In the 2004 election, anti-gay ballot measures effectively drew conservatives to the ballot box, but the appeal of banning gay marriage is wearing off, polls suggest.
New York Times:
Recent polls in Arizona, Colorado, Virginia and Wisconsin, for example, have suggested only narrow majorities in support, in contrast to the 60 to 70 percent or more majorities in most states that voted on the issue in 2004. Two recent polls in South Dakota suggested that the same-sex marriage amendment might actually lose, while a third said it seemed likely to pass.
“As it stands right now, conservative turnout is not going to be as strong as it has traditionally been,” said Jon Paul, the executive director of Coloradans for Marriage, which is supporting a ballot measure that would ban same-sex marriage.
Some pollsters say people might just be burned out on the subject of marriage and its boundaries.