first time they did so. Could the quid pro quo have been, “We’ll bail out Citigroup, but you have to back off from attacking Iran”?
By 1drees, December 4, 2007 at 7:36 am # With reference to several converstions here nd references to “the gret AntiChrists” in power, i thinki should inform youll tht IRAQ was nowhere near being a DANGER TO ANYONE, after having gone through several years of sanctions. so Actually IRAQ was build up as a threat by the MSM and after a BIG LARGE GRUESOME IMAGE had been built it was attacked. Plese note that the same modus operendi of Building up “bad guys” ( out of mole hills) will also be found if you search through the History of the last 70 years. MANY a MOLEHILL was painted into an EVEREST and then topped. YOU CALL IT ANTICHRIST, I CALL IT VULTURES, those who feed on the already almost dead.
By bachubhai, December 4, 2007 at 5:38 am # what’s going on with Israel’s nukes? have they let Vanunu out the can yet? And yes, have they found Steve Fossette?
By 1drees, December 4, 2007 at 4:27 am # CYRENA : I DO NOT KNOW IF YOU KNOW, but on the youtube.com I did see a certain video by a certain AIPAC representative and then another video either of Sharon or Shamir (i fail to remember exactly) and THE MAIN SENSE to be derived from the VIDEOs is that: “we own America & the Americans know it” and then to continue one went : “any representative that dares to oppose Israel or Israeli agendas will be gone fast, never to be relected again” So i guess these people called Democrats are just trying to secure their “jobs” by toeing the line. BTW i hope you are old enough to KNOW that during the VIETNAM war there were similar protests and also people with similar pacifist or likewise convictions but did that ever end or shorten that war? I dont think so. the war took its time ending despite all the noise that all the people could make. And so atleast I was not expecting much from either the Donkeys or Elephants coz actually they are two sides of the same coin once in the office. BTW the only way BUSH could be impeached or convicted of any crime would be if he ever dares to oppose any of the Israeli agenda, I hear now what i Once thought as a possiblility as it was happening and that is that Bill Clinton was delibrately entangled into the Monica Lewinsky Affair as his stance at that time was quiet contrary to the benefit of Israelis and even hear the Monica’s handler was Linda Trip. You might suggest that i am off my rocker but there is substantial reason to believe all these dark things concerning the USA govt that one keeps uncovering now and then.
By 1drees, December 4, 2007 at 12:27 am # LOUISE: TRUE, LOUISE, but in this age often money is spent for the accuracy and if 16 mess up then that’s a very confirmed mess up and maybe worth the expense. LOL BTW hold your breath and wait to see if the people in power even regard this report as relevent, Imean could be that in thenext speech GWB might totally ignore thisoneand quote another one that works for him. Also some Hardware is out of order eg F-15s but the newer additions to the arsenal eg F-111 etc are completely functional and in stock, and Katrina never cost much coz it was partially ignored. AND NOTE price of oil to higher in the near future.
By anthony, December 3, 2007 at 5:17 pm # This is another sign of stupidity similar to the Curveball (read book by that name) incident about Iraq. Again the Bush govt. is wrong!
By dsmith, December 3, 2007 at 2:54 pm # This confirms what lying bastards these neocon warmongers all are. Norman Podhortez and Bill Kristol would swear on their mother’s grave that Iran was building nukes if it would stir the US into bombing Iran. This news makes John McCain look especially foolish in that last week he blamed Ron Paul of being akin to those who failed to act against Hitler( a favoirite refrain of the neocons)back in the thirties. McCain lashed out at Paul because he (Paul) would talk to Iran instead of bombing them. McCain would kill innocent Iranians for what turns out to be...false intelligence. Shades of WMD’s? |
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