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Ear to the Ground

Dead Heat in Iowa

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Posted on Nov 13, 2007
dems
cbsnews.com

Hillary Clinton’s lead in Iowa is statistically nonexistent, leaving in a virtual tie the top three Democrats running in the nation’s first electoral test, according to a new CBS News/New York Times poll. On the Republican side, Mike Huckabee has sprinted past Rudy Giuliani to be within striking distance of Mitt Romney.

Many voters, in both Iowa and another early-test state, New Hampshire, have either not made up their minds or say they might change their minds.


CBS News:

(CBS) Democrats and Republicans are both headed toward heated showdowns in Iowa, where, according to a new CBS News/New York Times poll, Hillary Clinton holds a statistically insignificant lead over John Edwards and Barack Obama, and GOP hopeful Mitt Romney finds his long-held position as the state’s front-runner challenged by a surging Mike Huckabee.

The situation in Iowa, where nominating caucuses are scheduled for Jan. 3, is in stark contrast to New Hampshire, where Clinton and Romney continue to hold large leads among those likely to vote in the state’s first-in-the-nation primary, which could come only days after Iowa’s contests.

But in both states, large chunks of voters have yet to make up their minds, meaning the results of the contests that will kick off the 2008 nominating season are still difficult to predict.

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Tony Wicher's avatar

By Tony Wicher, November 15, 2007 at 12:26 am Link to this comment

Re #113585 by Conservative Yankee on 11/14 at 1:52 pm
(Unregistered commenter)

“Dennis! Gravel, Paul. OR I vote Nader in the general!”
————————————————————————
Did you actually watch the Obama speeches I referenced? (1) the Jefferson Jackson dinner speech (http://youtube.com/watch?v=tydfsfSQiYc)
(2) one-hour interview on Meet the Press (http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/3032608/)

Obama is showing very clearly why he is NOT the same as Hillary. I tell you that she is strong but we have a chance to stop her, but the progressive anti-war movement will have to unite behind a single candidate. The only one who can do it is Obama.

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By Conservative Yankee, November 14, 2007 at 2:52 pm Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

If the “media” says “dead heat” that translates (to me) there is a dark-horse running strong. 

The idea we should “unite” behind a candidate whit whom we do not fully agree, when there is a agreeable candidate running, is more of the same ole same ole (for me.)

Nobody will ever be able to take my vote for granted again… ever. This year that is bad news for the Republicans, BUT next election that may change.

Dennis! Gravel, Paul. OR I vote Nader in the general!

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By felicity, November 14, 2007 at 12:12 pm Link to this comment

TONY WICHER #113432 Read the article on Obama in the latest ‘Atlantic’ magazine.  It convinced me to vote for him by systematically spelling out all the reasons why he would be the best president for today’s America. And finally that’s what really matters.

That said, Romney’s spending $84,000/day on television ads.  If I were a Repub that reason alone would make me not vote for him. Surely Repubs aren’t buyable - or are they. 

That said, the media are making out like bird dogs in this forever and forever campaign, the length of which they’re probably responsible.  I think they’ve actually scammed the politicians - couldn’t happen to a more deserving bunch.

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By Hammo, November 14, 2007 at 11:05 am Link to this comment

Iowa Democratic primary voters, and others, should think long and hard about who is “electable” in a general election.

Some of the current Dem candidates could lose to John McCain or Mitt Romney.

Thoughts on this in the article ...

“Democrats risk self-sabotage in presidential race ... again”

AmericanChronicle.com
November 5, 2007

http://www.americanchronicle.com/articles/viewArticle.asp?articleID=42271

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By RdV, November 14, 2007 at 5:26 am Link to this comment

Edwards vs Huckabee would be damn interesting.

  The rest are same old same old.

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By tenstring, November 14, 2007 at 4:59 am Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

And Kucinich is #4—Go Dennis!  You’re not going to get anyone but Hillary without a revolution.  The mainstream media decides who the choices will be, and it won’t be someone they don’t own.

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Tony Wicher's avatar

By Tony Wicher, November 14, 2007 at 1:14 am Link to this comment

Speaking to anti-war progressive Democrats, I know that you are frustrated, but the anti-war forces have their best chance EVER to take over and lead the Democratic Party. At this point, anybody who is thinking about voting for Ron Paul should have his head examined. A vote for Ron Paul is a vote for Rudi Giuliani! Now is the time for everybody, all Greens, Peace and Freedom, independents and anti-war Republicans as well, to register Democratic and vote for BARACK OBAMA in the primaries. The base of the party is anti-war, and this year we have the wind at our backs. I deeply respect Dennis Kucinich and I hope he will have a very influential position in the next administration, but Obama is the man who can unite the party. He is the only one who can stop Hillary Clinton. Look at his recent speeches, at the Jefferson Jackson dinner (http://youtube.com/watch?v=tydfsfSQiYc) and his one-hour interview on Meet the Press (http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/3032608/)
He is carefully and objectively delineating the differences between himself and Hillary Clinton, and those differences are very substantial. I know that to most Kucinich supporters, including myself, Obama has until recently looked like a corporate, centrist Democrat not much different than Hillary. But now he is distinguishing himself as a man of principle, not a two-faced corporate politician like Clinton. Don’t do all the stupid things we did back in 1968. Obama is our man. The Democratic Party is our party. Let’s all get behind him.

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By P. T., November 13, 2007 at 8:04 pm Link to this comment

Hillary’s hedging on the issues finally caught up with her.

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By Chris, November 13, 2007 at 7:46 pm Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

Wow…Mike Huckabee is surging!

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