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UK Think Tank: Grim Outlook for Iraq

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Posted on May 17, 2007

In a newly released report, the London-based think tank Chatham House warns of the possibility of widespread catastrophe and chaos in Iraq, claiming that the Iraqi government is practically impotent and obsolete and calling for serious policy revisions on the part of the U.S. and Great Britain.


BBC:

The Chatham House report, written by Gareth Stansfield, a Middle East expert, is unremittingly bleak, says BBC diplomatic correspondent James Robbins.

Mr Stansfield argues that the break-up of Iraq is becoming increasingly likely.

In large parts of the country, the Iraqi government is powerless, he says, as rival factions struggle for local supremacy.

The briefing paper, entitled “Accepting Realities in Iraq,” says: “There is not ‘a’ civil war in Iraq, but many civil wars and insurgencies involving a number of communities and organisations struggling for power.”

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By felicity, May 18, 2007 at 4:24 pm Link to this comment

It is curious that with the exception of Haiti, the most corrupt government in the world today is holding sway in Iraq.  (Is this democracy Republican style?)

I don’t know the criteria used by the UN body making that determination, but it’s obvious that if we want the bulk of the revenue generated by Iraqi oil to come our way, we’d better have our people running the country.

I wait with bated breath the day Iraq’s oil is nationalized, in other words the day the Iraqi people get more than a 1% cut of its revenue - 1% being the usual amount a country’s people get when a foreign country has access to their natural resources.

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By Dale Headley, May 18, 2007 at 10:59 am Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

Oil!  Oil!  Oil!

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By Dr. Knowitall, PhD, PhD, May 18, 2007 at 9:01 am Link to this comment

I vote with the destabilization-as-policy thinkers.  One of the few good things to come out of this war will be a neo-cynics movement among Americans.  I’m sick of “think tanks.” Seems no idea has any credibility unless it emanates from a ****ing “think tank.” It turns out the only “think tank” policy makers needed to listen to through all this is the one embedded within the thinking population of the USA and the rest of the thinking world; they were right all along.  Imagine, a bunch of grown men (women probably can’t think) sitting around thinking and talking about thinking and calling themselves thinkers and getting paid—big—to think.  And screwing up.  And then, flip-flopping.  “Do you think we’ve thought enough, for now?”  “Hmmm, yeah, I think so. Ya hungry?” “Yeah.”  “I think we should go eat.  Waddayou think?” “Yeah, let’s gweet.”  We should all have one of those jobs, I think.

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By Verne Arnold, May 18, 2007 at 1:06 am Link to this comment

Re #70629 by felicity on 5/17 at 1:24 pm

Hmm…there is a case to be made for chaos being created and maintained in the Middle-East.  That could very well work for the Corporatists.  It would certainly “justify”, in many minds, the maintenance of military bases indefinitely.  It’s a very cynical view, thus adding to it’s credibility.

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By Scott, May 17, 2007 at 2:43 pm Link to this comment

So everything’s actually tickity-boo is it felicity?

That sure is reassuring.

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By felicity, May 17, 2007 at 2:24 pm Link to this comment

There are those in-the-know on Iraq, past and present (and not working for this government) who believe that there are two Iraq policies - one presented in front of the cameras and one operating behind them.

They suggest that what has transpired in Iraq is exactly what the architects of the invasion and occupation planned - to break up the country into manageable entities.  Oil, Middle East dominance by the West, less threat to Israel among the reasons.

We can only hope that the other nations of the Middle East realize this.

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By QuyTran, May 17, 2007 at 1:00 pm Link to this comment

Too late ! Sluggish buffalo will always drink dirty water !

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By vet240, May 17, 2007 at 12:44 pm Link to this comment
(Unregistered commenter)

Look I took History only in high-school. I and any other student of equal education level could have told you going into Iraq and deposing Saddam and removing the Sunni from power was going to cause us all a lot of grief.

You don’t have to be a rocket scientist to have figured this out. Just read any high-school history book on that region.

So why did we really do it? Haliburton, and friends are the only one making any profit out of this. You figure it out.

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By nonprofithell, May 17, 2007 at 12:18 pm Link to this comment

And we have one and one person only to thank for this imbroglio: King George W. Bush, a pathetic and miserable example of American Presidential leadership if there ever was one.

Kiss Iraq and American democracy goodbye…

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