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Don’t Take Any More Money Out of Your HousePosted on Jul 30, 2006The cooling of the U.S. housing market has begun to pull down the entire economy, just as experts had been predicting for several years now. This was inevitable after the ludicrously overheated highs of the last few years, and we can only hope it’s going to be a slow leak.
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By GW=MCHammered, July 31, 2006 at 12:31 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)
Watch the capital markets for the birth of the next housing bubble. With huge inflows of foreign investor money, housing prices mysteriously skyrocket.
Sure some homeowners get rich, while others lose their shirts.
But a house is a durable good. Like a car, it gets used and without serious investment really should devalue over time… except when there exists FAR more buyers than sellers like in a few fast growing areas. Only this leaves slowing area home prices to devalue.
Now lets ask a real estate capital industry hypothetical question: How do we create FAR more buyers everywhere? Pay labor higher wages? Nah! Loan them cheap foreign capital instead… irrationally-exuberant loads of it and jack up home prices too!
Okay, another question: So why do foreigners loan us so much capital? Because Americans will pay too much for anything… our optimism can be malignant, especially when things get irrationally-exuberant: Buy now, cause nobody is making anymore real estate!
But then foreigners pull their capital when our optimism becomes too malignant and we’re left holding the proverbial high-priced, rising mortgage-rate bag… Japan’s been pulling their exuberant capital for months.
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