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The ‘Bradley Effect’: MSM Hype?

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Posted on Feb 6, 2008
Real News report
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Following Hillary Clinton’s surprise win in New Hampshire, some mainstream media outlets speculated that the “Bradley effect,” which posits that some white voters will avoid telling pollsters they voted against an African-American candidate, could explain Barack Obama’s election results in that state. Here, the Real News takes a closer look at that race-based rationale.

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By Liza, February 11 at 12:51 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)

lilmanzer,
You are just so totally obnoxious, are you even aware of it?

Probably not.

Report this

By Iowan, February 9 at 7:52 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

In addition to the normal sampling errors.

Aren’t these plausible:

Between the last poll taken, people thought, “Why am I taking Iowa’s lead? They are a caucus state”

Women don’t want to admit they are voting for a woman.

Independents saw that Obama had a big lead in the polls so they swithed over to McCain for which they had an emotional tie.

Voters heard all the slander from Romney against McCain so they went to his defense.

NH Voters heard Obama talk past NH.

They didn’t factor in all the new voters, especially the women that never have voted before.

Please don’t spend too much money researching these Theories.

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By lilmamzer, February 8 at 7:56 am #

Well said.

HuffPost is a disgrace, and TruthCrapDig is a snakepit of bigots, conspiracy buffs, and tin-foil hat-wearing whack-jobs (yes, that’s you Chalmers and Cyrena).

HuffPost, DailyKOS, TruthCrapDig, and other cesspools of mendacity do serve useful purposes by exposing the moral bankruptcy and sheer idiocy of the far left.

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By gary, February 8 at 12:41 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

TheREALnews(http://therealnews.com) is doing a great job with this coverage - thanks for posting this.

Truthdig and TheREALnews, are easily the best sources of news available these days.

keep it up!

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By Jim H, February 7 at 2:33 am #
(Unregistered commenter)

Seriously. The recount that Kucinich paid for demonstrated that very little changed. at all. I find it offensive that people immediately suspected “Rovian” tactics from the Clintons, without the slightest bit of evidence. I’m reminded of the bizarre story from today, where a number of judges—municipal ones, I guess—told voters in Chicago not to worry about the styluses they were given weren’t making marks, because they were full of “invisible ink.” The voters complained, and the election worker interviewed said the stories were true, but they couldn’t find any evidence of anything but breathtaking stupidity. If somebody digs up evidence, like caging or felon’s lists or...whatever, I’ll be with you. The immediate suspicion of the Clintons is fanatical and unattractive, and not based on anything but the kind of demonization that Maureen Dowd and Tweety practice,

As for the Bradley effect, it was also offensive to hear TV pundits, having failed to vanquish the evil witch with anti-female derision, then turned to the rumor (spread from where?) that Obama had been the victim of lying white racists. Really, that’s what the accusation amounts to. It’s one thing if you can point to evidence. I’m with you there. But how on earth could you get any detailed information on white female working class psyches? Where’s the overt acts or signs? Between the initial survey and the voting, opinions can and did change, as they did in Iowa. As they did again in South Carolina. If a pollster were to go back to the same people, nobody would admit to changing a vote because of Obama’s race. You’re dealing with shadows here. Did some vote for JFK because he was handsome? You bet. Irish Catholic? You bet.
Obama has become a remarkable figure because he can cross racial lines in the same way that Tiger Woods does. His popularity is remarkable, and crosses racial and political lines. (I’d rather he didn’t cross so many political lines. It looks to me less like “inspiration” than, you know, marketing, but that’s just me, and I’ll tell it to you here, openly.

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By cyrena, February 6 at 10:19 pm #

First time I’ve ever seen Hammo as more than a contributor to any division - especially on race based issues.

On this though, I agree. Now Zimmerman didn’t say it directly, (and I REALLY appreciate his truthful and honest analysis) RATHER than the “Bradly effect” (and he explained why it wasn’t) the Diebold effect, could very well be the reason, with or without the knowledge of the Clinton campaign.

Regardless of whether the Clinton’s were aware of the Rovian type cheating...so reminiscent of Florida, 2000...that’s exactly what I believe occurred.

Keep in mind that Dennis Kucinich filed the appropriate motions and documents, and paid the necessary fees for a recount.

So, I still see something very ‘off’ about that upset in New Hampshire.

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By kevin99999, February 6 at 10:10 pm #
(Unregistered commenter)

I have concluded that a lot of so called liberal blogs are just hateful and is being run by no less of scam artists. At top of the heap is the trash Huffingtonpost.com that only produces silly and meaningless headlines that are not only not supported by the facts but these site usually censor critical comments. I am truly ashamed of these people. Compared to these blogs, FOX can rightfully boast to be fair and balanced.

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By Hammo, February 6 at 3:54 pm #

I’m not sure it has been established if New Hampshire Dem primary results were because of the “Bradley effect” or something else, such as Diebold vote-tallying equipment.

Investigations are ongoing, I believe. More on this in the article ...

“Electronic voting machines threaten U.S. democracy?” (PopulistAmerica.com, Populist Party of America, Jan. 14, 2008) at ...

http://www.populistamerica.com/electronic_voting_machi nes_threaten_us_democracy

“New Hampshire primary results questioned: Electronic voting machines threaten U.S. democracy?” (AmericanChronicle.com, Jan. 11, 2008) at ...

http://www.americanchronicle.com/articles/48586

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By Aegrus, February 6 at 11:37 am #

Racial groups are not one entity, and it is a mistake for any politician to count them as such.

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